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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Caterpillar Inc, Carrier Global , Xylem Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Caterpillar Inc: Reinvestment into Strategic Initiatives & Services Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • Carrier Global Corporation: Increased Demand for Commercial HVAC & Other Major Drivers
  • Xylem Inc: Strong Operational Performance and Future Expectations! – Major Drivers


Caterpillar Inc: Reinvestment into Strategic Initiatives & Services Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Q4 2023 earnings by Caterpillar indicate the company has delivered a strong quarter and a solid year, with several record financial milestones.
  • This includes record sales and revenues, adjusted profit margin, adjusted profit per share, and Machinery, Energy & Transportation (ME&T) free cash flow.
  • These positive results are driven by healthy demand across most end markets for their products and services, displaying robust operational efficiency by the firm.

Carrier Global Corporation: Increased Demand for Commercial HVAC & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Carrier Global Corp.
  • recorded a robust Q4 2023 performance, delivering 33% growth in adjusted EPS and generating over $800 million in free cash flow, significantly exceeding expectations.
  • Key to this success was resilient aftermarket growth alongside margin expansion.

Xylem Inc: Strong Operational Performance and Future Expectations! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Xylem Inc.
  • delivered a strong financial performance for its fourth quarter, exceeding expectations in both revenue and earnings per share.
  • The company recorded a 9% organic revenue growth due to strong demand, coupled with a disciplined execution that contributed to a 90 basis-point expansion in EBITDA margin.

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Daily Brief Financials: China Vanke , Hang Seng Index and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Vanke Offloads Shanghai Mall at Discount
  • EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week


Vanke Offloads Shanghai Mall at Discount

By Caixin Global

  • China Vanke Co. Ltd. is selling its entire stake in a Shanghai retail complex to Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link Reit) at a discount, as the indebted developer offloads assets to ease liquidity crunch.
  • Hong Kong-listed Link Reit, Asia’s largest real estate investment trust, said in a Friday filing that it agreed to acquire a 50% stake in Qibao Vanke Plaza from Vanke at 2.38 billion yuan ($334 million).
  • Link Reit already owns the remaining 50% stake in the plaza after a 2.77-billion-yuan purchase from Vanke’s partner GIC Pte. Ltd. in April 2021.

EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week

By Nico Rosti

  • The Hang Seng Index is rallying as anticipated in a previous insight, but it could stop this week and pullback a bit. 
  • 3 possible trades available: go SHORT and hold to profit from a re-start of the downtrend, go SHORT and close after 1 week, wait the pullback and go LONG.
  • It’s unclear at the moment if the index will go lower or rebound after the upcoming pullback.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, MGM China Holdings, ZJLD Group , Advance Auto Parts, Estee Lauder Companies Cl A, Guess? Inc, Ford Motor Co, Kintetsu Department Store, Mcdonald’s Corp, Chipotle Mexican Grill and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Emerging Korean Investment Theme: Potential Corporate Defense Mechanisms for Share Cancellations
  • StubWorld: Union Stikes Impact MGM; MGM China Tops Pre-Covid Numbers
  • ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Fundamentals Intact; Share Price Wrongfully Punished
  • Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) – Friday, Nov 17, 2023
  • The Estée Lauder Companies: How This Beauty Giant is Turning the Tables Amidst a Global Crisis! – Major Drivers
  • GES: Rag & Bone an Auspicious First Acquisition; Reiterate Buy, $32.50 PT
  • Ford Motor Company: Multifaceted Approach to the Current EV Market
  • Kintetsu Uses Franchise Model to Diversify from Department Stores
  • McDonald’s Corporation: What Are Their Actions in Response to Economic Pressures & Inflation? – Major Drivers
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill: Pricing Strategies to Counter Wage Increases & Other Major Developments – Financial Forecasts


Emerging Korean Investment Theme: Potential Corporate Defense Mechanisms for Share Cancellations

By Sanghyun Park

  • Local sources confirm government’s focus on strengthening stock market for April election. Market expects aggressive policies for share cancellations, including corporate defense mechanisms.
  • Chosun Ilbo, a government-friendly and influential media outlet,  advocates for corporate defense mechanisms to boost share cancellations, shaping a political atmosphere.
  • This theme is likely to emerge in Korea’s market. We must consider political dynamics and screen companies with high treasury shares for potential stock boosts.

