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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Kerry Logistics Network, Cainiao Smart Logistics Network, L3Harris Technologies , Southwest Airlines Co, Frontier Group Holdings, FTC Solar , Union Pacific, Enovix , Northrop Grumman and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Kerry Express (KEX TB)’s MTO Update
  • CaiNiao’s FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers
  • L3Harris Corporation: Accelerating Demand in Aerojet Rocketdyne As A Major Growth Catalyst!
  • Southwest Airlines: Recovering Demand and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers
  • Frontier Airlines – 2024 Momentum Buys Time to Deliver on 2025 Targets
  • Ftc Solar Inc (FTCI) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023
  • Union Pacific Corporation: Renewal Strategy for Locomotives – Major Drivers
  • Enovix (ENVX) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation: A String Of Opportunities for Improvement and Growth! – Major Drivers


Kerry Express (KEX TB)’s MTO Update

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 29th December 2023, Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK) (KLN) announced it would in-specie its entire 52.1% stake in Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB).
  • Given S.F. Holding (002352 CH) holds a 51.5% stake in KLN, it will hold 26.8% in KET post-in-specie, triggering an unconditional MTO. The MTO price will be THB5.50/share. 
  • Thai SFC approval has now been satisfied.  The MTO should commence around the 13th Feb. with payment ~26th March. KLN, cum-entitlement to KEX, is the 19 Feb.

CaiNiao’s FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers

By Daniel Hellberg

  • CaiNiao’s revenue growth remained strong, up +24% Y/Y in December quarter
  • EBITA turned positive from loss in prior year period, but margin < FYQ2
  • Overall, an impressive set of results that distinguishes CaiNiao from express peers

L3Harris Corporation: Accelerating Demand in Aerojet Rocketdyne As A Major Growth Catalyst!

By Baptista Research

  • Through the fourth quarter 2023, earnings call at L3Harris Technologies showed healthy financial results accompanied by strong performance in its various portfolios.
  • The company reported a significant $23 billion in orders, marking a record increase, and a doubling of its backlog to $33 billion since the merger.
  • This growth trajectory was propelled by key U.S. Army awards and notable progress in satellite awards.

Southwest Airlines: Recovering Demand and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Southwest Airlines Co.’s fourth-quarter 2023 earnings underscored some significant strides the company has taken over the past year, balanced by the ongoing challenges that the airline industry continues to face.
  • In terms of the positive highlights, CEO Bob Jordan commended the company for its impressive resilience, noting that they had successfully implemented a comprehensive winter weather action plan, fully staffed their operation, and restored their network following a disruptive winter storm in 2022.
  • Furthermore, the company saw improvement in almost every operational metric, maintained a 99% completion factor across the year, and secured nine labor agreements in a year.

Frontier Airlines – 2024 Momentum Buys Time to Deliver on 2025 Targets

By Neil Glynn

  • Frontier Airlines, having suffered a highly challenged 2023, is set to see a significant inflection point for pricing and margins in 2Q24.
  • Management aims to deliver 3-6% PBT margins in 2024 building to 10-14% in 2025, representing a reversion to pre-pandemic levels. Read across for LCCs globally.
  • We now expect a small positive FCF in 2024, building to >$200m in 2025, which should help inspire confidence in the ULCC’s ability to thrive with higher costs.

Ftc Solar Inc (FTCI) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • FTCI’s stock price has dropped due to residential solar sector weakness and uncertainty regarding subsidies/tax credits, but the company still maintains a strong financial position with $30 million in cash and a backlog of $1.6 billion.
  • The company’s 2p tracker design is considered advantageous and has not experienced any known failures.
  • The author believes that a potential sale of FTCI could generate a price that is 3-4 times its market cap, thanks to its patented design, salesforce, and backlog, which contrasts with the struggling residential solar sector that heavily relies on aggressive sales tactics. Utility-scale solar is regarded as a more cost-effective option.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Union Pacific Corporation: Renewal Strategy for Locomotives – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The financial results of Union Pacific Corporation for Q4 2023, as well as for the full year, offer insights into the company’s operating performance.
  • Union Pacific reported a Q4 net income of $1.7 billion or $2.71 per share, up from $1.6 billion or $2.67 per share in Q4 2022.
  • While company revenue and costs remained flat year-over-year, Union Pacific saw an improvement in its operating ratio, which points to improved efficiency.

