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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief ESG: Is Japan’s Culture the Psychology of Managers Who Prefer to Keep Cash on Hand over Higher ROE? and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Is Japan’s Culture the Psychology of Managers Who Prefer to Keep Cash on Hand over Higher ROE?
  • Progroup – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Is Japan’s Culture the Psychology of Managers Who Prefer to Keep Cash on Hand over Higher ROE?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While many companies have disclosed enhanced shareholder returns, dividend payout ratio in 30% range and no increase, and 4% increase in total dividends from the previous year, is not enough.
  • Since DOE remains at just under 3% same as the previous year, few companies allocate enough cash to dividend to reduce Shareholder’s Equity, and consequently ROE is expected to lower.
  • Cash on hand in September is at all-time high. Behind the ROE, which shows no sign of rising, is the psychology of managers who want to keep cash on hand.

Progroup – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).

We assess Progroup’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance pillars. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.

Progroup is a leading family-owned producer and supplier of containerboard and corrugated board in Central Europe.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): China Online Marketplaces: 4Q23 Preview and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • China Online Marketplaces: 4Q23 Preview
  • CMA – Net Interest Income -21% with Criticized Assets +53% and CRE Loans Rising 32% YoY


China Online Marketplaces: 4Q23 Preview

By Eric Chen

  • We argued in last follow-up note that property woes and challenging macro situation would keep pressuring China online marketplaces’ valuation despite their improving profitability and cashflow.
  • The sector’s brutal de-rating since last 4Q has been pricing in a dire growth outlook and it is closer to the end of tunnel in our view.
  • We expect a lackluster 4Q23 results season for the sector in general but also less share price volatility given extremely depressed valuation. Stay positive over 12-month time horizon.

CMA – Net Interest Income -21% with Criticized Assets +53% and CRE Loans Rising 32% YoY

By Daniel Tabbush

  • CMA shows how the profile of net interest income can weaken considerably with rising funding costs and risk aversion
  • Criticized assets are rising substantially and even so, the bank has not taken a higher provision expense in the quarter – this can be yet to come
  • CRE loans are growing faster than other loan, at a time when New York Community Bank (NYCB US) shows the current risks on these loans

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Sands China and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Sands China, Tata Motors ADR, UPL Ltd
  • Morning Views Asia: ENN Natural Gas, UPL Ltd


Morning Views Asia: Sands China, Tata Motors ADR, UPL Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: ENN Natural Gas, UPL Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: Digital Core REIT Placement – Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Digital Core REIT Placement – Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News
  • CaiNiao’s FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers


Digital Core REIT Placement – Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News

By Ethan Aw

  • Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and debt repayment. 
  • The deal will be a large one to digest at 72.7 days of three month ADV and 12.8% dilution.
  • In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

CaiNiao’s FYQ3: Solid Revenue Growth & EBITA Margin Improvement Distinguish It From Express Peers

By Daniel Hellberg

  • CaiNiao’s revenue growth remained strong, up +24% Y/Y in December quarter
  • EBITA turned positive from loss in prior year period, but margin < FYQ2
  • Overall, an impressive set of results that distinguishes CaiNiao from express peers

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea
  • New World Development (17 HK): Stock Trading Cheap as Passive Selling Nears
  • Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)
  • China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time’s the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?
  • China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570.HK) – Will This Privatization Rumor Come True ?
  • KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E
  • Kerry Express (KEX TB)’s MTO Update
  • Rule Changes to Swap Ratio Calculations for Merger Swaps in Korea
  • A First Major Class Action Lawsuit Against KT&G’s Directors by FCP + KT&G’s Results Analysis in 2023
  • EQD | KOSPI 200 Rally: WEEKLY Resistance Levels


An Optimal Way to Sourcing and Screening Data for Low PBR Theme Stocks in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • We can use KRX to access PER, PBR, and dividend yield. However, except for PER, the data, being based on the most recent information, limits its usefulness for proactive positions.
  • So, we should look into FnGuide, which aggregates and provides exclusive consensus data. This website also requires payment for access.
  • However, FnGuide provides some data for free, including PBR. Therefore, we can make use of this within the scope of its free offerings.

New World Development (17 HK): Stock Trading Cheap as Passive Selling Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • New World Development (17 HK) stock has continued to drop and the decrease in market cap should result in selling from passive trackers at the end of the month.
  • New World Development (17 HK) has underperformed its peers and now trades at cheaper valuations on most parameters.
  • Passive trackers will need to sell over 100m shares of New World Development. That could provide liquidity for investors that see value and for shorts to cover their positions.

Quiddity Primer for KOSPI 200 Index Rebal Events (2024)

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • KOSPI 200 is also used as the underlying index for various financial products such as ETPs, ELS, index funds, and futures/options.
  • In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of KOSPI 200 index rebalance baskets.

China Traditional Chinese Med (570 HK): Third Time’s the Charm as Sinopharm Revives Its Interest?

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that Sinopharm is reviving its interest in privatising China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)/CTCM. Sinopharm has contacted banks about financing and is considering partnering with other investors.
  • Sinopharm’s best bet is to partner with Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH) and privatise through a scheme. In this scenario, no disinterested shareholder would hold a blocking stake.
  • Due to Sinopharm’s previous privatisation attempts, shareholders will be wary of the latest rumour. Nevertheless, the valuation is undemanding compared to peer multiples.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570.HK) – Will This Privatization Rumor Come True ?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • We once again heard privatization rumor of China TCM, but China TCM denied it at this stage. We still recommend investors to remain vigilant until receive definite official announcement.
  • One important background of privatization is the integration of SOE carried out in recent years. We do not rule out the possibility that Taiji Group would drive this privatization.
  • It may not be an optimal time for the proposal of privatization by major shareholders. Other shareholders may not want to give up high-quality stocks, which makes privatization challenging.

KOSPI200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Potential Replacements for SsangyongC&E

By Brian Freitas


Kerry Express (KEX TB)’s MTO Update

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 29th December 2023, Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK) (KLN) announced it would in-specie its entire 52.1% stake in Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB).
  • Given S.F. Holding (002352 CH) holds a 51.5% stake in KLN, it will hold 26.8% in KET post-in-specie, triggering an unconditional MTO. The MTO price will be THB5.50/share. 
  • Thai SFC approval has now been satisfied.  The MTO should commence around the 13th Feb. with payment ~26th March. KLN, cum-entitlement to KEX, is the 19 Feb.

Rule Changes to Swap Ratio Calculations for Merger Swaps in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • The Financial Services Commission plans to delegate merger swap ratio determination to corporate autonomy. Initially, only mergers between non-affiliated companies will be affected, with potential extension to affiliate mergers later.
  • The Financial Services Commission aims to start the legislative process in mid-February and complete the amendment by the third quarter of this year.
  • This change will enhance trading dynamics by decreasing the likelihood of prices aligning with the ratio just before merger announcements due to pre-information leakage.

A First Major Class Action Lawsuit Against KT&G’s Directors by FCP + KT&G’s Results Analysis in 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the biggest news facing KT&G this year as been a class action lawsuit against KT&G’s directors by Flashlight Capital Partners.
  • KT&G announced that it will cancel 3.5 million shares (about 315 billion won) on 16 February, which represent 2.6% of its outstanding shares and 16.7% of treasury shares.
  • One of the major reasons why we remain positive on KT&G is that there is a relatively high probability of the company announcing cigarette price hikes in 2H 2024.

EQD | KOSPI 200 Rally: WEEKLY Resistance Levels

By Nico Rosti

  • The KOSPI 200 INDEX last week displayed and impressive bounce, maybe too impressive, too quick, too fast.
  • A short-selling ban is in place until June 2024 for this market, but that does not mean it cannot pull back: according to our models the KOSPI 200 INDEX is OVERBOUGHT.
  • We expect a pullback next week, unless the index closes this week down, in that case SHORT resistance levels will be reset.

