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Daily Brief ESG: ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders


ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders

By Aki Matsumoto

  • ETF sale is pie in the sky if the dividend income from ETFs held by BOJ is used to cover the interest payments associated with lifting of negative interest rates.
  • ETFs held by the Bank of Japan, which account for 7% of prime market capitalization, are actually reducing the number of actual tradable shares and hindering trading liquidity.
  • Furthermore, ETFs held by BOJ, which don’t indicate their intention to be shareholders, may be voting in favor of the company’s proposal as new silent shareholders in place of cross-shareholdings.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan |Worst Week in 2024 Ends on High Note and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan |Worst Week in 2024 Ends on High Note


Ohayo Japan |Worst Week in 2024 Ends on High Note

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks rebounded on Friday, recuperating from the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s worst session in over a year.
  • Traders scaled back their expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts after US employers added 303,000 jobs in March, signaling a robust labor market
  • Yaskawa Electric anticipates record-high consolidated net profit of 54 billion yen (up 7% YoY) for the fiscal year ending February 2025.

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Daily Brief South Korea: GS Holdings, Hanmi Semiconductor and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High


Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

By Sanghyun Park

  • Opposition’s probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative’s momentum. However, market sentiment doesn’t universally echo these worries.
  • Value-Up stocks’ recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.
  • Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition’s influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief ECM: J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry
  • ECM Weekly (8th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Waaree Energies, Horizon Robotics, Bharti Hexacom


J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry

By Arun George

  • J&T Global Express (1519 HK)’s 180-day IPO lock-up period for 88% of outstanding shares expires on 24 April. The shares exiting the lock-up period are worth US$9.9 billion.
  • The likely sellers will be the Series pre-A1, pre-A2, A and B investors as are they are materially in the money at the last close price.
  • J&T has returned to organic growth with a shift to profits and declining cash burn. While the last close is 17% below the IPO price, the shares are fairly valued. 

ECM Weekly (8th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Waaree Energies, Horizon Robotics, Bharti Hexacom

By Ethan Aw


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Daily Brief Singapore: Huationg Global, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Huationg Global CEO increases interest to 7.75%
  • REIT Watch – S-REIT sector’s PB ratio is at almost 20% discount to its longer-term average


Huationg Global CEO increases interest to 7.75%

By Geoff Howie

  • Huationg Global CEO increases interest to 7.75% Olam Group bought back a total of three million shares at S$1.13 apiece over the four sessions.
  • Ng also maintained a 68.7 per cent deemed interest in Huationg Global by virtue of his 25 per cent shareholding interest in Dandelion Capital, which is the immediate and ultimate holding company of Huationg.

REIT Watch – S-REIT sector’s PB ratio is at almost 20% discount to its longer-term average

By Geoff Howie

  • REIT Watch – S-Reit sector’s PB ratio is at almost 20% discount to its longer-term average Despite this, the S-REIT sector is now trading at a discount of close to 20 per cent compared to its longer-term average in terms of price-to-book ratio.
  • This is indicated by the iEdge S-REIT Index currently trading at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.87 times, against the index’s five-year average PB ratio of 1.04 times – which showed a discount of 16 per cent.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) – Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) – Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm
  • Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – April 2024
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs
  • Nintendo Co Ltd (NTDOY) – Sunday, Jan 7, 2024
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – Due to the Pain Points, Investment Logic Changes
  • China Power International (2380 HK): Powering Forward
  • China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba
  • Sealed Air (SEE): A Melting Ice Cube Hiding In Plain Sight
  • Electrifying the Fleet


China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) – Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The biggest changes in 2023 medical insurance catalog are the lifting of payment restrictions on TCM injections, which would drive rapid sales growth in the hospital market this year.
  • GLP-1s are not flawless, and patients will lose not only fat but also muscle during weight-loss process. Then, another noteworthy opportunity has emerged – reduce fat and increase muscle.
  • In 2024, Sino Biopharm is expected to achieve single-digit revenue growth. Deficiencies in corporate governance are one reason why the market is reluctant to offer Sino Biopharm high valuation.


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC, ASE Spreads Bounce Back to Historically Extreme Highs

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +16.2%, Bounced Back to Historically Extreme Level, Consider Short
  • UMC: -0.3% Discount, Flipped to Positive and Now Negative Again
  • ASE: +15.3% Premium; Bounced Back to Extreme Highs, Short the Spread

Nintendo Co Ltd (NTDOY) – Sunday, Jan 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • AAOI recommends investing in Nintendo ahead of the launch of the Switch 2 console cycle in mid to late 2024
  • Analyst sees potential for multiple expansion, margin improvement, and continued monetization of intellectual property through theme parks and movies
  • Bullish on Nintendo’s stock in absolute terms and relative to other companies in the video game and media sectors, predicting significant gains based on past launch cycles.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ.

By Patrick Liao

  • United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)‘s 2Q24F outlook is experiencing a slight upward now, possibly indicating a positive QoQ.  
  • UMC’s notable contributors are showing a mixed outlook, and Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) could be the most influencer.
  • Attention should be paid to the 3Q24F outlook for any potential changes and a shift from a bearish view could positively impact the outlook, potentially signaling the end of downturn.  

Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – Due to the Pain Points, Investment Logic Changes

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Fu Shou Yuan’s 2023 performance was indeed not good, with negative growth in 23H2.Shanghai alone has limited market capacity.No matter how strong it is, it cannot drive the national market.
  • Fu Shou Yuan has encountered difficulties in external expansion and M&A, so it chooses to increase dividends. However, this means the Company may have to say goodbye to high growth.
  • The founder’s “past bad record” and uncertain business outlook hinder the upward potential of valuation, which requires a high margin of safety.It’s better bought at low price to collect dividends.

China Power International (2380 HK): Powering Forward

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Power International (2380 HK)‘s earnings should accelerate in FY24, and rebound in hydropower is a key driver. Hydropower generation surged 84.3% YoY in 2M24.
  • The 9.3GW of capacity acquired in Oct will provide first full-year contribution in FY24. Better economics for coal-fired plants will add to profit momentum.
  • The 6pp increase in dividend payout signals management’s positive view in the outlook, and the Chairman is explicitly confident in good FY24 profit growth. 

China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba

By Ming Lu

  • In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto’s sales volume increased by 39% YoY.
  • AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in March was ten times of last year.
  • Facing stagnancy and competition, Alibaba’s Taobao removed service charges from its retailers.

Sealed Air (SEE): A Melting Ice Cube Hiding In Plain Sight

By Bleecker Street Research

  • Sealed Air (SEE) is a disaster in motion: its entire business is facing extinction as customers move away from the thin-film plastics the company makes.
  • Sealed Air’s e-Commerce business has collapsed as Amazon has moved away from the single-use plastics, formerly ever present in its packaging. 
  • California just passed two recycling and labeling bills that we think will make Sealed Air’s products unlikely to be used in the State and possibly in the US as a whole.

Electrifying the Fleet

By subSPAC

  • This last week was packed with deals, amendments, and merger breakups.
  • A SPAC is set to merge with an electric utility firm, and a blank-cheque firm is taking a critical metals supply chain-focused firm.
  • Also, Sam Altman’s SPAC surges as it nears a deal, and a SPAC terminates a merger with a hydrogen energy firm. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs. 

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: NTT Data’s ¥1 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • NTT Data’s ¥1,940/Share Deal For Jastec (9717) – Not Enough But Probably Enough
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Change or Two in June?
  • Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades
  • Merger Arb Mondays (08 Apr) – JSR, Jastec, Shinko, Azure, Genex, Best World, Isetan
  • SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Deletion to Bring Sector Balance into Play
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher
  • EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 01-Apr-24 to 05-Apr-24
  • APM (APM AU): Madison Dearborn’s “Disappointing” NBIO
  • Payment Companies – Potential IPOs, Select Companies Being Taken Private and Sector Overview


NTT Data’s ¥1,940/Share Deal For Jastec (9717) – Not Enough But Probably Enough

By Travis Lundy

  • NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) on Friday announced a Tender Offer to take over small custom software developer and system integrator Jastec Co Ltd (9717 JP)
  • It’s at a premium. But for a growing company ahead of “The 2025 Problem” where synergies are expected, you’d want to get a premium vs where comps trade. You don’t.
  • But this gets to near 50% just from friendlies. Someone who wanted to interfere would have to be publicly noisy. I expect this gets done.

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Change or Two in June?

By Brian Freitas

  • SenseTime Group (20 HK) is a potential deletion in June while Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK) is a potential inclusion.
  • For yet another review, BeiGene (6160 HK) is a close add with the Velocity Test determining if the stock will be added to the index or not.
  • Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.95% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.6bn. Official capping will be based off the close of trading on 4 June.

Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

By Sanghyun Park

  • Opposition’s probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative’s momentum. However, market sentiment doesn’t universally echo these worries.
  • Value-Up stocks’ recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.
  • Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition’s influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.

Merger Arb Mondays (08 Apr) – JSR, Jastec, Shinko, Azure, Genex, Best World, Isetan

By Arun George


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Deletion to Bring Sector Balance into Play

By Brian Freitas


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High

By Brian Freitas


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
  • We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in three changes to the index.
  • With a big jump in tracking AUM over the last few months, passives will need to trade a lot of stock on implementation date.

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 01-Apr-24 to 05-Apr-24

By Sankalp Singh

  • Equities shrug off hawkish RBI rhetoric – eye on $3 Billion inflows from MSCI rejig & June Elections results
  • Short dated IVs trade lower. Quarterly-expiry IVs continue to hold at >13.0% levels as they capture multiple event risks
  • Short vega positions recommended as “High & Down” vol state persists. Use current scenario to buy tail hedges as protection for long Equity positions. 

APM (APM AU): Madison Dearborn’s “Disappointing” NBIO

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 28th Feb, PE-outfit CVC Asia Pacific bumped its NBIO to A$2.00/share, and was granted exclusive due diligence. On the 27th Mar, CVC said they were “unable to proceed“. 
  • Today, the 8th April, Madison Dearborn Partners, holding ~29%, has pitched an non-indicative, non-binding Offer at A$1.40/share, in cash, by way of a Scheme. An unlisted scrip option is available.
  • A key condition is APM Human Services (APM AU)‘s executive-chair Megan Wynne, founding related parties, and key management, electing scrip. The Independent Board Committee reckons the Offer Price is disappointing.

Payment Companies – Potential IPOs, Select Companies Being Taken Private and Sector Overview

By Victor Galliano

  • We explore Klarna’s and Stripe’s IPO prospects and valuations based on recent share transactions; Nuvei and Cielo are close to being taken private, with Worldpay now controlled by private equity
  • Nuvei and Worldpay both grew by acquisition but failed to deliver on the market’s expected returns, in our view, ending up under PE ownership; is Nexi a potential PE target?
  • We retain Visa as a core holding and also keep PagSeguro and PayPal as buys, replacing Cielo with new peer group addition Shift4; we keep our sell rating on Affirm

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Daily Brief United States: Ethereum, Shift4 Payments, Cactus Acquisition Corp 1 Ltd, Sealed Air Corp, Bread Financial Holdings , Tredegar Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Restaking, the Biggest Opportunity and Risk in Ethereum
  • Payment Companies – Potential IPOs, Select Companies Being Taken Private and Sector Overview
  • Electrifying the Fleet
  • Sealed Air (SEE): A Melting Ice Cube Hiding In Plain Sight
  • Bread Financial Holdings Inc (BFH) – Monday, Jan 8, 2024
  • Tredegar Corp (TG) – Sunday, Jan 7, 2024


Restaking, the Biggest Opportunity and Risk in Ethereum

By Edward Wu

  • Crypto market is driven by narrative in the short term, and capital favors new narratives. Ethereum restaking is the brand new narrative and biggest investment opportunity in this cycle.
  • Restaking and Liquid Restaking will bring upward pressure to ETH, and tokens of Liquid Restaking protocols will benefit from the growing restaking market.
  • DeFi use cases related to Liquid Restaked Tokens introduce increased financial leverage to the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem, which also entails heightened risks.

Payment Companies – Potential IPOs, Select Companies Being Taken Private and Sector Overview

By Victor Galliano

  • We explore Klarna’s and Stripe’s IPO prospects and valuations based on recent share transactions; Nuvei and Cielo are close to being taken private, with Worldpay now controlled by private equity
  • Nuvei and Worldpay both grew by acquisition but failed to deliver on the market’s expected returns, in our view, ending up under PE ownership; is Nexi a potential PE target?
  • We retain Visa as a core holding and also keep PagSeguro and PayPal as buys, replacing Cielo with new peer group addition Shift4; we keep our sell rating on Affirm

Electrifying the Fleet

By subSPAC

  • This last week was packed with deals, amendments, and merger breakups.
  • A SPAC is set to merge with an electric utility firm, and a blank-cheque firm is taking a critical metals supply chain-focused firm.
  • Also, Sam Altman’s SPAC surges as it nears a deal, and a SPAC terminates a merger with a hydrogen energy firm. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs. 

Sealed Air (SEE): A Melting Ice Cube Hiding In Plain Sight

By Bleecker Street Research

  • Sealed Air (SEE) is a disaster in motion: its entire business is facing extinction as customers move away from the thin-film plastics the company makes.
  • Sealed Air’s e-Commerce business has collapsed as Amazon has moved away from the single-use plastics, formerly ever present in its packaging. 
  • California just passed two recycling and labeling bills that we think will make Sealed Air’s products unlikely to be used in the State and possibly in the US as a whole.

Bread Financial Holdings Inc (BFH) – Monday, Jan 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Bread Financial (formerly Alliance Data) has experienced a drop in stock price since 2015 but has improved its balance sheet.
  • The future earnings outlook is uncertain due to pending regulations, but the company is expected to generate a high return on equity.
  • Bread Financial issues private label and co-brand credit cards with major partners, making it a potentially valuable investment opportunity at its current price.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tredegar Corp (TG) – Sunday, Jan 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Tredegar Corporation has been selling off businesses, annuitizing pension plans, and seeing key executives retire in recent years
  • With only two remaining businesses, the company is estimated to be worth $11-13 after accounting for debt, before tax implications
  • These actions indicate a significant shift in Tredegar’s strategy and possible future liquidation piece by piece

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief India: Adani Enterprises, NIFTY Index and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Deletion to Bring Sector Balance into Play
  • EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 01-Apr-24 to 05-Apr-24


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Deletion to Bring Sector Balance into Play

By Brian Freitas


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 01-Apr-24 to 05-Apr-24

By Sankalp Singh

  • Equities shrug off hawkish RBI rhetoric – eye on $3 Billion inflows from MSCI rejig & June Elections results
  • Short dated IVs trade lower. Quarterly-expiry IVs continue to hold at >13.0% levels as they capture multiple event risks
  • Short vega positions recommended as “High & Down” vol state persists. Use current scenario to buy tail hedges as protection for long Equity positions. 

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The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Jastec Co Ltd, JSR Corp, Nintendo , TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • NTT Data’s ¥1,940/Share Deal For Jastec (9717) – Not Enough But Probably Enough
  • Merger Arb Mondays (08 Apr) – JSR, Jastec, Shinko, Azure, Genex, Best World, Isetan
  • Nintendo Co Ltd (NTDOY) – Sunday, Jan 7, 2024
  • ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders


NTT Data’s ¥1,940/Share Deal For Jastec (9717) – Not Enough But Probably Enough

By Travis Lundy

  • NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) on Friday announced a Tender Offer to take over small custom software developer and system integrator Jastec Co Ltd (9717 JP)
  • It’s at a premium. But for a growing company ahead of “The 2025 Problem” where synergies are expected, you’d want to get a premium vs where comps trade. You don’t.
  • But this gets to near 50% just from friendlies. Someone who wanted to interfere would have to be publicly noisy. I expect this gets done.

Merger Arb Mondays (08 Apr) – JSR, Jastec, Shinko, Azure, Genex, Best World, Isetan

By Arun George


Nintendo Co Ltd (NTDOY) – Sunday, Jan 7, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • AAOI recommends investing in Nintendo ahead of the launch of the Switch 2 console cycle in mid to late 2024
  • Analyst sees potential for multiple expansion, margin improvement, and continued monetization of intellectual property through theme parks and movies
  • Bullish on Nintendo’s stock in absolute terms and relative to other companies in the video game and media sectors, predicting significant gains based on past launch cycles.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders

By Aki Matsumoto

  • ETF sale is pie in the sky if the dividend income from ETFs held by BOJ is used to cover the interest payments associated with lifting of negative interest rates.
  • ETFs held by the Bank of Japan, which account for 7% of prime market capitalization, are actually reducing the number of actual tradable shares and hindering trading liquidity.
  • Furthermore, ETFs held by BOJ, which don’t indicate their intention to be shareholders, may be voting in favor of the company’s proposal as new silent shareholders in place of cross-shareholdings.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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