Enovix (ENVX) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Consumer electronic devices like smartphones and tablets increasingly rely on multiple sensors and components, such as touch screens and fingerprint sensors, that require energy to operate, which can decrease battery life.
  • Enovix has developed an advanced lithium-ion battery technology that offers higher energy density, allowing for longer operating times between charges.
  • This technology could help address the strain on battery life caused by the increasing number of hardware components in consumer electronics.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Northrop Grumman Corporation: A String Of Opportunities for Improvement and Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Northrop Grumman Corporation’s Q4 and year-end 2023 earnings call highlighted the company’s robust performance despite economic pressures.
  • They reported a revenue increase of over 7% and a new record backlog exceeding $84 billion, setting a solid foundation for future growth.
  • The company’s outlook documented in the call underlines strong operational performance generated at the high end of their guidance range and comfortably exceeding sales guidance.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, KPIT Technologies, KLA-Tencor Corp, Spotify, Himax Technologies Inc Adr, Intel Corp, Visa, T Mobile Us Inc, Western Digital, A10 Networks and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)
  • KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance
  • KLA Corporation: Leading Edge Investments and Memory Conversions & Other Major Drivers
  • Spotify 4Q’23 Update
  • Himax: Industry Readthrough for Automotives, Notebooks, and Edge AI Applications
  • Intel Corporation: Solid Advances in AI and the Cloud & Other Major Drivers
  • Visa Inc.: Strong Cross-Border Business Performance To Set Off US Slowdown! – Major Drivers
  • Can T-Mobile Be the Stealthiest Investment of 2024: Growth Strategies Unveiled! – Major Drivers
  • Western Digital Corporation: A Tale Of Improving Profitability Through Cost Reduction and Optimized Product Mix! – Major Drivers
  • ATEN: Business Proves Stable, PT to $17


Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • KOSPI 200 is also used as the underlying index for various financial products such as ETPs, ELS, index funds, and futures/options.
  • In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of KOSPI 200 index rebalance baskets.

KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Despite upping the FY24 guidance in the prior quarter (Q2FY24), KPIT is confident of beating even the raised guidance, led by strong Q3FY24 performance and an upbeat outlook.
  • Despite accelerated revenue in H1FY24 from the Honda engagement, Q3FY24 saw robust revenue growth of 4.3% QoQ in CC terms. EBITDA margin expanded to 20.6% vs 20% QoQ. 
  • KPIT’s new venture, Qorix, is coming along well and could prove to be transformative. This could enable KPIT to become a product company, alongside being a high-growth service company.

KLA Corporation: Leading Edge Investments and Memory Conversions & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • KLA Corporation saw a revenue of nearly $9.7 billion in 2023, marking a decrease of 8% compared to the previous year.
  • Despite less leading-edge investment in both logic and memory, legacy node customers and the semiconductor infrastructure assisted in exceeding the initially projected revenue.
  • Business segments such as automotive, specialty semiconductor process equipment, and infrastructure for wafer and mass manufactures experienced growth in 2023.

Spotify 4Q’23 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • While not exactly Meta-like twists and turns, Spotify’s rise from the ashes of late 2022 perhaps slipped through many investors’ mind.
  • The stock was at ~$70 in December, 2022. Today, it closed at $232.
  • Before I get to my highlights from today’s call, let me first mention that I am no longer a shareholder of Spotify as I sold my shares today at $243

Himax: Industry Readthrough for Automotives, Notebooks, and Edge AI Applications

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Readthrough: Automotive Applications End-Demand — China Market Soft But Touch and Dimming Technology is Expanding
  • Readthrough: Panel Makers Constraining Supply in 1Q24 to Protect Pricing
  • Readthrough: Customers Are Restocking Notebooks in 1Q24E, PC Replacement Cycle is Coming

Intel Corporation: Solid Advances in AI and the Cloud & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the fourth quarter of 2023, Intel managed to display consistent progress towards its Integrated Device Manufacturer (IDM) 2.0 transformation.
  • This implied effective execution of its strategy to reestablish process leadership and fostering product execution.
  • Revenue exceeded expectations for the fourth consecutive quarter due to the company’s focus on driving operating leverage and managing expenses, thereby meeting the cost savings commitment for fiscal year 2023.

Visa Inc.: Strong Cross-Border Business Performance To Set Off US Slowdown! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Visa Inc.
  • has had a solid start to fiscal year 2024, reporting in their latest earnings call a first quarter year-on-year increase in payments volume by 8%.
  • Key themes have included consistently providing excellent service to customers, seeking new partnerships, delivering innovative solutions and exploring new ways to amplify their brand to support their partners.

Can T-Mobile Be the Stealthiest Investment of 2024: Growth Strategies Unveiled! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • During 2023, T-Mobile added over 3.1 million postpaid phone net additions, driven by the highest postpaid phone gross additions in the company’s history.
  • As a result, they achieved their highest share of postpaid phone net additions within the industry as a whole.
  • A high point was reached in Q4, with 934,000 postpaid phone net additions, representing the highest in the industry by a wide margin.

Western Digital Corporation: A Tale Of Improving Profitability Through Cost Reduction and Optimized Product Mix! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the latest earnings, Western Digital confident of its portfolio strategy given its significant outperformance across Flash and HDD businesses.
  • The company reported revenue of $3 billion, a non-GAAP gross margin of 15.5%, and a non-GAAP loss per share of $0.69.
  • These numbers met or exceeded the guidance range provided in October.

ATEN: Business Proves Stable, PT to $17

By Hamed Khorsand

  • The sales emphasis A10 Networks (ATEN) started to put on winning enterprise customers proved as the enabler for the Company posting sequential growth in the fourth quarter of 2023
  • ATEN reported results missing our expectations with North American service providers continuing to delay their spending plans.
  • The customer mix has changed in recent quarters. ATEN is no longer generating two-thirds of its revenue from service providers. In the fourth quarter the figure was 58.4 percent

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Daily Brief Industrials: Kerry Logistics Network, Cainiao Smart Logistics Network, L3Harris Technologies , Southwest Airlines Co, Frontier Group Holdings, FTC Solar , Union Pacific, Enovix , Northrop Grumman and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Kerry Express (KEX TB)’s MTO Update
  • CaiNiao’s FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers
  • L3Harris Corporation: Accelerating Demand in Aerojet Rocketdyne As A Major Growth Catalyst!
  • Southwest Airlines: Recovering Demand and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers
  • Frontier Airlines – 2024 Momentum Buys Time to Deliver on 2025 Targets
  • Ftc Solar Inc (FTCI) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023
  • Union Pacific Corporation: Renewal Strategy for Locomotives – Major Drivers
  • Enovix (ENVX) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation: A String Of Opportunities for Improvement and Growth! – Major Drivers


Kerry Express (KEX TB)’s MTO Update

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 29th December 2023, Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK) (KLN) announced it would in-specie its entire 52.1% stake in Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB).
  • Given S.F. Holding (002352 CH) holds a 51.5% stake in KLN, it will hold 26.8% in KET post-in-specie, triggering an unconditional MTO. The MTO price will be THB5.50/share. 
  • Thai SFC approval has now been satisfied.  The MTO should commence around the 13th Feb. with payment ~26th March. KLN, cum-entitlement to KEX, is the 19 Feb.

CaiNiao’s FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers

By Daniel Hellberg

  • CaiNiao’s revenue growth remained strong, up +24% Y/Y in December quarter
  • EBITA turned positive from loss in prior year period, but margin < FYQ2
  • Overall, an impressive set of results that distinguishes CaiNiao from express peers

L3Harris Corporation: Accelerating Demand in Aerojet Rocketdyne As A Major Growth Catalyst!

By Baptista Research

  • Through the fourth quarter 2023, earnings call at L3Harris Technologies showed healthy financial results accompanied by strong performance in its various portfolios.
  • The company reported a significant $23 billion in orders, marking a record increase, and a doubling of its backlog to $33 billion since the merger.
  • This growth trajectory was propelled by key U.S. Army awards and notable progress in satellite awards.

Southwest Airlines: Recovering Demand and Network Optimization! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Southwest Airlines Co.’s fourth-quarter 2023 earnings underscored some significant strides the company has taken over the past year, balanced by the ongoing challenges that the airline industry continues to face.
  • In terms of the positive highlights, CEO Bob Jordan commended the company for its impressive resilience, noting that they had successfully implemented a comprehensive winter weather action plan, fully staffed their operation, and restored their network following a disruptive winter storm in 2022.
  • Furthermore, the company saw improvement in almost every operational metric, maintained a 99% completion factor across the year, and secured nine labor agreements in a year.

Frontier Airlines – 2024 Momentum Buys Time to Deliver on 2025 Targets

By Neil Glynn

  • Frontier Airlines, having suffered a highly challenged 2023, is set to see a significant inflection point for pricing and margins in 2Q24.
  • Management aims to deliver 3-6% PBT margins in 2024 building to 10-14% in 2025, representing a reversion to pre-pandemic levels. Read across for LCCs globally.
  • We now expect a small positive FCF in 2024, building to >$200m in 2025, which should help inspire confidence in the ULCC’s ability to thrive with higher costs.

Ftc Solar Inc (FTCI) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • FTCI’s stock price has dropped due to residential solar sector weakness and uncertainty regarding subsidies/tax credits, but the company still maintains a strong financial position with $30 million in cash and a backlog of $1.6 billion.
  • The company’s 2p tracker design is considered advantageous and has not experienced any known failures.
  • The author believes that a potential sale of FTCI could generate a price that is 3-4 times its market cap, thanks to its patented design, salesforce, and backlog, which contrasts with the struggling residential solar sector that heavily relies on aggressive sales tactics. Utility-scale solar is regarded as a more cost-effective option.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Union Pacific Corporation: Renewal Strategy for Locomotives – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The financial results of Union Pacific Corporation for Q4 2023, as well as for the full year, offer insights into the company’s operating performance.
  • Union Pacific reported a Q4 net income of $1.7 billion or $2.71 per share, up from $1.6 billion or $2.67 per share in Q4 2022.
  • While company revenue and costs remained flat year-over-year, Union Pacific saw an improvement in its operating ratio, which points to improved efficiency.

Enovix (ENVX) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Consumer electronic devices like smartphones and tablets increasingly rely on multiple sensors and components, such as touch screens and fingerprint sensors, that require energy to operate, which can decrease battery life.
  • Enovix has developed an advanced lithium-ion battery technology that offers higher energy density, allowing for longer operating times between charges.
  • This technology could help address the strain on battery life caused by the increasing number of hardware components in consumer electronics.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Northrop Grumman Corporation: A String Of Opportunities for Improvement and Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Northrop Grumman Corporation’s Q4 and year-end 2023 earnings call highlighted the company’s robust performance despite economic pressures.
  • They reported a revenue increase of over 7% and a new record backlog exceeding $84 billion, setting a solid foundation for future growth.
  • The company’s outlook documented in the call underlines strong operational performance generated at the high end of their guidance range and comfortably exceeding sales guidance.

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
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Daily Brief Consumer: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Alibaba Group Holding , KT&G Corporation, Nameson Holdings, L’Oreal SA, The Walt Disney Co, Soybean Active Contract, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, GAN , Comcast Corp Class A and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea
  • Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24, Unimpressive as Expected, But Turning Focus from Margin to Growth
  • A First Major Class Action Lawsuit Against KT&G’s Directors by FCP + KT&G’s Results Analysis in 2023
  • Morning Views Asia: Sands China, Tata Motors ADR, UPL Ltd
  • Pair Trade:  L’Oreal / Shiseido
  • The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Part 1
  • [Counting Beans #7] Collapse in Crush Margins Yet Another Blow for Soybean
  • Is Japan’s Culture the Psychology of Managers Who Prefer to Keep Cash on Hand over Higher ROE?
  • Gan Limited (GAN) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023
  • Comcast Corporation: Commercial Opportunities with NFL Partnerships and Upcoming Massive Developments in Theme Parks! – Major Drivers


An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • We can use KRX to access PER, PBR, and dividend yield. However, except for PER, the data, being based on the most recent information, limits its usefulness for proactive positions.
  • So, we should look into FnGuide, which aggregates and provides exclusive consensus data. This website also requires payment for access.
  • However, FnGuide provides some data for free, including PBR. Therefore, we can make use of this within the scope of its free offerings.

Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24, Unimpressive as Expected, But Turning Focus from Margin to Growth

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba’s revenue grew by 5% YoY and its operating margin improved by 2 percentage points YoY in 3Q24.
  • We believe the company turned its focus from margin improvement to revenue growth.
  • We set the upside at 20% and the price target at HK$90 for March 2025. Buy.

A First Major Class Action Lawsuit Against KT&G’s Directors by FCP + KT&G’s Results Analysis in 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the biggest news facing KT&G this year as been a class action lawsuit against KT&G’s directors by Flashlight Capital Partners.
  • KT&G announced that it will cancel 3.5 million shares (about 315 billion won) on 16 February, which represent 2.6% of its outstanding shares and 16.7% of treasury shares.
  • One of the major reasons why we remain positive on KT&G is that there is a relatively high probability of the company announcing cigarette price hikes in 2H 2024.

Morning Views Asia: Sands China, Tata Motors ADR, UPL Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Pair Trade:  L’Oreal / Shiseido

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • L’Oreal SA (OR FP) is the largest beauty company in the world, with a 15% global market share.  The second place in contrast has only around 5% market share. 
  • The company has been excellently managed, and out-performed the overall global beauty industry growth by an average of 5% over the last 3 years.  However, growth could be slowing down.
  • L’Oreal is now trading at 34x forward PE, which is a near 100% premium over the average of European consumer staples, and near a multi-decade high. 

The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Part 1

By Value Punks

  • Not so long ago, Disney’s share price was nearing the $200 mark, despite the pandemic’s severe impact on its Parks and Resorts business.
  • Fast forward to the present, and even with the parks posting record results, Disney’s share price has fallen to levels not seen in a decade, raising the question: what happened?
  • Several factors are at play, including challenges within the studio arm, ongoing decline of its legacy media operations, and Big Tech’s incursion into sports media.

[Counting Beans #7] Collapse in Crush Margins Yet Another Blow for Soybean

By Pranay Yadav

  • Depressed Soybean crush margin to deal a further blow to Soybean demand.
  • The outlook for Soy Meal and Soy Oil is better than the outlook for Soybean.
  • Important production guidance updates from CONAB and USDA this week. Expectations point to lower production and lower consumption. 

Is Japan’s Culture the Psychology of Managers Who Prefer to Keep Cash on Hand over Higher ROE?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While many companies have disclosed enhanced shareholder returns, dividend payout ratio in 30% range and no increase, and 4% increase in total dividends from the previous year, is not enough.
  • Since DOE remains at just under 3% same as the previous year, few companies allocate enough cash to dividend to reduce Shareholder’s Equity, and consequently ROE is expected to lower.
  • Cash on hand in September is at all-time high. Behind the ROE, which shows no sign of rising, is the psychology of managers who want to keep cash on hand.

Gan Limited (GAN) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • GAN Limited has agreed to be acquired by Sega Sammy for $1.97 per share in cash.
  • A law firm is investigating the fairness of the sale, causing a temporary decline in GAN’s stock.
  • The writer predicts a 21.6% gain in GAN’s stock by Q4 2024, with insiders and Goldman Sachs holding significant ownership stakes, and expects arbitrageurs to support the deal, closing the gap caused by the investigation.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Comcast Corporation: Commercial Opportunities with NFL Partnerships and Upcoming Massive Developments in Theme Parks! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Comcast Corporation presented its financial position strongly in the fourth-quarter conference call, posting the highest ever revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS for the third consecutive year.
  • The company emphasized its robust cash flow and solid balance sheet, which have facilitated organic investments and significant share repurchases, offering impressive capital return.
  • It showcased the gains made in the connectivity businesses, with a 24% increase in Xfinity Mobile subscriber lines and 20% upsurge in total domestic wireless revenue, thereby demonstrating its resilience despite an intensely competitive environment.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Aekyung Chemical , Dow , Progroup AG, Steel Dynamics, Tetra Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E
  • Dow Inc: Solid Growth of Construction Chemicals and Industrial Solutions Businesses & Other Major Drivers
  • Progroup – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • Steel Dynamics: Can The Robust Demand and Favorable Market Conditions Catalyze Growth In 2024? – Major Drivers
  • Tetra Technologies Inc/De (TTI) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023


KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

By Brian Freitas


Dow Inc: Solid Growth of Construction Chemicals and Industrial Solutions Businesses & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Dow Inc.’s Q4 2023 results show the company’s commitment to fulfill its financial obligations amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • The company reported net sales of $10.6 billion, a 10% decrease from the same period in the previous year.
  • Sales in all operating segments declined due to lower feedstock and energy costs, resulting in a 1% decrease in sequential sales.

Progroup – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).

We assess Progroup’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance pillars. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.

Progroup is a leading family-owned producer and supplier of containerboard and corrugated board in Central Europe.


Steel Dynamics: Can The Robust Demand and Favorable Market Conditions Catalyze Growth In 2024? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The investment thesis of Steel Dynamics is centered around the company’s strong operational performance and strategic differentials against its competitors.
  • In the Q4 and FY2023 earnings call, Steel Dynamics highlighted a record safety year, with steel shipments amounting to 12.8 million tons, the highest yet.
  • The company also boasted its second-best year for revenues at $18.8 billion and cash flow from operations at $3.5 billion.

Tetra Technologies Inc/De (TTI) – Wednesday, Nov 8, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • TTI has three main segments, including well completion operations, water & flowback services, and compression, which provide stable cash flow and a competitive advantage in the market.
  • The water & flowback services segment has shown resilience during the industry downturn and is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for water management solutions in the energy sector.
  • TTI has several growth projects, including offshore deepwater projects, expansion of its completion fluids product line, and diversification into new markets such as carbon capture and storage, which have the potential to significantly increase the company’s revenue and profitability.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Health Care: China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting C, Chugai Pharmaceutical, Immix Biopharma Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time’s the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?
  • China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570.HK) – Will This Privatization Rumor Come True ?
  • HK CEO & Director Dealings (8 Feb 2024): Tigermed, East Buy, Kingkey Financial
  • Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Ronapreve Killed Joy in 2023; New Products to Drive Growth Ahead
  • Immix Biopharma – Increased legroom following common-only raise


China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time’s the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that Sinopharm is reviving its interest in privatising China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)/CTCM. Sinopharm has contacted banks about financing and is considering partnering with other investors.
  • Sinopharm’s best bet is to partner with Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH) and privatise through a scheme. In this scenario, no disinterested shareholder would hold a blocking stake.
  • Due to Sinopharm’s previous privatisation attempts, shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570.HK) – Will This Privatization Rumor Come True ?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • We once again heard privatization rumor of China TCM, but China TCM denied it at this stage. We still recommend investors to remain vigilant until receive definite official announcement.
  • One important background of privatization is the integration of SOE carried out in recent years. We do not rule out the possibility that Taiji Group would drive this privatization.
  • It may not be an optimal time for the proposal of privatization by major shareholders. Other shareholders may not want to give up high-quality stocks, which makes privatization challenging.

HK CEO & Director Dealings (8 Feb 2024): Tigermed, East Buy, Kingkey Financial

By David Blennerhassett


Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Ronapreve Killed Joy in 2023; New Products to Drive Growth Ahead

By Tina Banerjee

  • Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) reported 5% YoY decline in core revenue in 2023, due to the decrease in the supply of COVID-19 treatment Ronapreve to the government.
  • For 2024, Chugai expects core revenue to decline mainly due to the absence of Ronapreve revenue and decline in Actemra export. However, operating and net profits are expected to increase.
  • Hemlibra export and new launches such as Vabysmo, Phesgo, Polivy, and Alecensa are expected to drive long-term growth of the company.

Immix Biopharma – Increased legroom following common-only raise

By Edison Investment Research

Immix Biopharma has announced a $15m (gross), fully underwritten equity issue. The company will use the proceeds to fund clinical trials for lead CAR-T asset NXC-201, as well as to meet working capital and general corporate needs. Immix had a net cash balance of $19.6m at end September 2023 and we estimate that this capital injection will potentially extend the cash runway to end FY25 or early FY26, past the top-line readouts from its Phase Ib/IIa clinical trials for NXC-201 (NEXICART-1), which, if positive, could pave the way for a partnering deal. We view the release of further rolling data from the trial and first patient dosing in the US (NEXICART-2) across H124 as potentially key upcoming catalysts for the company.


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Daily Brief Financials: New World Development, Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Digital Core REIT, Japan Post Holdings, Bank Mandiri Persero, American International Group, BV Financial Inc, New York Community Bank, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Marsh & Mclennan and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • New World Development (17 HK): Stock Trading Cheap as Passive Selling Nears
  • Rule Changes to Swap Ratio Calculations for Merger Swaps in Korea
  • Digital Core REIT Placement – Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News
  • Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) – Going Places!
  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Setting the Pace in 2024
  • American Airlines: Corporate Recovery and Shift to Internet-based Channels! – Major Drivers
  • Bv Financial Inc (BVFL) – Monday, Nov 6, 2023
  • US Banking Groundhog Day?
  • EQD | KOSPI 200 Rally: WEEKLY Resistance Levels
  • Marsh & McLennan Companies: Client-Centric Approach


New World Development (17 HK): Stock Trading Cheap as Passive Selling Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • New World Development (17 HK) stock has continued to drop and the decrease in market cap should result in selling from passive trackers at the end of the month.
  • New World Development (17 HK) has underperformed its peers and now trades at cheaper valuations on most parameters.
  • Passive trackers will need to sell over 100m shares of New World Development. That could provide liquidity for investors that see value and for shorts to cover their positions.

Rule Changes to Swap Ratio Calculations for Merger Swaps in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • The Financial Services Commission plans to delegate merger swap ratio determination to corporate autonomy. Initially, only mergers between non-affiliated companies will be affected, with potential extension to affiliate mergers later.
  • The Financial Services Commission aims to start the legislative process in mid-February and complete the amendment by the third quarter of this year.
  • This change will enhance trading dynamics by decreasing the likelihood of prices aligning with the ratio just before merger announcements due to pre-information leakage.

Digital Core REIT Placement – Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News

By Ethan Aw

  • Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and debt repayment. 
  • The deal will be a large one to digest at 72.7 days of three month ADV and 12.8% dilution.
  • In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) – Going Places!

By Rikki Malik

  • A company that is geared to Japan’s macro revival with additional micro catalysts. 
  • Ownership of financial companies which are set to benefit from a normalisation of Japanese monetary policy.
  • The low Price to Book means the company will need to keep up momentum on its capital management plans to  stay in the Prime Section of Topix.

Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Setting the Pace in 2024

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) stood out from its peers with higher loan growth and lower cost of credit with PPOP growth of +17.3% YoY and its ROE reaching 23%. 
  • The bank experienced a slight decline in NIM in 4Q2023 but asset quality remains solid and its digital initiatives continue to reduce costs and attract new users.
  • Bank Mandiri‘s guidance for 2024 is more positive than peers for loan growth, as it continues to push out its value chain lending strategy into higher-yielding segments. Valuations remain attractive.

American Airlines: Corporate Recovery and Shift to Internet-based Channels! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The American Airlines Group reported adjusted pretax profit of $257 million for the fourth quarter and approximately $2.5 billion for the full year 2023.
  • This result was driven by the strength of the network, demand for products, and execution by the team.
  • Positive indications from the group include historically strong operation with the production of record free cash flow and a strengthened balance sheet through debt reduction.

Bv Financial Inc (BVFL) – Monday, Nov 6, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • BV Financial recently completed its conversion from a mutual holding company to a full-converted stock company.
  • The bank has consistently achieved a return on equity of 10-11% in recent years.
  • Despite its significant growth, BV Financial’s securities represent only 5% of its total assets of $933 million.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


US Banking Groundhog Day?

By Fallacy Alarm

  • March 2023 was a noteworthy month for US stock market investors. It was one of only two significant corrections in an otherwise stellar year.
  • The other one was in October driven by an interest rate scare.
  • Usually a cocktail of several reasons is needed to create a correction. These typically involve technical, seasonal and fundamental/macro factors.

EQD | KOSPI 200 Rally: WEEKLY Resistance Levels

By Nico Rosti

  • The KOSPI 200 INDEX last week displayed and impressive bounce, maybe too impressive, too quick, too fast.
  • A short-selling ban is in place until June 2024 for this market, but that does not mean it cannot pull back: according to our models the KOSPI 200 INDEX is OVERBOUGHT.
  • We expect a pullback next week, unless the index closes this week down, in that case SHORT resistance levels will be reset.

Marsh & McLennan Companies: Client-Centric Approach

By Baptista Research

  • Marsh & McLennan Companies Inc.
  • wrapped up the 2023 fiscal year with strong results, underscoring the firm’s robust organic and inorganic growth strategies.
  • Total revenue for the year was $22.7 billion, marking a growth of 10%.

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Most Read: Budweiser Brewing APAC , Lawson Inc, L’Occitane, Nissan Motor, New World Development, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, China Traditional Chinese Medicine and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang
  • The Next Step in Lawson’s Big Boots Adventure – KDDI and MitCorp to Take It Private
  • Lawson & KDDI: Not Just Because Japanese E-Commerce Is an Omnichannel Model
  • L’Occitane (973 HK): Here We Go Again
  • Nissan’s Renault Led Selldown Updates – Lack of Ampere Listing Brings Back the US$4bn Overhang
  • New World Development (17 HK): Stock Trading Cheap as Passive Selling Nears
  • An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea
  • Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)
  • China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time’s the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?
  • China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570.HK) – Will This Privatization Rumor Come True ?


Bud APAC (1876 HK): Nursing a Hangover; Now Comes a Passive Overhang

By Brian Freitas


The Next Step in Lawson’s Big Boots Adventure – KDDI and MitCorp to Take It Private

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, just before the close, the Nikkei sprung a headline saying KDDI Corp (9433 JP) would take over Lawson Inc (2651 JP). The stock immediately headed to limit up. 
  • Post-Close, details emerged. KDDI will buy the 50% that MitCorp does not own, this will become a 50/50 JV. TOB launch at ¥10,360 will be in April. Squeezeout in September.
  • This appears to be the Next Step in Lawson’s Big Boots Adventure. The premium is too light. The price is too low. And that is not counting the synergies.

Lawson & KDDI: Not Just Because Japanese E-Commerce Is an Omnichannel Model

By Michael Causton

  • KDDI’s agreement with Lawson and Mitsubishi to make a tender offer for the convenience store chain is a game-changer for what has become a slow growth convenience store sector.
  • There are myriad potential synergies across e-commerce, new store types and also the promising new revenue stream of retail media. Lawson may be worth more than KDDI’s offer suggests.
  • And while Lawson may be behind Seven Eleven and Familymart, on some KPIs, like HQ revenues, it is No. 1 and also matches Seven Eleven on same-store sales.

L’Occitane (973 HK): Here We Go Again

By David Blennerhassett

  • From 2018 onward, French beauty retailer L’Occitane (973 HK) has apparently drawn interest from the likes of Advent International and its controlling shareholder Chairman Reinold Geiger – amongst others. 
  • There is substance to these “Offers” – Geiger confirmed in August 2023 he was contemplating a conditional voluntary general Offer. He holds 72.65% of shares out according to the HKEx. 
  • The latest news, with no definitive source, is that Blackstone is mulling the possibility of teaming up with Geiger on a buyout.

Nissan’s Renault Led Selldown Updates – Lack of Ampere Listing Brings Back the US$4bn Overhang

By Sumeet Singh

  • One year ago we looked at the arrangement between Nissan (7201 JP) and Renault (RNO FP) regarding their relationship, which left Renault with a 28% Nissan stake to be sold.
  • Since then, Renault has undertaken one selldown but its recent announcement of Ampere’s listing cancellation once again raises the possibility of a further selldown of Nissan’s stake by Renault.
  • In this note, we talk about the updates since our previous note and the impact of the Ampere listing delay.

New World Development (17 HK): Stock Trading Cheap as Passive Selling Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • New World Development (17 HK) stock has continued to drop and the decrease in market cap should result in selling from passive trackers at the end of the month.
  • New World Development (17 HK) has underperformed its peers and now trades at cheaper valuations on most parameters.
  • Passive trackers will need to sell over 100m shares of New World Development. That could provide liquidity for investors that see value and for shorts to cover their positions.

An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • We can use KRX to access PER, PBR, and dividend yield. However, except for PER, the data, being based on the most recent information, limits its usefulness for proactive positions.
  • So, we should look into FnGuide, which aggregates and provides exclusive consensus data. This website also requires payment for access.
  • However, FnGuide provides some data for free, including PBR. Therefore, we can make use of this within the scope of its free offerings.

Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • KOSPI 200 is also used as the underlying index for various financial products such as ETPs, ELS, index funds, and futures/options.
  • In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of KOSPI 200 index rebalance baskets.

China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time’s the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that Sinopharm is reviving its interest in privatising China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)/CTCM. Sinopharm has contacted banks about financing and is considering partnering with other investors.
  • Sinopharm’s best bet is to partner with Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH) and privatise through a scheme. In this scenario, no disinterested shareholder would hold a blocking stake.
  • Due to Sinopharm’s previous privatisation attempts, shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570.HK) – Will This Privatization Rumor Come True ?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • We once again heard privatization rumor of China TCM, but China TCM denied it at this stage. We still recommend investors to remain vigilant until receive definite official announcement.
  • One important background of privatization is the integration of SOE carried out in recent years. We do not rule out the possibility that Taiji Group would drive this privatization.
  • It may not be an optimal time for the proposal of privatization by major shareholders. Other shareholders may not want to give up high-quality stocks, which makes privatization challenging.

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  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Analytics and News
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Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Aekyung Chemical , Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, KT&G Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea
  • Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)
  • KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E
  • Rule Changes to Swap Ratio Calculations for Merger Swaps in Korea
  • A First Major Class Action Lawsuit Against KT&G’s Directors by FCP + KT&G’s Results Analysis in 2023
  • EQD | KOSPI 200 Rally: WEEKLY Resistance Levels


An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • We can use KRX to access PER, PBR, and dividend yield. However, except for PER, the data, being based on the most recent information, limits its usefulness for proactive positions.
  • So, we should look into FnGuide, which aggregates and provides exclusive consensus data. This website also requires payment for access.
  • However, FnGuide provides some data for free, including PBR. Therefore, we can make use of this within the scope of its free offerings.

Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • KOSPI 200 is also used as the underlying index for various financial products such as ETPs, ELS, index funds, and futures/options.
  • In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of KOSPI 200 index rebalance baskets.

KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

By Brian Freitas


Rule Changes to Swap Ratio Calculations for Merger Swaps in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • The Financial Services Commission plans to delegate merger swap ratio determination to corporate autonomy. Initially, only mergers between non-affiliated companies will be affected, with potential extension to affiliate mergers later.
  • The Financial Services Commission aims to start the legislative process in mid-February and complete the amendment by the third quarter of this year.
  • This change will enhance trading dynamics by decreasing the likelihood of prices aligning with the ratio just before merger announcements due to pre-information leakage.

A First Major Class Action Lawsuit Against KT&G’s Directors by FCP + KT&G’s Results Analysis in 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the biggest news facing KT&G this year as been a class action lawsuit against KT&G’s directors by Flashlight Capital Partners.
  • KT&G announced that it will cancel 3.5 million shares (about 315 billion won) on 16 February, which represent 2.6% of its outstanding shares and 16.7% of treasury shares.
  • One of the major reasons why we remain positive on KT&G is that there is a relatively high probability of the company announcing cigarette price hikes in 2H 2024.

EQD | KOSPI 200 Rally: WEEKLY Resistance Levels

By Nico Rosti

  • The KOSPI 200 INDEX last week displayed and impressive bounce, maybe too impressive, too quick, too fast.
  • A short-selling ban is in place until June 2024 for this market, but that does not mean it cannot pull back: according to our models the KOSPI 200 INDEX is OVERBOUGHT.
  • We expect a pullback next week, unless the index closes this week down, in that case SHORT resistance levels will be reset.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Digital Core REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Digital Core REIT Placement – Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News


Digital Core REIT Placement – Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News

By Ethan Aw

  • Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and debt repayment. 
  • The deal will be a large one to digest at 72.7 days of three month ADV and 12.8% dilution.
  • In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

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