StubWorld: Union Stikes Impact MGM; MGM China Tops Pre-Covid Numbers

By David Blennerhassett

  • MGM China Holdings (2282 HK)‘s FY23 top line surpasses pre-Covid levels. MGM Resorts International (MGM US) figures hit by union strike at MGM Grand Detroit.
  • Preceding my comments on MGM are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Fundamentals Intact; Share Price Wrongfully Punished

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Many China consumer stocks, including ZJLD Group (6979 HK), have been sold off heavily in the past 6 months, primarily driven by a fear of deflation and weak consumer sentiment. 
  • ZJLD Group is one of the exceptions, with fundamentals intact while share price heavily sold off. 
  • Shares look attractive vs. its high growth rate and strong management team, and especially with the return of Southbound connect post holidays. 

Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) – Friday, Nov 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is currently undervalued and presents a favorable investment opportunity.
  • Despite perceived issues, AAP has a strong profitability history and is trading at a significantly lower valuation than its peers.
  • Assuming AAP can achieve historical levels of free cash flow, there is potential for attractive value creation. The new CEO and CFO appointments and the sale of non-core assets are seen as positive developments that could further enhance AAP’s operations and potentially lead to a recovery in 2024.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


The Estée Lauder Companies: How This Beauty Giant is Turning the Tables Amidst a Global Crisis! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Estée Lauder Companies presented their fiscal 2024 second quarter earnings with a mix of performance trends.
  • The earnings per share surpassed expectations, although an organic sales decline occurred of 8%.
  • One of the significant challenges faced by the company was a decline of 28% in their global travel retail business, largely influenced by the impact of Covid-19 on international travel.

GES: Rag & Bone an Auspicious First Acquisition; Reiterate Buy, $32.50 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and raising our projections to reflect the announced acquisition of leading premium ($195+) denim player rag & bone by Guess?
  • and a joint venture with leading brand licensor WHP Global.
  • We view this acquisition, Guess?’ first, as an accretive winner, offering multiple (and material) expansion opportunities which leverage Guess?’ strong international presence, infrastructure, category expansion and licensing ability and position as a leading global lifestyle brand retailer.

Ford Motor Company: Multifaceted Approach to the Current EV Market

By Baptista Research

  • Ford Motor Company’s fourth-quarter 2023 earnings call highlights several significant achievements.
  • CEO Jim Farley describes the past year as foundational for the company, with an increased focus on hybrid and electric vehicles proving advantageous.
  • Ford’s hybrid sales were up 20% in the previous year and are expected to rise another 40% in the upcoming year.

Kintetsu Uses Franchise Model to Diversify from Department Stores

By Michael Causton

  • Kintetsu has been expanding the number of direct franchises in its stores for the past five years.
  • It now plans to open as many as 100 franchises both in its own properties and in third-party locations, including new franchises from overseas.
  • The department store has set a target for nearly 40% of sales from this source by 2026.

McDonald’s Corporation: What Are Their Actions in Response to Economic Pressures & Inflation? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • McDonald’s Corporation recently reported its fourth quarter earnings for 2023.
  • Despite ongoing macroeconomic pressures throughout 2023, the company managed to deliver strong growth, reporting global comp sales growth of 9% and guest count performance of nearly 3% globally.
  • Furthermore, positive traffic was reported across all segments, and the company maintained its leading market share across most of its major markets.

Chipotle Mexican Grill: Pricing Strategies to Counter Wage Increases & Other Major Developments – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • In Q4 FY2023, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
  • (Chipotle) reported a 15% YoY increase in sales, reaching $2.5 billion, driven by an 8.4% comp sales growth on the back of a 7% transaction growth.
  • Over the fiscal year, sales increased 14% to reach $9.9 billion backed by a 7.9% comp sales growth.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 9th): ANZ and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 9th): ANZ, CSL, Telstra


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 9th): ANZ, CSL, Telstra

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 9th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.1bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest weekly changes in ANZ, CSL, Telstra.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ping An Insurance – Recent Profit Growth Is Weak and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ping An Insurance – Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 16/02/2024


Ping An Insurance – Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

By Daniel Tabbush

  • China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.
  • Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.
  • Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further.

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 16/02/2024

By Auctus Advisors

  • ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – The well site construction at the Welchau-1 drill site is complete.
  • The drilling rig is expected to become available to ADX on 14 February. The rig move and rig assembly will take ~6 days after rig release.
  • Drilling operations are expected to commence on 20 February with a duration of ~39 days.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Emerging Korean Investment Theme: Potential Corporate Defense Mechanisms for Share Cancellations and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Emerging Korean Investment Theme: Potential Corporate Defense Mechanisms for Share Cancellations
  • StubWorld: Union Stikes Impact MGM; MGM China Tops Pre-Covid Numbers
  • EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week


Emerging Korean Investment Theme: Potential Corporate Defense Mechanisms for Share Cancellations

By Sanghyun Park

  • Local sources confirm government’s focus on strengthening stock market for April election. Market expects aggressive policies for share cancellations, including corporate defense mechanisms.
  • Chosun Ilbo, a government-friendly and influential media outlet,  advocates for corporate defense mechanisms to boost share cancellations, shaping a political atmosphere.
  • This theme is likely to emerge in Korea’s market. We must consider political dynamics and screen companies with high treasury shares for potential stock boosts.

StubWorld: Union Stikes Impact MGM; MGM China Tops Pre-Covid Numbers

By David Blennerhassett

  • MGM China Holdings (2282 HK)‘s FY23 top line surpasses pre-Covid levels. MGM Resorts International (MGM US) figures hit by union strike at MGM Grand Detroit.
  • Preceding my comments on MGM are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week

By Nico Rosti

  • The Hang Seng Index is rallying as anticipated in a previous insight, but it could stop this week and pullback a bit. 
  • 3 possible trades available: go SHORT and hold to profit from a re-start of the downtrend, go SHORT and close after 1 week, wait the pullback and go LONG.
  • It’s unclear at the moment if the index will go lower or rebound after the upcoming pullback.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: [Alibaba (BABA US and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • [Alibaba (BABA US, SELL, TP US$66) TP Change]: What It Takes for Us to Be More Positive on BABA?
  • Trend Micro (4704) – In-Line Announcement Causes Selloff – Hopium Meets Reason
  • Globalfoundries. Pressure Grows As Customer Penalties Soar
  • ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Fundamentals Intact; Share Price Wrongfully Punished
  • Fortinet Inc: Strong Competition and Growth in Secure Operations (SecOps) and SASE
  • Vanke Offloads Shanghai Mall at Discount
  • Palantir Technologies: Outstanding Bookings and High-Retention Rate Resulting In The Share Price Skyrocketing? – Major Drivers
  • Check Point Software Technologies: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing the Power of AI to Combat Cyber Threats — Discover the Future of Internet Safety! – Major Drivers
  • Amkor Technology: Engagement in Secular Growth Markets & Other Major Drivers
  • Cognizant Technology Solutions: Solid Investment in AI and Automation Technologies! – Major Drivers


[Alibaba (BABA US, SELL, TP US$66) TP Change]: What It Takes for Us to Be More Positive on BABA?

By Ying Pan

  • BABA reported C4Q23 top line, non-GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in-line, 3.8% and (71)% vs. our estimates. 
  • The discrepancy between non-GAAP operating and GAAP net is due to restructuring charges;
  • A few clients asked what it would take to be more positive on BABA. To us, grasp of its situation and alignment of the organization must happen first…

Trend Micro (4704) – In-Line Announcement Causes Selloff – Hopium Meets Reason

By Travis Lundy


Globalfoundries. Pressure Grows As Customer Penalties Soar

By William Keating

  • Globalfoundries (GFS) reported Q423 revenues of $1.854 billion, marginally above the midpoint of the guidance range, down 12% YoY and essentially flat sequentially.
  • Guided Q124 down 18% QoQ with Gross Margin set to fall from 29% to 23%
  • SMIC will outspend GFS 10x in CapEx terms this year

ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Fundamentals Intact; Share Price Wrongfully Punished

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Many China consumer stocks, including ZJLD Group (6979 HK), have been sold off heavily in the past 6 months, primarily driven by a fear of deflation and weak consumer sentiment. 
  • ZJLD Group is one of the exceptions, with fundamentals intact while share price heavily sold off. 
  • Shares look attractive vs. its high growth rate and strong management team, and especially with the return of Southbound connect post holidays. 

Fortinet Inc: Strong Competition and Growth in Secure Operations (SecOps) and SASE

By Baptista Research

  • Fortinet Inc., a cybersecurity solutions provider, saw its total billings rise 8.5% to $1.9 billion in Q4 2023.
  • This growth, which was driven by an increased focus on secure operations (ops), Secure Access Service Edge (SASE), and improved execution of its sales strategy, led to six deals in excess of $10 million across five industry verticals.
  • Fortinet’s customer base comprised 76% of businesses in the Fortune 100, including nine of the top 10 technology companies and manufacturers and nine of the top 10 healthcare providers.

Vanke Offloads Shanghai Mall at Discount

By Caixin Global

  • China Vanke Co. Ltd. is selling its entire stake in a Shanghai retail complex to Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link Reit) at a discount, as the indebted developer offloads assets to ease liquidity crunch.
  • Hong Kong-listed Link Reit, Asia’s largest real estate investment trust, said in a Friday filing that it agreed to acquire a 50% stake in Qibao Vanke Plaza from Vanke at 2.38 billion yuan ($334 million).
  • Link Reit already owns the remaining 50% stake in the plaza after a 2.77-billion-yuan purchase from Vanke’s partner GIC Pte. Ltd. in April 2021.

Palantir Technologies: Outstanding Bookings and High-Retention Rate Resulting In The Share Price Skyrocketing? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Palantir, a leading developer of data analytics software, showcased strong results in the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • The firm reported $608 million in fourth-quarter revenue, which represents 20% YoY and 9% sequential growth.
  • The substantial contribution came from the commercial business which surpassed $1 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, marking this figure as a noteworthy milestone.

Check Point Software Technologies: Initiation of Coverage – Unleashing the Power of AI to Combat Cyber Threats — Discover the Future of Internet Safety! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Check Point Software, a multinational cybersecurity firm based in Tel Aviv.
  • The company had a particularly strong fourth quarter in 2023, according to their recent earnings call.
  • The company’s operating income for Q4 2023 was at $309 million, a 7% increase year-overyear, and their non-GAAP operating margin of 47% was quite stable.

Amkor Technology: Engagement in Secular Growth Markets & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Amkor Technology, Inc.’s Q4 2023 earnings call outlined a year of challenges due to macroeconomic headwinds, excess inventory, and geopolitical tensions, which led to an 8% decline in annual revenue.
  • However, the firm also reported steady performance with Q4 revenue standing at $1.75 billion and full-year revenue at $6.5 billion.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Cognizant Technology Solutions: Solid Investment in AI and Automation Technologies! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cognizant Technology Solutions reported its fourth-quarter 2023 results during the earnings conference call.
  • The company’s Q4 revenue stood at $4.8 billion, aligning with the guidance range provided in the last quarter, despite ongoing macroeconomic pressures.
  • However, this represented a year-over-year decrease of 1.7%.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Sacom Development And Investme and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • SAM Holdings – Building a One-Stop Cancer Treatment Centre – Debuts on SGX


