All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: Jastec Co Ltd, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Jastec (9717 JP): NTT Data (9613 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY1,940
  • Will the TSE’s Convoy System Work?


Jastec (9717 JP): NTT Data (9613 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY1,940

By Arun George

  • Jastec Co Ltd (9717 JP) has recommended a tender offer from NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) at JPY1,940 per share, a 37.6% premium to the undisturbed price (5 April). 
  • The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 66.67% ownership ratio.
  • Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 56.4% minority acceptance rate. The acceptance condition is achievable as the offer represents a 22-year high.

Will the TSE’s Convoy System Work?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While more companies should include the cost of capital in their disclosures, investors are demanding that management present specific solutions discussed by the board of directors to solve their company’s problems.
  • Many companies with high foreign shareholding disclose their own management strategies, while companies without high foreign shareholding tend to lack the ability to think of measures to increase profitability.
  • The TSE’s newly established department supports such companies to ensure that all listed companies are not left behind, but that seems to go against the quality of the market.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 5th): Tencent, CK Asset, Xiaomi


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • During 1Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +8.7%y/y, down slightly from the +10.1% reported during 4Q2023.
  • Only 47% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 44% delivered positive Sales surprises, a sharp correction from the positive trend witnessed during 2023.
  • Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 5th): Tencent, CK Asset, Xiaomi

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 5th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ESG: Will the TSE’s Convoy System Work? and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Will the TSE’s Convoy System Work?


Will the TSE’s Convoy System Work?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While more companies should include the cost of capital in their disclosures, investors are demanding that management present specific solutions discussed by the board of directors to solve their company’s problems.
  • Many companies with high foreign shareholding disclose their own management strategies, while companies without high foreign shareholding tend to lack the ability to think of measures to increase profitability.
  • The TSE’s newly established department supports such companies to ensure that all listed companies are not left behind, but that seems to go against the quality of the market.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): US Banks – HFD Shows Loan Growth Turning Negative Just Now and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • US Banks – HFD Shows Loan Growth Turning Negative Just Now, with C&I Worsening the Most
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 05/04/2024


US Banks – HFD Shows Loan Growth Turning Negative Just Now, with C&I Worsening the Most

By Daniel Tabbush

  • US large banks weekly data shows loan growth now turning to negative, not a positive outlook for bank earnings or core income
  • C&I loan growth is more negative than other major segments, suggesting limited demand, but also risk-aversion by banks
  • Even where Jumbo Time Deposits growth is now only 59% YoY there is still likely to be major pressure on banks’ funding costs

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 05/04/2024

By Auctus Advisors

  •  ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Sample analysis at Welchau – Compositional analysis of a gas sample at Welchau shows 92 mole % methane, 4 mole % ethane with low CO2 and no H2S.
  • Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.30 per share: Growth within cashflow – The FY24 guidance reflects a self-funded development and debt repayment programme.
  • While a reduced capital programme, we believe this is a prudent strategy with upside optionality should additional funds from the Bulu sale or higher oil prices materialize.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Event-Driven: Backstory on the Hanmi Science Showdown & KKR’s Likely Tender Offer and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Backstory on the Hanmi Science Showdown & KKR’s Likely Tender Offer
  • Best World (BEST SP): Exit Stage Left
  • Jastec (9717 JP): NTT Data (9613 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY1,940
  • Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US): Johnson & Johnson (JNJ US)’s Acquisition Offer
  • Hanmi Science: If Talks With Mum and Sister Break Down, Then KKR May Provide a Partial Tender Offer
  • Hanwha Aerospace: Spin Off of Semiconductor Equipment and Video Surveillance Units
  • Ganz-Mavag/Talgo: Request for Offer Authorisation
  • EQD | HSI Closed the Week Modestly Up: A Pullback Is Possible Next Week


Backstory on the Hanmi Science Showdown & KKR’s Likely Tender Offer

By Sanghyun Park

  • The victorious brothers plan to join forces with KKR to secure over 51% ownership of Hanmi Science. They aim to persuade the mother and daughter to part with their shares.
  • Should this negotiation fail, KKR is prepared to initiate a tender offer in the open market, intending to acquire an additional 10-15% of Hanmi Science’s shares.
  • KKR can target a maximum of 16%. With 10-15% aimed for, this tender offer will cause significant price impact.

Best World (BEST SP): Exit Stage Left

By David Blennerhassett

  • After flagging a proposed delisting exercise last month, direct seller Best World International (BEST SP) has announced an Exit Offer lead by Best World founders Dora Hoan and Doreen Tan.
  • The Offer Price is S$2.50/share, a 42.86% premium to undisturbed. The Offer requires approval from 75% of disinterested shareholders. Hoan, Tan and concert parties holding 65.12%, are required to abstain.
  • Best World shares resumed trading on November 2022 after 42 months of suspension, subsequent to media reports and a short seller raising regulatory concerns over its Chinese business model.

Jastec (9717 JP): NTT Data (9613 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY1,940

By Arun George

  • Jastec Co Ltd (9717 JP) has recommended a tender offer from NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) at JPY1,940 per share, a 37.6% premium to the undisturbed price (5 April). 
  • The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 66.67% ownership ratio.
  • Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 56.4% minority acceptance rate. The acceptance condition is achievable as the offer represents a 22-year high.

Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US): Johnson & Johnson (JNJ US)’s Acquisition Offer

By Tina Banerjee

  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ US) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US) for $335/share in cash or an enterprise value of $13.1B.
  • Offer price represents 4.7% premium over yesterday’s closing price or around 19% premium over the undisturbed price. The deal is expected to close by mid-2024.
  • With no product overlap and competition concern, the deal is expected to get regulatory approval. With reasonable deal valuation, shareholders approval is also expected.

Hanmi Science: If Talks With Mum and Sister Break Down, Then KKR May Provide a Partial Tender Offer

By Douglas Kim

  • The 2024 AGM of Hanmi Science is over and the two Lim brothers have control of the company. Nonetheless, the fight for the control of Hanmi Science is not over.
  • There is an increasingly probable scenario where the KKR private equity firm gets involved, joining hands with the Lim brothers.
  • If mum and sister do not sell their shares (which seems to be the higher likely scenario), then KKR may issue a tender offer to the remaining minority shareholders.

Hanwha Aerospace: Spin Off of Semiconductor Equipment and Video Surveillance Units

By Douglas Kim

  • On 5 April, Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) formally announced that it will spin off its semiconductor equipment and video surveillance units which contributed to about 16% of its revenue. 
  • We are Negative on Hanwha Aerospace mainly due to valuations. Its share price has risen so much in the past year that its valuations are no longer attractive.
  • Hanwha Aerospace is trading at premium valuation to Lockheed Martin on an EV/EBITDA basis. Despite its recent strong growth, Hanwha Aerospace is no Lockheed Martin. 

Ganz-Mavag/Talgo: Request for Offer Authorisation

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Ganz Mavag, a public/private consortium, requests authorisation for its €5/share offer for 100% of Talgo SA (TLGO SM). It needs approvals from Spain and seven other EMEA regulators.
  • Yesterday’s close remains similar to the announcement date (7 March), gross spread of 11.3%, indicating uncertainty regarding timeline and development. The market is pricing a 48% probability of deal completion.
  • The Spanish Government will delay the authorization process. Vs. comparables and considering uncertainties regarding backlog execution, investing in the company seems somewhat risky. The risk/reward ratio is not particularly attractive.

EQD | HSI Closed the Week Modestly Up: A Pullback Is Possible Next Week

By Nico Rosti

  • The Hang Seng Index has been rising for 2 weeks but the uptrend seems slow and weak. The rally may have stalled, a pullback may be behind the corner.
  • Based on our MONTHLY seasonal studies for the HSI, the index has a extremely high chance to close April in negative territory.
  • You can go SHORT now, or during this coming week if the index keeps rising, target the 17000 to 17300 areas.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: China Vanke and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Indika Energy, Vedanta Resources
  • Indika Energy – Earnings Flash – FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Medco Energi – Earnings Flash – FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics


Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Indika Energy, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Indika Energy – Earnings Flash – FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Indika Energy’s FY 2023 numbers were soft as projected, owing to lower coal prices and the impact of the new licence for 91%-owned PT Kideco Jaya Agung. While Indika’s financial risk profile deteriorated significantly, the credit metrics remained robust within the rating category. Liquidity stayed sound.

The company should have a more difficult year in FY 2024, with decreased selling prices, revenue and earnings expected. That said, we still believe Indika can generate positive FCF, given its low-cost position.

The company is set to redeem the c. USD 294 mn outstanding USD 5.875% 11/24 notes on May 3rd at par. While the redemption will be leverage neutral, we view the move as credit positive. Indika will only have the USD 2025 bonds remaining after the 2024 notes redemption, and these can be almost fully funded by the holdco’s cash position.


Medco Energi – Earnings Flash – FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Medco Energi’s FY 2023 numbers were acceptable in our view. The top line and margins softened, weighed down by reduced oil & gas (O&G) selling prices and slightly lower production volumes. FCF was negative and net debt increased, owing to the acquisition of a 20% stake in two O&G blocks at Oman in December. While leverage weakened, Net Debt/EBITDA remained acceptable at 2.5x at FYE 2023.

We believe earnings may continue declining in FY 2024, as management has guided for production to decrease further (mainly driven by lower working interest at Corridor Block PSC). Still, we believe Medco can generate slightly positive FCF in FY 2024 if it does not undertake new acquisitions. Liquidity is sound, and we note positively that the company’s sizeable equity stake in copper and gold mining JV Amman Mineral Internasional (listed on IDX) would provide it with meaningful financial flexibility if needed.

We revise our LARA to “Medium Risk” from “High Risk”, considering Medco’s longer reserve life and track record of proactive debt management.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: L’Occitane (973 HK):  Two Good Moves and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • L’Occitane (973 HK):  Two Good Moves, Though Rerating Has Been Fast And Furious
  • Intel’s New Segment Reporting. Transparency Or Obfuscation?
  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Industrial Chameleon
  • KRUS: Successive Guidance Upgrade as Kura Face Tougher Comps
  • Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation
  • Gibraltar Industries: Investment in Digital Transformation
  • Chinese IVF Specialist Expands Into Southeast Asia With Indonesian Investment
  • Citic Resource Holdings (1205.HK) – A Play on Oil and Coal Demand
  • Gdi Integrated Facility Svcs (GDI.) – Thursday, Jan 4, 2024
  • BellRing Brands: Upping Its Inventory Management Game While Expanding Distribution Scale!


L’Occitane (973 HK):  Two Good Moves, Though Rerating Has Been Fast And Furious

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • L’Occitane (973 HK) announced two solid moves this week:  1) Disposing the 70% stake in Grown Alchemist;
  • And 2) granting additional call options to Sol de Janeiro CEO Heela Yang of up to 7%.
  • The stock is trading at 19x FY25 PE (fiscal year ending March), up from just 14x six months ago.

Intel’s New Segment Reporting. Transparency Or Obfuscation?

By William Keating

  • Intel launched a new segment reporting structure under which its newly created Foundry P&L allegedly racked up operating losses of ~$17 billion over the past three years
  • The Foundry P&L is not expected to reach breakeven until the ’27/’28 timeframe
  • Intel’s share price is down >10% in the two days since the new financial model was launched. 

AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Industrial Chameleon

By Angus Mackintosh

  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) booked an impressive finish to the year despite slower revenue growth from its trading & distribution business boosted by strong industrial plot sales at JIIPE.
  • The company expects trading & industrial volumes to improve in 2024, with retail petroleum becoming more significant with JIIPE expected to see increasing recurrent utilities earnings starting in 2H2024. 
  • AKR Corporindo has a strong pipeline of potential tenants for JIIPE and expects to expand its BP JV retail petrol stations by 40-50 this year. Valuations remain attractive.

KRUS: Successive Guidance Upgrade as Kura Face Tougher Comps

By Notes To Self

  • Kura Sushi US Weighting as of writing: 4% 5th April 2024 – Q2 FY24 Results On April 4th, Kura Sushi US reported earnings for the second quarter of FY24.
  • Nothing major to report and similar themes to previous quarters so will keep this one short. The market valuation is astronomically stupid.
  • Average unit volumes at Kura are $4.28 million and have improved significantly; up 22% since 2019.

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation

By Tina Banerjee

  • Cochlear Ltd (COH AU) shares rallied 30%+ over the last six months. Shares are trading at NTM P/E of 51.3x, versus other Australia-listed medical devices companies’ P/E of 23–32x.
  • The underlying business strength depicted by strong financial performance and guidance raise, and superior product offerings justify the pricey valuation.
  • Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY) from A$355–375M. The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY.

Gibraltar Industries: Investment in Digital Transformation

By Baptista Research

  • Gibraltar Industries’ Q4 2023 financial results presented a robust year-end performance.
  • The company’s leadership positions were expanded, the quality of earnings improved, and strong cash flows were generated.
  • Both Residential and Infrastructure perform strongly, and although the Renewable segment faced industry headwinds, it demonstrated excellent margin expansion.

Chinese IVF Specialist Expands Into Southeast Asia With Indonesian Investment

By Caixin Global

  • Jinxin Fertility Group Ltd., China’s largest private provider of in vitro fertility (IVF) services, is buying a stake in an Indonesian peer, venturing into Southeast Asia as demand in China declines with more couples opting not to have babies.
  • Hong Kong-listed Jinxin Fertility has signed an equity investment deal to become a “significant shareholder” of PT Morula Indonesia, an IVF specialist affiliated with PT Bundamedik Tbk, a major women- and children-focused health care services group in Indonesia, according to a joint statement Monday.
  • It did not specify how much capital Jinxin will invest.

Citic Resource Holdings (1205.HK) – A Play on Oil and Coal Demand

By Rikki Malik

  • One of a basket of Hong Kong commodity stocks we like
  • One off issues in 2023 which should reverse in 2024
  • Can also be viewed as  a tangential play on India’s industrial growth

Gdi Integrated Facility Svcs (GDI.) – Thursday, Jan 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Fragmented industry with growth opportunities
  • Successful acquisitions and expansion
  • Focus on customer service and reputation for excellence

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


BellRing Brands: Upping Its Inventory Management Game While Expanding Distribution Scale!

By Baptista Research

  • BellRing Brands Inc. has reported the results from their first quarter ending fiscal year 2024.
  • These results have come out better than the management’s expectations, with net sales increasing by 19% in comparison to the previous year.
  • The company’s adjusted EBITDA also showed considerable growth, rising by 18%.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: Oil Prices Surge on OPEC+ Decision and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Oil Prices Surge on OPEC+ Decision, US Inventory Buildup Slows Momentum
  • Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 5 Apr 2024


Oil Prices Surge on OPEC+ Decision, US Inventory Buildup Slows Momentum

By Suhas Reddy

  • OPEC+ decides to keep output targets intact till June. Iraq and Kazakhstan vow to compensate for overproduction.
  • OPEC+ pressed its members to improve compliance with production quotas in Q22024.
  • Expansion in US crude stockpiles slightly dampens the bull run of oil prices. While gasoline and distillate drawdowns come in better-than-expectations.

Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 5 Apr 2024

By Dr. Jim Walker

  • March Manufacturing PMIs show several countries, including Vietnam, Thailand, Korea, Taiwan, and Japan, slightly below the 50 boom-bust line.
  • India’s robust PMI of 59 highlights strong manufacturing activity, despite skepticism surrounding Indian economic data.
  • Concerns arise over the US economy’s strength, impacting global market sentiments and raising questions about the Fed’s potential reluctance to implement interest rate cuts.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Nidec Corp, HD Hyundai Marine Solution , Pgt Inc, Sai Gon Cargo Service , International Consolidated Airlines Group, Siteone Landscape Supply, Zongmu Technology and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Nidec (6594) | Forget the EV Slump
  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO – Thoughts on Valuation
  • PGT Innovations Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Maintaining A Robust Growth Trajectory Despite Market Uncertainties! – Major Drivers
  • Sai Gon Cargo Services (SCS VN) Update: Price Hikes, Strong Q1 2024 Operational Numbers
  • European Airlines – Bridging Flag Carrier 1Q24 and 2024 Prospects
  • SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Strategic Acquisitions & 3 Other Fundamental Aspects Fueling Its Growth! – Financial Forecasts
  • Zongmu Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Nidec (6594) | Forget the EV Slump

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nidec faces challenges amid global EV sales decline, with shares and valuations reflecting market pessimism.
  • Anticipated catalysts include forthcoming guidance, potential MTP reassessment, and a strategic acquisition opportunity.
  • At 18x EBIT, Nidec looks a compelling play on secular themes of electrification, automation, and energy efficiency.

HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO – Thoughts on Valuation

By Ethan Aw

  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) is looking to raise up to US$551m in its Korean IPO.
  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution (HMS from hereon) is a ship aftermarket service provider that provides necessary services throughout a ship’s life cycle after the delivery of a new ship.
  • In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we share our thoughts on valuation.

PGT Innovations Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Maintaining A Robust Growth Trajectory Despite Market Uncertainties! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the third quarter of 2023, PGT Innovations displayed a strong financial performance despite operating in an unpredictable market environment.
  • The company’s balanced exposure to new construction and repair and remodeling channels has enabled them to deliver consistent record sales and impressive profits over the year.
  • By combining a continued focus on operational efficiency and productivity, PGT Innovations managed to achieve a total revenue of $400 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $78 million in the third quarter.

Sai Gon Cargo Services (SCS VN) Update: Price Hikes, Strong Q1 2024 Operational Numbers

By Sameer Taneja

  • Sai Gon Cargo Service (SCS VN) announced an increase in its pricing (details in note) effective April 1st, with a 10% increase across most categories. 
  • March cargo numbers showed a substantial 47% YoY increase, as cooperation with Qatar Airways got underway in February. Q1 FY24 numbers were up 34% YoY.
  • The stock trades at 12.5x FY24e numbers with an 8% yield, assuming a 20%YoY revenue and profit growth (and a 100% payout), with an upside to these conservative numbers.

European Airlines – Bridging Flag Carrier 1Q24 and 2024 Prospects

By Neil Glynn

  • We publish quarterly earnings bridges through 1Q-4Q24 for Air France-KLM, IAG and Lufthansa, which illustrate 1Q will be difficult yoy.
  • This renders forward commentary extremely important and summer pricing prospects are encouraging. Delta kicks off airline reporting season globally on 10 April and is likely to set a bullish tone
  • However the European low cost carriers easyJet, Ryanair and Wizz Air are seeing greater earnings momentum than the flag carriers given short haul fare strength.

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Strategic Acquisitions & 3 Other Fundamental Aspects Fueling Its Growth! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc. ended the year 2023 with notable growth in their 4th quarter, coupled with a modest increase in adjusted EBITDA, an 8% growth in net sales, and a record operating cash flow.
  • The company also made 11 acquisitions, adding companies with strong customer relationships while also expanding their product lines.
  • However, 2023 presented some challenges including lower market demand, mounting operating costs, gross margin normalization, and commodity price deflation.

Zongmu Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Zongmu Technology (1491595D CH) is looking to raise up to US$150m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai and BNP Paribas.
  • Zongmu Technology is a Chinese advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) solutions provider, offering solutions with comprehensive autonomous driving functions. 
  • As a Tier 1 supplier, it undertakes software design, hardware design, system design and the integration of these components to develop solutions for mass deployment.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Hanwha Corporation, Crude Oil, Rio Tinto Ltd, Steel, SigmaRoc, Panoro Energy ASA, Omai Gold Mines, ADF Group , Ring Energy Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Hanwha Group’s Restructuring to Positively Benefit Hanwha Corp but Negatively Impact Hanwha Ocean
  • Dominant US Crude Production Has Transformed the Importance and Size of Strategic Petroleum Reserve
  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March’24 Report
  • China to Limit Steel Output as Prices Slide and Demand Falls
  • Sigmaroc (SRC) – Wednesday, Jan 3, 2024
  • Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Heads of terms for high potential EG block
  • OMG: Highly Economic PEA on the Wenot Open Pit
  • DRX: Q4 Financials Preview
  • Ring Energy, Inc. – Scaling Business Through Acquisitions & Development


Hanwha Group’s Restructuring to Positively Benefit Hanwha Corp but Negatively Impact Hanwha Ocean

By Douglas Kim

  • We believe the new restructuring plan of the Hanwha Group is likely to have a positive impact on Hanwha Corp but could negatively impact Hanwha Ocean. 
  • Our NAV analysis of Hanwha Corp suggests NAV of 3.2 trillion won or NAV per share of 43,168 won, which is 50% higher than current share price. 
  • The biggest component of the valuation is Hanwha Corp’s 34% stake in Hanwha Aerospace which is worth 4.1 trillion won. (187% of Hanwha Corp’s market cap). 

Dominant US Crude Production Has Transformed the Importance and Size of Strategic Petroleum Reserve

By Suhas Reddy

  • USA’s Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) is currently at its lowest in 40 years. Should this be a source of concern? Perhaps not.
  • USA is the world’s largest producer of crude oil. From being vulnerable to imported oil, US has become self-reliant.
  • SPR expressed differently now, stands at 188 days of net imports compared to less than 100 days as was seen in the 1980s, 1990s, and early 2000s.

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March’24 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during March. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.3% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 38.15 (vs. 37.7%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 16.5%); 
  • Industrivärden C, 1.4% (vs. 4.4%); Investor B, 6.1% (vs. 5.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 45.4% (vs. 43.7%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 24.9% (vs. 25.6%), and on 26 March reached 27.7%.
  • What seems interesting: listed assets vs. Industrivärden C and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).

China to Limit Steel Output as Prices Slide and Demand Falls

By Caixin Global

  • Chinese authorities are to limit steel production while pushing forward industrywide structural adjustments as steel mills suffer from growing losses amid sluggish demand.
  • Several ministries led by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) Wednesday said regulators will continue efforts to control crude steel production this year, focusing on energy conservation and carbon reduction.
  • The authorities will foster industry strengths and weed out weak players to promote the structural adjustment and optimization of the steel industry.

Sigmaroc (SRC) – Wednesday, Jan 3, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SigmaRoc (SRC) is a European aggregates/limestone operator with a strong investment opportunity due to a recent transformational acquisition
  • SRC is trading at a favorable valuation compared to US competitors and has outperformed in terms of EPS growth and cash flow conversion
  • SRC has potential for significant returns over a 3-year period supported by strong cash generation, pricing power, and limited downside risk, making it an attractive investment prospect for growth and value appreciation

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Heads of terms for high potential EG block

By Auctus Advisors

  • Panoro has agreed heads of terms for the award of Block-23 in EG. Panoro could hold up to 80% WI in the block.
  • There will now be a period of exclusive negotiations to finalise a Production Sharing Contract.
  • Block EG-23 is located offshore Equatorial Guinea north of Bioko Island and adjacent to the producing Alba gas and condensate field.

OMG: Highly Economic PEA on the Wenot Open Pit

By Atrium Research

  • Omai announced its initial PEA on the Wenot Open Pit, reporting a highly profitable, low capex project, with substantial upside.
  • The PEA reported a low AISC of US$1,009/oz, IRR of 19.8%, and an after-tax NPV5% of US$556M (at US$1,950/oz Au).
  • The average annual production is expected to be 142Koz over a 13-year mine life, mining an average grade of 1.51 g/t Au at 92.5% recovery.

DRX: Q4 Financials Preview

By Atrium Research

  • ADF Group will be reporting Q4 & FY24 financial results on April 11th before market open.
  • For Q4, we are expecting revenue of $77.1M (+50% YoY), gross margin of 22% (vs.
  • 18% last year), and adjusted EBITDA of $13.6M (+132% YoY).

Ring Energy, Inc. – Scaling Business Through Acquisitions & Development

By Water Tower Research

  • Acquisitions are expected to remain a centerpiece of management’s three-pronged strategy to increase scale in the asset base, reduce outstanding debt, and ultimately position the company to return cash to shareholders.
  • The Stronghold acquisition in 3Q22, followed by the Founders acquisition in 3Q23, added operational scale and inventory depth on the southern portion of the Central Basin Platform (CBP).
  • Together with Ring’s Northwest Shelf (NWS) assets, the inventory provides a diverse set of horizontal and vertical development opportunities.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars