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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief ECM: Sanrio (8136 JP): The Current Playbook and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Sanrio (8136 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU): Fund Raising Amidst Pipeline Progress Raises Conviction
  • ECM Weekly (9th Dec 2024) – Goodman, Auckland Airport, Kioxia, MNC, DIY, Vishal Mega, Mao Geping


Sanrio (8136 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the announcement of the US$840 million secondary offering, Sanrio (8136 JP)’s shares have been down 3.9% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,160 per share (26 November).
  • It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Sanrio’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 10 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU): Fund Raising Amidst Pipeline Progress Raises Conviction

By Tina Banerjee

  • Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU) has requested a trading halt to the ASX pending an announcement in relation to a capital raising. Normal trading will resume on Monday, December 9, 2024.
  • Assuming quarterly cash burn rate of A$7M, Paradigm’s cash balance should provide a runway through mid-Q3FY25. The company is in a dire need to raise fund.
  • With lead drug being in late-stage trial and having huge market potential, Paradigm seems to be an attractive biotech investment opportunity. Recently, optimism is growing surrounding Paradigm’s lead drug candidate.

ECM Weekly (9th Dec 2024) – Goodman, Auckland Airport, Kioxia, MNC, DIY, Vishal Mega, Mao Geping

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front,  the deal flow doesn’t seem to be slowing down much into the year end. The coming two weeks will see some of the past IPOs listing.
  • On the placements front, Goodman Group (GMG AU)‘s block trade was hogging all of the limelight this week. 

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Merger Arb Mondays (09 Dec) – HKBN and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (09 Dec) – HKBN, ESR, Lifestyle China, GA Pack, Latin Res, De Grey, SG Fleet
  • Quiddity Leaderboard Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: 2 IN, 2 OUT, $5.5bn+ Fastie to Sell, $7bn a Side
  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted
  • Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang’s Obligatory Offer. But … Is ESR A Seller?
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 Dec 2024): AH Premia Lower, Markets Up, Tech Weaker, Materials Up
  • Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too
  • China National Building Material (3323 HK): H Share Buyback Short Changes Minorities
  • Potential Take Private of Worldline
  • EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Vol Term-Structure Inverts as Front-End IVs Jump to 15.0%



Quiddity Leaderboard Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: 2 IN, 2 OUT, $5.5bn+ Fastie to Sell, $7bn a Side

By Travis Lundy

  • The Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal was odd. They could have done 3. They did 2. For now, I still see 2 IN and 2 OUT for the Mar25 Nikkei225 Rebal.
  • There is also a DOUBLE-capping event for Fast Retailing which on 8% outperformance could become a TRIPLE-capping event. For now, the trade is shaping up to be US$7bn a side.
  • There is still a tech bent to potential ADDs. Some Consumer Goods stocks need stock splits to get in. Longer-term, the TOPIX Methodology Rejig is an interesting problem set.

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted

By Brian Freitas


Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang’s Obligatory Offer. But … Is ESR A Seller?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Gordan Tang (& his wife Celine) acquired 2.14% in Suntec REIT (SUN SP), lifting their stake to 31.45% from 29.31%, triggering a MGO.
  • The Offer Price is $1.16/share against a recent close of $1.17. The Offer will be conditional on a 50% acceptance hurdle. That’s it. This is purely a technical Offer. 
  • Share popped 7% on the news, and closed up ~5%. This appears unwarranted. Tang is not going to take Suntec private. But ESR Group (1821 HK) may be exiting. 

A/H Premium Tracker (To 6 Dec 2024): AH Premia Lower, Markets Up, Tech Weaker, Materials Up

By Travis Lundy

  • Mainland share market volumes continue to be better than HK and SOUTHBOUND volumes, but SB volumes rebounded, tech saw limited net buying, BABA was bought but other major tech sold.
  • The first leg of China’s retaliatory acts against US trade measures appeared with export bans on gallium, germanium, antimony, graphite products, etc. These will not be lifted soon.
  • China is also retaliating against the Phils, Vietnam, Taiwan and changing tack in Europe. The next couple of years threatens to be “interesting times.

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 8 adds and 7 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December. We had a 100% hit rate on our forecasts.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% resulting in a one-way trade of TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There are 16 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.
  • There has been a big increase in short interest on some of the deletions and there could be some short covering the stocks closer to implementation date.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity rebounded about 20% this week vs the previous week. Net buying was a little lower but still strong. Market volumes overall in HK remain weak.
  • Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) was again the top buy and EV names XPeng (9868 HK) and BYD (1211 HK) were bought, but tech as a whole was sold.
  • I continue to expect HK-listed tech to see ongoing buying. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don’t compete in the US. 

China National Building Material (3323 HK): H Share Buyback Short Changes Minorities

By Arun George

  • China National Building Material (3323 HK) has launched a conditional share buyback to acquire a maximum of 841.7 million H Shares (18.47% of H Shares) at HK$4.03.
  • The share buyback seems designed to enable the CNBM parent company to bypass the creeper rule and squeeze the shorts. 
  • The buyback is unattractive and will leave minorities short-changed, weakening a stretched balance sheet. Nevertheless, while potentially tricky, the votes should pass. 

Potential Take Private of Worldline

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Private Equity Interest: Worldline has attracted early-stage interest from private equity firms, including Bain Capital, driven by its discounted valuation and extensive market presence in Europe.
  • Market Challenges: Worldline’s stock declined over 50% in 2024, with Q3 revenues dropping 1.1% organically, reflecting struggles in Merchant and Financial Services and the need to stabilize growth.
  • Valuation and Takeover Potential: Worldline’s current valuation at 4.61x EV/EBITDA offers upside potential, with a €9.00/share target implying an 18.4% return, though profitability recovery remains uncertain.

EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Vol Term-Structure Inverts as Front-End IVs Jump to 15.0%

By Sankalp Singh

  • Short-Date IVs reprice higher as active contract rolls over to 12.12.2024 expiry. Elevated risk-premia justified as contracts capture RBI rate decision & U.S. NFP event risks.
  • Re-Pricing of front-end IVs has kicked Vol term-structure into Backwardation. Monthly & Quarterly IVs remain unchanged. Current Vol curve shape is at odds with improving sentiment in underlying Index.
  • Strategic Implications: (1) Avoid Short Gamma exposure. (2) Continue allocation to Short Vega + Short Smile structures. (3) Look for Nifty50 trading range to stabilize as trigger for Skew harvesting.   

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC 2NM Yield Jump Rumors; Seeing Taiwan’s Starlink Alternative Firsthand in KS and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC 2NM Yield Jump Rumors; Seeing Taiwan’s Starlink Alternative Firsthand in KS
  • Intuitive Surgical: International Expansion & Regulatory Milestones & Other Major Drivers
  • Rush Enterprises Inc (RUSHA) – Sunday, Sep 8, 2024
  • EMCOR Group Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Data Center Expansion & AI Integration
  • Rubrik 3QFY25 Wrap: Solid Outlook, Improving FCF and $1B+ In Subscription ARR
  • LANC US: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!
  • China National Building Materials (3323 HK): Buying Back 9.98% of H-Shares
  • Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2
  • Intapp Inc.: Cloud Transition & Expansion As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread At Decent Short Level; UMC Short Interest Rises Again


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC 2NM Yield Jump Rumors; Seeing Taiwan’s Starlink Alternative Firsthand in KS

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s N2 Progress Sparks Buzz Amid Yield Improvement Rumors; If True Then 2nm Will Become Even More Successful Than 3nm
  • Hon Hai & TASA Showcase Homegrown Space Technologies Including an Alternative to Starlink
  • Himax: Buyback Program Lifts Shares; Auto Display Controllers, AR Displays & WLO for AI Progressing 

Intuitive Surgical: International Expansion & Regulatory Milestones & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Surgical, Inc. reported robust third-quarter financial results for 2024, reflecting both significant positive developments and some areas of challenge.
  • The company demonstrated strong global growth in its key product lines, particularly the da Vinci systems, which is central to its operation.
  • On the positive side, Intuitive displayed robust procedure growth at 18% year-over-year, with contributions especially strong in the U.S., Japan, Germany, France, and the U.K. Notably, the introduction of the da Vinci 5 system, which launched in March 2024, saw promising early adoption with 188 installations and over 12,000 procedures completed.

Rush Enterprises Inc (RUSHA) – Sunday, Sep 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Information provided is for informational purposes only, not investment advice
  • Author may hold a long position in securities mentioned
  • Investors advised to seek professional advice before making investment decisions based on this material

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


EMCOR Group Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Data Center Expansion & AI Integration

By Baptista Research

  • EMCOR Group’s third-quarter 2024 results reflect significant revenue growth, robust operating income, and a strong backlog of projects, underscoring its strategic expansion into resilient market sectors.
  • The company reported record revenues of $3.7 billion, showing a 15.3% increase year-over-year, and operating income surged by 54.7% to $363.5 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share also rose considerably from $3.57 in the third quarter of 2023 to $5.80 this quarter.

Rubrik 3QFY25 Wrap: Solid Outlook, Improving FCF and $1B+ In Subscription ARR

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Rubrik, cybersecurity company and leader in the segment of enterprise backup and recovery software solutions, delivered a high quality beat and raise in 3QFY25.
  • Stock indicated up 20%+ during regular trading session on heavy volume. Rubrik raised guidance for FY25 total revenue to $861M at the midpoint, implying ~37% growth.
  • Moreover, the company generated positive FCF, achieved strong growth at scale and surpassed $1B+ in subscription ARR, a big milestone.

LANC US: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Lancaster Colony Corporation reported its fiscal year 2025 first-quarter results, showing modest growth with some challenges.
  • Consolidated net sales increased by 1.1% to a record $467 million, while gross profit rose by 1.9% to $111 million.
  • A key highlight was the record gross profit, marking positive operational efficiency, although the operating income decreased slightly due to higher selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses.

China National Building Materials (3323 HK): Buying Back 9.98% of H-Shares

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • We view China National Building Material (3323 HK)‘s proposal to buy back 9.98% of H-shares as a good opportunity for the shareholders to cash out in their position.
  • Without further significant government stimulus, CNBM will find it difficult to return to the HK$4.03 offer price. Potential weak FY24 results also mean downside risks.
  • Other companies with high gearing and low P/B may follow CNBM’s move. We single out the infrastructure construction companies as the likely candidates.

Tech News: Semi Revised Up, TSMC CoWoS up 3x, Hynix Speeding up for Nvidia, Intel 18A Behind TSMC N2

By Nicolas Baratte

  • WSTS is revising up Semiconductor demand for 2024 and 2025, AI demand higher than expected. Taiwan AI Server ODM revenues are still booming, impressive numbers.
  • Samsung and SK Hynix expediting new LPDDR “In Memory Processing” for Nvidia in 2026. TSMC forecast AI demand 3x increase to 2026.
  • Intel 18A low yield and low density brings new light on management reshuffle. TSMC N2 is ~20% ahead. Apple trying its own 5G modem, again.

Intapp Inc.: Cloud Transition & Expansion As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intapp, Inc. concluded its fiscal first quarter of 2025 on a strong note, showcasing substantial growth in cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR) and laying a strong foundation for future expansion.
  • A key highlight was the 27% year-over-year growth in cloud ARR, reaching $309 million, which now comprises 74% of the company’s total ARR of $417 million.
  • SaaS revenue also increased by 30% year-over-year to $77 million, driving total revenue up by 17% to $119 million.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread At Decent Short Level; UMC Short Interest Rises Again

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +23.5% Premium; Decent Level to Short Relative to Historical Trading Range
  • UMC: +0.1% Premium; Middle of the Historical Trading Range; Short Interest Rises Again
  • ASE: +3.5% Premium; Near Middle of Recent Range, Wait for Better Levels

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Daily Brief Macro: Fed’s Latest Financial Stability Report Highlights Pitfalls of Fiscal Profligacy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Fed’s Latest Financial Stability Report Highlights Pitfalls of Fiscal Profligacy
  • Investing During an Era of American Exceptionalism
  • Bitcoin 100K: Buy or Fade the Animal Spirits?
  • Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Positive Developments At Iron Ridge And Other Catalysts
  • Iron Ore Tracker (9-Dec-2024): Stuck In A 95-110 USD/Ton Band, Restock On The Cards?
  • Copper Tracker 9th Dec 2024: All Eyes On the China Economic Work Conference (CEWC)


Fed’s Latest Financial Stability Report Highlights Pitfalls of Fiscal Profligacy

By Said Desaque

  • The Fed’s latest report on financial stability indicated elevated valuations for risky assets versus Treasuries, while valuations for residential and agricultural properties are also historically high.
  • Residential mortgage and company debt do not pose major risks to financial stability due to high levels of equity in owner-occupied real estate and robust corporate profits. 
  • Continued fiscal profligacy poses the greatest threat to the US financial system via the banking system and raising the cost of capital for the corporate sector. 

Investing During an Era of American Exceptionalism

By Cam Hui

  • This year was one of American exceptionalism and asset return domination, led by the leadership of the Magnificent Seven.
  • . We believe Magnificent Seven leadership is likely to fade in 2025.
  • We expect that 2025 will be a year of transition from growth to value, large caps to small caps and paper to hard assets.

Bitcoin 100K: Buy or Fade the Animal Spirits?

By Cam Hui

  • Now that Bitcoin has exceeded the psychologically important 100,000 mark, it is becoming evident that the FOMO risk-on stampede is in full force.
  • Our review of market internals leads us to conclude that the risk-on FOMO stampede that’s driving the animal spirits is on the verge of becoming exhausted.
  • Our base case calls for a brief period of consolidation or shallow weakness, followed by a rally into year-end.

Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Positive Developments At Iron Ridge And Other Catalysts

By Sameer Taneja


Iron Ore Tracker (9-Dec-2024): Stuck In A 95-110 USD/Ton Band, Restock On The Cards?

By Sameer Taneja

  • In the countdown to the China Economic Work Conference (CEWC), which will be held on December 11th/12th, the iron ore market remains range-bound, expecting further clarity on the economic stimulus.
  • Stocks like Vale (VALE US) and Fortescue Metals (FMG AU) continue to trade at double-digit dividend yields (9-10%), assuming 100 USD/ton.
  • With China’s PMI improving, despite high inventories, there is an expectation of a restock for iron ore in the short term. We remain skeptical and continue to see range-bound activity.

Copper Tracker 9th Dec 2024: All Eyes On the China Economic Work Conference (CEWC)

By Sameer Taneja

  • In the countdown to the China Economic Work Conference (CEWC), which will be held on December 11th/12th, the copper market remains range-bound, expecting further clarity on the economic stimulus.
  • The market has looked through the PMI uptick due to the seasonal uplift and order inflows in anticipation of Trump tariffs, although equities seem a little more positive. 
  • We prefer Southern Copper (SCCO US) in the copper space for its high ROIC and future growth. Check out our recent initiation, Lundin Mining (LUN CN): Cheap Play on Copper. 

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Daily Brief Crypto: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve? and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?


Strategic Bitcoin Reserve?

By Fallacy Alarm

  • Donald Trump’s election and the subsequent bull run to 100k has emboldened Bitcoiners. Many of them are now calling for the US government to build what they call a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

  • This idea has been floating around for a while. Robert Kennedy Jr. gave it a big boost in July when he promised to make the Treasury buy a quarter of all Bitcoin in circulation was he elected as president.

  • Since the election, various crypto celebrities have chimed in and politicians at the state and the federal level have come up with policy proposals to push this agenda.


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Daily Brief Australia: Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals, Iron Ore, Verbrec and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted
  • Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU): Fund Raising Amidst Pipeline Progress Raises Conviction
  • Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Positive Developments At Iron Ridge And Other Catalysts
  • Iron Ore Tracker (9-Dec-2024): Stuck In A 95-110 USD/Ton Band, Restock On The Cards?
  • Verbrec Ltd – AGM Update pointing to a strong year


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Dec 2024): CAR, Clarity Pharma Added; Dexus, Spark Deleted

By Brian Freitas


Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU): Fund Raising Amidst Pipeline Progress Raises Conviction

By Tina Banerjee

  • Paradigm Biopharmaceuticals (PAR AU) has requested a trading halt to the ASX pending an announcement in relation to a capital raising. Normal trading will resume on Monday, December 9, 2024.
  • Assuming quarterly cash burn rate of A$7M, Paradigm’s cash balance should provide a runway through mid-Q3FY25. The company is in a dire need to raise fund.
  • With lead drug being in late-stage trial and having huge market potential, Paradigm seems to be an attractive biotech investment opportunity. Recently, optimism is growing surrounding Paradigm’s lead drug candidate.

Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Positive Developments At Iron Ridge And Other Catalysts

By Sameer Taneja


Iron Ore Tracker (9-Dec-2024): Stuck In A 95-110 USD/Ton Band, Restock On The Cards?

By Sameer Taneja

  • In the countdown to the China Economic Work Conference (CEWC), which will be held on December 11th/12th, the iron ore market remains range-bound, expecting further clarity on the economic stimulus.
  • Stocks like Vale (VALE US) and Fortescue Metals (FMG AU) continue to trade at double-digit dividend yields (9-10%), assuming 100 USD/ton.
  • With China’s PMI improving, despite high inventories, there is an expectation of a restock for iron ore in the short term. We remain skeptical and continue to see range-bound activity.

Verbrec Ltd – AGM Update pointing to a strong year

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update on engineering, asset management, and infrastructure and training services group Verbrec (ASX:VBC) following its recent AGM at which the company released an updated sales pipeline for the remainder of FY25, stating strong expected win rates of at least equal to last year’s 36%.
  • We retain our existing forecasts with FY25 revenue growth of 11% to $103.2m and EBITDA growth of 19% to $10.5m.
  • However, the AGM commentary gives us additional comfort and confidence that VBC is well placed to deliver those forecasts.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Suntec REIT, Keppel Infrastructure Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang’s Obligatory Offer. But … Is ESR A Seller?
  • Keppel Infrastructure Trust – Desalination Plant Disappears into Murky Off Balance Sheet Waters


Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang’s Obligatory Offer. But … Is ESR A Seller?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Gordan Tang (& his wife Celine) acquired 2.14% in Suntec REIT (SUN SP), lifting their stake to 31.45% from 29.31%, triggering a MGO.
  • The Offer Price is $1.16/share against a recent close of $1.17. The Offer will be conditional on a 50% acceptance hurdle. That’s it. This is purely a technical Offer. 
  • Share popped 7% on the news, and closed up ~5%. This appears unwarranted. Tang is not going to take Suntec private. But ESR Group (1821 HK) may be exiting. 

Keppel Infrastructure Trust – Desalination Plant Disappears into Murky Off Balance Sheet Waters

By Tan Yee Peng

  • KEPPEL INFRASTRUCTURE TRUST (KIT) is an infrastructure trust listed in Singapore. KIT is managed by Keppel Infrastructure Fund Management Pte Ltd (KIFM) and is sponsored by Keppel, a global asset manager and operator. KIFM is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Keppel.
  • The Trustee-Manager, KIFM, has dual responsibility of safeguarding the interests of KIT Unitholders, and managing the business conducted by KIT.
  • The Trustee-Manager has general powers of management over the business and the assets of KIT and its main responsibility is to manage KIT’s assets and liabilities for the benefit of Unitholders as a whole.

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Daily Brief United States: Intuitive Surgical, Rush Enterprises Inc Cl A, Emcor Group Inc, Rubrik , Lancaster Colony, Intapp , Digitalocean Holdings, Ares Management , Graphic Packaging Holding Company, Ingersoll Rand and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Intuitive Surgical: International Expansion & Regulatory Milestones & Other Major Drivers
  • Rush Enterprises Inc (RUSHA) – Sunday, Sep 8, 2024
  • EMCOR Group Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Data Center Expansion & AI Integration
  • Rubrik 3QFY25 Wrap: Solid Outlook, Improving FCF and $1B+ In Subscription ARR
  • LANC US: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Intapp Inc.: Cloud Transition & Expansion As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers
  • DigitalOcean Holdings: These Are The 7 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Ares Management’s $3.7 Billion Acquisition: Shift for the U.S. And Global Index
  • Graphic Packaging Breaking Boundaries With Value-Based Pricing That Transforms Industry Standards! – Major Drivers
  • Ingersoll Rand: Emerging Growth Markets & Innovative Solutions to Set New Standards! – Major Drivers


Intuitive Surgical: International Expansion & Regulatory Milestones & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Surgical, Inc. reported robust third-quarter financial results for 2024, reflecting both significant positive developments and some areas of challenge.
  • The company demonstrated strong global growth in its key product lines, particularly the da Vinci systems, which is central to its operation.
  • On the positive side, Intuitive displayed robust procedure growth at 18% year-over-year, with contributions especially strong in the U.S., Japan, Germany, France, and the U.K. Notably, the introduction of the da Vinci 5 system, which launched in March 2024, saw promising early adoption with 188 installations and over 12,000 procedures completed.

Rush Enterprises Inc (RUSHA) – Sunday, Sep 8, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Information provided is for informational purposes only, not investment advice
  • Author may hold a long position in securities mentioned
  • Investors advised to seek professional advice before making investment decisions based on this material

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


EMCOR Group Inc.: An Analysis Of Its Data Center Expansion & AI Integration

By Baptista Research

  • EMCOR Group’s third-quarter 2024 results reflect significant revenue growth, robust operating income, and a strong backlog of projects, underscoring its strategic expansion into resilient market sectors.
  • The company reported record revenues of $3.7 billion, showing a 15.3% increase year-over-year, and operating income surged by 54.7% to $363.5 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share also rose considerably from $3.57 in the third quarter of 2023 to $5.80 this quarter.

Rubrik 3QFY25 Wrap: Solid Outlook, Improving FCF and $1B+ In Subscription ARR

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Rubrik, cybersecurity company and leader in the segment of enterprise backup and recovery software solutions, delivered a high quality beat and raise in 3QFY25.
  • Stock indicated up 20%+ during regular trading session on heavy volume. Rubrik raised guidance for FY25 total revenue to $861M at the midpoint, implying ~37% growth.
  • Moreover, the company generated positive FCF, achieved strong growth at scale and surpassed $1B+ in subscription ARR, a big milestone.

LANC US: Here Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Lancaster Colony Corporation reported its fiscal year 2025 first-quarter results, showing modest growth with some challenges.
  • Consolidated net sales increased by 1.1% to a record $467 million, while gross profit rose by 1.9% to $111 million.
  • A key highlight was the record gross profit, marking positive operational efficiency, although the operating income decreased slightly due to higher selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses.

Intapp Inc.: Cloud Transition & Expansion As A Key Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intapp, Inc. concluded its fiscal first quarter of 2025 on a strong note, showcasing substantial growth in cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR) and laying a strong foundation for future expansion.
  • A key highlight was the 27% year-over-year growth in cloud ARR, reaching $309 million, which now comprises 74% of the company’s total ARR of $417 million.
  • SaaS revenue also increased by 30% year-over-year to $77 million, driving total revenue up by 17% to $119 million.

DigitalOcean Holdings: These Are The 7 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DigitalOcean, a cloud infrastructure provider aimed at developers, startups, and SMBs, achieved steady progress in its third quarter of 2024.
  • The company reported revenue growth of 12% year-over-year, propelled by the success of its core cloud offerings and substantial gains in its AI/ML platform.
  • Despite facing challenges from earlier price adjustments and acquisitions, DigitalOcean demonstrated robust growth in annual run rate revenue of $798.3 million, marking a consistent 12% increase year-over-year.

Ares Management’s $3.7 Billion Acquisition: Shift for the U.S. And Global Index

By Harry Kalfas

  • Ares Management (ARES US) entered into a definitive agreement a $3.7 billion acquisition of GLP Capital Partners’ international operations.
  • The acquisition is structured with a mix of cash and stock, including performance incentives.
  • The deal, subject to regulatory approvals, will impact Ares’ presence in a global and a major US index, potentially creating significant passive demand.

Graphic Packaging Breaking Boundaries With Value-Based Pricing That Transforms Industry Standards! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The latest financial report from Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) offers a range of insights into both the achievements and challenges experienced by the company during the third quarter of 2024.
  • The company, a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, has shown resilience in a volatile market environment but also faces certain headwinds.
  • In terms of performance, Graphic Packaging reported third-quarter sales of $2.2 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of $433 million, reflecting a solid EBITDA margin of 19.5%.

Ingersoll Rand: Emerging Growth Markets & Innovative Solutions to Set New Standards! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Ingersoll Rand reported its Q3 2024 financial results, showcasing a mix of strong performance and growth challenges, against a backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty.
  • The company recorded significant results, achieving record orders and revenue increases, with adjusted EBITDA margins expanding by over 200 basis points and free cash flow margins reaching 20%.
  • Despite these achievements, Ingersoll Rand acknowledged that the challenging macro environment has impacted customer order timing and site readiness, leading to adjustments in revenue expectations for the full year.

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Daily Brief India: NIFTY Index and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Vol Term-Structure Inverts as Front-End IVs Jump to 15.0%


EQD / NSE NIFTY50 Vol Update / Vol Term-Structure Inverts as Front-End IVs Jump to 15.0%

By Sankalp Singh

  • Short-Date IVs reprice higher as active contract rolls over to 12.12.2024 expiry. Elevated risk-premia justified as contracts capture RBI rate decision & U.S. NFP event risks.
  • Re-Pricing of front-end IVs has kicked Vol term-structure into Backwardation. Monthly & Quarterly IVs remain unchanged. Current Vol curve shape is at odds with improving sentiment in underlying Index.
  • Strategic Implications: (1) Avoid Short Gamma exposure. (2) Continue allocation to Short Vega + Short Smile structures. (3) Look for Nifty50 trading range to stabilize as trigger for Skew harvesting.   

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Daily Brief Japan: Kokusai Electric , Sanrio, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Kioxia Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: 2 IN, 2 OUT, $5.5bn+ Fastie to Sell, $7bn a Side
  • Sanrio (8136 JP): The Current Playbook
  • “Parent-Subsidiary Listing” Heaven Continues to Provide Rich Investment Performance for Investors
  • ECM Weekly (9th Dec 2024) – Goodman, Auckland Airport, Kioxia, MNC, DIY, Vishal Mega, Mao Geping


Quiddity Leaderboard Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: 2 IN, 2 OUT, $5.5bn+ Fastie to Sell, $7bn a Side

By Travis Lundy

  • The Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal was odd. They could have done 3. They did 2. For now, I still see 2 IN and 2 OUT for the Mar25 Nikkei225 Rebal.
  • There is also a DOUBLE-capping event for Fast Retailing which on 8% outperformance could become a TRIPLE-capping event. For now, the trade is shaping up to be US$7bn a side.
  • There is still a tech bent to potential ADDs. Some Consumer Goods stocks need stock splits to get in. Longer-term, the TOPIX Methodology Rejig is an interesting problem set.

Sanrio (8136 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the announcement of the US$840 million secondary offering, Sanrio (8136 JP)’s shares have been down 3.9% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,160 per share (26 November).
  • It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Sanrio’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 10 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

“Parent-Subsidiary Listing” Heaven Continues to Provide Rich Investment Performance for Investors

By Aki Matsumoto

  • With the TSE shortly declaring the conclusion of discussions regarding parent-subsidiary listings, more parent-subsidiary listings (including listed affiliates) are likely to continue to appear going forward.
  • “TSE’s Request” states a restructuring of business portfolio, but leaves out the issue of restructuring the parent company’s business portfolio and shifting to a management approach that increases corporate value.
  • The parent-subsidiary listings (including listed affiliates) that continue to be created will continue to provide investment opportunities for investors, including activist investors.

ECM Weekly (9th Dec 2024) – Goodman, Auckland Airport, Kioxia, MNC, DIY, Vishal Mega, Mao Geping

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front,  the deal flow doesn’t seem to be slowing down much into the year end. The coming two weeks will see some of the past IPOs listing.
  • On the placements front, Goodman Group (GMG AU)‘s block trade was hogging all of the limelight this week. 

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