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In today’s briefing:
- Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Bumps as Brother (6448 JP) Now Faces a Dilemma
- Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC’s Strength Vs. Samsung
- HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Apr 2024); Strong Net Buying on Banks/Energy Telco SOEs. Again.
- [Xiaomi (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$20) Rating Change]: Xiaomi EV Came at the Right Time of Consolidation
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Roland DG (6789 JP): Taiyo Bumps as Brother (6448 JP) Now Faces a Dilemma
- Roland DG Corp (6789 JP) has re-recommended Taiyo’s revised offer of JPY5,370, which is 6.7% higher than its previous JPY5,035 offer and 3.3% higher than Brother Industries (6448 JP)’s JPY5,200 offer.
- The Board articulates a compelling case on Brother’s offer dis-synergies, which will help swing some shareholder opinion towards Taiyo (irrespective of the price).
- Brother could bump, but it would not address the issue of satisfying the condition precedent (non-completion of Taiyo offer) and securing the Board’s recommendation.
Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC’s Strength Vs. Samsung
- SK Reports Massive Margin Rebound; Nanya Tech’s Financial Performance Appears Relatively Weak in Perspective
- AI Applications Now Translating Into Rising Solid-State Memory (SSD) Demand
- SK Povided Positive Color for Taiwan PC Names; New TSMC Collaboration Highlights TSMC Strength vs. Samsung
HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Apr 2024); Strong Net Buying on Banks/Energy Telco SOEs. Again.
- A shares were up small on the week, largely due to a big rally on Friday (led by record Northbound buying). HK Stocks had a HUGE week.
- Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK10.3bn. Net buys every day and now 20 days straight, but buying was foreign-led.
- Little market news. More geopolitical news. Big SOE bank H-shares see relentless buying. HSTECH +13.4%, HSI +8.8%, HSCEI +9.1%.
[Xiaomi (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$20) Rating Change]: Xiaomi EV Came at the Right Time of Consolidation
- Performance of SU7 so far, margin of EV biz and globalization potential prompted us to take another look at Xiaomi and we like what we saw;
- Xiaomi surprised during the Investor Day by guiding SU7 gross margin of 5-10%. Delivery guidance also surprised to ship 100k units in 2024.
- We raise EV profitability estimates on margin guidance and expect market share to expand as it expands to SUVs.