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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Australia: Vection Technologies Ltd, Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Vection Technologies – Record half and strong H2 visibility
  • Paradigm Biopharma – Termination of coverage


Vection Technologies – Record half and strong H2 visibility

By Edison Investment Research

Vection Technologies’ H124 activity report shows sustained momentum, with the group delivering 37% y-o-y revenue growth to A$11.9m. Total contract value (TCV) of A$16.7m was up 67% y-o-y, providing strong revenue visibility for the rest of FY24. As with Q1, we believe growth has been driven by the expansion of existing low-margin, one-off transactions into large multi-year deals. Expanding deals, rather than relying on new wins, underpin the opportunity for operationally geared growth, with management expecting to see the benefits of recent cost reduction measures in H2.


Paradigm Biopharma – Termination of coverage

By Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on Atlantis Japan Growth Fund (AJG), Paradigm Biopharma (PAR), The European Smaller Companies Trust (ESCT), The Brunner Investment Trust (BUT), Channel Islands Property Fund (CIPF), Sequana Medical (SEQUA), RTW Biotech Opportunities (RTW), Itaconix (ITX), Endeavour Mining (EDV), Riverstone Credit Opportunities Income (RCOI) and Molecure (MOC). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our website.


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Daily Brief Singapore: Mesh Bio and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Chronic disease management startup Mesh Bio bags US$3.5M Series A | e27


Chronic disease management startup Mesh Bio bags US$3.5M Series A | e27

By e27

  • Mesh Bio Co-Founders Andrew Wu and Arsen Batagov Singapore-based chronic disease management startup Mesh Bio has raised US$3.5 million in Series A financing led by East Ventures.
  • Elev8, Seed Capital, and other existing shareholders also co-invested.
  • The funding will allow Mesh Bio to offer its digital twin technologies to healthcare providers and scale the deployment of these solutions across Hong Kong and Southeast Asia, mainly Indonesia and the Philippines.

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Daily Brief United States: Hollysys Automation Technologies, Amazon.com Inc, Regis Corp, Janus International Group , Meta Platforms (Facebook), Transunion and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Hollysys (HOLI US): ISS/Glass Lewis Should Reverse Their Position
  • Amazon 4Q’23 Update
  • RGS: Dropping Coverage of Regis
  • Janus International Group, Inc. (JBI) – Thursday, Nov 2, 2023
  • Meta 4Q’23 Update
  • Transunion (TRU) – Friday, Nov 3, 2023


Hollysys (HOLI US): ISS/Glass Lewis Should Reverse Their Position

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 26th January, proxy advisor Glass Lewis issued a report recommending Hollysys Automation (HOLI US) shareholders vote against Ascendent’s merger. Two days later, ISS shared a similar view.
  • Both proxy advisors should read HOLI’s latest proxy statements. Negotiating with Dazheng is like something out of the wild west. The Special Committee gave the consortium considerable latitude. 
  • Passive investors will follow GL/ISS, which could jeopardize the vote on the 8th Feb. It should not come to this. 

Amazon 4Q’23 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • 1P revenue grew HSD and Amazon’s revenue ex 1P increased by high-teens last quarter.
  • Since I continue to rate Amazon retail to be relatively overlooked driver for Amazon, let me start with margin discussions on retail.
  • North America’s operating margin bottomed at -2.3% 1Q’22 and has since then increased by more than 800 bps to reach 6.1% in 4Q’23, just shy of the pre-pandemic high of 6.4% in 1Q’19.

RGS: Dropping Coverage of Regis

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • Due to a reallocation of resources, we are terminating coverage of Regis Corporation (RGS).
  • Our previous rating, price target and estimates for Regis Corporation (RGS) should no longer be relied upon.
  • Historical disclosures will be provided upon request.

