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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 16th): Seek and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 16th): Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 23rd): AIA, HSBC, Yum China


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 16th): Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 16th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.0bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 23rd): AIA, HSBC, Yum China

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Yum China (9987 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Lenovo and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: Reddit IPO Preview and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Reddit IPO Preview


Reddit IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Reddit is getting ready for an IPO in the United States in the next several weeks. It is expected that this IPO will be completed in March. 
  • The company was previously valued at US$10 billion in a funding round in 2021. It is expected that the company could sell about 10% of its shares in this IPO.
  • Reddit may be seeking a valuation of at least US$5 billion in this IPO, which would be nearly half its valuation it received in 2021 in a private funding round. 

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 23/02/2024 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 23/02/2024
  • SPAC Rules – A Case of After the Lord Mayor’s Show


AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 23/02/2024

By Auctus Advisors

  • ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: Drilling update in Austria – Drilling operations at the high impact Welchau prospect are now expected to commence on 24 February with a duration of ~39 days.
  • ADX will now use the RED E200 rig instead of RED E202.
  • Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.60 per share: Successful appraisal drilling expected to boost reserves – The CN-5 well encountered 45 feet of Ubaque pay to base of sand with 25% porosity and 5 Darcy permeability.

SPAC Rules – A Case of After the Lord Mayor’s Show

By Water Tower Research

  • SPAC IPO market continues at a slow pace. The first seven weeks of 2024 have seen four new SPACs come to market.
  • By comparison, there have been more than three times as many traditional IPO listings since the start of the year.
  • On a more positive note, two of the three SPAC IPOs priced in February have been relatively sizeable offerings: Legato Merger Corp III (LEGT) generated gross proceeds of $201.25 million, while Helix Acquisition Corp II (HLXB) delivered $184 million in funds to its trust. 

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.
  • Alteogen (196170 KS): Modified License Agreement For Major Platform Technology Is A Hard Catalyst
  • Cisco Systems: How Successful Are Their Efforts Of Digging Into AI? – Major Drivers
  • Deep Value Driller (DVD) – Thursday, Nov 23, 2023
  • Inox Wind Merger: Behind the Arbitrage
  • LATAM Group – Strong Momentum and Strategic Opportunities
  • Sony Corporation: Expansion of smartphone market
  • Lyft Inc: Expanding Portfolio through Strategic Partnerships & 5 Major Growth Drivers! – Financial Forecasts
  • DaVita Inc: 5 Biggest Catalysts Of Their Future Growth! – Financial Forecasts
  • Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Growth Strategy In 2024! – Major Drivers


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Implications of Feb Sales, TSMC 2nd Japanese Fab and NVDA Stock Price.

By Patrick Liao

  • Usually, February is typically the month with the fewest working days of the year, and therefore, revenue is likely to be at its lowest as well.
  • We consider that the Taiwanese government may desire TSMC to build fabs in countries aligned with those who signed the “Wassenaar Arrangement.” 
  • The price hike of NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) by US$785.38 on February 22 in the US market could signal an important development in the AI sector.

Alteogen (196170 KS): Modified License Agreement For Major Platform Technology Is A Hard Catalyst

By Tina Banerjee

  • Alteogen Inc (196170 KS) has modified the existing license agreement with Merck. Revised terms of the agreement grant Merck exclusive global right to ALT-B4 for a specific product group, pembrolizumab.
  • Under the terms of the revised agreement, Alteogen will receive an upfront payment of $20M from Merck. Alteogen will also receive additional milestone payment of up to $432M.
  • Approval of Alteogen’s first proprietary product, Tergase (expected in early 2024) will be the next major catalyst for the company.  

Cisco Systems: How Successful Are Their Efforts Of Digging Into AI? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cisco Systems Inc.’s fiscal second-quarter results demonstrated a mix of positives and negatives, balanced by the company’s flexible strategic route and shifting market conditions.
  • Revenue for the quarter edged at the high end of the company’s guidance range, owing to robust operating leverage across business segments that surpassed margin expectations and facilitated better-than-expected earnings per share.
  • A total of $2.8 billion value was returned to investors through dividends and share buybacks, evidencing Cisco’s ongoing commitment to its shareholders.

Deep Value Driller (DVD) – Thursday, Nov 23, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Oslo-listed company focused on residual value of a 7th generation UDW drillship acquired at low cost before offshore market downturn
  • Market cap of USD 187 million with potential for dividends and special payouts
  • Secured charter contract with Saipem, poised to generate significant revenue and deliver solid returns for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Inox Wind Merger: Behind the Arbitrage

By Nitin Mangal

  • INOX India Limited (INOX IN) ( or IWL) and Inox Wind Energy (IWEL IN) (or IWEL) have announced a merger, where IWEL will be amalgamated with IWL
  • The share swap ratio in the scheme of amalgamation gives a very evident arbitrage opportunity. 
  • The arbitrage opportunity has become bigger than when announced in June 2023. While the strategy is still possible, we try to justify the market behaviour.

LATAM Group – Strong Momentum and Strategic Opportunities

By Neil Glynn

  • LATAM Group surprised the market with strong guidance for 2024 earnings growth following upgrades through 2023. We raise our 2024 EBITDAR 14% to $2.8bn.
  • A successful restructuring under Chapter 11, and market leadership in key regions, is paying off for LATAM as demand remains robust.
  • Such a strong recovery positions it to make further strategic gains, particularly with the risk that competitor GOL must shrink its fleet through its own CH11 processs.

Sony Corporation: Expansion of smartphone market

By Baptista Research

  • Based on the Q3 consolidated financial results announcement for Sony Group Corporation for FY 2023, the company showed considerable resilience against some difficult market conditions.
  • One critical highlight was the significant increase of 22% in consolidated sales for the quarter compared to the same quarter the previous fiscal year, reaching a record high of JPY 3,747.5 billion.
  • Notably, the operating income and net income also increased substantially year-on-year and reached the second-highest level on a quarterly basis.

Lyft Inc: Expanding Portfolio through Strategic Partnerships & 5 Major Growth Drivers! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s positive financial performance and future expectations make it an attractive investment opportunity.
  • Lyft’s 2023 performance was marked by significant growth in the company’s rideshare service, with gross bookings reaching an all-time high, ride growth accelerating each quarter and ending the year up 26% in Q4.
  • This growth demonstrates the strong demand for Lyft’s service, which bodes well for its future performance.

DaVita Inc: 5 Biggest Catalysts Of Their Future Growth! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • DaVita, a healthcare company specializing in kidney care and dialysis services, highlights its successful performance for the financial year of 2023 due to strengthening investment on the company’s platform.
  • Notably, despite external challenges, the company experienced significant growth with a 20% year-over-year rise in adjusted operating income, a 28% increase in adjusted EPS, and a return of the leverage ratio back to the target range.
  • The company outperformed its annual profitability targets for integrated kidney care and anticipates reaching break-even or better performance by 2026.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Growth Strategy In 2024! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Occidental Petroleum’s Q4 2023 has displayed a robust performance in recent quarters, achieving a strong free cash flow of $5.5 billion.
  • Significantly, this has facilitated the company in paying dividends, repurchasing common shares, and investing back into the business.
  • The primary driver of this achievement is accredited to technical expertise, leading-edge technologies, and innovation, showcasing the company’s operational strength.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: EQD | Where to BUY the KOSPI On The Upcoming Pullback and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD | Where to BUY the KOSPI On The Upcoming Pullback


EQD | Where to BUY the KOSPI On The Upcoming Pullback

By Nico Rosti

  • The KOSPI 200 INDEX has been rallying since January 2022, roughly up +22.5%, the rally can continue, but soon there could be a pullback, possibly this coming week.
  • If the index falls from its current highs, where are the best support levels to go LONG again?
  • The price area between 355 and 345 is where the index could find support and resume the uptrend.

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Daily Brief Macro: Buildup in US Crude Inventory Slows Amid Expectations of a Pick up in Refinery Utilisation Levels and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Buildup in US Crude Inventory Slows Amid Expectations of a Pick up in Refinery Utilisation Levels
  • The Weekly Market Monitor – The 34-Year Wait Is Over!
  • India Politics: Opposition Coalition Fractures, Boosting Modi’s Chances
  • Singapore CPI Inflation 2.9% y-o-y (consensus 3.8%) in Jan-24
  • CX Daily: Caught Between Beijing and Washington, PE Majors Split China-U.S. Teams


Buildup in US Crude Inventory Slows Amid Expectations of a Pick up in Refinery Utilisation Levels

By Suhas Reddy

  • US commercial crude inventory buildup slows down and comes below analyst estimates.
  • US oil rig count is anticipated to remain flat in 2024 and crude production is expected to slightly pick up due to better productivity.
  • Demand is expected to rise in the near term as US refineries may start increasing utilisation rates given forecasts of warmer weather.

The Weekly Market Monitor – The 34-Year Wait Is Over!

