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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | A Big Week for the BoJ and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | A Big Week for the BoJ
  • China BIG-3 Mainland Airlines Traffic 18% Higher than 2019!
  • Important New Policy for China’s Innovative Drugs – The Game Rule Is About to Change Radically
  • GEMWeekly (15 Mar 2024): China, South Korea, India Macro; TSMC, Samsung Electronics, Xiaomi, Alibaba


Ohayo Japan | A Big Week for the BoJ

By Mark Chadwick

  • Last week, most major indices experienced slight declines, with the SPX down by 0.1% and the Nasdaq by 0.7%, on higher bond yields.
  • Looking ahead to this week, there are several key events that could drive market movement: both the Fed and BOJ hold monetary policy meetings. Elsewhere, focus on Nvidia GPU Conference
  • Nissan (7201) and Honda (7267), facing challenges in competing with rivals like Tesla in electric vehicle (EV) investments, are considering a partnership to collaborate on EVs

China BIG-3 Mainland Airlines Traffic 18% Higher than 2019!

By Mohshin Aziz

  • In aggregate, traffic among the Big-3 Chinese airlines was up 67% YoY in February and +18% vs 2019. Incontestable proof that China has regained its air travel mojo. 
  • Published March schedules show total implied capacity is 31% higher YoY and 9% higher than 2019 levels. This is driven by domestic travel, international remains depressed. 
  • Driven by domestic travel, international remains depressed. POSITIVE for China Eastern and other North Asian carriers that provide the missing North America link. 

Important New Policy for China’s Innovative Drugs – The Game Rule Is About to Change Radically

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • A document titled “Soliciting Opinions on the Implementation Plan for Supporting the Development of Innovative Drugs throughout the Whole Chain” attracted widespread attention, which is significantly different from past policies. 
  • Restrictions on payment end and deteriorating investment and financing situations will be improved, marking a new starting point for China’s innovative drug business. We have reasons to start being optimistic.
  • If approved and implemented, it would be a significant reversal of the previous expectation and investment logic of innovative drugs. So, investors should not overlook the importance of this document.

GEMWeekly (15 Mar 2024): China, South Korea, India Macro; TSMC, Samsung Electronics, Xiaomi, Alibaba

By Wium Malan, CFA


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Daily Brief ECM: ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) – ITC and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) – ITC, Interglobe (Indigo), MS&AD, GlobalWafer, Belle, Auntea, Trial
  • Ceigall India Pre-IPO Tearsheet


ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) – ITC, Interglobe (Indigo), MS&AD, GlobalWafer, Belle, Auntea, Trial

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, Hong Kong appears to be heading towards its first US$100m+ IPO for the year.
  • For placements, after a flurry of placements in the prior week, past week was relatively quiet with only the US$2bn ITC Ltd (ITC IN) block.

Ceigall India Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Ceigall India (1605242D IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by IIFL Securities, JM Financial and ICICI Securities.
  • Ceigall India is an infrastructure construction company with experience in undertaking specialized structural work such as elevated roads, flyovers, bridges, railway over bridges, tunnels, highways, expressways and runways. 
  • Its principal business operations are broadly divided into EPC and hybrid annuity model (HAM) projects, which are spread across ten states in India.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels
  • Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm
  • Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.
  • Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: March‘24 Report


Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels

By Travis Lundy

  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) is the largest weight in the Nikkei 225. On Friday, it closed at 11.36% of the Nikkei 225, putting it well above the 10% cap level.
  • If the stock is above 10% on a pro-forma basis on the base date of 31 July 2024, it will get a capping coefficient. 2.8mm shares (US$2.5bn) to sell.
  • At Friday’s close, we were borderline above a double-downweight trigger. At Monday’s open, just below. 30mins later? Back well above. Lots of interesting issues and nuances here for a short.

Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm

By Arun George


Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.

By Travis Lundy

  • Late last week, machine tool and press maker Aida Engineering (6118 JP) made an announcement of a share buyback. Up to 2.3mm shs (3.59%) spending up to ¥2bn.
  • The company has filed a policy for “Action to Implement Management That is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price” in its most recent CorpGov report available (J/E) here
  • It will be a little smaller than that, but it is worth taking a closer look at the details, etc.