Janus International Group, Inc. (JBI) – Thursday, Nov 2, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Janus International Group is a leading manufacturer and provider of self-storage doors and locks, operating in three main sales channels.
  • The company is a pioneer in smart lock technology with its Noke wireless solution, giving it a competitive advantage.
  • Janus has a strong value proposition due to the high cost of failure of its products, which are considered mission-critical, allowing the company to capture high margins and outpace market growth in a recession-proof industry.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Meta 4Q’23 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Take a look at the Facebook’s DAU or MAU number for the last time because Meta will stop reporting them from next quarter.
  • Investors usually assume the worst when any important KPI gets deprecated by the company.
  • Thankfully, along with Family “Daily Active People” (DAP), Meta will report YoY changes in ad impressions and average price per ad by region.

Transunion (TRU) – Friday, Nov 3, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • TransUnion has diversified its offerings beyond credit reporting, reducing its sensitivity to the consumer credit cycle.
  • The company has a strong competitive advantage and generates high margins and free cash flow.
  • Despite a recent decline in share price and a soft Q3 earnings report, the current valuation presents a good entry point for long-term investors.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief India: Waaree Energies Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Pradhanmantri Suryoday Yojana: Revolutionizing India’s Solar Landscape


Pradhanmantri Suryoday Yojana: Revolutionizing India’s Solar Landscape

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Prime Minister Modi unveils the Pradhanmantri Suryoday Yojana, a groundbreaking initiative aiming to install rooftop solar panels on one crore households, aligning with India’s renewable energy targets.
  • The Suryodaya Yojana addresses challenges in the rooftop solar landscape, focusing on household installations, affordability, income generation, and energy self-reliance.
  • Despite challenges in implementation, the scheme, led by REC, holds the potential to significantly boost rooftop solar capacity, supporting India’s commitment to cleaner energy and a sustainable future.

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Daily Brief Japan: Avant Corp, Simplex Holdings, ID Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Avant Group (3836) – Evolutionary Challenges with Software-Driven Strategy
  • Simplex Holdings (4373) – An Optimal Balance of Growth and Investment
  • ID Holdings (4709) – Expecting a Solid Finish to the Year


Avant Group (3836) – Evolutionary Challenges with Software-Driven Strategy

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Continuing DX tailwinds and developmental hurdles – Q1-2 FY6/2024 results highlighted continued demand for DX solutions, combined with a stable uptick for Consolidated Financial Solutions driven by outsourcing.
  • With 11.6% sales growth YoY and operating profit growth YoY at a slower pace of 5.4%, the company is maintaining its course by investing in a software-driven strategy.
  • A fundamental element is the development of the Management Solutions segment which currently faces challenges in building up a pipeline, and the company has identified some necessary changes in sales activity. 

Simplex Holdings (4373) – An Optimal Balance of Growth and Investment

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Q1-3 FY3/2024 results were in line with unchanged FY company guidance, with the company displaying 1) sustained growth in Strategic/DX Consulting demand and System Integration, 2) ongoing successful business expansion into new market sectors, and 3) management achieving a delicate equilibrium between actively generating current growth and investing for the long-term success of the business.
  • Although DX will remain a structural tailwind for some time to come, the company’s growth potential will be underpinned by access to high-caliber hires at both graduate and mid-career levels.
  • We believe the announcement of a business and capital partnership with CIRCULATION (7379) points in the right direction in establishing a channel to a quality talent pool.

ID Holdings (4709) – Expecting a Solid Finish to the Year

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Q1-3 FY3/2024 results were ahead of FY company guidance which remained unchanged, positioning the company for a robust year-end in our view.
  • The key earnings drivers remain DX-related, having a positive impact on sales growth and profitability improvements in Cybersecurity, Consulting and Training, and IT Infrastructure segments.
  • ID Holdings’ objectives of strengthening its DX-related offerings, developing effective vendor partnerships, optimizing administrative operations, and shifting human resources to profit centers continue to yield positive results. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Outsourcing Inc, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, LPA Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) MBO Start Delayed A Month – Large Float So Eminently Bumpable But…
  • CATL Hitches Up With Didi, Broadening Move in Battery Swapping
  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone
  • Equity Research Flash Note – Lpa Group Plc


Outsourcing (2427) MBO Start Delayed A Month – Large Float So Eminently Bumpable But…

By Travis Lundy

  • On 31 January 2024, Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) put out a notice to the Exchange regarding progress towards Execution of the Tender Offer by Bain.
  • All preconditions for the commencement of the Tender Offer except for the acquisition of clearance of EU Regulations on foreign subsidies affecting the EU market. 
  • This process appears to be “as expected” given Outsourcing’s multinational presence and the new Foreign Subsidies Regulation which went into effect in the EU 28 weeks ago.

CATL Hitches Up With Didi, Broadening Move in Battery Swapping

By Caixin Global

  • Battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) (300750.SZ -0.92%) has set up a battery swapping joint venture (JV) with ride-hailing company Didi Global Inc. to service Didi’s expanding fleet of electric vehicles (EVs).
  • The tie-up is CATL’s latest foray into battery swapping — dominated by EV-maker Nio Inc. — as it aims to expand beyond production and into downstream businesses that make use of its products.
  • It comes as the world’s No. 1 producer of EV batteries by installed capacity faces growing competition from rivals such as BYD Co. Ltd. (002594.SZ +0.69%), which produces both vehicles and their batteries.

Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Equity Research Flash Note – Lpa Group Plc

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Revenue in FY2022 reached £19.33 million compared to £18.27 million in FY2021, an annual increase of 5.8%.
  • We estimate that revenue will increase to £20.68 million in FY2023 and £22.13 million in FY2024.
  • Gross profit for FY2022 was £4.4 million compared to £3.71 million in 2021, an annual increase of 18.69%. 

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Strike Energy, Rio Tinto PLC, Metals Acquisition , Hawkins Inc, Seadrill , Revoil , Lake Victoria Gold , Hellenic Petroleum Sa and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/ASX 200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Strike Energy (STX) To Replace Costa Group (CGC)
  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: January’23 Report
  • Metals Acquisition Ltd Secondary Listing – Too Much to Pay for a Single Asset
  • HWKN: Eyes of Free Cash Flow
  • SDRL: Drilling into the Calendar
  • Revoil S.a. -9M-11M FY2023 Results Presentation
  • LVG: The Next Tanzanian Gold Producer + Big Upside
  • HELLENiQ ENERGY – Shareholders reduce holding


S&P/ASX 200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Strike Energy (STX) To Replace Costa Group (CGC)

By Brian Freitas


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: January’23 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly tightened during January. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.5% (vs. 49.1%); GBL, 37.1% (vs. 36.6%); Heineken Holding, 16.6% (vs. 16.7%); 
  • Industrivärden C, 3.8% (vs. 5.4%); Investor B, 7.9% (vs. 13.5%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 42% (vs. 37.1%). The spread of Rio DLC widened to 25.2% (vs. 24.2%).
  • What seems interesting: in holding trades, GBL/vs. listed assets, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.

Metals Acquisition Ltd Secondary Listing – Too Much to Pay for a Single Asset

By Ethan Aw

  • Metals Acquisition (MTAL US) is looking to raise up to A$300m (US$197m) through its ASX secondary listing.  
  • The proceeds will be used to repay Glencore’s deferred consideration facility for the MTAL’s acquisition of its CSA copper mine, amongst other uses.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

HWKN: Eyes of Free Cash Flow

By Hamed Khorsand

  • Hawkins (HWKN) reported fiscal third quarter (December) results benefiting from higher mix of water treatment sales as the industrial segment dealt with its seasonal soft period
  • HWKN has grown its water treatment segment through acquisitions including several made towards the beginning of the December segment
  • Water treatment sales were approximately $9 million less than expected due to the timing of acquisitions closing and their sales contribution during a seasonally soft quarter for the segment

SDRL: Drilling into the Calendar

By Hamed Khorsand

  • The contract environment is proving advantageous for Seadrill (SDRL) with the Company announcing two more contracts
  • We estimate one of the contracts has a day rate of $500,000 and should result in other bidding activity to reach and eventually exceed this level in 2024
  • The day rates SDRL has announced for the latest contracts, along with the two contracts in December 2023, demonstrate there is demand to pay the higher day rates 

Revoil S.a. -9M-11M FY2023 Results Presentation

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Revenue decreased by 12.3% in 9M 2023 standing at EUR 602.22M (vs 686.46M in 9M 2022), resulting from a combined drop in the fuel prices and volume sold.
  • Cost of revenue decreased by a similar rate resulting in only a slight reduction of Gross Profit by 2.7%
  • However, EBITDA decreased by 11.1% to EUR 9.08M (vs 10.22M in 9M 2022), EBT fell by 57.6% at 2.23M (vs 5.28M in 9M 2022), and Net Income by 57% at 1.79M (vs EUR 4.16M in 9M 2022).

LVG: The Next Tanzanian Gold Producer + Big Upside

By Atrium Research

  • LVG’s strategic partnerships & recent acquisitions have set the Company up for a transformational 2024.
  • The Company has substantial upside through its partnership with Barrick Gold as well as other exploration potential.
  • Lake Victoria Gold (LVG:TSXV) is a Canadian exploration and development company focused on the growth and consolidation of the Lake Victoria Goldfield in Tanzania.

HELLENiQ ENERGY – Shareholders reduce holding

By Edison Investment Research

Hellenic Republic Asset Development Fund (HRADF) and Paneuropean Oil & Industrial Holdings (POIH) have announced that they have sold 33.6m shares in HELLENiQ ENERGY, representing 11% of the existing ordinary shares. These were sold via an international private placement at a price of €7.00 per share. Although this is a third-party transaction, this will benefit the liquidity of HELLENiQ ENERGY’s shares.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Hollysys Automation Technologies, 111 Inc, Microchip Technology, ASE Technology Holding , Netgear Inc, Blokid , Advanced Micro Devices and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Hollysys (HOLI US): The State of Play
  • 111 Inc -Adr (YI) – Thursday, Nov 2, 2023
  • From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All?
  • ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): Expects 2Q24F Back to Normal Seasonality and 2H24 Will Start the Recovery.
  • NTGR: Changing Gears, New CEO
  • BlokID nets US$1.25M to provide privacy protection for digital ads industry | e27
  • AMD. This Party’s Just Getting Started…


Hollysys (HOLI US): The State of Play

By Arun George

  • Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) and Dazheng have traded barbs since Glass Lewis and ISS recommended voting against Ascendent’s US$26.50 offer at the EGM on 8 February.  
  • While Dazheng may have been held to a higher standard than Ascendent, the proxy statement shows that the impasse was mainly due to Dazheng’s inability to get its act together. 
  • The simple majority voting threshold and no shareholder publicly backing Dazheng’s call to vote NO will help the vote get up. The gross/annualised spread for an end-March close is 7.1%/52.1%.

111 Inc -Adr (YI) – Thursday, Nov 2, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • 111 Inc’s privatization process has been ongoing for 14 months, but no definitive agreement has been reached, leading to investor fatigue and a significant drop in stock price.
  • Chinese companies listed in the US typically have long privatization timelines, with some taking over 2 years to finalize the process.
  • The extended timeline in 111 Inc’s case may be causing concern among investors, resulting in a wider spread between the offer price and the stock price, but relisting the company in China could potentially lead to a higher valuation.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All?

By Andrew Lu

  • Microchip used to be the bellwether for semiconductor demand After many semis guided weaknesses in automotive, industrial, and digital consumer much earlier, Microchip’s 19% miss in 1Q24 gives no surprise.
  • Why the worst among all? We attributed Microchip to over 85% of its products on automotive, industrial, and digital consumer. Other semis have higher exposure on PC and comm.
  • Priced in? We estimate over 20% y/y decline in 2024 sales vs. Bloomberg’s -8% y/y. 2024E EPS of US$2.94 is likely below US$1. Price is only 10% below historical peak.

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): Expects 2Q24F Back to Normal Seasonality and 2H24 Will Start the Recovery.

By Patrick Liao

  • ASEH expects inventory adjustments to be completed in 1H24 and the growth to accelerate in 2H24. ASEH also expects IC-ATM to grow similarly to the semiconductor logic market in 2024H.
  • The 1Q24F guidance is looking at sales and GM levels for both IC ATM and EMS to be similar to 1Q23 levels.
  • Most customers will be back on the recovery path by at least 3Q24F.  

NTGR: Changing Gears, New CEO

By Hamed Khorsand

  • NTGR is making a CEO change just as the business has stabilized. Patrick Lo has retired and is being replaced by CJ Prober 
  • NTGR has also issued updated fourth quarter results with the business achieving positive non-GAAP operating margin
  • NTGR is forecasting revenue of between $179 million and $189 million. We were already projecting revenue of $187.3 million and are keeping our estimate unchanged

BlokID nets US$1.25M to provide privacy protection for digital ads industry | e27

By e27

  • The BlokID team BlokID, a next-generation developer of privacy protection solutions for the digital advertising industry, has completed its US$1.25 million seed round of financing led by Ascend Vietnam Ventures and AppWorks.
  • The Vietnamese startup will use the capital to accelerate product development, focus on user acquisition, and initiate market expansion, with an outlook to launch by Q2 2024. The company plans to roll out Google Analytics plug-ins and Financial Identity features to empower users further and safeguard their information.
  • Also Read: Bitcoin and Ethereum simplified for a five-year-old Founded in July 2023, BlokID leverages blockchain technology to bring an independent, immutable source of truth to digital advertising.

AMD. This Party’s Just Getting Started…

By William Keating

  • Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 6% QoQ and up 10% YoY
  • Q124 guidance was for $5.4 billion at the midpoint, down 13% QoQ and flat YoY.
  • We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of >70% YoY with potential for further upside

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Daily Brief Health Care: Avrobio Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Some updates


Some updates

By Turtles all the way down

  • Recently Avrobio (AVRO) announced a reverse merger with Tectonic Therapeutic, which was a bit unexpected.
  • And disappointing. From what I have read from people more knowledgeable about biotechs, they have some promising treatments in development with pretty impressive insiders.
  • But I have no idea how to value this. Net cash will be <$1/share post merger so I am closing this with a small loss at $1.25.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Outsourcing Inc, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, LPA Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) MBO Start Delayed A Month – Large Float So Eminently Bumpable But…
  • CATL Hitches Up With Didi, Broadening Move in Battery Swapping
  • Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone
  • Equity Research Flash Note – Lpa Group Plc


Outsourcing (2427) MBO Start Delayed A Month – Large Float So Eminently Bumpable But…

By Travis Lundy

  • On 31 January 2024, Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) put out a notice to the Exchange regarding progress towards Execution of the Tender Offer by Bain.
  • All preconditions for the commencement of the Tender Offer except for the acquisition of clearance of EU Regulations on foreign subsidies affecting the EU market. 
  • This process appears to be “as expected” given Outsourcing’s multinational presence and the new Foreign Subsidies Regulation which went into effect in the EU 28 weeks ago.

CATL Hitches Up With Didi, Broadening Move in Battery Swapping

By Caixin Global

  • Battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) (300750.SZ -0.92%) has set up a battery swapping joint venture (JV) with ride-hailing company Didi Global Inc. to service Didi’s expanding fleet of electric vehicles (EVs).
  • The tie-up is CATL’s latest foray into battery swapping — dominated by EV-maker Nio Inc. — as it aims to expand beyond production and into downstream businesses that make use of its products.
  • It comes as the world’s No. 1 producer of EV batteries by installed capacity faces growing competition from rivals such as BYD Co. Ltd. (002594.SZ +0.69%), which produces both vehicles and their batteries.

Morning Views Asia: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Equity Research Flash Note – Lpa Group Plc

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Revenue in FY2022 reached £19.33 million compared to £18.27 million in FY2021, an annual increase of 5.8%.
  • We estimate that revenue will increase to £20.68 million in FY2023 and £22.13 million in FY2024.
  • Gross profit for FY2022 was £4.4 million compared to £3.71 million in 2021, an annual increase of 18.69%. 

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