By Jeroen Blokland

  • First, Japan entered a recession, and a week later, the Nikkei hit an all-time high after 34 years. Any idea why this is?
  • The Institute of International Finance (IIF) has updated its global debt chart. Be aware that it does NOT show the true underlying trend.
  • You are only allowed to trade Chinese equities if you are going to buy them. China will have a serious long-term issue in attracting fresh capital.

India Politics: Opposition Coalition Fractures, Boosting Modi’s Chances

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • The opposition INDIA coalition is facing severe setbacks in their efforts to form a united front against prime minister Modi and the ruling BJP. 
  • While the BJP was always the favourite to win the next elections, the fragmentation of opposition forces opened a wider path for a landslide majority win. 
  • How Modi uses his political capital in such an event will be pivotal to whether India can take advantage of its current position in the world. 

Singapore CPI Inflation 2.9% y-o-y (consensus 3.8%) in Jan-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • Singapore’s CPI inflation rate in January 2024 dropped to 2.9% year-on-year from 3.7%, which is significantly lower than the predicted slight increase to 3.8%.
  • The current inflation rate is 1.62 percentage points below the one-year average, suggesting a period of reduced price pressures.
  • Most of the decrease was observed in the core inflation rate.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

CX Daily: Caught Between Beijing and Washington, PE Majors Split China-U.S. Teams

By Caixin Global

  • PE /In Depth: Caught between Beijing and Washington, PE majors split China-U.S. teams
  • China-India /: China, India militaries to ‘turn the page’ on border issues
  • HSBC /: HSBC takes $3 billion charge on BoCom holdings

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Daily Brief United States: Reddit , Crude Oil, Cisco Systems, Davita Healthcare Partners, Instacart, Lyft , Occidental Petroleum, Godaddy Inc Class A, Incyte Corp, Molson Coors Brewing Co B and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Reddit IPO Preview
  • Buildup in US Crude Inventory Slows Amid Expectations of a Pick up in Refinery Utilisation Levels
  • Cisco Systems: How Successful Are Their Efforts Of Digging Into AI? – Major Drivers
  • DaVita Inc: 5 Biggest Catalysts Of Their Future Growth! – Financial Forecasts
  • Maplebear Inc (Instacart): A Tale Of Strong User Growth & Improving Customer Engagement! – Major Drivers
  • Lyft Inc: Expanding Portfolio through Strategic Partnerships & 5 Major Growth Drivers! – Financial Forecasts
  • Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Growth Strategy In 2024! – Major Drivers
  • GoDaddy Inc: A Story Of Penetration of Existing Customer Base with Payment Services! – Major Drivers
  • Incyte Corporation: Significant Clinical Progress in Pipeline Programs & Other Major Developments – Financial Forecasts
  • Molson Coors Beverage Company: Its Market Share Growth in U.S. Industry A Big Green Flag? – Major Drivers


Reddit IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Reddit is getting ready for an IPO in the United States in the next several weeks. It is expected that this IPO will be completed in March. 
  • The company was previously valued at US$10 billion in a funding round in 2021. It is expected that the company could sell about 10% of its shares in this IPO.
  • Reddit may be seeking a valuation of at least US$5 billion in this IPO, which would be nearly half its valuation it received in 2021 in a private funding round. 

Buildup in US Crude Inventory Slows Amid Expectations of a Pick up in Refinery Utilisation Levels

By Suhas Reddy

  • US commercial crude inventory buildup slows down and comes below analyst estimates.
  • US oil rig count is anticipated to remain flat in 2024 and crude production is expected to slightly pick up due to better productivity.
  • Demand is expected to rise in the near term as US refineries may start increasing utilisation rates given forecasts of warmer weather.

Cisco Systems: How Successful Are Their Efforts Of Digging Into AI? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cisco Systems Inc.’s fiscal second-quarter results demonstrated a mix of positives and negatives, balanced by the company’s flexible strategic route and shifting market conditions.
  • Revenue for the quarter edged at the high end of the company’s guidance range, owing to robust operating leverage across business segments that surpassed margin expectations and facilitated better-than-expected earnings per share.
  • A total of $2.8 billion value was returned to investors through dividends and share buybacks, evidencing Cisco’s ongoing commitment to its shareholders.

DaVita Inc: 5 Biggest Catalysts Of Their Future Growth! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • DaVita, a healthcare company specializing in kidney care and dialysis services, highlights its successful performance for the financial year of 2023 due to strengthening investment on the company’s platform.
  • Notably, despite external challenges, the company experienced significant growth with a 20% year-over-year rise in adjusted operating income, a 28% increase in adjusted EPS, and a return of the leverage ratio back to the target range.
  • The company outperformed its annual profitability targets for integrated kidney care and anticipates reaching break-even or better performance by 2026.

Maplebear Inc (Instacart): A Tale Of Strong User Growth & Improving Customer Engagement! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Instacart recorded a robust fourth quarter in 2023 and an encouraging outlook for 2024.
  • The company attributes their success to the top-notch product experience they provide with a leading selection, quality, and speed.
  • New and expanded partnerships, such as those with Kroger and Costco, boost Instacart’s selection advantage with some of the most significant grocers in North America.

Lyft Inc: Expanding Portfolio through Strategic Partnerships & 5 Major Growth Drivers! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s positive financial performance and future expectations make it an attractive investment opportunity.
  • Lyft’s 2023 performance was marked by significant growth in the company’s rideshare service, with gross bookings reaching an all-time high, ride growth accelerating each quarter and ending the year up 26% in Q4.
  • This growth demonstrates the strong demand for Lyft’s service, which bodes well for its future performance.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation: Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) and Growth Strategy In 2024! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Occidental Petroleum’s Q4 2023 has displayed a robust performance in recent quarters, achieving a strong free cash flow of $5.5 billion.
  • Significantly, this has facilitated the company in paying dividends, repurchasing common shares, and investing back into the business.
  • The primary driver of this achievement is accredited to technical expertise, leading-edge technologies, and innovation, showcasing the company’s operational strength.

GoDaddy Inc: A Story Of Penetration of Existing Customer Base with Payment Services! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In summarizing GoDaddy’s fourth quarter and annual 2023 results, it appears like the company has maintained a steady growth trajectory, particularly in its Applications & Commerce segment that achieved a 16% bookings growth.
  • The company has also successfully driven a 2023 normalized EBITDA margin that surpassed previous guidance due to its investment in growth and cost structure management.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Incyte Corporation: Significant Clinical Progress in Pipeline Programs & Other Major Developments – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Incyte Corporation’s 2023 earnings have been marked by the firm’s strong performance following a 14% increase in product and royalty revenues compared to 2022, reaching $3.7 billion.
  • A significant milestone was achieved in the fourth quarter when total product and royalty revenue reached $1 billion for the first time.
  • This growth has primarily been driven by the continued growth of Jakafi and the successful launch of Opzelura.

Molson Coors Beverage Company: Its Market Share Growth in U.S. Industry A Big Green Flag? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Despite global challenges on the macroeconomic and industry fronts, the Molson Coors Beverage Company reported strong performance and growth during its Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2023.
  • The company announced significant increases in global net revenue and bottom line, with a growth of over 9% and nearly 37% respectively.
  • This marks the company’s highest reported dollar results on record, surpassing the already impressive results of 2022.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Alteogen Inc, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Alteogen (196170 KS): Modified License Agreement For Major Platform Technology Is A Hard Catalyst
  • EQD | Where to BUY the KOSPI On The Upcoming Pullback


Alteogen (196170 KS): Modified License Agreement For Major Platform Technology Is A Hard Catalyst

By Tina Banerjee

  • Alteogen Inc (196170 KS) has modified the existing license agreement with Merck. Revised terms of the agreement grant Merck exclusive global right to ALT-B4 for a specific product group, pembrolizumab.
  • Under the terms of the revised agreement, Alteogen will receive an upfront payment of $20M from Merck. Alteogen will also receive additional milestone payment of up to $432M.
  • Approval of Alteogen’s first proprietary product, Tergase (expected in early 2024) will be the next major catalyst for the company.  

EQD | Where to BUY the KOSPI On The Upcoming Pullback

By Nico Rosti

  • The KOSPI 200 INDEX has been rallying since January 2022, roughly up +22.5%, the rally can continue, but soon there could be a pullback, possibly this coming week.
  • If the index falls from its current highs, where are the best support levels to go LONG again?
  • The price area between 355 and 345 is where the index could find support and resume the uptrend.

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Daily Brief India: Inox Wind Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Inox Wind Merger: Behind the Arbitrage


Inox Wind Merger: Behind the Arbitrage

By Nitin Mangal

  • INOX India Limited (INOX IN) ( or IWL) and Inox Wind Energy (IWEL IN) (or IWEL) have announced a merger, where IWEL will be amalgamated with IWL
  • The share swap ratio in the scheme of amalgamation gives a very evident arbitrage opportunity. 
  • The arbitrage opportunity has become bigger than when announced in June 2023. While the strategy is still possible, we try to justify the market behaviour.

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