All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Moves #15 – 90% Likelihood of an Ethereum Spot ETF Approval This Year and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Moves #15 – 90% Likelihood of an Ethereum Spot ETF Approval This Year


Crypto Moves #15 – 90% Likelihood of an Ethereum Spot ETF Approval This Year

By Mads Eberhardt

  • It has been just over a month since the first Bitcoin spot ETFs hit the market on January 11th.
  • The initial weeks saw a slow start in terms of net inflow into these ETFs, mainly because investments into the two Bitcoin ETF titans from BlackRock’s iShares and Fidelity were lower than expected.
  • This situation was made worse by the significant outflow from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust ETF.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump
  • Intel: Cyclical Recovery or Secular Demise? – [Business Breakdowns, EP.149]
  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China’s Outlet Industry
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads Persist After CNY Break
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results
  • Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) – Big on Aspirations
  • Base Carbon, Inc. – A Leading Player in the Growing Carbon Marketplace
  • ON Semiconductor Corporation: Growth in Silicon Carbide Business
  • IMMR: Meta Cash Is Real Cash
  • Auckland Airport 1H24 Preview — Capex to the Fore


Itoki (7972) Mammoth Buyback Coming Imminently After 35% Jump

By Travis Lundy


Intel: Cyclical Recovery or Secular Demise? – [Business Breakdowns, EP.149]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Investment firms are using Ten East to diversify their personal portfolios.
  • Business Breakdowns is a podcast series that explores the history, business models, and competitive advantages of different businesses.
  • Todd Austin, CIO of Parnassus Investments, discusses Intel’s fall from its iconic status and the factors that contributed to it.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China’s Outlet Industry

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar we are glad to welcome Sasseur REIT’s CEO, Ms Cecilia Tan. 

In the upcoming webinar, Cecilia will share a short company presentation after which, she will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Robert Ciemniak.

Robert will also be providing an industry overview, featuring landscape commentary and returns analysis. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

In the spirit of giving back to our community, one of the attendees will also be awarded an Amazon Kindle as part of our exclusive lucky draw. 

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, February 29 2024, 18:30 SGT.

About Sasseur REIT

Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust (“Sasseur REIT”) is the first outlet REIT listed in Asia. Sasseur REIT’s portfolio comprises four outlets strategically located in the high-growth cities of Chongqing, Hefei and Kunming in China and is well-positioned to ride on the growth of the rising spending power of the Chinese middle class.

Sasseur REIT is managed by Sasseur Asset Management Pte. Ltd., an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Sasseur Cayman Holding Limited (the “Sponsor”) which is part of Sasseur Group, one of the leading premium outlet operators in China with 17 outlets under management.


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads Persist After CNY Break

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.6% ADR Premium, Still High After CNY Multi-Day Taiwan Market Close
  • UMC: 1.3% ADR Premium, Still Historically High After CNY Break
  • ChipMOS: +4.2% Premium, Very Rare & High Level, Not Sustainable

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Playing Post-CNY Catch-Up; All Eyes on Upcoming Nvidia Results

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Taiwan Market Surges in Post-CNY Catch-Up, TSMC a Top Gainer Locally
  • Key Events Ahead: Nvidia Results Next Week, Key Taiwan Names Reporting
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: High Spreads to Persist After CNY Break 

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) – Big on Aspirations

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) remains a laggard amongst the top 4 banks in Indonesia in valuation terms, with improving returns leading to some upward re-rating. 
  • The bank continues to grow its high-quality corporate loans and consumer banking with a dramatic increase in its mobile banking users, which is helping to grow its low-cost CASA. 
  • BBNI remains an interesting proxy for Indonesia’s economy, with digital banking helping to drive returns. Valuations remain below peers but the bank is now approaching fair value.

Base Carbon, Inc. – A Leading Player in the Growing Carbon Marketplace

By Water Tower Research

  • Base Carbon is a leading provider of high-quality carbon offsets that can be purchased by third parties to meet their carbon offset goals.
  • Through a disciplined underwriting process, a strong balance sheet, and an experienced team, the company seeks to be the preferred carbon project partner for developers and buyers of carbon credits.
  • Robust portfolio of existing projects. Base Carbon has invested in three successful projects that are either currently generating credits and cash or will soon be producing credits that can be sold. 

ON Semiconductor Corporation: Growth in Silicon Carbide Business

By Baptista Research

  • ON Semiconductor concluded the fourth quarter in 2023 with remarkable achievements depicted by its transformation and ability to mitigate headwinds in challenging market conditions.
  • The quarter delivered non-GAAP gross margins of 46.7%, surpassing previous expectations.
  • Though utilization shrank to 66%, the gross margin reflects significant structural adjustments made over the past three years.