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Daily Brief Macro: The Ultimate Debt Chart: Why Central Banks Hold the Key to Debt Sustainability and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • The Ultimate Debt Chart: Why Central Banks Hold the Key to Debt Sustainability
  • [Counting Beans #7] Collapse in Crush Margins Yet Another Blow for Soybean
  • CX Daily: China Set for Interest Rate Cuts to Support Economy
  • Downshifting & Ending QT


The Ultimate Debt Chart: Why Central Banks Hold the Key to Debt Sustainability

By Jeroen Blokland

  • The relationship between total debt-to-GDP and bond yields is negative.
  • The rationale is simple: central banks implementing extreme monetary policy to push yields down artificially.
  • The combination of structurally low-interest rates, higher inflation, and growing worries about debt sustainability requires a portfolio shuffle.

[Counting Beans #7] Collapse in Crush Margins Yet Another Blow for Soybean

By Pranay Yadav

  • Depressed Soybean crush margin to deal a further blow to Soybean demand.
  • The outlook for Soy Meal and Soy Oil is better than the outlook for Soybean.
  • Important production guidance updates from CONAB and USDA this week. Expectations point to lower production and lower consumption. 

CX Daily: China Set for Interest Rate Cuts to Support Economy

By Caixin Global

  • Rate cuts / In Depth: China set for interest rate cuts to support economy
  • Funds /: China’s star fund manager under investigation, sources say
  • Corruption /: Ex-chief of China Merchants Bank receives suspended death sentence

Downshifting & Ending QT

By Thomas Lam

  • Chair Powell recently noted that more “in-depth discussions” on QT are forthcoming
  • Market participants differ on the likely timing of ending QT and desired level of “ample reserves”
  • Non-Monetary considerations and broad market conditions can potentially sway the QT debate  

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24, Unimpressive as Expected, But Turning Focus from Margin to Growth
  • Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) – Going Places!
  • Pair Trade:  L’Oreal / Shiseido
  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Setting the Pace in 2024
  • The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Part 1
  • KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance
  • American Airlines: Corporate Recovery and Shift to Internet-based Channels! – Major Drivers
  • Bv Financial Inc (BVFL) – Monday, Nov 6, 2023
  • KLA Corporation: Leading Edge Investments and Memory Conversions & Other Major Drivers
  • Himax: Industry Readthrough for Automotives, Notebooks, and Edge AI Applications


Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24, Unimpressive as Expected, But Turning Focus from Margin to Growth

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba’s revenue grew by 5% YoY and its operating margin improved by 2 percentage points YoY in 3Q24.
  • We believe the company turned its focus from margin improvement to revenue growth.
  • We set the upside at 20% and the price target at HK$90 for March 2025. Buy.

Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) – Going Places!

By Rikki Malik

  • A company that is geared to Japan’s macro revival with additional micro catalysts. 
  • Ownership of financial companies which are set to benefit from a normalisation of Japanese monetary policy.
  • The low Price to Book means the company will need to keep up momentum on its capital management plans to  stay in the Prime Section of Topix.

Pair Trade:  L’Oreal / Shiseido

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • L’Oreal SA (OR FP) is the largest beauty company in the world, with a 15% global market share.  The second place in contrast has only around 5% market share. 
  • The company has been excellently managed, and out-performed the overall global beauty industry growth by an average of 5% over the last 3 years.  However, growth could be slowing down.
  • L’Oreal is now trading at 34x forward PE, which is a near 100% premium over the average of European consumer staples, and near a multi-decade high. 

Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Setting the Pace in 2024

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) stood out from its peers with higher loan growth and lower cost of credit with PPOP growth of +17.3% YoY and its ROE reaching 23%. 
  • The bank experienced a slight decline in NIM in 4Q2023 but asset quality remains solid and its digital initiatives continue to reduce costs and attract new users.
  • Bank Mandiri‘s guidance for 2024 is more positive than peers for loan growth, as it continues to push out its value chain lending strategy into higher-yielding segments. Valuations remain attractive.

The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Part 1

By Value Punks

  • Not so long ago, Disney’s share price was nearing the $200 mark, despite the pandemic’s severe impact on its Parks and Resorts business.
  • Fast forward to the present, and even with the parks posting record results, Disney’s share price has fallen to levels not seen in a decade, raising the question: what happened?
  • Several factors are at play, including challenges within the studio arm, ongoing decline of its legacy media operations, and Big Tech’s incursion into sports media.

KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Despite upping the FY24 guidance in the prior quarter (Q2FY24), KPIT is confident of beating even the raised guidance, led by strong Q3FY24 performance and an upbeat outlook.
  • Despite accelerated revenue in H1FY24 from the Honda engagement, Q3FY24 saw robust revenue growth of 4.3% QoQ in CC terms. EBITDA margin expanded to 20.6% vs 20% QoQ. 
  • KPIT’s new venture, Qorix, is coming along well and could prove to be transformative. This could enable KPIT to become a product company, alongside being a high-growth service company.

American Airlines: Corporate Recovery and Shift to Internet-based Channels! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The American Airlines Group reported adjusted pretax profit of $257 million for the fourth quarter and approximately $2.5 billion for the full year 2023.
  • This result was driven by the strength of the network, demand for products, and execution by the team.
  • Positive indications from the group include historically strong operation with the production of record free cash flow and a strengthened balance sheet through debt reduction.

Bv Financial Inc (BVFL) – Monday, Nov 6, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • BV Financial recently completed its conversion from a mutual holding company to a full-converted stock company.
  • The bank has consistently achieved a return on equity of 10-11% in recent years.
  • Despite its significant growth, BV Financial’s securities represent only 5% of its total assets of $933 million.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


KLA Corporation: Leading Edge Investments and Memory Conversions & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • KLA Corporation saw a revenue of nearly $9.7 billion in 2023, marking a decrease of 8% compared to the previous year.
  • Despite less leading-edge investment in both logic and memory, legacy node customers and the semiconductor infrastructure assisted in exceeding the initially projected revenue.
  • Business segments such as automotive, specialty semiconductor process equipment, and infrastructure for wafer and mass manufactures experienced growth in 2023.

Himax: Industry Readthrough for Automotives, Notebooks, and Edge AI Applications

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Readthrough: Automotive Applications End-Demand — China Market Soft But Touch and Dimming Technology is Expanding
  • Readthrough: Panel Makers Constraining Supply in 1Q24 to Protect Pricing
  • Readthrough: Customers Are Restocking Notebooks in 1Q24E, PC Replacement Cycle is Coming

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Daily Brief Industrials: Samhyun, Gol Linhas Aereas Intel-Adr and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Samhyun IPO Valuation Analysis
  • GOL – Ramifications of GOL’s Chapter 11 Filing


Samhyun IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Samhyun is target price of 28,106 won, which is 25% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range (22,500 won).
  • Given the moderate upside, we have a Positive view of Samhyun IPO. Our base case valuation is based on P/E of 34.6x net profit of 8.6 billion won in 2023.
  • Samhyun developed one of the world’s first CVVD (Continuously Variable Valve Duration) technology for automobile engines, which improves fuel efficiency by controlling the engine’s valve opening time.

GOL – Ramifications of GOL’s Chapter 11 Filing

By Neil Glynn

  • GOL recently filed for CH11 bankruptcy protection as it was due to run out of readily available cash in mid-February. We assess the ramifications.
  • We highlight that GOL may need to reduce aircraft ownership/financing costs by a third to achieve PBT margins of 5%+; difficult in a strong aircraft leasing market.
  • We see the risk GOL loses scale. However, long-term, an increasingly competitive GOL is good for its parent Abra Group, and sister company Avianca.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Silver Lake Resources, Rent.com.au Ltd, Endurance Gold, Tethys Oil , Vitesse Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Red 5/Silver Lake: US$1.5bn Aussie Gold Merger
  • Rent.com.au Ltd – Strong Across the Board Growth in Revenue in Q2
  • EDG: Successful Initial Work on the Olympic Claims
  • Tethys Oil AB (SSE: TETY): All Eyes on Block 56. Outcome of Strategic Review Expected in 1Q24
  • Vitesse Energy, Inc. – Estimate Update


Red 5/Silver Lake: US$1.5bn Aussie Gold Merger

By David Blennerhassett

  • Aussie gold miners Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) and Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU) have announced a “merger of equals” via a Scheme of Arrangement.
  • Red is offering 3.434 new shares for every SLR share, and will hold ~51.7% of the merged entity, with SLR shareholders holding the remaining 48.3%.
  • This has the unanimous backing of both boards. Yet SLR appears to be given short shrift on the merger ratio. Plus SLR holds ~11.9% of shares out in Red.

Rent.com.au Ltd – Strong Across the Board Growth in Revenue in Q2

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Rent.com.au Limited (ASX:RNT) is a purpose-led company seeking to empower home renters through its technology platform and a growing number of aligned transactional services.
  • The company has reported a 33% year-on-year increase in Q2 FY24 revenue to $0.808m, in what is seasonally the weakest quarter for the group.
  • Search portal revenue grew 11% on the previous corresponding period (pcp) but, not unexpectedly, dropped 7% on Q1 due to seasonal factors. 

EDG: Successful Initial Work on the Olympic Claims

By Atrium Research

  • EDG reported prospective soil sample results from the Olympic Claims of its Reliance Gold Project.
  • The Company collected 19 rock grab samples of which five assayed greater than 5.5 g/t Au with the best results including 25.1 g/t Au and 22.3 g/t Au. 
  • This release highlights to investors the significant exploration upside beyond the Royal Shear. 

Tethys Oil AB (SSE: TETY): All Eyes on Block 56. Outcome of Strategic Review Expected in 1Q24

By Auctus Advisors

  • Overall 4Q23 financials were ahead of our expectations and, despite a small underlift position, YE23 cash was US$25.8 mm, above our forecasts of US$22.2 mm.
  • Tethys expects to spend US$90-94 mm capex in 2024.
  • This is above our forecasts of US$70 mm that incorporated only US$10 mm of exploration and appraisal capex on Block 56 and Block 58.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. – Estimate Update

By Water Tower Research

  • We are updating our 4Q23 and FY24 estimates to reflect actual 4Q23 reference prices and lower estimated FY24 natural gas prices.
  • Our 4Q23 NYMEX reference prices averaged $78.32/bbl for oil and $2.92/MMBtu for natural gas compared with our $85.00 and $3.00/MMBtu estimates.
  • We have lowered our average FY24 natural gas price estimate to $2.66/MMBtu from $3.44/MMBtu. We are currently modeling average FY24 oil prices of $80/bbl.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), United Microelectron Sp Adr, Novatek Microelectronics Corp, WRKR, Lasertec Corp, MotorK Ltd, Gorilla Technology Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying
  • Intel’s UMC Partnership Is A Big Deal. For UMC.
  • Largest Display Driver Maker in the World’s Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb & March
  • Novatek (3034.TT): It’s the Low Season in 1Q24F; AI Is Gradually Added to Different Applications.
  • Wrkr Limited – The Investment Case Continues to Come Together
  • KLA & LaserTec, AMD, Hyperscaler Capex, SK Hynix, SWKS and QRVO, WOLF, MCHP
  • MotorK – Enterprise adoption drives growth
  • Gorilla Technology Group, Inc. – Significant Beat for First Nine Months 2023


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Sales Ahead; Display Driver Growth Reversal; AI Names Keep Flying

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Latest Performance: Taiwan AI Names Keep Flying; ASE & Mediatek Lose Steam After Reporting
  • Largest Display Driver Maker in the World’s Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb & March
  • TSMC and Samsung Will Keep Their Most Advanced Chipmaking at Home

Intel’s UMC Partnership Is A Big Deal. For UMC.

By William Keating

  • UMC’s Q423 results in line with expectations. Q124 guidance, down 2-3% QoQ, demonstrates ongoing headwinds for foundry
  • Intel, UMC foundry partnership helps the latter overcome their 14nm issues while giving them bargain basement access to US manufacturing capacity 
  • If Intel could have developed and deployed the proposed 12nm specialty process on their own, they would have….

Largest Display Driver Maker in the World’s Guidance Implies Growth Reversal Coming in Feb & March

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Novatek reported over 20% YoY growth for 4Q23 and slightly beat expectations but the latest guidance implies growth to reverse to a sales contraction in the latter part of 1Q24E.
  • Gross and operating margins are guided to contract; nevertheless, inventory dropped to one of the lowest levels since COVID and is expected to remain healthy.
  • Novatek’s latest results appear to signal that while inventory levels are healthy, the demand growth rebound for display drivers that started in June 2023E could lose steam in 1Q24E.

Novatek (3034.TT): It’s the Low Season in 1Q24F; AI Is Gradually Added to Different Applications.

By Patrick Liao

  • 4Q23 surpassed the guidance for revenue, GM, and OPM. 4Q23 EPS reached NT$8.76, compared to NT$10.46 in 3Q23 and NT$6.64 in 4Q22.
  • 1Q24F is typically the traditional low season for consumer electronics, and there are fewer working days during the Lunar New Year.
  • It is expected that the dividend payout ratio this year will be similar to previous years, which has been higher than 80% in the past few years.

Wrkr Limited – The Investment Case Continues to Come Together

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Wrkr Ltd (ASX:WRK) offers compliance solutions for Australian superannuation contributions and payroll including member onboarding, super payments, messaging and employee validation.
  • (ASX:LNK) has moved from ‘discovery and planning’ payments ($425k in H1 FY24) to a full feature trial with a named super fund (REST).
  • We now expect onboarding during Q1 FY25, a quarter behind previous assumptions. Link has announced an MoU to extend its contract with Australian Super out until 2028 (from June 2025). 

KLA & LaserTec, AMD, Hyperscaler Capex, SK Hynix, SWKS and QRVO, WOLF, MCHP

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • KLA had a rare miss. The guidance was a bit light for the inspection execution machine.
  • KLA rarely misses and is by far the best financially managed of the large-cap semicap companies.
  • KLA reports Q2 EPS $6.16 ex-items vs FactSet $5.91

MotorK – Enterprise adoption drives growth

By Edison Investment Research

MotorK closed FY23 with annual recurring revenue (ARR) of €34.1m, a 39% increase from the prior year. While both the Retail and Enterprise segments grew over the year, Enterprise ARR more than doubled to make up 22% of year-end ARR. Net revenue retention (NRR) above 100% for both segments highlights the ongoing adoption of multiple products across the group’s existing customer base. The company continues to target positive cash EBITDA in FY24. We maintain our forecasts pending FY23 results on 5 March.


Gorilla Technology Group, Inc. – Significant Beat for First Nine Months 2023

By Water Tower Research

  • Gorilla Technology reported a strong first nine months of 2023, with adjusted EBITDA of $13.4 million versus a $4 million loss for the same period the previous year.
  • The stock closed up 96% after the earnings release.
  • The profit turnaround was driven by: (1) revenue growth of more than 100% to $38.0 million for nine months (analysts were expecting $21.8 million); and (2) an increase in gross margin from 33.2% a year ago to 76.5% for the nine-month period.

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