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: March‘24 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Since mid-February, spreads have not followed a clear pattern across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have tightened, 9 widened, 1 remained at same level).
  • Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Danieli, Grifols, Media-for-Europe, Sixt.
  • Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs, Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal, Roche.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumped But Remains Extreme; UMC at a Discount
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.15)- New Policy of Innovative Drug, TCM Formula Granules, Xingqi Pharma
  • Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM
  • TCL Electronics (1070.HK) – a Rising Star in the TV Business
  • Ziff Davis Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Huge Potential for Incremental Licensing Revenue Through AI! – Major Drivers
  • Hershey Co (HSY) – Sunday, Dec 17, 2023
  • China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo
  • Alarm.com Holdings Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – 4 Pivotal Factors That Are Shaping Its Growth Journey! – Financial Forecasts
  • Future Fuel Forward


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
  • Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
  • TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumped But Remains Extreme; UMC at a Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +15% ADR Premium; Likely to Trend Further Lower Over Time
  • UMC: -2.3% Discount; Decent Level to Long the ADR vs. Short Local
  • ASE: +11.6% Premium; Continue to Advocate Shorting the Spread Here

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.15)- New Policy of Innovative Drug, TCM Formula Granules, Xingqi Pharma

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • A document titled “Soliciting Opinions on the Implementation Plan for Supporting the Development of Innovative Drugs throughout the Whole Chain” would completely change the outlook/investment logic of China’s innovative drugs.
  • We predict that due to the early opening of TCM formula granules VBP in some provinces and intensifying competition, the market pattern of TCM formula granules would face reshaping.
  • After the atropine eye drops is approved by the NMPA, Xingqi’s performance growth will accelerate. Supported by favorable policies, its market value is expected to reach above RMB30 billion.

Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Since October, Evergreen shares have performed well on rising spot rates
  • Over the same period, Maersk and ZIM shares fell on longer-term concerns
  • Pair trade idea: SHORT Evergreen vs LONG Maersk / ZIM position

TCL Electronics (1070.HK) – a Rising Star in the TV Business

By Pyramids and Pagodas

  • TCL Electronics Limited (1070.HK ) (“TCL”), with a market cap of HKD 7.57 billion (USD 968 million), is not your ordinary Chinese TV manufacturer.
  • TCL focuses on mid-to-high end audio/video products like miniLED, QLED, Android, and smart TVs, ranking second in the global TV market behind Samsung.
  • The Company also produces air conditioners, refrigerators, smartphones, tablets, and smart home devices. A recent catch-up with the IR team at TCL’s Shenzhen Industrial Park Headquarters intrigued us and we decided to dig a bit deeper.

Ziff Davis Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Huge Potential for Incremental Licensing Revenue Through AI! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on internet information and services provider, Ziff Davis.
  • The company has projected an optimistic growth outlook for 2024 as it reported a solid fourth quarter performance for the fiscal year of 2023.
  • The company’s CEO, Vivek Shah expressed his confidence over the company’s business set up for notable growth in 2024 provided the depreciation 1.4% over the last two years.

Hershey Co (HSY) – Sunday, Dec 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

  • Hershey stock trading at 52-week low, making it attractive investment opportunity
  • Drop in 10-year treasury yield making dividend-paying companies like Hershey more appealing to investors
  • Challenges from new weight loss drugs affecting consumer appetite, but temporary dip creating discounted buying opportunity for strong brand

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo

By Ming Lu

  • Great Wall Motor denied that many employees have resigned recently, but there many complaints from employees on social media.
  • Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%.
  • Weibo’s advertising revenue decreased, while most companies’ ad revenues have recovered.

Alarm.com Holdings Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – 4 Pivotal Factors That Are Shaping Its Growth Journey! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on cloud-based solutions provider, Alarm.com.
  • The company posted robust fourth quarter and full-year results for 2023 that surpassed expectations.
  • The company’s software-as-a-service (SaaS) and license revenue reached $148.3 million in Q4, reflecting a 10.3% increase compared to the previous year.

Future Fuel Forward

By subSPAC

  • SPAC Activity returned to full pace in the past week, with several deals being announced, including with a Sustainable Fuels Maker and a Gold Producer from South Africa.
  • Also, Trump tried to sell his stake in his social media company to Elon Musk as his SPAC deal stalled, and Fisker could be the latest EV De-SPAC to run out of cash. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs. 
  • Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) and clean biofuels producer XCF Global Capital is merging with SPAC BH3 Acquisition, in a deal valuing the combined company at $1.84 billion. 


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Daily Brief Macro: What Really Matters Is Global Liquidity…But It Looks Set to Zag Before It Zigs Higher and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • What Really Matters Is Global Liquidity…But It Looks Set to Zag Before It Zigs Higher
  • A Reply to Grantham’s AI Warning
  • EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 11-Mar-24 to 15-Mar-24
  • HEW: Keep Kicking the Cutting Can


What Really Matters Is Global Liquidity…But It Looks Set to Zag Before It Zigs Higher

By Michael J. Howell

  • The main driver of asset prices looks set to stall, albeit temporarily. Global Liquidity is at a new all-time peak, but it is flat-lining
  • Global Liquidity compromised by a stumbling US Fed as it copes with the errant RRP and TGA, and by an erratic People’s Bank of China. Q2 could prove tricky
  • Look to diversify elsewhere. Commodity markets are on the move. But strong economies do not always have strong financial markets

A Reply to Grantham’s AI Warning

By Cam Hui

  • Well-Known value investor Jeremy Grantham recently sounded warnings about an AI bubble.
  • While we respect Grantham’s views, he suffers from the value investor problem of being too early and overly reliant on valuation for his views.
  • The market is starting to blow a bubble in AI-related plays, but we think it’s far too early to declare that a top is near.

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 11-Mar-24 to 15-Mar-24

By Sankalp Singh

  • Market regulator intervenes to curb excess leverage in equity markets. IVs recover from last week’s selloff but bound by 12-16% range. 
  • Vol Regime Model clearly signals “High & Down” state, projecting a slow grind lower for IVs
  • Shape of the vol surface is indicative of a market well positioned to handle corrections 

HEW: Keep Kicking the Cutting Can

By Phil Rush

  • US data remains resilient, with CPI and PPI inflation surpassing expectations, while UK activity data, although excessive, meets or falls below expectations. Rate cut pricing continues to be postponed by markets.
  • Upcoming monetary policy decisions are expected to officially confirm the delay in dovish actions. The Federal Reserve is not expected to cut rates, and the median rate dots may increase.
  • The Bank of England is also expected to maintain its current stance, with February’s disinflation not likely to affect this.

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Most Read: Fast Retailing, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Tencent, Ganfeng Lithium, Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Roland DG Corp, Aida Engineering, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Evergreen Marine Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels
  • Updated Tool and New “Diff File Generator” for TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price”
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Mar 2024); Strong Net Buying on Tencent and ETFs
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow
  • Investigating the Size and Timing of Korea’s Local Dividend Arbitrage Traders’ Position Liquidation
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand
  • Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm
  • Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumped But Remains Extreme; UMC at a Discount
  • Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM


Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels

By Travis Lundy

  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) is the largest weight in the Nikkei 225. On Friday, it closed at 11.36% of the Nikkei 225, putting it well above the 10% cap level.
  • If the stock is above 10% on a pro-forma basis on the base date of 31 July 2024, it will get a capping coefficient. 2.8mm shares (US$2.5bn) to sell.
  • At Friday’s close, we were borderline above a double-downweight trigger. At Monday’s open, just below. 30mins later? Back well above. Lots of interesting issues and nuances here for a short.

Updated Tool and New “Diff File Generator” for TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price”

By Travis Lundy

  • In mid-January, the TSE announced a “name-and-shame” list where they listed all the companies which had put forth a disclosure about 【資本コストや株価を意識した経営の実現に向けた対応】. But they did not actually shame.
  • The list shows which companies have disclosed a policy/consideration. But no data/links. We have the links. On Feb 1, the TSE put out a presentation and set of case studies.
  • We created a tool to name everyone, show their reports, provide links, and now a new tool. Put in a name, see the difference between the Old/New Reports.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Mar 2024); Strong Net Buying on Tencent and ETFs

By Travis Lundy

  • A shares were up small on the week. The spivvier the better. HK was up better, especially among the liquid names.
  • Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK$21.4bn in the fourth post-holiday week vs +HK$17bn the week before. SOUTHBOUND has net bought every day since the end of Chinese New Year.
  • The flavour of SOUTHBOUND buying has been high-div SOEs for months and months. That is starting to change slightly. Tencent was a net buy the second week in a row. 

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND a net buyer every day since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.
  • For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).

Investigating the Size and Timing of Korea’s Local Dividend Arbitrage Traders’ Position Liquidation

By Sanghyun Park

  • Estimating FINANCIAL INVESTMENT’s dividend arbitrage positions’ exact size and liquidation plans is challenging. Yet, past trading patterns suggest a substantial portion may be liquidated soon, akin to January’s volume (≥₩2T).
  • Many local market participants expect a scenario unfolding post-March, aligning with KOSPI companies rescheduling ex-dividend dates. Expect substantial position liquidation by April’s end, likely impacting index negatively, akin to January.
  • Position setups should adapt to short-term index corrections, leveraging earnings season for earnings-based spreads using index short hedging.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
  • Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
  • TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength

Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm

By Arun George


Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.

By Travis Lundy

  • Late last week, machine tool and press maker Aida Engineering (6118 JP) made an announcement of a share buyback. Up to 2.3mm shs (3.59%) spending up to ¥2bn.
  • The company has filed a policy for “Action to Implement Management That is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price” in its most recent CorpGov report available (J/E) here
  • It will be a little smaller than that, but it is worth taking a closer look at the details, etc.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumped But Remains Extreme; UMC at a Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +15% ADR Premium; Likely to Trend Further Lower Over Time
  • UMC: -2.3% Discount; Decent Level to Long the ADR vs. Short Local
  • ASE: +11.6% Premium; Continue to Advocate Shorting the Spread Here

Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Since October, Evergreen shares have performed well on rising spot rates
  • Over the same period, Maersk and ZIM shares fell on longer-term concerns
  • Pair trade idea: SHORT Evergreen vs LONG Maersk / ZIM position

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Daily Brief Industrials: Aida Engineering, Evergreen Marine Corp, Ceigall India, AviChina Industry & Technology H and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.
  • Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM
  • Ceigall India Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • AviChina Industry (2357 HK): Better Look Forward


Aida Engineering (6118) Buyback – Not Big Enough, But Not Small; They Gotta Shrink E.

By Travis Lundy

  • Late last week, machine tool and press maker Aida Engineering (6118 JP) made an announcement of a share buyback. Up to 2.3mm shs (3.59%) spending up to ¥2bn.
  • The company has filed a policy for “Action to Implement Management That is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price” in its most recent CorpGov report available (J/E) here
  • It will be a little smaller than that, but it is worth taking a closer look at the details, etc.

Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Since October, Evergreen shares have performed well on rising spot rates
  • Over the same period, Maersk and ZIM shares fell on longer-term concerns
  • Pair trade idea: SHORT Evergreen vs LONG Maersk / ZIM position

Ceigall India Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Ceigall India (1605242D IN) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by IIFL Securities, JM Financial and ICICI Securities.
  • Ceigall India is an infrastructure construction company with experience in undertaking specialized structural work such as elevated roads, flyovers, bridges, railway over bridges, tunnels, highways, expressways and runways. 
  • Its principal business operations are broadly divided into EPC and hybrid annuity model (HAM) projects, which are spread across ten states in India.

AviChina Industry (2357 HK): Better Look Forward

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • AviChina Industry & Technology H (2357 HK)‘s FY23 earnings growth of 5.5% is affected by dilution and restatement. Its A-share subsidiaries achieved a 24% aggregate earnings growth. 
  • Gross margin expanded and outlook remains decent. Projected growth for these A-shares reached 36.6% in FY24F and 23.8% in FY25F. Net cash equals 40% of the share price.
  • The stock’s 8.5x and 7.3x PERs for FY24F and FY25F are cheap relative to its peers. It also trades at 57% discount to its A-share holdings.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Roland DG Corp, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Ziff Davis, Alarm.Com Holdings, Formfactor Inc, Vishay Intertechnology, Sanmina Corp, Credo Technology Group Holding, Belden Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand
  • Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumped But Remains Extreme; UMC at a Discount
  • Ziff Davis Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Huge Potential for Incremental Licensing Revenue Through AI! – Major Drivers
  • Alarm.com Holdings Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – 4 Pivotal Factors That Are Shaping Its Growth Journey! – Financial Forecasts
  • FormFactor Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 4 Biggest Growth Catalysts For The Company! – Financial Forecasts
  • Vishay Intertechnology Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Is The Strategic M&A Enough To Broaden Portfolio & Strengthen Its Position In Crucial Markets? – Major Drivers
  • Sanmina Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Catalyzing Their Growth! – Financial Forecasts
  • Credo Technology Group: Initiation Of Coverage – How Are They Adapting To The Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Triggered Market Shift? – Major Drivers
  • Belden Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 3 Biggest Challenges In Its Path For Success! – Major Drivers


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
  • Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
  • TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength

Merger Arb Mondays (18 Mar) – Roland DG, JSR, YSK, CIMC Vehicles, Alumina, QV Equities, Qantm

By Arun George


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Slumped But Remains Extreme; UMC at a Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +15% ADR Premium; Likely to Trend Further Lower Over Time
  • UMC: -2.3% Discount; Decent Level to Long the ADR vs. Short Local
  • ASE: +11.6% Premium; Continue to Advocate Shorting the Spread Here

Ziff Davis Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Huge Potential for Incremental Licensing Revenue Through AI! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on internet information and services provider, Ziff Davis.
  • The company has projected an optimistic growth outlook for 2024 as it reported a solid fourth quarter performance for the fiscal year of 2023.
  • The company’s CEO, Vivek Shah expressed his confidence over the company’s business set up for notable growth in 2024 provided the depreciation 1.4% over the last two years.

Alarm.com Holdings Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – 4 Pivotal Factors That Are Shaping Its Growth Journey! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on cloud-based solutions provider, Alarm.com.
  • The company posted robust fourth quarter and full-year results for 2023 that surpassed expectations.
  • The company’s software-as-a-service (SaaS) and license revenue reached $148.3 million in Q4, reflecting a 10.3% increase compared to the previous year.

FormFactor Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 4 Biggest Growth Catalysts For The Company! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on FormFactor Inc., a leader in the semiconductor industry known for providing necessary equipment for the testing and measurement of chips before they hit the market.
  • The company recently reported their fourth quarter 2023 earnings.
  • FormFactor has achieved a consistent performance throughout the past year with CEO, Mike Slessor, confirming top-line results to be steady across the four quarters.

Vishay Intertechnology Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Is The Strategic M&A Enough To Broaden Portfolio & Strengthen Its Position In Crucial Markets? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Vishay Intertechnology, a renowned manufacturer of semiconductors and electronic components.
  • In the last quarter, the company disclosed revenues of $785.2 million, within the guidance range of $770 million to $810 million.
  • Notably, the lower industry demand was led by higher levels of finished goods inventories.

Sanmina Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Catalyzing Their Growth! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Sanmina Corporation began fiscal year 2024 by meeting its outlook, demonstrating the firm’s strong cost management and operational execution, key ingredients to its adaptability amidst dynamic market conditions.
  • However, the firm has had to navigate ongoing customer inventory adjustments and softer demand across the industry, which has led to a decline in revenue to $1.87 billion for the first quarter.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Credo Technology Group: Initiation Of Coverage – How Are They Adapting To The Artificial Intelligence (AI)-Triggered Market Shift? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on high-speed connectivity solutions provider, Credo.
  • The company reported Q3 FY24 earnings, with revenue at $53.1 million and non-GAAP gross margin at 62.2%.
  • Credo’s results and future growth expectations are being fueled by the growing market for high-speed, energy-efficient connectivity solutions in data infrastructure.

Belden Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 3 Biggest Challenges In Its Path For Success! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Belden, a networking, connectivity, and cable products player.
  • The company experienced high revenue and EPS in Q4 2023, both exceeding previous guidance.
  • The solutions transformation has been cited as driving incremental demand and margin expansion.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Fast Retailing, ITC Ltd, Tcl Multimedia Technology, Hershey Co/The, Great Wall Motor, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Cable One Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels
  • ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) – ITC, Interglobe (Indigo), MS&AD, GlobalWafer, Belle, Auntea, Trial
  • TCL Electronics (1070.HK) – a Rising Star in the TV Business
  • Hershey Co (HSY) – Sunday, Dec 17, 2023
  • China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo
  • In the Prime Market, Disclosure in English Also Widens the Gap in the Company’s Attitude
  • Cable One Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Unveiling the 4 Major Forces Propelling Its Success! – Financial Forecasts


Fast Retailing (9983) – Now At Double Downweight Levels

By Travis Lundy

  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) is the largest weight in the Nikkei 225. On Friday, it closed at 11.36% of the Nikkei 225, putting it well above the 10% cap level.
  • If the stock is above 10% on a pro-forma basis on the base date of 31 July 2024, it will get a capping coefficient. 2.8mm shares (US$2.5bn) to sell.
  • At Friday’s close, we were borderline above a double-downweight trigger. At Monday’s open, just below. 30mins later? Back well above. Lots of interesting issues and nuances here for a short.

ECM Weekly (18th Mar 2024) – ITC, Interglobe (Indigo), MS&AD, GlobalWafer, Belle, Auntea, Trial

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, Hong Kong appears to be heading towards its first US$100m+ IPO for the year.
  • For placements, after a flurry of placements in the prior week, past week was relatively quiet with only the US$2bn ITC Ltd (ITC IN) block.

TCL Electronics (1070.HK) – a Rising Star in the TV Business

By Pyramids and Pagodas

  • TCL Electronics Limited (1070.HK ) (“TCL”), with a market cap of HKD 7.57 billion (USD 968 million), is not your ordinary Chinese TV manufacturer.
  • TCL focuses on mid-to-high end audio/video products like miniLED, QLED, Android, and smart TVs, ranking second in the global TV market behind Samsung.
  • The Company also produces air conditioners, refrigerators, smartphones, tablets, and smart home devices. A recent catch-up with the IR team at TCL’s Shenzhen Industrial Park Headquarters intrigued us and we decided to dig a bit deeper.

Hershey Co (HSY) – Sunday, Dec 17, 2023

By Value Investors Club

  • Hershey stock trading at 52-week low, making it attractive investment opportunity
  • Drop in 10-year treasury yield making dividend-paying companies like Hershey more appealing to investors
  • Challenges from new weight loss drugs affecting consumer appetite, but temporary dip creating discounted buying opportunity for strong brand

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo

By Ming Lu

  • Great Wall Motor denied that many employees have resigned recently, but there many complaints from employees on social media.
  • Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%.
  • Weibo’s advertising revenue decreased, while most companies’ ad revenues have recovered.

In the Prime Market, Disclosure in English Also Widens the Gap in the Company’s Attitude

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Most companies with large market capitalization (i.e., those with a high ratio of foreign shareholders) already disclose their financial statements, timely disclosure materials, and convocation notices in English.
  • Disclosure in English of corporate governance reports and annual securities reports, which have lagged behind, is gradually increasing among companies with large market capitalization.
  • Similar to the results of the recent disclosure regarding the ”TSE’s request”, there is also a difference in the disclosure stance between companies with large market capitalization and other companies.

Cable One Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Unveiling the 4 Major Forces Propelling Its Success! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Cable One.
  • The balancing growth strategy of the company indicated the progress during the fourth quarter of 2023, as the company reported customer growth driven by improvement in new connects year-over-year and sustained low churn rates.
  • Focusing on specific new customer segments and adjusted market approach, the company has re-engineered its go-to-market approach to counter competition and expand network footprint.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: SPDR Gold Shares and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • The Stealth Breakout You May Have Missed


The Stealth Breakout You May Have Missed

By Cam Hui

  • Gold prices have staged a convincing long-term upside breakout against a backdrop of skepticism, which is contrarian bullish.
  • Point and figure charts indicate a measured objective of 2576 over a probable 6–18-month time horizon and a measured objective of 3372 over a probable 3–5-year time frame.
  • Gold mining stocks are cheap relative to gold and could offer even more upside potential on an intermediate- and long-term basis.

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