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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Mimasu Semiconductor Industry, SK Hynix, ASE Technology Holding , Meta Platforms (Facebook), Darktrace, Intel Corp, NextNav , Freelancer Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • 18yrs Later, Shin-Etsu Chem Takes Out Sub Mimasu Semi (8155) – Cheap But Whatchagonnado?
  • SK Hynix: AI Is Still the Main Driver
  • ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Results Were Better, and the Outlook for 2024F Was Very Positive.
  • Meta 1Q’24 Update
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 7 Changes Likely; Expected ADDs Could Outperform Expected DELs
  • Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?
  • Nextnav Inc (Nn) (NN) – Thursday, Jan 25, 2024
  • Freelancer – AI to drive return to growth
  • Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix, Vedanta Resources


18yrs Later, Shin-Etsu Chem Takes Out Sub Mimasu Semi (8155) – Cheap But Whatchagonnado?

By Travis Lundy

  • Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP), owner of a 44% stake in Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), has announced a Tender Offer to take out minorities in Mimasu. 
  • This is not surprising. They bought in 19 years ago, raised to 40+% 18yrs ago, then waited. Finally, we have a deal. But it’s too cheap. 
  • Shin-Etsu starts with ~45%, and crossholders and the chairman get it to 52%. Then they need a bit to get them to 67% but it should be straightforward.

SK Hynix: AI Is Still the Main Driver

By Jim Handy

  • SK hynix earnings were announced, with a 10% Q/Q revenue increase driving a 734% increase in operating profit
  • Although the company cited AI demand as the basis for this, its DRAM revenues, which are very AI dependent, increase very little
  • NAND SSD demand increased significantly, with a 30% increase in revenues, largely attributable to price increases

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Results Were Better, and the Outlook for 2024F Was Very Positive.

By Patrick Liao

  • Almost every sectors are recovery since 1Q24, and auto and industrial applications sectors still need more time to digest inventory. .    
  • The capex for 2024F has been increased by 10% for further investments in the testing business, targeting turnkey or testing customers. 
  • All product lines expected to grow in 2H24F, with APT outperforming corporate average. UTR growth expected in 2H24F, reaching above 70%. 

Meta 1Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • If you have been following Meta for some time, you probably are accustomed with after-hours (AH) volatility by now.
  • While Meta was -20% at one point AH today, it does seem a bit overdone.
  • Of all the post-earnings drop that I have experienced following Meta since 2018, this one probably made me nervous the least.

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 7 Changes Likely; Expected ADDs Could Outperform Expected DELs

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Currently, I see 7 ADDs and 7 DELs for the SE600 index. There are more names just outside the border requiring small price changes to get involved in index changes. 

Intel Is Shifting Focus to Products, Away from Manufacturing/Foundry; Worth to Follow?

By Andrew Lu

  • Intel misses 1H24 market consensus again, post market correction of over 7%. Can shifting focus away from foundry/manufacturing help?
  • Is the breakdown change for future spin off/IPO of foundry/manufacturing, and non focus businesses like Altera and Mobileye positive?
  • We disagree Intel foundry to breakeven in two years; we see AI product lagging behind competitors and non AI server CPU being squeezed by AI server GPU and GPU/CPU integration.

Nextnav Inc (Nn) (NN) – Thursday, Jan 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Nextnav is a flying car company with valuable low band spectrum covering 93% of the US population
  • The spectrum could be worth $18 per share within a year
  • Investment in Nextnav is likely to be successful due to the valuable spectrum and experienced team

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Freelancer – AI to drive return to growth

By Edison Investment Research

Freelancer’s Q124 results were mixed. Operationally, the company is seeing rising demand for AI specialists as customers seek affordable ways to develop proprietary AI. Notably, in Enterprise, the company delivered a large-scale AI pilot for a tech giant, sourcing 20,000 freelancers in 24 hours across 52 languages. This impressive achievement could lead to a substantial multi-year contract. Major initiatives across Loadshift and Escrow with leading organisations are set to be deployed over the coming months, potentially catalysing performance and diversifying revenue streams. We revise our forecasts to account for a weaker Q1 than anticipated, though positive lead indicators, especially relating to AI, underscore long-term optimism.


Morning Views Asia: SK Hynix, Vedanta Resources

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Asahi Intecc, Daiichi Sankyo and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan – Increase in Shorts & Potential Passive Selling in May
  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): FY24 Ends on Strong Note; Initiates FY25 Guidance; ¥200B Buyback Announced


Japan – Increase in Shorts & Potential Passive Selling in May

By Brian Freitas

  • There are a bunch of stocks that have underperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) and their peers and could be deleted from global passive portfolios in May.
  • The deletion from passive portfolios will lead to a liquidity event at the end of May where passive trackers will need to sell multiple days of ADV.
  • Shorts have been built up on all the stocks over the last few months and the extent of the positioning varies across stocks.

Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): FY24 Ends on Strong Note; Initiates FY25 Guidance; ¥200B Buyback Announced

By Tina Banerjee

  • Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) announced better-than-expected Q4FY24 result, with all key parameters exceeding guidance. Q4 revenue increased 30% YoY to ¥429B, driven by 76% YoY growth in Enhertu product sales.
  • For FY25, Daiichi Sankyo guided 9% increase in revenue to ¥1,750B. Core operating profit is expected to increase 8% to ¥210B, while net profit to decline 5% to ¥190B.
  • In addition to the dividend of ¥60 per share for FY25, Daiichi Sankyo has announced buyback plan of 55M shares (2.87% of issued shares) for ¥200B.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co, China Merchants Port, Frontier Management Inc, Afcons Infrastructure Limited, NEXTracker , Norcros PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Activist Palliser Re-Engages on Keisei Electric (9009) But The Oppty Remains Unconvincing
  • Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)
  • Full Report – Frontier Management Inc. | 7038
  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO – The Negatives – But Overdue Trade Receivables Increasing
  • Nextracker: A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy & Its Competitive Positioning
  • Norcros – Sale of Johnson Tiles UK agreed


Activist Palliser Re-Engages on Keisei Electric (9009) But The Oppty Remains Unconvincing

By Travis Lundy

  • Last October, activist Palliser Capital launched a campaign (presentation) on well-known “stub trade” Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) with a stake of about 1.6%. 
  • The proposal? Monetise a decent stake in Oriental Land (4661 JP), repurchase shares, and invest for growth. Keisei responded 6-8 weeks ago with a buyback and 1% OLC stake sale.
  • I thought that was time to bail. That was it. But now, Palliser has re-engaged. Today a press release (Japanese/English) and a Letter to the Board.

Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)

By David Blennerhassett

  • Four years ago, almost to the day, Bloomberg ran an article, “China Merchants Group Ltd. is exploring taking China Merchants Port Holdings private“. China Merchants Ports (144 HK) popped 23%.
  • CMP gave back (most) of that gain a month later. Shares are up just ~10% since. 
  • CMP’s implied stub is bouncing around a multi-year low; and the simple ratio (CMP/ Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)) is around an all-time low.

Full Report – Frontier Management Inc. | 7038

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Frontier Management (hereafter referred to as “the company”) is a consulting firm that operates in the three pillars of management consulting, M&A advisory, and business revitalization services, as well as an investment business that began in 2022.
  • Founded by Mr. Shoichiro Onishi and Mr. Masahiro Matsuoka, both former employees of the Industrial Revitalization Corporation of Japan, the company has expanded its operations through proactive hiring.
  • It is characterized by its lineup of specialists with diverse backgrounds and is able to solve a wide variety of management issues as a one-stop shop. Mr. Matsuoka retired as of the shareholders’ meeting held on March 27, 2024, leaving Mr. Onishi as the sole leader of the company.

Afcons Infrastructure Limited Pre-IPO – The Negatives – But Overdue Trade Receivables Increasing

By Ethan Aw

  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited (6595396Z IN) is looking to raise US$840m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Afcons Infrastructure Limited (Afcons) is the flagship infrastructure engineering and construction company of the Shapoorji Pallonji group.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Nextracker: A Deep Dive Into Its Core Business Strategy & Its Competitive Positioning

By Baptista Research

  • Nextracker, Inc. posted strong third-quarter results for the fiscal year 2024.
  • The company achieved record revenue, profits and backlog data for the quarter, with year-over-year revenue growth of 38% surpassing $700 million.
  • Nextracker’s adjusted EBITDA also increased significantly to $168 million, doubling from the same period in the previous year.

Norcros – Sale of Johnson Tiles UK agreed

By Edison Investment Research

Norcros’s disposal of Johnson Tiles is the latest strategic activity taken by management to better allocate capital to fit with priorities. Last year it closed its UK adhesives operation. Norcros has a compelling investment case, where its new product development initiatives, market positioning and self-help initiatives allow it to take market share in both the UK and South Africa. Its rating is low at 6.0x FY24e P/E, which is attractive, especially when compared to its yield of 5.4% on its well-covered dividend. We retain our estimates and value the shares at 246p, implying c 30% upside.


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Daily Brief Financials: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bitcoin Pro, Bitcoin, Henderson Far East Income Ltd, EML Payments Limited, Northeast Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Today, Korean Regulators Unveiled an Electronic System Aimed at Blocking Naked Short-Selling
  • Why RBI’s Favourite Enemy Kotak Bank Is Barred from Digital Banking Business?
  • Crypto Bankruptcies and Lessons Learned
  • Cryptocurrencies: Ill-Advised Speculation or an Alternative Asset Class?
  • Henderson Far East Income – Repositioning to raise total returns
  • EML Payments – Growth cap lifted in the UK
  • Northeast Bank (NBN) – Thursday, Jan 25, 2024


Today, Korean Regulators Unveiled an Electronic System Aimed at Blocking Naked Short-Selling

By Sanghyun Park

  • Today’s reveal includes two main parts: first, setting up internal balance management for investors; second, building the detection system to block naked short-selling.
  • FSC and FSS haven’t provided a set date for system completion but suggest it may start late this year or early next year. Uncertainty remains on overseas investor participation.
  • A decision on short selling is due in June, but no confirmation was given today. However, the local market anticipates short selling resuming before this system is fully operational.

Why RBI’s Favourite Enemy Kotak Bank Is Barred from Digital Banking Business?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • RBI has barred Kotak Bank from expanding its digital business and credit card issuance
  • Rather than earnings damage (max -10%) there is more reputational damage to the bank taking away premium valuations it used to command
  • The way ahead lies for the bank is the path of moderate growth 

Crypto Bankruptcies and Lessons Learned

By Rose Choy

  • Crypto bankruptcies are complicated as crypto currencies are extremely volatile and there are no regulatory frameworks existing for crypto currencies.
  • The treatment of ownership of digital assets as property of the debtor or the depositor is one of the key debates in settling crypto bankruptcy cases.
  • One of the key lessons is that crypto investors need to be focused on how they transact with crytpo exchanges in the future.

Cryptocurrencies: Ill-Advised Speculation or an Alternative Asset Class?

By The Money Maze Podcast

  • Will Campion and the speaker met with Nick Carey from Blockchain.com in September 2021 to discuss blockchain and cryptocurrencies
  • Despite initial skepticism, the conversation was rich and wide-ranging, spanning two episodes on the Moneymakers podcast
  • Blockchain.com, founded in 2011 in York, serves both institutions and retail customers and has over 90 million wallet holders globally

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Henderson Far East Income – Repositioning to raise total returns

By Edison Investment Research

Henderson Far East Income (HFEL) has consistently delivered on its objective to provide a rising dividend. However, like many investors, HFEL’s managers overestimated the potential for a post-pandemic rebound in China. The trust’s resultant overweight to Chinese consumer and other cyclicals led to a fall in portfolio revenues and underperformance in the financial year ended 31 August 2023 (FY23). With a view to improving future returns, HFEL’s board has since indicated an increased willingness to use reserves when necessary to support dividend payments, which it did in FY23. This reduces the requirement to focus primarily on high income names to fund dividend payments, giving lead manager Sat Duhra scope to move into other areas of the market where he can acquire well-priced value names offering performance and yield, or the prospect of dividend growth over time. Duhra has been quick to reduce the trust’s exposure to China and increase positions into well-priced value names in India and Indonesia. Early signs suggest this repositioning is paying off – HFEL outperformed the market in the six months to end March 2024.


EML Payments – Growth cap lifted in the UK

By Edison Investment Research

EML Payments announced that on 23 April the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK lifted the new customer restriction for Prepaid Financial Services Limited (PFSL), which had been in place since October 2022. With the appropriate structure and risk management controls now in place, PFSL can focus on growing the business. This marks another positive step forward for the group, after exiting PFS Card Services Ireland Limited (PFS), agreeing to sell Sentenial and finalising the settlement liabilities for the PFS acquisition.


Northeast Bank (NBN) – Thursday, Jan 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Northeast Bank is a $3 billion bank based in Portland, Maine with a tangible book value of $312 million
  • Led by a management team with a strong track record of generating substantial returns for shareholders
  • Trading at attractive valuation metrics with potential for significant investor returns over the next few years

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Yamaha Corp, iShares MSCI South Korea ETF, China Resources Beverage, CyberAgent Inc, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitt and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Yamaha (7951): Making Waves Again
  • An Overlooked Passive Flow Potential for the Korea Index: Foreign Listing Materiality
  • China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • High Conviction 2024 – CyberAgent: Strong Recovery in Gaming While Media Biz Reports Profits
  • Challenges in Using Cash, Even in Companies with 30%+ Female Board Members, with Excellent Practices
  • LVMH Remains Committed to China Even Amid Sluggish Sales


Yamaha (7951): Making Waves Again

By Michael Allen

  • Yamaha releases new guidance on May 8 for its fiscal year ending March 2025. The  previous Mid-term plan for OP was ¥68bn, while the consensus is looking for just ¥40.9bn.  
  • We expect ¥50bn, and think the shares are as much as 30% undervalued.
  • Analysts have responded to multiple downward revisions to current year guidance, driven by collapsing Piano sales to China, but haven’t responded to cost cutting or growth in other product lines.

An Overlooked Passive Flow Potential for the Korea Index: Foreign Listing Materiality

By Sanghyun Park

  • With the rise in Coupang’s market cap, it’s imperative to evaluate if the Korea Index can attain eligibility to include foreign-listed companies.
  • Coupang’s 45% YTD surge nears a $41B market cap, with a 65% free-float rate equating to $27B. Yet, to meet Korea Index eligibility, an additional $23B is needed.
  • Aside from Coupang, more companies are preparing for overseas listings. Also, potential stock price increases for Coupang should be considered. The combined market cap approaches the US$50B threshold.

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Sumeet Singh

  • China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are BofA, BOCI, Citic, and UBS.
  • China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages  in China.
  • According CIC, it was the second largest company in the packaged drinking water market in China and the largest company in the purified drinking water market in 2023.

High Conviction 2024 – CyberAgent: Strong Recovery in Gaming While Media Biz Reports Profits

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • CyberAgent Inc (4751 JP) reported 2QFY09/2024 results yesterday which shows further improvement across all three segments. Both 2Q revenue and OP beat consensus estimates, with OP by a huge margin.
  • Newly released game titles have helped further recovery in Gaming business while Media segment reported its first-ever OP since the company began investing on AbemaTV.
  • As we continue to reiterate, the worst is over for CyberAgent (CA) and we remain positive over the company’s growth prospects.

Challenges in Using Cash, Even in Companies with 30%+ Female Board Members, with Excellent Practices

By Aki Matsumoto

  • The two groups with the highest percentages of female board members (companies with over 30% and 20%-30%) are consistent with the characteristics of companies in which overseas investors primarily invest.
  • Companies with over 30% female board members show superior values in many of Board Practices and Key Actions evaluation items. This may be due to improved engagement by overseas investors.
  • Companies with no female board members have the lowest values in most Corporate Governance Practices items. Therefore, percentage of female board members indicates the seriousness of improving corporate governance practices.

LVMH Remains Committed to China Even Amid Sluggish Sales

By Caixin Global

  • LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE is not worried about sales pressure on the Chinese mainland as long as its clientele there is growing overall, according to Chief Financial Officer Jean-Jacques Guiony.
  • The world’s largest luxury goods group is looking to attract more Chinese shoppers amid a broader slowdown in demand for expensive bags, jewelry, and perfume.
  • Many consumers have been making their purchases outside of China, especially in Japan, where the yen is weak, the French conglomerate disclosed in its 2024 first-quarter earnings released last week.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Krung Thai Bank Pub and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Banks 1Q24 Screener; We Stick with Krung Thai for Best Value, Kasikorn for Positive Catalysts


Thai Banks 1Q24 Screener; We Stick with Krung Thai for Best Value, Kasikorn for Positive Catalysts

By Victor Galliano

  • Krung Thai is our value pick among Thai banks, having solid post-provision profitability, close to double digit ROE with a healthy balance sheet, along with undemanding PBV and PE ratios
  • We maintain Kasikorn on the buy list, as its cost of risk was well contained in 1Q24, a key positive catalyst for its improving post-provision returns
  • Bank of Thailand is currently accepting applications for digital banking licenses until 19 September 2024; incumbent banks and domestic big corporates are likely to form the core of applicants

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Daily Brief Australia: ADX Energy Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Important Step to Unlock Sicily


ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Important Step to Unlock Sicily

By Auctus Advisors

  • The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel.
  • In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence.
  • The annulment, if not contested, will result in reversion to the 2018 legislation enabling oil as well as gas within the d 363C.R .AX permit to be exploited.

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Daily Brief South Korea: HD Hyundai Marine Solution , Samsung Biologics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution: IPO Book Building Results Analysis
  • A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months
  • Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Mixed 1Q24 Result; Order Book Swells; New Drug Approval in Europe


HD Hyundai Marine Solution: IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • HD Hyundai Marine Solution’s IPO price has been determined at 83,400 won per share, which is at the high end of the IPO price range. 
  • A total of 2,021 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 201 to 1. HD Hyundai Marine Solution will start trading on 8 May 2024.
  • Our base case valuation of HD Hyundai Marine Solution is target price of 98,254 won per share, which represents an upside of 18% from the IPO price.

A Review of Post IPO Price Performance of Top 13 IPOs in Korea Past 8 Months

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we review the share price performances of the top 13 IPOs (in terms of market cap) in Korea in the past 8 months. 
  • We review the the share price performances over different time periods (1 day, 1 week,  and 1 month). We also analyze the demand ratios and lock-up periods of the IPOs. 
  • On average, 12.7% of the IPO shares are under lockup periods for the 13 companies listed below. HD Hyundai Marine Solution IPO has 45.8% of shares under lock-up.

Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Mixed 1Q24 Result; Order Book Swells; New Drug Approval in Europe

By Tina Banerjee

  • Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) reported mixed 1Q24 result, with revenue beating and operating profit missing estimates. Despite robust revenue growth, profitability is under pressure.
  • With accumulated orders exceeding $12.5B (vs $12B at the end of 2023), the outlook remains strong. A gradual increase in Plant 4 operations is expected to drive sequential revenue growth.
  • On April 23, Samsung Bioepis received marketing approval from European Commission (EC) for Pyzchiva, a biosimilar of Stelara, thereby becoming an early mover in a potential €2.5B market.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Amman Mineral Internasional, Indika Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks
  • Indika Energy – Event Flash – Launches Tender Offer And 5NC2 Notes Offering – Lucror Analytics


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: BIG Flows for Some Stocks

By Brian Freitas


Indika Energy – Event Flash – Launches Tender Offer And 5NC2 Notes Offering – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Indika Energy has launched a tender offer for its USD 8.25% 2025 notes, with USD 534 mn outstanding. For each USD 1,000 in principal, the tender consideration is USD 962.5 and early tender consideration is USD 50, leading to a total consideration of USD 1,012.5. Indika is concurrently launching a USD 144A/RegS offering. Holders of the 8.25% ’25s may request to receive priority allocation on the new notes.

We view initial price talk of 8.875% as attractive, given the company’s robust credit profile and improving debt maturity profile.


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Daily Brief Singapore: iFAST and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Smartkarma Insights: iFAST Corp – A Profitable Fintech Player that Deserves More Investor Attention


Smartkarma Insights: iFAST Corp – A Profitable Fintech Player that Deserves More Investor Attention

By Geoff Howie

Smartkarma Insights: iFAST Corp – A Profitable Fintech Player that Deserves More Investor Attention

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