SAM Holdings – Building a One-Stop Cancer Treatment Centre – Debuts on SGX

By Geoff Howie

  • The operator of two medical clinics in Singapore – Singapore Institute of Advanced Medicine (SAM Holdings) is among the first in the nation to install the ProBeam Proton Therapy Solution, an advanced technology used to treat cancer.
  • SAM Holdings made its debut on the SGX Catalist today.
  • The Varian ProBeam Compact is capable of emitting pencil beam proton therapy to deliver precision proton beam therapy to treat cancer patients, placing the company at the forefront of medical technology in the field of radiation therapy for cancer treatment in Singapore.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Emerging Korean Investment Theme: Potential Corporate Defense Mechanisms for Share Cancellations


Emerging Korean Investment Theme: Potential Corporate Defense Mechanisms for Share Cancellations

By Sanghyun Park

  • Local sources confirm government’s focus on strengthening stock market for April election. Market expects aggressive policies for share cancellations, including corporate defense mechanisms.
  • Chosun Ilbo, a government-friendly and influential media outlet,  advocates for corporate defense mechanisms to boost share cancellations, shaping a political atmosphere.
  • This theme is likely to emerge in Korea’s market. We must consider political dynamics and screen companies with high treasury shares for potential stock boosts.

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Daily Brief China: Alibaba (ADR), MGM China Holdings, ZJLD Group , China Vanke , Hang Seng Index and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • [Alibaba (BABA US, SELL, TP US$66) TP Change]: What It Takes for Us to Be More Positive on BABA?
  • StubWorld: Union Stikes Impact MGM; MGM China Tops Pre-Covid Numbers
  • ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Fundamentals Intact; Share Price Wrongfully Punished
  • Vanke Offloads Shanghai Mall at Discount
  • EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week


[Alibaba (BABA US, SELL, TP US$66) TP Change]: What It Takes for Us to Be More Positive on BABA?

By Ying Pan

  • BABA reported C4Q23 top line, non-GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income in-line, 3.8% and (71)% vs. our estimates. 
  • The discrepancy between non-GAAP operating and GAAP net is due to restructuring charges;
  • A few clients asked what it would take to be more positive on BABA. To us, grasp of its situation and alignment of the organization must happen first…

StubWorld: Union Stikes Impact MGM; MGM China Tops Pre-Covid Numbers

By David Blennerhassett

  • MGM China Holdings (2282 HK)‘s FY23 top line surpasses pre-Covid levels. MGM Resorts International (MGM US) figures hit by union strike at MGM Grand Detroit.
  • Preceding my comments on MGM are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Fundamentals Intact; Share Price Wrongfully Punished

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Many China consumer stocks, including ZJLD Group (6979 HK), have been sold off heavily in the past 6 months, primarily driven by a fear of deflation and weak consumer sentiment. 
  • ZJLD Group is one of the exceptions, with fundamentals intact while share price heavily sold off. 
  • Shares look attractive vs. its high growth rate and strong management team, and especially with the return of Southbound connect post holidays. 

Vanke Offloads Shanghai Mall at Discount

By Caixin Global

  • China Vanke Co. Ltd. is selling its entire stake in a Shanghai retail complex to Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link Reit) at a discount, as the indebted developer offloads assets to ease liquidity crunch.
  • Hong Kong-listed Link Reit, Asia’s largest real estate investment trust, said in a Friday filing that it agreed to acquire a 50% stake in Qibao Vanke Plaza from Vanke at 2.38 billion yuan ($334 million).
  • Link Reit already owns the remaining 50% stake in the plaza after a 2.77-billion-yuan purchase from Vanke’s partner GIC Pte. Ltd. in April 2021.

EQD | HSI Rally: Possible Brief Stop This Week

By Nico Rosti

  • The Hang Seng Index is rallying as anticipated in a previous insight, but it could stop this week and pullback a bit. 
  • 3 possible trades available: go SHORT and hold to profit from a re-start of the downtrend, go SHORT and close after 1 week, wait the pullback and go LONG.
  • It’s unclear at the moment if the index will go lower or rebound after the upcoming pullback.

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Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars