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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief United States: Intel Corp, On Semiconductor, Ethereum, Immersion Corporation, Ring Energy Inc, IDEXX Laboratories, Servisfirst Bancshares, Tyson Foods Inc Cl A, Amgen Inc, USD and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel: Cyclical Recovery or Secular Demise? – [Business Breakdowns, EP.149]
  • ON Semiconductor Corporation: Growth in Silicon Carbide Business
  • Crypto Moves #15 – 90% Likelihood of an Ethereum Spot ETF Approval This Year
  • IMMR: Meta Cash Is Real Cash
  • Ring Energy, Inc. – Estimate Update
  • IDEXX Laboratories: Growing Global Direct Commercial Capability & Other Major Drivers
  • Servisfirst Bancshares Inc (SFBS) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023
  • Tyson Foods: Focus on Domestic Consumption and Expansion of the International Market! – Major Drivers
  • Amgen Inc: An Analysis Of The Pipeline Progress and Development! – Major Drivers
  • Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/AED January 26, 2024


Intel: Cyclical Recovery or Secular Demise? – [Business Breakdowns, EP.149]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Investment firms are using Ten East to diversify their personal portfolios.
  • Business Breakdowns is a podcast series that explores the history, business models, and competitive advantages of different businesses.
  • Todd Austin, CIO of Parnassus Investments, discusses Intel’s fall from its iconic status and the factors that contributed to it.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


ON Semiconductor Corporation: Growth in Silicon Carbide Business

By Baptista Research

  • ON Semiconductor concluded the fourth quarter in 2023 with remarkable achievements depicted by its transformation and ability to mitigate headwinds in challenging market conditions.
  • The quarter delivered non-GAAP gross margins of 46.7%, surpassing previous expectations.
  • Though utilization shrank to 66%, the gross margin reflects significant structural adjustments made over the past three years.

Crypto Moves #15 – 90% Likelihood of an Ethereum Spot ETF Approval This Year

By Mads Eberhardt

  • It has been just over a month since the first Bitcoin spot ETFs hit the market on January 11th.
  • The initial weeks saw a slow start in terms of net inflow into these ETFs, mainly because investments into the two Bitcoin ETF titans from BlackRock’s iShares and Fidelity were lower than expected.
  • This situation was made worse by the significant outflow from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust ETF.

IMMR: Meta Cash Is Real Cash

By Hamed Khorsand

  • Immersion (IMMR) reached a licensing settlement with Meta Platforms (META) resulting in a payment of $17.5 million to IMMR
  • The initial response to the announcement is likely due to investors’ high expectations based on META’s significant market capitalization and the anticipated scale of returns
  • As a result of the cash received, we estimate IMMR to have approximately $6.20 per share in cash and securities, without consideration for fourth quarter of 2023

Ring Energy, Inc. – Estimate Update

By Water Tower Research

  • Ring’s 4Q23 production averaged ~19,400 BOE/d, near the high end of management’s 18,900-19,500 BOE/d guidance range.
  • Average production increased 11% from 3Q23, reflecting the full-quarter inclusion of  volumes acquired in the Founders acquisition, which closed in August 2023, and from volumes added from the completion of the 2023 development program in the quarter.
  • Management expects 1Q24 production to average 18,000-18,500 BOE/d. 1Q24 volumes were adversely affected by winter weather disruptions in January, which deferred ~1,900 BOE/d for 10 days and natural declines from wells completed during 2H23.

IDEXX Laboratories: Growing Global Direct Commercial Capability & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In 2023, IDEXX Laboratories posted strong quarterly and annual results.
  • The company reported an 8% organic revenue increase in Q4, largely driven by gains in CAG Diagnostic recurring revenues.
  • Operating profits also rose 8% as reported, with a 10% increase on a comparable basis, aided by robust gross margin gains and OpEx leverage.

Servisfirst Bancshares Inc (SFBS) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • ServisFirst, an Alabama bank, is observing strong loan and deposit growth, despite a temporary decrease in net interest margin.
  • The bank is expected to achieve sustainable 20-25% return on equity within the next two years, thereby expanding profitability.
  • ServisFirst is the leading local bank for privately owned businesses in Alabama, with impressive organic core deposit growth and comparable net interest margins. Additionally, its balance sheet is strong, and its financial forecast predicts further expansion in multiples and profitability.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tyson Foods: Focus on Domestic Consumption and Expansion of the International Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Q1 2024 financial results from Tyson Foods demonstrated a positive beginning to the fiscal year.
  • The $175 million improvement in adjusted operating income and near doubling of adjusted EPS on a sequential basis showcases momentum for the firm.
  • Chicken and pork served as offset points to beef headwinds while the prepared foods division continued to generate strong profit and margins.

Amgen Inc: An Analysis Of The Pipeline Progress and Development! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Amgen’s Fourth Quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference Call highlighted several strategic moves and positive outcomes for the biotechnology company.
  • This past year, the company acquired Horizon Therapeutics, which foundationalized a new branch contributing to its growth.
  • Also, 18 of Amgen’s medicines reached record annual sales, including Repatha, Prolia, EVENITY, TEZSPIRE, BLINCYTO, KRYSTEXXA, and UPLIZNA. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/AED January 26, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. December 28th , 2023 to January 26th, 2024, the USD/AED exchange rate fluctuated between 3.672 and 3.673. AED is pegged to the US Dollar at 3.67.
  • The MA-10 line was moving above the MA-20 line for the whole period. Both MA 10 and MA-20 lines maintained a steady upward trend throughout the entire period.
  • Based on Graph 2, the PPO (red line) was moving upwards at the beginning of the period under consideration but after January 15th the movement changed. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Outsourcing Inc, Itoki Corp, AECC Aviation Power, Base Carbon , Amaero International Ltd, Auckland Intl Airport, Kosaido, Staffline, Copa Holdings Sa Class A and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating
  • Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way
  • Base Carbon, Inc. – A Leading Player in the Growing Carbon Marketplace
  • Amaero International Ltd – Fairmont Consulting Report Underlines Project Viability
  • Auckland Airport 1H24 Preview — Capex to the Fore
  • KOSAIDO Holdings (7868) – Strong Underlying Momentum Pointing to Sustainable Growth
  • Company Update – Staffline Group Plc – January 11, 2024
  • Fairmont Consulting report underlines project viability
  • Copa Holdings Sa (CPA) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023


Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating

By Travis Lundy

  • I got a bunch of questions about my Outsourcing comments yesterday in Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • This piece is intended to clarify what I know (still limited), put parameters around what it might be, and draw lines in the sand which I might later erase.
  • This may be nothing. But it may not be. I will try to answer the questions I received in a kind of Q&A format, and I hope that helps.

Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump

By Travis Lundy


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Since my last insight, there have been a couple of changes to our expected ADDs basket and a couple of changes to our expected DELs basket for the SSE180 index.

Base Carbon, Inc. – A Leading Player in the Growing Carbon Marketplace

By Water Tower Research

  • Base Carbon is a leading provider of high-quality carbon offsets that can be purchased by third parties to meet their carbon offset goals.
  • Through a disciplined underwriting process, a strong balance sheet, and an experienced team, the company seeks to be the preferred carbon project partner for developers and buyers of carbon credits.
  • Robust portfolio of existing projects. Base Carbon has invested in three successful projects that are either currently generating credits and cash or will soon be producing credits that can be sold. 

Amaero International Ltd – Fairmont Consulting Report Underlines Project Viability

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Amaero International Ltd (ASX:3DA) is a global specialist in advanced materials manufacturing for the defence, aerospace, and other industrial sectors, developing a critical metals alloy powder manufacturing facility in Tennessee, USA.
  • The company has released an executive summary outlining the key findings from the market study prepared by Fairmont Consulting Group LLC into the niobium C103 alloy and other high-value specialty alloys used in mission-critical defence and space applications.
  • The executive summary together with key assumptions and financial drivers released by Amaero have formed the basis of our revised earnings estimates for Amaero’s operation. 

Auckland Airport 1H24 Preview — Capex to the Fore

By Forsyth Barr

  • Auckland Airport (AIA) will report a strong recovery in earnings, given the increase in air traffic over the past 18 months, when it reports its 1H24 result on 22 February 2024.
  • However, passenger (pax) development, as outlined in its monthly operating stats, has been below the level implied by the pax guidance provided at the FY23 result.
  • Consequently, FY24 NPAT guidance (NZ$260m–NZ$280m) is at risk, albeit at least partially mitigated by (1) improving retail income, and (2) AIA’s historic conservative nature when setting earnings guidance. 

KOSAIDO Holdings (7868) – Strong Underlying Momentum Pointing to Sustainable Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Solid earnings visibility – Q1-3 FY3/24 results were in line with recently revised company guidance, with the core earnings driver being the Profit-Generating Funeral Services segment.
  • Positive trends seen in Q2 FY3/24 continued QoQ, with growth in services and high utilization rates from the newly expanded funeral halls.
  • The legacy Information segment (print media) relatively underperformed, and the company is continuing cost improvement efforts.

Company Update – Staffline Group Plc – January 11, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Our estimations for FY 2023 indicate a projected annual revenue of £959 million, with further growth expected in FY 2024, reaching approximately £988 million.
  • In comparison, the company’s revenue for the fiscal year 2022 amounted to £941 million, showcasing a slight decrease from the £943 million reported in 2021.
  • Notably, the operating profit surged to £4.6 million in 2022, demonstrating a substantial increase from the £2.3 million recorded in 2021. 

Fairmont Consulting report underlines project viability

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Amaero International Ltd (ASX:3DA) is a global specialist in advanced materials manufacturing for the defence, aerospace, and other industrial sectors, developing a critical metals alloy powder manufacturing facility in Tennessee, USA. The company has released an executive summary outlining the key findings from the market study prepared by Fairmont Consulting Group LLC into the niobium C103 alloy and other high-value specialty alloys used in mission-critical defence and space applications.
  • The executive summary together with key assumptions and financial drivers released by Amaero have formed the basis of our revised earnings estimates for Amaero’s operation.
  • Key assumption changes include the addition of a fourth gas atomiser, positioning for an estimated 40% of the C103 niobium powder market longer term, higher C103 prices than previously modelled, but a 50% yield on powder bed fusion powder production.

Copa Holdings Sa (CPA) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Copa Airlines consistently pays dividends, setting it apart from other airlines.
  • The airline’s competitive advantage lies in its strategic location in Panama City and its hub-and-spoke model, facilitating efficient connections between North and South America.
  • Despite the challenges of the airline industry, Copa has outperformed its competitors in generating value and is projected to have significant upside potential in both the short and long term.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Altium Ltd, ISC Co Ltd, Intel Corp, S2C Limited, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Ansarada Group Ltd, On Semiconductor, Immersion Corporation and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Renesas’ Transformative Offer For Altium
  • Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out
  • Intel: Cyclical Recovery or Secular Demise? – [Business Breakdowns, EP.149]
  • Altium (ALU AU): Renesas (6723 JP) Binding A$68.50 Offer
  • CICC-Backed Chinese Chip Design Firm Fined Over Fraudulent IPO Application
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads Persist After CNY Break
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results
  • Ansarada (AND AU): Datasite’s Binding A$2.50 Offer
  • ON Semiconductor Corporation: Growth in Silicon Carbide Business
  • IMMR: Meta Cash Is Real Cash


Renesas’ Transformative Offer For Altium

By David Blennerhassett


Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • Will there be changes in April’s rebalancing? With two weeks left, two names are likely. Wonik IPS may be replaced by ISC Co Ltd, given a ₩150B market cap difference.
  • In the previous rebalancing, constituent changes had a notable price impact. Despite a passive flow impact of +1.0x ADTV, HPSP and EO Technics saw about a 15% 3-day return.
  • Wonik IPS is estimated to receive -4.0x ADTV, while ISC is expected to receive +1.0x ADTV. This is also quite similar to the previous rebalancing.

Intel: Cyclical Recovery or Secular Demise? – [Business Breakdowns, EP.149]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Investment firms are using Ten East to diversify their personal portfolios.
  • Business Breakdowns is a podcast series that explores the history, business models, and competitive advantages of different businesses.
  • Todd Austin, CIO of Parnassus Investments, discusses Intel’s fall from its iconic status and the factors that contributed to it.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Altium (ALU AU): Renesas (6723 JP) Binding A$68.50 Offer

By Arun George

  • Altium Ltd (ALU AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) at A$68.50 per share, a 33.6% premium to the undisturbed price (14 February).
  • The offer will close in 2H, requiring several approvals – FIRB, CFIUS, HSR Act clearance, German Ministry FDI, German Federal Cartel Office clearance, and Turkish Competition Authority.
  • The offer price is attractive and 31% above the all-time high, lowering the chance of a competing proposal. At the last close, the gross spread is 3.8%.

CICC-Backed Chinese Chip Design Firm Fined Over Fraudulent IPO Application

By Caixin Global

  • A semiconductor company sponsored by China International Capital Corp. Ltd. (CICC), one of the country’s top investment banks, has been fined over IPO application fraud, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) said in a statement Friday.
  • S2C Ltd., which specializes in electronic design automation, has been fined 4 million yuan ($563,095) for fraudulent activities in its attempt to list on Shanghai’s tech-heavy STAR Market.
  • The move marks the CSRC’s latest effort to enforce strict information disclosure requirements and tough penalties for market violations under its registration-based IPO mechanism.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads Persist After CNY Break

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.6% ADR Premium, Still High After CNY Multi-Day Taiwan Market Close
  • UMC: 1.3% ADR Premium, Still Historically High After CNY Break
  • ChipMOS: +4.2% Premium, Very Rare & High Level, Not Sustainable

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally
  • Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break 

Ansarada (AND AU): Datasite’s Binding A$2.50 Offer

By Arun George

  • On 13 February, Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with Datasite. The offer price is A$2.50 per share, a 19.0% premium to the undisturbed price (12 February).
  • The offer requires FIRB approval along with shareholder approval of the inter-conditional scheme and carve-out transaction. 
  • The offer price is reasonable and marginally short of the all-time high. At the last close and for an early June close, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/8.3%.

ON Semiconductor Corporation: Growth in Silicon Carbide Business

By Baptista Research

  • ON Semiconductor concluded the fourth quarter in 2023 with remarkable achievements depicted by its transformation and ability to mitigate headwinds in challenging market conditions.
  • The quarter delivered non-GAAP gross margins of 46.7%, surpassing previous expectations.
  • Though utilization shrank to 66%, the gross margin reflects significant structural adjustments made over the past three years.

IMMR: Meta Cash Is Real Cash

By Hamed Khorsand

  • Immersion (IMMR) reached a licensing settlement with Meta Platforms (META) resulting in a payment of $17.5 million to IMMR
  • The initial response to the announcement is likely due to investors’ high expectations based on META’s significant market capitalization and the anticipated scale of returns
  • As a result of the cash received, we estimate IMMR to have approximately $6.20 per share in cash and securities, without consideration for fourth quarter of 2023

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Daily Brief China: S2C Limited, CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical-A, AECC Aviation Power, Cloudbreak Pharma, Greenland Technologies Holdi and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • CICC-Backed Chinese Chip Design Firm Fined Over Fraudulent IPO Application
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: US$313mn One-Way, Four Names with Double-Impacts
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way
  • Pre-IPO Cloudbreak Pharma – The Business, the Concerns and the Outlook
  • Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. – Another HEVI Product Win


CICC-Backed Chinese Chip Design Firm Fined Over Fraudulent IPO Application

By Caixin Global

  • A semiconductor company sponsored by China International Capital Corp. Ltd. (CICC), one of the country’s top investment banks, has been fined over IPO application fraud, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) said in a statement Friday.
  • S2C Ltd., which specializes in electronic design automation, has been fined 4 million yuan ($563,095) for fraudulent activities in its attempt to list on Shanghai’s tech-heavy STAR Market.
  • The move marks the CSRC’s latest effort to enforce strict information disclosure requirements and tough penalties for market violations under its registration-based IPO mechanism.

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: US$313mn One-Way, Four Names with Double-Impacts

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Since my last insight, there have been a couple of changes to our expected ADDs basket and a couple of changes to our expected DELs basket for the SSE180 index.

Pre-IPO Cloudbreak Pharma – The Business, the Concerns and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Surgery is doctors’ first choice in many cases. Ophthalmic medical devices are also popular. Compared to the market size of ophthalmic surgeries/medical devices, market size of ophthalmic drugs is small.
  • Although CLOUDBREAK’s pipeline has the potential to become first-in-class/best-in-class therapies to address unmet medical needs, considering fierce competition, the real market opportunities for its drug candidates may be smaller-than-expected
  • In last funding round before the IPO, CLOUDBREAK was valued at US$469 million.Valuation of CLOUDBREAK should be lower than Ocumension Therapeutics. So, premium space for IPO pricing may be limited.

Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. – Another HEVI Product Win

By Water Tower Research

  • HEVI to be a standalone pure-play industrial EV company.
  • The company announced plans to spin off its drivetrain systems business into a separate, independently managed, and publicly traded company on the OTC market.
  • Shareholders will receive shares in the new drivetrain company (expected to be tax-free), leaving Greenland Technologies to focus on the industrial EV market through its HEVI brand.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Outsourcing Inc, Itoki Corp, AECC Aviation Power, Base Carbon , Amaero International Ltd, Auckland Intl Airport, Kosaido, Staffline, Copa Holdings Sa Class A and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating
  • Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way
  • Base Carbon, Inc. – A Leading Player in the Growing Carbon Marketplace
  • Amaero International Ltd – Fairmont Consulting Report Underlines Project Viability
  • Auckland Airport 1H24 Preview — Capex to the Fore
  • KOSAIDO Holdings (7868) – Strong Underlying Momentum Pointing to Sustainable Growth
  • Company Update – Staffline Group Plc – January 11, 2024
  • Fairmont Consulting report underlines project viability
  • Copa Holdings Sa (CPA) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023


Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating

By Travis Lundy

  • I got a bunch of questions about my Outsourcing comments yesterday in Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • This piece is intended to clarify what I know (still limited), put parameters around what it might be, and draw lines in the sand which I might later erase.
  • This may be nothing. But it may not be. I will try to answer the questions I received in a kind of Q&A format, and I hope that helps.

Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump

By Travis Lundy


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Since my last insight, there have been a couple of changes to our expected ADDs basket and a couple of changes to our expected DELs basket for the SSE180 index.

Base Carbon, Inc. – A Leading Player in the Growing Carbon Marketplace

By Water Tower Research

  • Base Carbon is a leading provider of high-quality carbon offsets that can be purchased by third parties to meet their carbon offset goals.
  • Through a disciplined underwriting process, a strong balance sheet, and an experienced team, the company seeks to be the preferred carbon project partner for developers and buyers of carbon credits.
  • Robust portfolio of existing projects. Base Carbon has invested in three successful projects that are either currently generating credits and cash or will soon be producing credits that can be sold. 

Amaero International Ltd – Fairmont Consulting Report Underlines Project Viability

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Amaero International Ltd (ASX:3DA) is a global specialist in advanced materials manufacturing for the defence, aerospace, and other industrial sectors, developing a critical metals alloy powder manufacturing facility in Tennessee, USA.
  • The company has released an executive summary outlining the key findings from the market study prepared by Fairmont Consulting Group LLC into the niobium C103 alloy and other high-value specialty alloys used in mission-critical defence and space applications.
  • The executive summary together with key assumptions and financial drivers released by Amaero have formed the basis of our revised earnings estimates for Amaero’s operation. 

Auckland Airport 1H24 Preview — Capex to the Fore

By Forsyth Barr

  • Auckland Airport (AIA) will report a strong recovery in earnings, given the increase in air traffic over the past 18 months, when it reports its 1H24 result on 22 February 2024.
  • However, passenger (pax) development, as outlined in its monthly operating stats, has been below the level implied by the pax guidance provided at the FY23 result.
  • Consequently, FY24 NPAT guidance (NZ$260m–NZ$280m) is at risk, albeit at least partially mitigated by (1) improving retail income, and (2) AIA’s historic conservative nature when setting earnings guidance. 

KOSAIDO Holdings (7868) – Strong Underlying Momentum Pointing to Sustainable Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Solid earnings visibility – Q1-3 FY3/24 results were in line with recently revised company guidance, with the core earnings driver being the Profit-Generating Funeral Services segment.
  • Positive trends seen in Q2 FY3/24 continued QoQ, with growth in services and high utilization rates from the newly expanded funeral halls.
  • The legacy Information segment (print media) relatively underperformed, and the company is continuing cost improvement efforts.

Company Update – Staffline Group Plc – January 11, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Our estimations for FY 2023 indicate a projected annual revenue of £959 million, with further growth expected in FY 2024, reaching approximately £988 million.
  • In comparison, the company’s revenue for the fiscal year 2022 amounted to £941 million, showcasing a slight decrease from the £943 million reported in 2021.
  • Notably, the operating profit surged to £4.6 million in 2022, demonstrating a substantial increase from the £2.3 million recorded in 2021. 

Fairmont Consulting report underlines project viability

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Amaero International Ltd (ASX:3DA) is a global specialist in advanced materials manufacturing for the defence, aerospace, and other industrial sectors, developing a critical metals alloy powder manufacturing facility in Tennessee, USA. The company has released an executive summary outlining the key findings from the market study prepared by Fairmont Consulting Group LLC into the niobium C103 alloy and other high-value specialty alloys used in mission-critical defence and space applications.
  • The executive summary together with key assumptions and financial drivers released by Amaero have formed the basis of our revised earnings estimates for Amaero’s operation.
  • Key assumption changes include the addition of a fourth gas atomiser, positioning for an estimated 40% of the C103 niobium powder market longer term, higher C103 prices than previously modelled, but a 50% yield on powder bed fusion powder production.

Copa Holdings Sa (CPA) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Copa Airlines consistently pays dividends, setting it apart from other airlines.
  • The airline’s competitive advantage lies in its strategic location in Panama City and its hub-and-spoke model, facilitating efficient connections between North and South America.
  • Despite the challenges of the airline industry, Copa has outperformed its competitors in generating value and is projected to have significant upside potential in both the short and long term.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Outsourcing Inc, Itoki Corp, Tosoh Corp, Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Restar Holdings Corporation, Kosaido, Adani Transmission and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating
  • Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump
  • Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells
  • Industrial & Infrastructure Investment Corp Placement – Back to the Markets for the 12th Time
  • Corporate Governance in Japan Is Improving, but Has yet to Take Steps to Create Value
  • Restar Holdings (3156) – Factoring in Environmental Energy as a Key Earnings Contributor
  • KOSAIDO Holdings (7868) – Strong Underlying Momentum Pointing to Sustainable Growth
  • Morning Views Asia: Rakuten Group , UPL Ltd


Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating

By Travis Lundy

  • I got a bunch of questions about my Outsourcing comments yesterday in Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • This piece is intended to clarify what I know (still limited), put parameters around what it might be, and draw lines in the sand which I might later erase.
  • This may be nothing. But it may not be. I will try to answer the questions I received in a kind of Q&A format, and I hope that helps.

Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump

By Travis Lundy


Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells

By Brian Freitas


Industrial & Infrastructure Investment Corp Placement – Back to the Markets for the 12th Time

By Ethan Aw

  • Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment (3249 JP) is looking to raise around US$341m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire 28 properties and an equity interest in a silent partnership. 
  • The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 16.2% dilution.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Corporate Governance in Japan Is Improving, but Has yet to Take Steps to Create Value

By Aki Matsumoto

  • % of independent directors continued a modest rise, and % of women board members still reached 10% level. 6 of 1,788 companies transitioned to Company with US type 3 Committees.
  • Growth Policy score improved as more companies included ROIC in their KPIs, and AGM Disclosures score improved as the majority of prime market listed companies joined the voting platform.
  • Scores related to the use of cash and IR Disclosures score also didn’t improve noticeably. Companies are not taking action on how to use cash to expand their corporate value.

Restar Holdings (3156) – Factoring in Environmental Energy as a Key Earnings Contributor

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Environmental Energy boosting earnings – Q1-3 FY3/24 results were ahead of expectation, with the company upwardly revising FY3/24 guidance.
  • Demand remained firm from the automotive sector for the Procurement segment, but trading remained somewhat mixed in the Semiconductor and Electronic Components.
  • The positive surprise was the sustained high levels of profitability in the Environmental Energy segment; we have raised our earnings estimates for FY3/24 and beyond to reflect this as a sustainable business. 

KOSAIDO Holdings (7868) – Strong Underlying Momentum Pointing to Sustainable Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Solid earnings visibility – Q1-3 FY3/24 results were in line with recently revised company guidance, with the core earnings driver being the Profit-Generating Funeral Services segment.
  • Positive trends seen in Q2 FY3/24 continued QoQ, with growth in services and high utilization rates from the newly expanded funeral halls.
  • The legacy Information segment (print media) relatively underperformed, and the company is continuing cost improvement efforts.

Morning Views Asia: Rakuten Group , UPL Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Health Care: CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical-A, Amgen Inc, Cloudbreak Pharma, IDEXX Laboratories and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: US$313mn One-Way, Four Names with Double-Impacts
  • Amgen Inc: An Analysis Of The Pipeline Progress and Development! – Major Drivers
  • Pre-IPO Cloudbreak Pharma – The Business, the Concerns and the Outlook
  • IDEXX Laboratories: Growing Global Direct Commercial Capability & Other Major Drivers


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: US$313mn One-Way, Four Names with Double-Impacts

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.

Amgen Inc: An Analysis Of The Pipeline Progress and Development! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Amgen’s Fourth Quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference Call highlighted several strategic moves and positive outcomes for the biotechnology company.
  • This past year, the company acquired Horizon Therapeutics, which foundationalized a new branch contributing to its growth.
  • Also, 18 of Amgen’s medicines reached record annual sales, including Repatha, Prolia, EVENITY, TEZSPIRE, BLINCYTO, KRYSTEXXA, and UPLIZNA. Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Pre-IPO Cloudbreak Pharma – The Business, the Concerns and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Surgery is doctors’ first choice in many cases. Ophthalmic medical devices are also popular. Compared to the market size of ophthalmic surgeries/medical devices, market size of ophthalmic drugs is small.
  • Although CLOUDBREAK’s pipeline has the potential to become first-in-class/best-in-class therapies to address unmet medical needs, considering fierce competition, the real market opportunities for its drug candidates may be smaller-than-expected
  • In last funding round before the IPO, CLOUDBREAK was valued at US$469 million.Valuation of CLOUDBREAK should be lower than Ocumension Therapeutics. So, premium space for IPO pricing may be limited.

IDEXX Laboratories: Growing Global Direct Commercial Capability & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In 2023, IDEXX Laboratories posted strong quarterly and annual results.
  • The company reported an 8% organic revenue increase in Q4, largely driven by gains in CAG Diagnostic recurring revenues.
  • Operating profits also rose 8% as reported, with a 10% increase on a comparable basis, aided by robust gross margin gains and OpEx leverage.

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Daily Brief Financials: Sasseur REIT, Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment, Bank Negara Indonesia Persero, Northern Arc Capital, Ethereum, Servisfirst Bancshares, USD and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China’s Outlet Industry
  • Industrial & Infrastructure Investment Corp Placement – Back to the Markets for the 12th Time
  • Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) – Big on Aspirations
  • Northern Arc Capital Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Crypto Moves #15 – 90% Likelihood of an Ethereum Spot ETF Approval This Year
  • Servisfirst Bancshares Inc (SFBS) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023
  • Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/AED January 26, 2024


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China’s Outlet Industry

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar we are glad to welcome Sasseur REIT’s CEO, Ms Cecilia Tan. 

In the upcoming webinar, Cecilia will share a short company presentation after which, she will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Robert Ciemniak.

Robert will also be providing an industry overview, featuring landscape commentary and returns analysis. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

In the spirit of giving back to our community, one of the attendees will also be awarded an Amazon Kindle as part of our exclusive lucky draw. 

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, February 29 2024, 18:30 SGT.

About Sasseur REIT

Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust (“Sasseur REIT”) is the first outlet REIT listed in Asia. Sasseur REIT’s portfolio comprises four outlets strategically located in the high-growth cities of Chongqing, Hefei and Kunming in China and is well-positioned to ride on the growth of the rising spending power of the Chinese middle class.

Sasseur REIT is managed by Sasseur Asset Management Pte. Ltd., an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Sasseur Cayman Holding Limited (the “Sponsor”) which is part of Sasseur Group, one of the leading premium outlet operators in China with 17 outlets under management.


Industrial & Infrastructure Investment Corp Placement – Back to the Markets for the 12th Time

By Ethan Aw

  • Industrial & Infrastructure Fund Investment (3249 JP) is looking to raise around US$341m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire 28 properties and an equity interest in a silent partnership. 
  • The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 16.2% dilution.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) – Big on Aspirations

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) remains a laggard amongst the top 4 banks in Indonesia in valuation terms, with improving returns leading to some upward re-rating. 
  • The bank continues to grow its high-quality corporate loans and consumer banking with a dramatic increase in its mobile banking users, which is helping to grow its low-cost CASA. 
  • BBNI remains an interesting proxy for Indonesia’s economy, with digital banking helping to drive returns. Valuations remain below peers but the bank is now approaching fair value.

Northern Arc Capital Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Northern Arc Capital (0542390D IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citigroup, Axis Capital, and ICICI Securities.
  • Northern Arc Capital (NAC) is a retail-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) catering its banking services to the under-served households and businesses in India.
  • According to CRISIL, NAC was one of the leading players amongst India’s diversified NBFCs in terms of AUM as of Mar 23.

Crypto Moves #15 – 90% Likelihood of an Ethereum Spot ETF Approval This Year

By Mads Eberhardt

  • It has been just over a month since the first Bitcoin spot ETFs hit the market on January 11th.
  • The initial weeks saw a slow start in terms of net inflow into these ETFs, mainly because investments into the two Bitcoin ETF titans from BlackRock’s iShares and Fidelity were lower than expected.
  • This situation was made worse by the significant outflow from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust ETF.

Servisfirst Bancshares Inc (SFBS) – Thursday, Nov 16, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • ServisFirst, an Alabama bank, is observing strong loan and deposit growth, despite a temporary decrease in net interest margin.
  • The bank is expected to achieve sustainable 20-25% return on equity within the next two years, thereby expanding profitability.
  • ServisFirst is the leading local bank for privately owned businesses in Alabama, with impressive organic core deposit growth and comparable net interest margins. Additionally, its balance sheet is strong, and its financial forecast predicts further expansion in multiples and profitability.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/AED January 26, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. December 28th , 2023 to January 26th, 2024, the USD/AED exchange rate fluctuated between 3.672 and 3.673. AED is pegged to the US Dollar at 3.67.
  • The MA-10 line was moving above the MA-20 line for the whole period. Both MA 10 and MA-20 lines maintained a steady upward trend throughout the entire period.
  • Based on Graph 2, the PPO (red line) was moving upwards at the beginning of the period under consideration but after January 15th the movement changed. 

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Daily Brief Consumer: Hyundai Motor India , TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Papoutsanis , Tyson Foods Inc Cl A and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Corporate Governance in Japan Is Improving, but Has yet to Take Steps to Create Value
  • Papoutsanis S.a. – 9M-11M FY2023 Results Presentation
  • Tyson Foods: Focus on Domestic Consumption and Expansion of the International Market! – Major Drivers


Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Motor India has been taking initial steps for an IPO. We believe this IPO could be completed sometime in 4Q 2024. 
  • Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) IPO offering size is estimated to be at least US$3 billion, which would be one of the largest in India and the world this year.
  • If HMIL is valued at US$25 billion and HMC sells a 15% stake, its remaining 85% stake would be worth US$21 billion, representing 55% of HMC’s market cap. 

Corporate Governance in Japan Is Improving, but Has yet to Take Steps to Create Value

By Aki Matsumoto

  • % of independent directors continued a modest rise, and % of women board members still reached 10% level. 6 of 1,788 companies transitioned to Company with US type 3 Committees.
  • Growth Policy score improved as more companies included ROIC in their KPIs, and AGM Disclosures score improved as the majority of prime market listed companies joined the voting platform.
  • Scores related to the use of cash and IR Disclosures score also didn’t improve noticeably. Companies are not taking action on how to use cash to expand their corporate value.

Papoutsanis S.a. – 9M-11M FY2023 Results Presentation

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Net Sales decreased by 12.6% in FY2023 settling at EUR 62.3M (vs 70.7M in FY2022).
  • Part of this decrease can be attributed to the decreasing demand for sanitizing products (Covid-19).
  • However Gross profit increased by 12.6% from 13.873 in 9M2022 to 15.631 in 9M2023 due to a decrease in Raw Materials Costs, Cost of Energy, and lastly due to higher efficiency in the production.

Tyson Foods: Focus on Domestic Consumption and Expansion of the International Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Q1 2024 financial results from Tyson Foods demonstrated a positive beginning to the fiscal year.
  • The $175 million improvement in adjusted operating income and near doubling of adjusted EPS on a sequential basis showcases momentum for the firm.
  • Chicken and pork served as offset points to beef headwinds while the prepared foods division continued to generate strong profit and margins.

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Most Read: Thai Beverage, Toei Animation, Altium Ltd, Newmont , Outsourcing Inc, Itoki Corp, Hyundai Motor India , ISC Co Ltd, Tosoh Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Cheaper than Peers with an Upcoming Catalyst
  • Toei Animation (4816) – Shareholder Selldown To Meet Listing Hurdles – Bigly, Heavy, More to Come
  • Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal
  • Renesas’ Transformative Offer For Altium
  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell
  • Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating
  • Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump
  • Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out
  • Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells


Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Cheaper than Peers with an Upcoming Catalyst

By Brian Freitas

  • Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) has trended lower over the last couple of years and the stock is trading very close to its lows.
  • There has been a contraction in multiples and Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) trades cheaper than a lot of its Asia listed peers.
  • A potential index inclusion could bring in significant passive inflows and result in a rerating of the stock.

Toei Animation (4816) – Shareholder Selldown To Meet Listing Hurdles – Bigly, Heavy, More to Come

By Travis Lundy

  • In December 2021, when companies were required to file statements with the TSE as to plans to meet continuing listing requirements, Toei Animation (4816 JP) had a Plan.
  • That plan? Get from a then-current 15.5% Tradable Shares level to 25.0% by 31 March 2025. That was “OK” though later, the TSE asked companies to speed it up.
  • Today, shareholders Sony and Bandai Namco announced an equity offering to sell down up to 4.48mm shares in a domestic+overseas offering. It’s big, heavy, and there is more to come.

Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

By Brian Freitas

  • Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) has entered a Scheme Implementation Agreement to acquire Altium Ltd (ALU AU) at A$68.5/share implying an equity value of A$9.1bn and an Enterprise Value of A$8.8bn.
  • The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last close and a larger premium to VWAPs ranging from 30 days to 180 days.
  • There will be ad hoc inclusions to the S&P/ASX 100 Index and the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) on Altium Ltd (ALU AU)‘s last trading day (expected second half of 2024).

Renesas’ Transformative Offer For Altium

By David Blennerhassett


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

By Brian Freitas

  • With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March.
  • There is nearly A$1bn to sell in Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
  • There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.

Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating

By Travis Lundy

  • I got a bunch of questions about my Outsourcing comments yesterday in Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • This piece is intended to clarify what I know (still limited), put parameters around what it might be, and draw lines in the sand which I might later erase.
  • This may be nothing. But it may not be. I will try to answer the questions I received in a kind of Q&A format, and I hope that helps.

Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump

By Travis Lundy


Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Motor India has been taking initial steps for an IPO. We believe this IPO could be completed sometime in 4Q 2024. 
  • Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) IPO offering size is estimated to be at least US$3 billion, which would be one of the largest in India and the world this year.
  • If HMIL is valued at US$25 billion and HMC sells a 15% stake, its remaining 85% stake would be worth US$21 billion, representing 55% of HMC’s market cap. 

Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • Will there be changes in April’s rebalancing? With two weeks left, two names are likely. Wonik IPS may be replaced by ISC Co Ltd, given a ₩150B market cap difference.
  • In the previous rebalancing, constituent changes had a notable price impact. Despite a passive flow impact of +1.0x ADTV, HPSP and EO Technics saw about a 15% 3-day return.
  • Wonik IPS is estimated to receive -4.0x ADTV, while ISC is expected to receive +1.0x ADTV. This is also quite similar to the previous rebalancing.

Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells

By Brian Freitas


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