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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Financials: NIFTY Index, Ethereum, HD Hyundai Marine Solution , Cactus Acquisition Corp 1 Ltd, Bread Financial Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 01-Apr-24 to 05-Apr-24
  • Restaking, the Biggest Opportunity and Risk in Ethereum
  • ECM Weekly (8th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Waaree Energies, Horizon Robotics, Bharti Hexacom
  • Electrifying the Fleet
  • Bread Financial Holdings Inc (BFH) – Monday, Jan 8, 2024


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 01-Apr-24 to 05-Apr-24

By Sankalp Singh

  • Equities shrug off hawkish RBI rhetoric – eye on $3 Billion inflows from MSCI rejig & June Elections results
  • Short dated IVs trade lower. Quarterly-expiry IVs continue to hold at >13.0% levels as they capture multiple event risks
  • Short vega positions recommended as “High & Down” vol state persists. Use current scenario to buy tail hedges as protection for long Equity positions. 

Restaking, the Biggest Opportunity and Risk in Ethereum

By Edward Wu

  • Crypto market is driven by narrative in the short term, and capital favors new narratives. Ethereum restaking is the brand new narrative and biggest investment opportunity in this cycle.
  • Restaking and Liquid Restaking will bring upward pressure to ETH, and tokens of Liquid Restaking protocols will benefit from the growing restaking market.
  • DeFi use cases related to Liquid Restaked Tokens introduce increased financial leverage to the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem, which also entails heightened risks.

ECM Weekly (8th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Waaree Energies, Horizon Robotics, Bharti Hexacom

By Ethan Aw


Electrifying the Fleet

By subSPAC

  • This last week was packed with deals, amendments, and merger breakups.
  • A SPAC is set to merge with an electric utility firm, and a blank-cheque firm is taking a critical metals supply chain-focused firm.
  • Also, Sam Altman’s SPAC surges as it nears a deal, and a SPAC terminates a merger with a hydrogen energy firm. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs. 

Bread Financial Holdings Inc (BFH) – Monday, Jan 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Bread Financial (formerly Alliance Data) has experienced a drop in stock price since 2015 but has improved its balance sheet.
  • The future earnings outlook is uncertain due to pending regulations, but the company is expected to generate a high return on equity.
  • Bread Financial issues private label and co-brand credit cards with major partners, making it a potentially valuable investment opportunity at its current price.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Perfect Medical Health, Fu Shou Yuan, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, BYD and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – April 2024
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – Due to the Pain Points, Investment Logic Changes
  • ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders
  • China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba



Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – Due to the Pain Points, Investment Logic Changes

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Fu Shou Yuan’s 2023 performance was indeed not good, with negative growth in 23H2.Shanghai alone has limited market capacity.No matter how strong it is, it cannot drive the national market.
  • Fu Shou Yuan has encountered difficulties in external expansion and M&A, so it chooses to increase dividends. However, this means the Company may have to say goodbye to high growth.
  • The founder’s “past bad record” and uncertain business outlook hinder the upward potential of valuation, which requires a high margin of safety.It’s better bought at low price to collect dividends.

ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders

By Aki Matsumoto

  • ETF sale is pie in the sky if the dividend income from ETFs held by BOJ is used to cover the interest payments associated with lifting of negative interest rates.
  • ETFs held by the Bank of Japan, which account for 7% of prime market capitalization, are actually reducing the number of actual tradable shares and hindering trading liquidity.
  • Furthermore, ETFs held by BOJ, which don’t indicate their intention to be shareholders, may be voting in favor of the company’s proposal as new silent shareholders in place of cross-shareholdings.

China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba

By Ming Lu

  • In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto’s sales volume increased by 39% YoY.
  • AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in March was ten times of last year.
  • Facing stagnancy and competition, Alibaba’s Taobao removed service charges from its retailers.

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Most Read: Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, J&T Global Express , Rakuten, Jastec Co Ltd, Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H, GS Holdings, JSR Corp, Hanmi Semiconductor, Adani Enterprises, APT Medical and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • TRACKING TRAFFIC/Lalatech IPO: Attractive Segment | ‘Unbelievable’ Cost Control | Hidden Competition
  • J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science
  • NTT Data’s ¥1,940/Share Deal For Jastec (9717) – Not Enough But Probably Enough
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Change or Two in June?
  • Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades
  • Merger Arb Mondays (08 Apr) – JSR, Jastec, Shinko, Azure, Genex, Best World, Isetan
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High
  • SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Deletion to Bring Sector Balance into Play
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher


TRACKING TRAFFIC/Lalatech IPO: Attractive Segment | ‘Unbelievable’ Cost Control | Hidden Competition

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Lalatech’s largest segment by revenue — Chinese intra-city on-demand freight — features many of the attributes that are attractive to online logistics intermediaries
  • At the top of the list of red flags in its prospectus is Lalatech’s company’s dramatic 71% Y/Y reduction in Sales and Marketing expenses last year
  • Although Lalatech appears to be the leading platform for Chinese intra-city on-demand freight matching, the company faces ‘hidden’ competition from several larger groups

J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry

By Arun George

  • J&T Global Express (1519 HK)’s 180-day IPO lock-up period for 88% of outstanding shares expires on 24 April. The shares exiting the lock-up period are worth US$9.9 billion.
  • The likely sellers will be the Series pre-A1, pre-A2, A and B investors as are they are materially in the money at the last close price.
  • J&T has returned to organic growth with a shift to profits and declining cash burn. While the last close is 17% below the IPO price, the shares are fairly valued. 

Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Austal, Rakuten, Hyundai Home Shopping, Hanmi Science

By David Blennerhassett

  • Murakami to tender stake in JSR Corp (4185 JP)? Maybe the “double arb”: i.e. short on swap, long on cash, will tender the cash, remain short the back end.
  • Austal Ltd (ASB AU) rejected (for now) Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)‘s bid based on regulatory concerns.  Hanwha reckons these should not be an issue.
  • If you can tolerate owning the mobile biz, buy Rakuten (4755 JP) on dips. If not, avoid Rakuten Group and Rakuten Bank short-term; buy Rakuten Bank on larger dips.

NTT Data’s ¥1,940/Share Deal For Jastec (9717) – Not Enough But Probably Enough

By Travis Lundy

  • NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) on Friday announced a Tender Offer to take over small custom software developer and system integrator Jastec Co Ltd (9717 JP)
  • It’s at a premium. But for a growing company ahead of “The 2025 Problem” where synergies are expected, you’d want to get a premium vs where comps trade. You don’t.
  • But this gets to near 50% just from friendlies. Someone who wanted to interfere would have to be publicly noisy. I expect this gets done.

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: One Change or Two in June?

By Brian Freitas

  • SenseTime Group (20 HK) is a potential deletion in June while Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H (2899 HK) is a potential inclusion.
  • For yet another review, BeiGene (6160 HK) is a close add with the Velocity Test determining if the stock will be added to the index or not.
  • Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.95% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.6bn. Official capping will be based off the close of trading on 4 June.

Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

By Sanghyun Park

  • Opposition’s probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative’s momentum. However, market sentiment doesn’t universally echo these worries.
  • Value-Up stocks’ recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.
  • Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition’s influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.

Merger Arb Mondays (08 Apr) – JSR, Jastec, Shinko, Azure, Genex, Best World, Isetan

By Arun George


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High

By Brian Freitas


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Wipro Deletion to Bring Sector Balance into Play

By Brian Freitas


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
  • We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in three changes to the index.
  • With a big jump in tracking AUM over the last few months, passives will need to trade a lot of stock on implementation date.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On
  • Northbound Flows (Apr 3rd): CATL, Moutai
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 5th): TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD3,983.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD232mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
  • We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Wiwynn, Bora Pharma, Wistron, Faraday Tech, Lite-On Tech, Alchip Tech, Hon Hai, Asia Vital, Quanta Computer.

Northbound Flows (Apr 3rd): CATL, Moutai

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$448.8 million, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, utilities, communication services.
  • We highlight flows for CATL, Moutai. Note that the connect was closed for three days last week due to exchange holidays.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 29th): Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 29th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD76.9bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, United Integrate, Chicony Elec, Unimicron Tech, Hon Hai, Global Unichip, Asia Vital.

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 5th): 21 Stocks at 1Y High

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.9% as of Apr 5th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by 5.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, real estate.
  • We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Baiyunshan, Jiangxi Copper, ZTE, Fosun Pharma, Air China, Joinn Lab.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.

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Daily Brief Australia: APM Human Services Internation, Empire Energy and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • APM (APM AU): Madison Dearborn’s “Disappointing” NBIO
  • Empire Energy Group ASX:EEG RaaS Interview Transcript 8 April 2024


APM (APM AU): Madison Dearborn’s “Disappointing” NBIO

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 28th Feb, PE-outfit CVC Asia Pacific bumped its NBIO to A$2.00/share, and was granted exclusive due diligence. On the 27th Mar, CVC said they were “unable to proceed“. 
  • Today, the 8th April, Madison Dearborn Partners, holding ~29%, has pitched an non-indicative, non-binding Offer at A$1.40/share, in cash, by way of a Scheme. An unlisted scrip option is available.
  • A key condition is APM Human Services (APM AU)‘s executive-chair Megan Wynne, founding related parties, and key management, electing scrip. The Independent Board Committee reckons the Offer Price is disappointing.

Empire Energy Group ASX:EEG RaaS Interview Transcript 8 April 2024

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Discussion on progress of Beetaloo project and update on FID, discussion on outlook for gas supply in east coast Australia, comments on recent substantial shareholder notice from Sheffield Resources.

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Daily Brief ESG: ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders


ETFs Held by BOJ with No Prospect of Sale Are Unfortunate for Shareholders

By Aki Matsumoto

  • ETF sale is pie in the sky if the dividend income from ETFs held by BOJ is used to cover the interest payments associated with lifting of negative interest rates.
  • ETFs held by the Bank of Japan, which account for 7% of prime market capitalization, are actually reducing the number of actual tradable shares and hindering trading liquidity.
  • Furthermore, ETFs held by BOJ, which don’t indicate their intention to be shareholders, may be voting in favor of the company’s proposal as new silent shareholders in place of cross-shareholdings.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan |Worst Week in 2024 Ends on High Note and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan |Worst Week in 2024 Ends on High Note


Ohayo Japan |Worst Week in 2024 Ends on High Note

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks rebounded on Friday, recuperating from the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s worst session in over a year.
  • Traders scaled back their expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts after US employers added 303,000 jobs in March, signaling a robust labor market
  • Yaskawa Electric anticipates record-high consolidated net profit of 54 billion yen (up 7% YoY) for the fiscal year ending February 2025.

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Daily Brief South Korea: GS Holdings, Hanmi Semiconductor and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High


Observations on Post-Election Flows of Value-Up Stocks, Based on Recent Local Institutional Trades

By Sanghyun Park

  • Opposition’s probable win in the election sparks concerns about Value-up initiative’s momentum. However, market sentiment doesn’t universally echo these worries.
  • Value-Up stocks’ recent corrections likely stem from Q4 dividend arbitrage liquidation, rather than election result concerns.
  • Post-Election, even if the opposition wins, the left-leaning Value-up program might continue, limiting the opposition’s influence, as seen in recent National Pension Service flows.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Hanmi Semiconductor (042700 KS) Flying High

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief ECM: J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry
  • ECM Weekly (8th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Waaree Energies, Horizon Robotics, Bharti Hexacom


J&T Global Express (1519 HK): The US$9.9 Billion Lock up Expiry

By Arun George

  • J&T Global Express (1519 HK)’s 180-day IPO lock-up period for 88% of outstanding shares expires on 24 April. The shares exiting the lock-up period are worth US$9.9 billion.
  • The likely sellers will be the Series pre-A1, pre-A2, A and B investors as are they are materially in the money at the last close price.
  • J&T has returned to organic growth with a shift to profits and declining cash burn. While the last close is 17% below the IPO price, the shares are fairly valued. 

ECM Weekly (8th Apr 2024) – Hyundai Marine, Waaree Energies, Horizon Robotics, Bharti Hexacom

By Ethan Aw


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Daily Brief Singapore: Huationg Global, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Huationg Global CEO increases interest to 7.75%
  • REIT Watch – S-REIT sector’s PB ratio is at almost 20% discount to its longer-term average


Huationg Global CEO increases interest to 7.75%

By Geoff Howie

  • Huationg Global CEO increases interest to 7.75% Olam Group bought back a total of three million shares at S$1.13 apiece over the four sessions.
  • Ng also maintained a 68.7 per cent deemed interest in Huationg Global by virtue of his 25 per cent shareholding interest in Dandelion Capital, which is the immediate and ultimate holding company of Huationg.

REIT Watch – S-REIT sector’s PB ratio is at almost 20% discount to its longer-term average

By Geoff Howie

  • REIT Watch – S-Reit sector’s PB ratio is at almost 20% discount to its longer-term average Despite this, the S-REIT sector is now trading at a discount of close to 20 per cent compared to its longer-term average in terms of price-to-book ratio.
  • This is indicated by the iEdge S-REIT Index currently trading at a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.87 times, against the index’s five-year average PB ratio of 1.04 times – which showed a discount of 16 per cent.

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