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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Musings On US-Listed China Plays and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Musings On US-Listed China Plays
  • Ohayo Japan | Resilience; Sony Sunsets PS5


Musings On US-Listed China Plays

By David Blennerhassett

  • Seeing as though it is Chinese New Year week, I thought it might be appropriate to conduct a brief analysis of US-listed China plays.
  • According to a recent US-China Economic and Security Review Commission report, 265 Chinese companies were listed on the NYSE, Nasdaq and NYSE American exchanges in January 2024 worth US$848bn. 
  • That’s down from 252 companies worth US$1.03tn a year ago, a 17.5% decline. 91% of the total market capitalization of Chinese firms listed on U.S. exchanges use VIEs.

Ohayo Japan | Resilience; Sony Sunsets PS5

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks surprisingly resilient after sell-off. 10Y bond yield edges lower; Nikkei futures point to strong open
  • Sony’s outlook for profit growth in the coming year looks unappealing. Management transitions the PS5 to end-of-life care.
  • Japan’s diplomats are watching the yen – don’t they always; last intervention was at 152 to the dollar

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Kawasan Industri Jababeka and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Lippo Karawaci, MGM China Holdings


Morning Views Asia: Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Lippo Karawaci, MGM China Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Freee: New Invoicing System Helps Onboard Corporate Clients Though Losses Widen and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Freee: New Invoicing System Helps Onboard Corporate Clients Though Losses Widen
  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) 3QFY24: Concall Highlights, Margin Expansion
  • Kraneshares Califrna Car Etf (KCCA) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
  • Fundamental Shorts – SBI Cards | PVR Inox | Escorts Kubota
  • Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Wassana: Strong Performance and Accelerated Drilling Programme.
  • Clarus Corp (CLAR) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
  • Daktronics Inc (DAKT) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
  • Goldwin: Sustainable Records
  • KEFI Gold and Copper – Counting down to launch in H124
  • Diverse Income Trust (The) – Manager anticipates a small-cap super cycle


Freee: New Invoicing System Helps Onboard Corporate Clients Though Losses Widen

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Freee KK (4478 JP) reported 2QFY06/2024 results today. 2Q revenue increased 35.1% YoY, however, both revenue and operating losses fell below consensus estimates.
  • As expected, upfront investment in selling and marketing and personnel expenses prior to the new invoicing system led to an increase in operating losses.
  • However, these investments have helped the company acquire a large no. of corporate paying users and we expect losses to decline going forward.

Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) 3QFY24: Concall Highlights, Margin Expansion

By Sameer Taneja

  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) reported its best-ever EBITDA margin of 22.3% Vs 16.8% due to a raw material price decline. Revenues continued to remain soft, with growth of -8% YoY.
  • The company completed its brownfield expansion to increase the plant capacity by 40% and is now embarking on a capacity expansion of 200 crores in FY25, effectively doubling its revenues. 
  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) trades at 22x/19x FY24e/25e, with a potential for doubling of revenues over the next 3-5 years.

Kraneshares Califrna Car Etf (KCCA) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • The Krane Shares California Carbon Allowance Strategy ETF (KCCA) is recommended for investment due to increasing demand and shrinking supply of California Carbon Allowances (CCA).
  • The demand for CCAs is growing as carbon emission restrictions in California become stricter, while the supply is decreasing due to a decreasing supply bank and auction schedule.
  • CCAs have no substitutes, making it necessary for polluters to buy them to avoid fines if they cannot reduce carbon emissions. 

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Fundamental Shorts – SBI Cards | PVR Inox | Escorts Kubota

By Pranav Bhavsar


Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Wassana: Strong Performance and Accelerated Drilling Programme.

By Auctus Advisors

  • The first two wells of the Wassana drilling programme have exceeded the company’s expectations with production from the field now over 4,000 bbl/d.
  • With a third well expected to boost production further in the next few days, production from the field could be higher than the target of 4.5 mbbl/d.
  • The company has decided to extend the current drilling programme at Wassana by adding two wells (from 3 to 5).

Clarus Corp (CLAR) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Clarus’s non-ESG portfolio consists of reputable outdoor brands such as Black Diamond, Pieps, Sierra Bullets, Barnes Bullets, and SKINourishment.
  • Their ESG portfolio includes brands like Industry West, Snow Peak, Royal Robbins, Stonewear, and Hummingbird, which focus on sustainable and environmentally friendly products.
  • With Warren Kanders’s ownership and track record, the recent underperformance of Clarus’s stock is deemed unacceptable, but the inclusion of reputable outdoor brands and the commitment to sustainability provide potential for stock price appreciation.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Daktronics Inc (DAKT) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Daktronics Inc has improved its financial profile through operational upgrades and a recapitalization.
  • As the industry standard in large screens and a market leader in scoreboards and programmable display solutions, Daktronics is in a strong position to benefit from increased adoption and upgrade cycles.
  • Despite a recent stock price increase, investing in Daktronics is currently seen as very attractive, with potential for over 100% upside in the next few quarters.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Goldwin: Sustainable Records

By Michael Causton

  • Goldwin has had a remarkable run of record sales and profits, a beneficiary of the continuing growth in the outdoor market as well as its own retail strategy. 
  • Although much of its success has come from The North Face, Goldwin is determined to become a more diversified – and global – sports business.
  • When we first recommended the stock it was around ¥5,000 and rose to a peak of ¥12,600 but is now about ¥9,000. Will it grow again? We think so.

KEFI Gold and Copper – Counting down to launch in H124

By Edison Investment Research

In its post-Indaba release of 13 February, KEFI announced that the multi-party, subsidiary-level financing of its Tulu Kapi gold project in Ethiopia is now advancing on the back of Ethiopian federal government commitments finally received in October 2023. As a result, the lead lender quickly processed its approval in December 2023 and now all other stakeholders are triggering their respective flow-on processes. At the same time, the Federal Government of Ethiopia has confirmed that its equity capital investment has been fully documented, committed and already partly invested, while the contractors to the project have reaffirmed their intention and readiness to enter into the already drafted agreements to enable full project launch in H124 (as previously indicated by KEFI).


Diverse Income Trust (The) – Manager anticipates a small-cap super cycle

By Edison Investment Research

The Diverse Income Trust’s (DIVI’s) managers Gervais Williams and Martin Turner focus on generating a dividend income stream that is more resilient and has the potential to grow faster than those of the trust’s peers. They believe that over time this strategy should lead to superior capital appreciation as well as income growth. Since launch in 2011, DIVI’s dividend has compounded at an average annual rate of around 6%. UK stocks have been out of favour with global investors, who now make up around two-thirds of the UK shareholder base compared with 17% in 1994. As a result, the UK market looks very attractively valued in both absolute and relative terms, so there may be considerable upside potential from an improvement in sentiment towards UK stocks.


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Daily Brief South Korea: KB Financial and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • KB Financial Placement – Momentum Has Been Strong and the Last Clean-Up Sale Has Done Well
  • Carlyle Group Selling More than 320 Billion Won Worth of KB Financial in a Block Deal Sale


KB Financial Placement – Momentum Has Been Strong and the Last Clean-Up Sale Has Done Well

By Clarence Chu

  • The Carlyle Group / (CG US) via Kingsman Investment, is looking to raise US$244m from selling its entire stake in KB Financial (105560 KS).
  • Carlyle has been invested in the firm since mid-2020, where it then expressed that it would hold on to its stake for at least three and a half years. 
  • The deal would be a small one to digest at just 3.8 days of KB Financial’s three month ADV, representing 1.2% of its current mcap.

Carlyle Group Selling More than 320 Billion Won Worth of KB Financial in a Block Deal Sale

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 14 February, KB Financial announced that The Carlyle Group is trying to sell a 1.2% stake in the company through a block deal sale. 
  • The expected block deal price range is 64,608 won to 65,954 won per share, representing a 2 to 4% discount to the closing price of 67,300 won on 14 February. 
  • We would pass on this block deal sale. Despite excellent gains so far YTD, there is looming risk of many investors that may bail out of KB Financial post ex-dividend.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: MGM China Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Lippo Karawaci, MGM China Holdings


Morning Views Asia: Kawasan Industri Jababeka, Lippo Karawaci, MGM China Holdings

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

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  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • JSR (4185) – Updated Information in SUNY Lawsuit, and Other Developments
  • Outsourcing (2427 JP): Keep Calm or Worry About the Earnings Delay?
  • Carlyle Group Selling More than 320 Billion Won Worth of KB Financial in a Block Deal Sale
  • Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal
  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index


Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation

By Travis Lundy

  • Originally, the MBO for Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) was expected to get launched end-January 2024. A late-ish filing with regard to the EU’s Foreign Subsidies Regulation regime prompted a delay.
  • Yesterday Outsourcing announced a delay its earnings release by 3 business days, the delay “procedures related to impairment losses are continuing.”
  • Outsourcing shares are down hard on this. -1.5% as I write. I examine.

JSR (4185) – Updated Information in SUNY Lawsuit, and Other Developments

By Travis Lundy

  • 12 days ago, JSR Corp (4185 JP) announced that former research collaboration partner Research Foundation of the State University of New York had sued in an intellectual property ownership dispute.
  • I wrote about it here to the extent I could. Since then, more information has become available, or available to me.  Some details on the case. Some on lawyers. 
  • Since then JSR has reported earnings with unchanged forecast, and major pure play comp Tokyo Ohka Kogyo (4186 JP) today reported earnings; the stock popped 10+% to an all-time high.

Outsourcing (2427 JP): Keep Calm or Worry About the Earnings Delay?

By Arun George

  • Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) has delayed the announcement of its 4QFY2023 results from 14 to 19 February as the impairment loss accounting is yet to be completed. 
  • Outsourcing has a history of impairments, resulting in missed forecasts, which suggests a weak 4Q. The concern is that a weak 4Q could force Bain to trim its JPY1,755 offer. 
  • Persol Holdings (2181 JP) guidance cut today suggests a weak 4Q reflects near-term industry weakness rather than company-specific issues. The weak 4Q is a valuable cover to justify the less-than-stellar offer.

Carlyle Group Selling More than 320 Billion Won Worth of KB Financial in a Block Deal Sale

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 14 February, KB Financial announced that The Carlyle Group is trying to sell a 1.2% stake in the company through a block deal sale. 
  • The expected block deal price range is 64,608 won to 65,954 won per share, representing a 2 to 4% discount to the closing price of 67,300 won on 14 February. 
  • We would pass on this block deal sale. Despite excellent gains so far YTD, there is looming risk of many investors that may bail out of KB Financial post ex-dividend.

Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

By Brian Freitas

  • Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) has entered a Scheme Implementation Agreement to acquire Altium Ltd (ALU AU) at A$68.5/share implying an equity value of A$9.1bn and an Enterprise Value of A$8.8bn.
  • The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last close and a larger premium to VWAPs ranging from 30 days to 180 days.
  • There will be ad hoc inclusions to the S&P/ASX 100 Index and the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) on Altium Ltd (ALU AU)‘s last trading day (expected second half of 2024).

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

By Brian Freitas

  • With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March.
  • There is nearly A$1bn to sell in Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
  • There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
  • I currently see 11 changes for the CSI 300 index and 50 changes for the CSI 500 index.

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Daily Brief United States: Newmont , S&P 500 INDEX, KraneShares California Carbon Allowance ETF, Ethereum, Clarus , Daktronics Inc, Ball and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell
  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Testing 20-Day MAs; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Critical 4.35% Resistance
  • Kraneshares Califrna Car Etf (KCCA) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
  • Keone Hon of Monad: 10,000 TPS & Full EVM Equivalence – A New Era for Ethereum Apps
  • Clarus Corp (CLAR) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
  • Daktronics Inc (DAKT) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
  • Ball Corporation: A Story Of Market Dominance & Adaptive Approach! – Major Drivers


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

By Brian Freitas

  • With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March.
  • There is nearly A$1bn to sell in Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
  • There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Testing 20-Day MAs; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Critical 4.35% Resistance

By Joe Jasper

  • Large-Cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023, and we remain bullish
  • The question is whether that will continue to be the case. Concerns are rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have broken above short-term resistance levels on Feb13
  • Friday’s PPI report should provide more clarity as to how concerned we should be about rising inflation

Kraneshares Califrna Car Etf (KCCA) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • The Krane Shares California Carbon Allowance Strategy ETF (KCCA) is recommended for investment due to increasing demand and shrinking supply of California Carbon Allowances (CCA).
  • The demand for CCAs is growing as carbon emission restrictions in California become stricter, while the supply is decreasing due to a decreasing supply bank and auction schedule.
  • CCAs have no substitutes, making it necessary for polluters to buy them to avoid fines if they cannot reduce carbon emissions. 

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Keone Hon of Monad: 10,000 TPS & Full EVM Equivalence – A New Era for Ethereum Apps

By The Delphi Podcast

  • High frequency trading (HFT) involves building systems that can react in real time to incoming packets from exchanges, making fast decisions about sending orders and quickly executing them.
  • Working on HFT systems requires a focus on performance and often involves building systems from scratch. 
  • HFT systems need to be scalable to handle trading multiple instruments and flexible enough to adapt to different market conditions. Models used in trading also need to be continuously retrained and optimized for speed without sacrificing accuracy.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Clarus Corp (CLAR) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Clarus’s non-ESG portfolio consists of reputable outdoor brands such as Black Diamond, Pieps, Sierra Bullets, Barnes Bullets, and SKINourishment.
  • Their ESG portfolio includes brands like Industry West, Snow Peak, Royal Robbins, Stonewear, and Hummingbird, which focus on sustainable and environmentally friendly products.
  • With Warren Kanders’s ownership and track record, the recent underperformance of Clarus’s stock is deemed unacceptable, but the inclusion of reputable outdoor brands and the commitment to sustainability provide potential for stock price appreciation.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Daktronics Inc (DAKT) – Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • Daktronics Inc has improved its financial profile through operational upgrades and a recapitalization.
  • As the industry standard in large screens and a market leader in scoreboards and programmable display solutions, Daktronics is in a strong position to benefit from increased adoption and upgrade cycles.
  • Despite a recent stock price increase, investing in Daktronics is currently seen as very attractive, with potential for over 100% upside in the next few quarters.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Ball Corporation: A Story Of Market Dominance & Adaptive Approach! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Ball Corporation’s earnings for the fourth quarter highlighted several of its strategic decisions, performance outcomes, and upcoming developments.
  • The company had strong operating results in the fourth quarter and throughout 2023 which generated a free cash flow of $818 million.
  • The company’s strategic decisions ranged from the sale of its aerospace business to adjustments in its manufacturing footprint.

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Daily Brief India: Stylam Industries, SBI Cards & Payment Services, Bharti Hexacom and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) 3QFY24: Concall Highlights, Margin Expansion
  • Fundamental Shorts – SBI Cards | PVR Inox | Escorts Kubota
  • Bharti Hexacom Pre-IPO – The Negatives – No Clear Rationale for Listing


Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) 3QFY24: Concall Highlights, Margin Expansion

By Sameer Taneja

  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) reported its best-ever EBITDA margin of 22.3% Vs 16.8% due to a raw material price decline. Revenues continued to remain soft, with growth of -8% YoY.
  • The company completed its brownfield expansion to increase the plant capacity by 40% and is now embarking on a capacity expansion of 200 crores in FY25, effectively doubling its revenues. 
  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) trades at 22x/19x FY24e/25e, with a potential for doubling of revenues over the next 3-5 years.

Fundamental Shorts – SBI Cards | PVR Inox | Escorts Kubota

By Pranav Bhavsar


Bharti Hexacom Pre-IPO – The Negatives – No Clear Rationale for Listing

By Sumeet Singh

  • Bharti Hexacom is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the North East telecommunication circles in India.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief China: Xinjiang Tianshan Cement A, Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group Co Ltd, Octillion Energy Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index
  • Pre-IPO Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group (PHIP Update) – Risk of Overvaluation and Poor Profit Model
  • Octillion Energy Holdings Pre-IPO – Over-Reliance on Top Customer and Lack of Competitive Edge


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
  • I currently see 11 changes for the CSI 300 index and 50 changes for the CSI 500 index.

Pre-IPO Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group (PHIP Update) – Risk of Overvaluation and Poor Profit Model

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The essence of Yuanxin’s business is selling drugs.Although Yuanxin is backed by Tencent, it’s difficult to come up with more outstanding advantages to compete with Alibaba Health and JD Health.
  • We have doubts about Yuanxin’s core competitiveness and sustainable profitability, which are also far behind its peers. In our view, the market/investors may find it difficult to accept such stories.
  • Pre-IPO valuation level of Yuanxin has greatly exceeded the valuation of its drugstore business model. Yuanxin’s valuation should be lower than peers, or for example, P/S ratio of below 1x.

Octillion Energy Holdings Pre-IPO – Over-Reliance on Top Customer and Lack of Competitive Edge

By Ethan Aw

  • Octillion Energy Holdings (OE HK) is looking to raise US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Octillion’s main revenue driver has been its EV battery systems with battery cells over the track record period, with a healthy balance sheet to support its cash burn. 
  • However, its revenue growth fell off a cliff in 1H23 due to its heavy reliance on a single customer, which doesn’t appear sustainable, in our view.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Outsourcing Inc, Stylam Industries, Octillion Energy Holdings, Selecta AG, S&P 500 INDEX, Sanyo Trading and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • Outsourcing (2427 JP): Keep Calm or Worry About the Earnings Delay?
  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) 3QFY24: Concall Highlights, Margin Expansion
  • Octillion Energy Holdings Pre-IPO – Over-Reliance on Top Customer and Lack of Competitive Edge
  • Selecta – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Testing 20-Day MAs; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Critical 4.35% Resistance
  • Sanyo Trading (3176) – Aiming for Growth and a Strong Start to FY9/24


Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation

By Travis Lundy

  • Originally, the MBO for Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) was expected to get launched end-January 2024. A late-ish filing with regard to the EU’s Foreign Subsidies Regulation regime prompted a delay.
  • Yesterday Outsourcing announced a delay its earnings release by 3 business days, the delay “procedures related to impairment losses are continuing.”
  • Outsourcing shares are down hard on this. -1.5% as I write. I examine.

Outsourcing (2427 JP): Keep Calm or Worry About the Earnings Delay?

By Arun George

  • Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) has delayed the announcement of its 4QFY2023 results from 14 to 19 February as the impairment loss accounting is yet to be completed. 
  • Outsourcing has a history of impairments, resulting in missed forecasts, which suggests a weak 4Q. The concern is that a weak 4Q could force Bain to trim its JPY1,755 offer. 
  • Persol Holdings (2181 JP) guidance cut today suggests a weak 4Q reflects near-term industry weakness rather than company-specific issues. The weak 4Q is a valuable cover to justify the less-than-stellar offer.

Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) 3QFY24: Concall Highlights, Margin Expansion

By Sameer Taneja

  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) reported its best-ever EBITDA margin of 22.3% Vs 16.8% due to a raw material price decline. Revenues continued to remain soft, with growth of -8% YoY.
  • The company completed its brownfield expansion to increase the plant capacity by 40% and is now embarking on a capacity expansion of 200 crores in FY25, effectively doubling its revenues. 
  • Stylam Industries (SYIL IN) trades at 22x/19x FY24e/25e, with a potential for doubling of revenues over the next 3-5 years.

Octillion Energy Holdings Pre-IPO – Over-Reliance on Top Customer and Lack of Competitive Edge

By Ethan Aw

  • Octillion Energy Holdings (OE HK) is looking to raise US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Octillion’s main revenue driver has been its EV battery systems with battery cells over the track record period, with a healthy balance sheet to support its cash burn. 
  • However, its revenue growth fell off a cliff in 1H23 due to its heavy reliance on a single customer, which doesn’t appear sustainable, in our view.

Selecta – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
  • We view Selecta’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with the Environmental and Governance scores, while the Social pillar is “Weak”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.
  • Selecta claims to be the leader in the European vending machine market. The company operates vending and coffee machines in workplaces, public areas (e.g. hospitals, universities, train stations, airports and petrol stations) and entertainment venues.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Testing 20-Day MAs; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Critical 4.35% Resistance

By Joe Jasper

  • Large-Cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023, and we remain bullish
  • The question is whether that will continue to be the case. Concerns are rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have broken above short-term resistance levels on Feb13
  • Friday’s PPI report should provide more clarity as to how concerned we should be about rising inflation

Sanyo Trading (3176) – Aiming for Growth and a Strong Start to FY9/24

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Q1 FY9/24 results were at a record high for the company for a first quarter period, with the company benefitting from stronger-than-expected demand from the auto sector, together with a forex tailwind from a weak Japanese yen benefitting the Overseas Subsidiaries segment; this business saw a major uplift in profitability YoY with positive trading conditions in the Americas and Thailand for exported Japanese goods.
  • Demand also remained firm in the company’s specialist areas of expertise such as bio-related and feed-related areas, and geothermal equipment.
  • The company has maintained FY9/24 guidance, which indicates some expectations of auto demand normalizing from pronounced levels in Q1 FY9/24.

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