IMMR: Meta Cash Is Real Cash

By Hamed Khorsand

  • Immersion (IMMR) reached a licensing settlement with Meta Platforms (META) resulting in a payment of $17.5 million to IMMR
  • The initial response to the announcement is likely due to investors’ high expectations based on META’s significant market capitalization and the anticipated scale of returns
  • As a result of the cash received, we estimate IMMR to have approximately $6.20 per share in cash and securities, without consideration for fourth quarter of 2023

Auckland Airport 1H24 Preview — Capex to the Fore

By Forsyth Barr

  • Auckland Airport (AIA) will report a strong recovery in earnings, given the increase in air traffic over the past 18 months, when it reports its 1H24 result on 22 February 2024.
  • However, passenger (pax) development, as outlined in its monthly operating stats, has been below the level implied by the pax guidance provided at the FY23 result.
  • Consequently, FY24 NPAT guidance (NZ$260m–NZ$280m) is at risk, albeit at least partially mitigated by (1) improving retail income, and (2) AIA’s historic conservative nature when setting earnings guidance. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Renesas’ Transformative Offer For Altium and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Renesas’ Transformative Offer For Altium
  • Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating
  • Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out
  • Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells
  • Altium (ALU AU): Renesas (6723 JP) Binding A$68.50 Offer
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: US$313mn One-Way, Four Names with Double-Impacts
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way
  • Ansarada (AND AU): Datasite’s Binding A$2.50 Offer
  • Vitol/Saras: Time to Bid Farewell


Renesas’ Transformative Offer For Altium

By David Blennerhassett


Outsourcing (2427) MBO Situation – Checking, and Thinking, and Noodling, and Speculating

By Travis Lundy

  • I got a bunch of questions about my Outsourcing comments yesterday in Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • This piece is intended to clarify what I know (still limited), put parameters around what it might be, and draw lines in the sand which I might later erase.
  • This may be nothing. But it may not be. I will try to answer the questions I received in a kind of Q&A format, and I hope that helps.

Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • Will there be changes in April’s rebalancing? With two weeks left, two names are likely. Wonik IPS may be replaced by ISC Co Ltd, given a ₩150B market cap difference.
  • In the previous rebalancing, constituent changes had a notable price impact. Despite a passive flow impact of +1.0x ADTV, HPSP and EO Technics saw about a 15% 3-day return.
  • Wonik IPS is estimated to receive -4.0x ADTV, while ISC is expected to receive +1.0x ADTV. This is also quite similar to the previous rebalancing.

Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells

By Brian Freitas


Altium (ALU AU): Renesas (6723 JP) Binding A$68.50 Offer

By Arun George

  • Altium Ltd (ALU AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) at A$68.50 per share, a 33.6% premium to the undisturbed price (14 February).
  • The offer will close in 2H, requiring several approvals – FIRB, CFIUS, HSR Act clearance, German Ministry FDI, German Federal Cartel Office clearance, and Turkish Competition Authority.
  • The offer price is attractive and 31% above the all-time high, lowering the chance of a competing proposal. At the last close, the gross spread is 3.8%.

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Jun 24: US$313mn One-Way, Four Names with Double-Impacts

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ChiNext Index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
  • The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs in the June 2024 index rebal event.

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.5bn Index Flows One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Since my last insight, there have been a couple of changes to our expected ADDs basket and a couple of changes to our expected DELs basket for the SSE180 index.

Ansarada (AND AU): Datasite’s Binding A$2.50 Offer

By Arun George

  • On 13 February, Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with Datasite. The offer price is A$2.50 per share, a 19.0% premium to the undisturbed price (12 February).
  • The offer requires FIRB approval along with shareholder approval of the inter-conditional scheme and carve-out transaction. 
  • The offer price is reasonable and marginally short of the all-time high. At the last close and for an early June close, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/8.3%.

Vitol/Saras: Time to Bid Farewell

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Morattis have agreed to sell their 40% stake in Saras SpA (SRS IM) to Vitol at €1.75/share (implied equity value €1,664 million), which will trigger a mandatory takeover offer.
  • Saras has only an asset, the largest refinery in Italy, based in Sardinia, which should add scale to Vitol. At 12.5x Fwd P/E, the offer represents a premium to peers.
  • Considering the unimpressive stock market performance of Saras since listing, and potential Trafigura overhang, it’s a good time to cash in. Spread is 1.54%/8.58% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by 23 April). Long.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: Sasseur REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China’s Outlet Industry


Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | Sasseur REIT: A Glimpse into China’s Outlet Industry

By Smartkarma Research

For our next Corporate Webinar we are glad to welcome Sasseur REIT’s CEO, Ms Cecilia Tan. 

In the upcoming webinar, Cecilia will share a short company presentation after which, she will engage in a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Robert Ciemniak.

Robert will also be providing an industry overview, featuring landscape commentary and returns analysis. The Corporate Webinar will include a live Q&A session.

In the spirit of giving back to our community, one of the attendees will also be awarded an Amazon Kindle as part of our exclusive lucky draw. 

The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Thursday, February 29 2024, 18:30 SGT.

About Sasseur REIT

Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust (“Sasseur REIT”) is the first outlet REIT listed in Asia. Sasseur REIT’s portfolio comprises four outlets strategically located in the high-growth cities of Chongqing, Hefei and Kunming in China and is well-positioned to ride on the growth of the rising spending power of the Chinese middle class.

Sasseur REIT is managed by Sasseur Asset Management Pte. Ltd., an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Sasseur Cayman Holding Limited (the “Sponsor”) which is part of Sasseur Group, one of the leading premium outlet operators in China with 17 outlets under management.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Motor India , ISC Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO
  • Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out


Initial Thoughts on Hyundai Motor India IPO

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Motor India has been taking initial steps for an IPO. We believe this IPO could be completed sometime in 4Q 2024. 
  • Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) IPO offering size is estimated to be at least US$3 billion, which would be one of the largest in India and the world this year.
  • If HMIL is valued at US$25 billion and HMC sells a 15% stake, its remaining 85% stake would be worth US$21 billion, representing 55% of HMC’s market cap. 

Sector ETF Rebalancing with Remarkable Price Impact History: ISC In, Wonik IPS Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • Will there be changes in April’s rebalancing? With two weeks left, two names are likely. Wonik IPS may be replaced by ISC Co Ltd, given a ₩150B market cap difference.
  • In the previous rebalancing, constituent changes had a notable price impact. Despite a passive flow impact of +1.0x ADTV, HPSP and EO Technics saw about a 15% 3-day return.
  • Wonik IPS is estimated to receive -4.0x ADTV, while ISC is expected to receive +1.0x ADTV. This is also quite similar to the previous rebalancing.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: EM by EM #43: Rand’s Reckoning? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • EM by EM #43: Rand’s Reckoning?
  • Episode 112: Subprime Signals
  • Shipping Watch: Looks like container rates have topped for now
  • UAE (United Arab Emirates) Economy
  • UK Stagnation is Technically a Recession
  • Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/AED January 26, 2024


EM by EM #43: Rand’s Reckoning?

By Emil Moller

  • Just as the markets were speculating about which spring month would see the first Fed rate cut of the cycle, a surprisingly high CPI report from the BLS swiftly dispelled any lingering dovish sentiment that had survived the recent NFP announcement.
  • We’ve analyzed both the CPI data (see here) and the current labor market in detail (see here), and although there are signs of cooling, it’s difficult to counter the recent adjustments in the OIS curve.
  • This suggests that USD assets remain the focal point, and for the foreseeable future, EM macro strategies should lean towards spread/receiving rather than expecting an NVDA-like bull run in equities

Episode 112: Subprime Signals

By The Transcript

  • Companies are expecting the Federal Reserve to reduce rates to ease the burden on consumers and boost confidence in markets.
  • Inflation is still a concern for many companies, particularly at the high end, but the Fed cannot act until there is substantial data showing a decrease in inflation.
  • The lower income consumers are trading down and experiencing financial difficulties, with subprime delinquencies reaching levels similar to 2009, which is concerning for the market. 

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Shipping Watch: Looks like container rates have topped for now

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • The latest data release from WCI shows the first w/w drop in US freight rates in a couple of months.
  • Meanwhile Europe continues its drop in freight rates for the 3rd consecutive week now.
  • Looks like the carnage in freight rates is over with seasonal effects in shipping expected to kick in 1-2 months from now based on historic import patterns from Europe and the US.

UAE (United Arab Emirates) Economy

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • In 2022, UAE experienced a significant rise in its GDP growth, as Real GDP reached AED 1,610.11 billion, reflecting a 7.41% increase compared to the previous year.
  • Progressing onwards, the IMF has forecasted average growth rates of 3.52% for 2023 and 3.88% for 2024.
  • The IMF projections affirmed continuous fluctuations in the nominal figures of Public Debt.

UK Stagnation is Technically a Recession

By Phil Rush

  • UK GDP disappointed as revisions meant December’s surprisingly modest decline was consistent with a much weaker Q4, falling by 0.3% q-o-q after Q3’s 0.1% contraction.
  • Although GDP is technically in recession, that definition is too easy to meet for a stagnant economy. The macro regime is not breaking into a traditional recession.
  • Surveys suggest that GDP is already rebounding without the dip loosening the labour market. In our view, excess demand and inflation remain inconsistent with rate cuts.

Comment on Exchange Rate – USD/AED January 26, 2024

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • During the period under consideration, i.e. December 28th , 2023 to January 26th, 2024, the USD/AED exchange rate fluctuated between 3.672 and 3.673. AED is pegged to the US Dollar at 3.67.
  • The MA-10 line was moving above the MA-20 line for the whole period. Both MA 10 and MA-20 lines maintained a steady upward trend throughout the entire period.
  • Based on Graph 2, the PPO (red line) was moving upwards at the beginning of the period under consideration but after January 15th the movement changed. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Utilities: Adani Transmission and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Rakuten Group , UPL Ltd


Morning Views Asia: Rakuten Group , UPL Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Indonesia: Bank Negara Indonesia Persero and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) – Big on Aspirations


Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) – Big on Aspirations

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) remains a laggard amongst the top 4 banks in Indonesia in valuation terms, with improving returns leading to some upward re-rating. 
  • The bank continues to grow its high-quality corporate loans and consumer banking with a dramatic increase in its mobile banking users, which is helping to grow its low-cost CASA. 
  • BBNI remains an interesting proxy for Indonesia’s economy, with digital banking helping to drive returns. Valuations remain below peers but the bank is now approaching fair value.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Northern Arc Capital, Adani Transmission and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Northern Arc Capital Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Morning Views Asia: Rakuten Group , UPL Ltd


Northern Arc Capital Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Northern Arc Capital (0542390D IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Citigroup, Axis Capital, and ICICI Securities.
  • Northern Arc Capital (NAC) is a retail-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) catering its banking services to the under-served households and businesses in India.
  • According to CRISIL, NAC was one of the leading players amongst India’s diversified NBFCs in terms of AUM as of Mar 23.

Morning Views Asia: Rakuten Group , UPL Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Tosoh Corp, Saras SpA, Ring Energy Inc, HighPeak Energy Inc, OceanaGold Philippines and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells
  • Vitol/Saras: Time to Bid Farewell
  • Ring Energy, Inc. – Estimate Update
  • HighPeak Energy, Inc. – Dividend Hike; Estimate Update
  • OceanaGold Philippines Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Japan – Shorts & Positioning on Passive Sells

By Brian Freitas


Vitol/Saras: Time to Bid Farewell

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Morattis have agreed to sell their 40% stake in Saras SpA (SRS IM) to Vitol at €1.75/share (implied equity value €1,664 million), which will trigger a mandatory takeover offer.
  • Saras has only an asset, the largest refinery in Italy, based in Sardinia, which should add scale to Vitol. At 12.5x Fwd P/E, the offer represents a premium to peers.
  • Considering the unimpressive stock market performance of Saras since listing, and potential Trafigura overhang, it’s a good time to cash in. Spread is 1.54%/8.58% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by 23 April). Long.

Ring Energy, Inc. – Estimate Update

By Water Tower Research

  • Ring’s 4Q23 production averaged ~19,400 BOE/d, near the high end of management’s 18,900-19,500 BOE/d guidance range.
  • Average production increased 11% from 3Q23, reflecting the full-quarter inclusion of  volumes acquired in the Founders acquisition, which closed in August 2023, and from volumes added from the completion of the 2023 development program in the quarter.
  • Management expects 1Q24 production to average 18,000-18,500 BOE/d. 1Q24 volumes were adversely affected by winter weather disruptions in January, which deferred ~1,900 BOE/d for 10 days and natural declines from wells completed during 2H23.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. – Dividend Hike; Estimate Update

By Water Tower Research

  • HighPeak declared a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.04 per share on February 5, 2024, a 60% increase from the prior dividend of $0.025 per share.
  • The 1Q24 dividend will be paid on March 25, 2024, to shareholders of record as of March 1, 2024.
  • The board also authorized a $75-million common stock repurchase program effective through December 31, 2024.

OceanaGold Philippines Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • OceanaGold Philippines (OGCP000D PM) is looking to raise up to US$140m in its upcoming Philippines IPO. The deal will be run by BDO Capital and CLSA.
  • OceanaGold Philippines (OGPI) is a producer of gold and copper in the Philippines, and a subsidiary of OceanaGold Corporation, a Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) listed gold mining and exploration company. 
  • Based on the Mines and Geosciences Bureau (MGB), OGPI was the second largest producer of gold and copper in the Philippines for FY22 and 9M23.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars