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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: SCREEN Holdings, Hyundai Motor, Outsourcing Inc, Lockheed Martin, Benefit One Inc, 3M Co, Paccar Inc, Raytheon Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Screen Holdings (7735): Share Price Straight Up, Financials Not so Simple
  • Samhyun IPO Preview
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: QV Equities, Orecorp, Benesse, Glosel, Outsourcing
  • Lockheed Martin: How Bad Is The Impact of Delays in Government Budget? – Major Drivers
  • Weekly Deals Digest (04 Feb) – Benefit One, Benesse, Outsourcing, Glosel, Hollysys, OreCorp, QVE
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Guoco, Outsourcing, Hang Lung, Hollysys, Dalek
  • 3M Company: How Geographic Shifts and Portfolio Magic Could Boost Growth! – Major Drivers
  • PACCAR Inc: Can The Newly Refreshed Product Lineup Change The Game? – Major Drivers
  • RTX Corporation: Can Their Investments In Differentiated Technologies Further Build Their Competitive Moat? – Major Drivers


Screen Holdings (7735): Share Price Straight Up, Financials Not so Simple

By Scott Foster

  • The share price was up 4.4% on Friday – and up 2.3x since the end of October – raising forward valuations to the high side of their usual range.
  • Management raised FY Mar-24 operating profit guidance slightly after 3Q results that were strong YoY but flat QoQ. 4Q should be better as finished goods inventory is shipped.
  • Operating efficiency has improved and a new semiconductor up-cycle has begun, but the numbers suggest caution. Take profits and reassess.

Samhyun IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Samhyun is getting ready to complete its IPO on the KOSDAQ exchange in March. The IPO total offering amount is 40 billion won to 50 billion won. 
  • The company generated sales of 99.8 billion won (up 45.5% YoY) and operating profit of 9.8 billion won (up 250% YoY) in 2023.
  • Samhyun developed one of the world’s first CVVD (Continuously Variable Valve Duration) technology for automobile engines, which improves fuel efficiency by controlling the engine’s valve opening time. 

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: QV Equities, Orecorp, Benesse, Glosel, Outsourcing

By David Blennerhassett


Lockheed Martin: How Bad Is The Impact of Delays in Government Budget? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lockheed Martin Corporation held its fourth quarter and year-end earnings conference call for 2023, outlining its performance, financial results, and future expectations.
  • The company emphasized strong performance in 2023, driven by considerable demand for its aircraft, helicopters, satellites, radar systems, and other products and services.
  • Lockheed Martin reported a record backlog of $161 billion, with sales for the full year of $67.6 billion, reflecting a 2% year-on year growth.

Weekly Deals Digest (04 Feb) – Benefit One, Benesse, Outsourcing, Glosel, Hollysys, OreCorp, QVE

By Arun George


Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, Guoco, Outsourcing, Hang Lung, Hollysys, Dalek

By David Blennerhassett


3M Company: How Geographic Shifts and Portfolio Magic Could Boost Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • 3M has shown solid operational improvements in its fourth-quarter results, which could translate into an exciting year ahead for the company, despite the ongoing pandemic-related challenges.
  • The company reported strong adjusted EPS growth of 11% and operating margin expansion of 180 basis points, with significant contributions from its restructuring program aimed at streamlining operations, reducing costs and improving productivity.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

PACCAR Inc: Can The Newly Refreshed Product Lineup Change The Game? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PACCAR, a leading American truck manufacturing company, showcased impressive performance in their fourth quarter 2023 earnings conference call.
  • The company reported record annual revenues of $35.1 billion and a net income of $4.6 billion, marking an impressive after-tax return on revenue of 13.1%.
  • This positive trend was primarily driven by record deliveries of the company’s DAF, Kenworth and Peterbilt trucks, strong results in its parts division and consistent financial services performance.

RTX Corporation: Can Their Investments In Differentiated Technologies Further Build Their Competitive Moat? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • RTX Corporation held its Q4 2023 earnings conference call with senior executives such as Chairman and CEO Greg Hayes, incoming CEO Chris Calio and Chief Financial Officer Neil Mitchill.
  • The call highlighted a leadership change with the transition of current CEO, Greg Hayes, to Executive Chairman, and Chris Calio assuming the role of CEO.
  • The company reported strong full-year results with $74.3 billion in adjusted sales, a growth of 11% organically, and adjusted EPS of $5.06, a growth of 6% year-over-year.

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Daily Brief Health Care: GDMC , CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical-A, Intuitive Surgical and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • GDMC nets US$21M in Series A for its next-gen advanced genetic therapies | e27
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.2) – US Strike on China CXOs, CSPC Innovation, Peach Picking Period
  • Intuitive Surgical: Are They Capitalizing Enough On The Expanded Adoption Of Robotic Surgery? – Major Drivers


GDMC nets US$21M in Series A for its next-gen advanced genetic therapies | e27

By e27

  • Genetic Design and Manufacturing Corporation (GDMC), a design and manufacturing organisation focusing on next-generation advanced genetic therapies, has secured US$21 million in Series A funding.
  • Asian private equity firm Celadon Partners led the round, which also saw participation from WI Harper Group, SEEDS Capital, and NSG Ventures.
  • The funds will be used to accelerate novel technology and process efficiency improvements to drive greater manufacturing cost reductions for partners who aim to advance medicines through clinical trials and towards commercialisation.

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.2) – US Strike on China CXOs, CSPC Innovation, Peach Picking Period

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • If there’s ultimately substantial negative policies in the field of biopharmaceuticals between China and US, APIs will be the segment with the highest risk. But CXO would also be affected.
  • Now we have entered the harvest period after the previous peak of financing round in China’s biotech industry, which has become a concentrated “peach picking period” for foreign pharmaceutical enterprises.
  • Considering the low market sentiment, we’re cautious on companies with high valuation elasticity before they come up with convincing products. So, we don’t recommend investors rush to bottom-fish CSPC Innovation.

Intuitive Surgical: Are They Capitalizing Enough On The Expanded Adoption Of Robotic Surgery? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Surgical enjoyed a strong 2023, seeing increasing use of its platforms in hospitals and improvement in system capacity to manage growth.
  • Full year growth for procedures was 22%, led by general surgery in the US and diverse growth in international markets such as Germany, France, the UK, and Ireland.
  • However, there was a slowdown in growth across bariatric procedures due to the use of GLP-1 drugs for obesity.

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Daily Brief Financials: TOPIX-Banks Index and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Updated Tool for TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” And New Presentation/CaseStudies


Updated Tool for TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” And New Presentation/CaseStudies

By Travis Lundy

  • In mid-January, the TSE announced a “name-and-shame” list where they listed all the companies which had put forth a disclosure about 【資本コストや株価を意識した経営の実現に向けた対応】.  But they did not actually shame.
  • The list shows which companies have disclosed a policy/consideration. But no data/links. We have the links. On Feb 1, the TSE put out a presentation and set of case studies.
  • Designed to present the “Investor’s Point of View”, they have unexpectedly worthwhile advice/commentary for corporates. The TSE appears to be trying hard to prompt serious consideration rather than box-ticking.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Great Wall Motor, Kweichow Moutai, Netflix Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, DayaTani Digital Indonesia PT, Anta Sports Products, Dr Horton Inc, Procter & Gamble Co and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 2 Feb 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Near Multi-Yr Wides, Wide Spreads Narrowing
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024): Decent Net Buying, But Reversionary Net Flows
  • Netflix Inc: Will Its Foray Into Live Entertainment Result In Phenomenal Subscriber Growth? – Major Drivers
  • Isn’t It Hypocritical to Request a P/B Raising Measure While Continuing the Listed Subsidiary IPO?
  • DayaTani harvests $2.3m seed money to digitalize agriculture
  • ECM Weekly (4th Feb 2024) – Ola Electric, Mixue, Citicore, Amer, Thai Credit, Indus Tower, MTAL
  • D.R. Horton: Initiation of Coverage – The Ingenious Tactics to Overcome Soaring Costs and Skyrocket Profits! – Business Strategy
  • Procter & Gamble – Continued Growth Potential In China Boosting The Top-Line? – Major Drivers


A/H Premium Tracker (To 2 Feb 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Near Multi-Yr Wides, Wide Spreads Narrowing

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND flows were net negative and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia on average fell, but liquid pairs saw AH premia rise. Chinese/HK shares shellacked.
  • Watch the SOE stock price KPI space. Wouldn’t be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. Low-hanging fruit with some SOEs having large cash balances.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024): Decent Net Buying, But Reversionary Net Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 9.9bn of A-shares on very strong average activity after +12.1bn RMB the week before. Some National Team buying this week. 
  • Renewables selling was tempered. Energy and Finance saw net selling. Industry and Tech saw large net buying. Relatively larger net Shenzhen buying later in the week as stocks fell hard.

Netflix Inc: Will Its Foray Into Live Entertainment Result In Phenomenal Subscriber Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Netflix, in their recent Q4 2023 earnings call, highlighted key developments that signal both progress and future challenges for the company.
  • The firm elaborated on its partnership with WWE, where Netflix airs live WWE events.
  • As per co-CEO Theodore Sarandos, fans of WWE have lauded this move, many of whom Netflix assumes were underserved previously.

Isn’t It Hypocritical to Request a P/B Raising Measure While Continuing the Listed Subsidiary IPO?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since the introduction of the Corporate Governance Code, the hurdle for listed companies to fulfill their responsibilities has become higher, which is why more managers are choosing to go private.
  • While some of companies with large market capitalizations that overseas investor engagement extends to are showing promise for change, many others are failing to step up management to create value.
  • TOPIX’s rise has been mainly driven by an increase in the number of companies rather than an increase in stock prices. The market should become higher in quality through de-listing.

DayaTani harvests $2.3m seed money to digitalize agriculture

By Tech in Asia

  • Singapore-based agritech startup DayaTani has raised US$2.3 million in a seed funding round led by Ascent Venture Group with participation from KBI Investment, MDI Ventures, Northstar Ventures, BRI Ventures, and Gentree Fund.
  • Founded in 2023, DayaTani works to enhance yields for Indonesian farmers, operating research and development sites across the Java island that focus on horticulture and grain crops.
  • The company is developing hardware and software including data science models for more accurate recommendations, such as what fertilizer to use, based on real-world conditions.

ECM Weekly (4th Feb 2024) – Ola Electric, Mixue, Citicore, Amer, Thai Credit, Indus Tower, MTAL

By Sumeet Singh


D.R. Horton: Initiation of Coverage – The Ingenious Tactics to Overcome Soaring Costs and Skyrocket Profits! – Business Strategy

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on D.R. Horton, one of America’s largest homebuilders.
  • The company reported solid first quarter results for the fiscal year 2024.
  • The company highlighted a promising increase of net sales orders by 35% from the previous year’s quarter.

Procter & Gamble – Continued Growth Potential In China Boosting The Top-Line? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Based on the information shared during the recent earnings, Procter & Gamble has demonstrated solid performance, accomplishing significant organic sales growth and market share results despite a challenging operating environment.
  • A diverse portfolio, combined with strong steps in innovation and sustainability, positions the company for continued success.
  • Notably, Procter & Gamble reported a strong quarter with 4% growth in organic sales and a 16% increase in core earnings per share.

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Most Read: Hyundai Steel, Kunlun Tech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Identifying Specific Implementation Plans for Korea’s Low-PBR Improvement Policy
  • CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow


Identifying Specific Implementation Plans for Korea’s Low-PBR Improvement Policy

By Sanghyun Park

  • The Korean government has introduced policies ahead of April’s elections, with a recent notable announcement addressing the “Korea Discount” by enhancing low PBR stock valuations.
  • A leading proposal involves creating an index of low PBR companies. There are hints of listing ETFs tracking this index, with potential directives compelling pension funds to invest.
  • Identifying early inclusions is vital. High-likelihood candidates are low PBR large caps with maintained earnings, dividends/share buyback potential, including Hyundai Dept, E-Mart, Hyundai Steel, IBK, Korean Re, & DL E&C.

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

By Brian Freitas

  • With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 500 Index at the close on 14 June.
  • There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.
  • The potential adds and deletes and the CSI 500 Index have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Motor and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Samhyun IPO Preview


Samhyun IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Samhyun is getting ready to complete its IPO on the KOSDAQ exchange in March. The IPO total offering amount is 40 billion won to 50 billion won. 
  • The company generated sales of 99.8 billion won (up 45.5% YoY) and operating profit of 9.8 billion won (up 250% YoY) in 2023.
  • Samhyun developed one of the world’s first CVVD (Continuously Variable Valve Duration) technology for automobile engines, which improves fuel efficiency by controlling the engine’s valve opening time. 

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Daily Brief Indonesia: DayaTani Digital Indonesia PT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • DayaTani harvests $2.3m seed money to digitalize agriculture


DayaTani harvests $2.3m seed money to digitalize agriculture

By Tech in Asia

  • Singapore-based agritech startup DayaTani has raised US$2.3 million in a seed funding round led by Ascent Venture Group with participation from KBI Investment, MDI Ventures, Northstar Ventures, BRI Ventures, and Gentree Fund.
  • Founded in 2023, DayaTani works to enhance yields for Indonesian farmers, operating research and development sites across the Java island that focus on horticulture and grain crops.
  • The company is developing hardware and software including data science models for more accurate recommendations, such as what fertilizer to use, based on real-world conditions.

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Daily Brief Singapore: GDMC , Bluesheets and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • GDMC nets US$21M in Series A for its next-gen advanced genetic therapies | e27
  • Bluesheets Raises US$6.5M in Series A Led by Illuminate Financial


GDMC nets US$21M in Series A for its next-gen advanced genetic therapies | e27

By e27

  • Genetic Design and Manufacturing Corporation (GDMC), a design and manufacturing organisation focusing on next-generation advanced genetic therapies, has secured US$21 million in Series A funding.
  • Asian private equity firm Celadon Partners led the round, which also saw participation from WI Harper Group, SEEDS Capital, and NSG Ventures.
  • The funds will be used to accelerate novel technology and process efficiency improvements to drive greater manufacturing cost reductions for partners who aim to advance medicines through clinical trials and towards commercialisation.

Bluesheets Raises US$6.5M in Series A Led by Illuminate Financial

By e27

  • Singapore-based AI automation software company Bluesheets today announced that it has secured US$6.5 million in a Series A funding round led by Illuminate Financial, a UK-based financial-services-focused VC fund that is backed by BNY Mellon, J.P Morgan, Citi, SGX, Barclays, Euroclear, S&P Global, Jefferies and Deutsche Börse Group.
  • The company’s early investors, such as 1982 Ventures and Insignia Ventures Partners, and new investor Antler Elevate Fund also participated in the round.
  • In a press statement, Bluesheets said that the funding will play a crucial role in advancing its exclusive AI capabilities, enabling them to assist a broader range of clients in digitalising and automating their processes, ensuring competitiveness in the AI-driven era.

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Daily Brief United States: Netflix Inc, Alphabet , Lockheed Martin, Intuitive Surgical, Paccar Inc, Procter & Gamble Co, Raytheon Technologies , Texas Instruments, 3M Co, Verizon Communications and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Netflix Inc: Will Its Foray Into Live Entertainment Result In Phenomenal Subscriber Growth? – Major Drivers
  • Alphabet Inc.: Is It Losing The AI Race? Or Can It Still Catch Up? – What Investors Need to Know! – Major Drivers
  • Lockheed Martin: How Bad Is The Impact of Delays in Government Budget? – Major Drivers
  • Intuitive Surgical: Are They Capitalizing Enough On The Expanded Adoption Of Robotic Surgery? – Major Drivers
  • PACCAR Inc: Can The Newly Refreshed Product Lineup Change The Game? – Major Drivers
  • Procter & Gamble – Continued Growth Potential In China Boosting The Top-Line? – Major Drivers
  • RTX Corporation: Can Their Investments In Differentiated Technologies Further Build Their Competitive Moat? – Major Drivers
  • Texas Instruments: A Tale of Strong Cash Generation and Capital Management! – Major Drivers
  • 3M Company: How Geographic Shifts and Portfolio Magic Could Boost Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Verizon Communications – Increasing Contribution from Fixed Wireless Access & Other Major Drivers


Netflix Inc: Will Its Foray Into Live Entertainment Result In Phenomenal Subscriber Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Netflix, in their recent Q4 2023 earnings call, highlighted key developments that signal both progress and future challenges for the company.
  • The firm elaborated on its partnership with WWE, where Netflix airs live WWE events.
  • As per co-CEO Theodore Sarandos, fans of WWE have lauded this move, many of whom Netflix assumes were underserved previously.

Alphabet Inc.: Is It Losing The AI Race? Or Can It Still Catch Up? – What Investors Need to Know! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alphabet Inc.’s fourth quarter results for 2023 reflect signs of solid growth and sustained technological innovation as the company maintains a strong trajectory for 2023.
  • An investor would focus on Alphabet’s robust earnings performance, demonstrated by substantial revenues of $307 billion, an increase of 9% from 2022.
  • Take the case of Alphabet’s primary business.

Lockheed Martin: How Bad Is The Impact of Delays in Government Budget? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lockheed Martin Corporation held its fourth quarter and year-end earnings conference call for 2023, outlining its performance, financial results, and future expectations.
  • The company emphasized strong performance in 2023, driven by considerable demand for its aircraft, helicopters, satellites, radar systems, and other products and services.
  • Lockheed Martin reported a record backlog of $161 billion, with sales for the full year of $67.6 billion, reflecting a 2% year-on year growth.

Intuitive Surgical: Are They Capitalizing Enough On The Expanded Adoption Of Robotic Surgery? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Surgical enjoyed a strong 2023, seeing increasing use of its platforms in hospitals and improvement in system capacity to manage growth.
  • Full year growth for procedures was 22%, led by general surgery in the US and diverse growth in international markets such as Germany, France, the UK, and Ireland.
  • However, there was a slowdown in growth across bariatric procedures due to the use of GLP-1 drugs for obesity.

PACCAR Inc: Can The Newly Refreshed Product Lineup Change The Game? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PACCAR, a leading American truck manufacturing company, showcased impressive performance in their fourth quarter 2023 earnings conference call.
  • The company reported record annual revenues of $35.1 billion and a net income of $4.6 billion, marking an impressive after-tax return on revenue of 13.1%.
  • This positive trend was primarily driven by record deliveries of the company’s DAF, Kenworth and Peterbilt trucks, strong results in its parts division and consistent financial services performance.

Procter & Gamble – Continued Growth Potential In China Boosting The Top-Line? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Based on the information shared during the recent earnings, Procter & Gamble has demonstrated solid performance, accomplishing significant organic sales growth and market share results despite a challenging operating environment.
  • A diverse portfolio, combined with strong steps in innovation and sustainability, positions the company for continued success.
  • Notably, Procter & Gamble reported a strong quarter with 4% growth in organic sales and a 16% increase in core earnings per share.

RTX Corporation: Can Their Investments In Differentiated Technologies Further Build Their Competitive Moat? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • RTX Corporation held its Q4 2023 earnings conference call with senior executives such as Chairman and CEO Greg Hayes, incoming CEO Chris Calio and Chief Financial Officer Neil Mitchill.
  • The call highlighted a leadership change with the transition of current CEO, Greg Hayes, to Executive Chairman, and Chris Calio assuming the role of CEO.
  • The company reported strong full-year results with $74.3 billion in adjusted sales, a growth of 11% organically, and adjusted EPS of $5.06, a growth of 6% year-over-year.

Texas Instruments: A Tale of Strong Cash Generation and Capital Management! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Texas Instruments, an American multinational company, has shared their Q4 2023 earnings release.
  • The financial results indicated a downturn in revenue, decreased by 10% sequentially and 13% year-on-year to $4.1 billion.
  • This decrease was largely due to declining sales in the Analog segment (12% YoY), the Embedded Processing segment (10% YoY), and the Other segment (25% YoY).

3M Company: How Geographic Shifts and Portfolio Magic Could Boost Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • 3M has shown solid operational improvements in its fourth-quarter results, which could translate into an exciting year ahead for the company, despite the ongoing pandemic-related challenges.
  • The company reported strong adjusted EPS growth of 11% and operating margin expansion of 180 basis points, with significant contributions from its restructuring program aimed at streamlining operations, reducing costs and improving productivity.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Verizon Communications – Increasing Contribution from Fixed Wireless Access & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Verizon released its most recent results which were fairly good though we can develop a more balanced investment thesis for this telecommunications giant consists of highlighting several positives and negatives from the results of the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Of the uplifting notes, Verizon saw a 3.2% YoY growth in wireless service revenue, hitting $76.7 billion in 2023.
  • The fourth quarter saw a strong finish with significant increases in customers embracing the offerings.

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Daily Brief China: Great Wall Motor, Kweichow Moutai, China Mobile, Anta Sports Products, CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical-A and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 2 Feb 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Near Multi-Yr Wides, Wide Spreads Narrowing
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024): Decent Net Buying, But Reversionary Net Flows
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024); Net Selling (Much Tech), Net SOE Buying, Still
  • ECM Weekly (4th Feb 2024) – Ola Electric, Mixue, Citicore, Amer, Thai Credit, Indus Tower, MTAL
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.2) – US Strike on China CXOs, CSPC Innovation, Peach Picking Period


A/H Premium Tracker (To 2 Feb 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Near Multi-Yr Wides, Wide Spreads Narrowing

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND flows were net negative and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia on average fell, but liquid pairs saw AH premia rise. Chinese/HK shares shellacked.
  • Watch the SOE stock price KPI space. Wouldn’t be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. Low-hanging fruit with some SOEs having large cash balances.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024): Decent Net Buying, But Reversionary Net Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 9.9bn of A-shares on very strong average activity after +12.1bn RMB the week before. Some National Team buying this week. 
  • Renewables selling was tempered. Energy and Finance saw net selling. Industry and Tech saw large net buying. Relatively larger net Shenzhen buying later in the week as stocks fell hard.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 2 Feb 2024); Net Selling (Much Tech), Net SOE Buying, Still

By Travis Lundy

  • A bad week for HK and Chinese shares. National Team buying seems lighter into the waning days of the Year of the Rabbit. 
  • Net SOUTHBOUND selling was HK$9.4bn on the week, with net selling every day as the market fell hard – both in HK and the mainland.
  • Remarkable this past week was the tendency to net sell names which were down hard, and net buy names which have been performing well. 

ECM Weekly (4th Feb 2024) – Ola Electric, Mixue, Citicore, Amer, Thai Credit, Indus Tower, MTAL

By Sumeet Singh


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.2) – US Strike on China CXOs, CSPC Innovation, Peach Picking Period

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • If there’s ultimately substantial negative policies in the field of biopharmaceuticals between China and US, APIs will be the segment with the highest risk. But CXO would also be affected.
  • Now we have entered the harvest period after the previous peak of financing round in China’s biotech industry, which has become a concentrated “peach picking period” for foreign pharmaceutical enterprises.
  • Considering the low market sentiment, we’re cautious on companies with high valuation elasticity before they come up with convincing products. So, we don’t recommend investors rush to bottom-fish CSPC Innovation.

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