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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: West Japan Railway Co, Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Austal Ltd, Sai Gon Cargo Service , Trimas Corp, Urban-Gro , Base Carbon and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • JR West (9021 JP) – Shareholder Structure Means Large-Ish Buyback Could Have Impact
  • AZ-Com Maruwa Launches Hostile TOB on Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) – Expect More Fun To Come
  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa Calls the Board’s Bluff, Launches the Offer
  • The Bigger Picture As Aussie Government “Approves’ Hanwha Ocean’s Austal Bid
  • Saigon Cargo Services (SCS VN): Good Q1 2024 in the Bag, More Catalyst To Come
  • TRS: Packing an Earnings Rebound
  • UGRO: 1Q Review: Remain Calm & Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $8 PT
  • Base Carbon, Inc. – Continued Execution Across All Projects


JR West (9021 JP) – Shareholder Structure Means Large-Ish Buyback Could Have Impact

By Travis Lundy


AZ-Com Maruwa Launches Hostile TOB on Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) – Expect More Fun To Come

By Travis Lundy

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) had been sending out questions, and trying to get AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) to delay the start until at least late-May.
  • AZ-Com Maruwa answered questions (first and second set) and on the 24th, C&F asked AZ-Com to extend. They did not extend. AZ-Com announced the Tender Offer at ¥3,000 today.
  • C&F responded today saying the TOB is launched without C&F Board approval. Then they said some other things that might be disclosed when C&F’s Board presents its Target Opinion.

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa Calls the Board’s Bluff, Launches the Offer

By Arun George

  • AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) has satisfied the precondition for its hostile Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) JPY3,000 offer. The offer closes on 17 June (31 business days).
  • AZ-COM Maruwa has called the Board’s bluff by providing sufficient time (extending the offer period from 20 to 31 business days) for a white knight to lob a competing bidder.
  • While a bump is probable, the shares already factor in a significant bumpitrage premium. A potential bump has a good chance of being lower than the last close.

The Bigger Picture As Aussie Government “Approves’ Hanwha Ocean’s Austal Bid

By David Blennerhassett

  • Recently, I surmised FIRB would approve Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM US)/Hancock’s bid for Azure (AZS AU); but ding Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)s Austal (ASB AU) tilt. I’m batting 50%. 
  • Whereas FIRB gave the green light for Azure this week; reportedly (no official ASX announcement as yet), the Aussie government is “not concerned” with Hanwha’s acquisition. Austal gained 3% yesterday.
  • Even Austal didn’t high hopes of securing Aussie approval. Presumably the US government is similarly onboard. This development also signals an expanding AUKUS security pact. 

Saigon Cargo Services (SCS VN): Good Q1 2024 in the Bag, More Catalyst To Come

By Sameer Taneja


TRS: Packing an Earnings Rebound

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TRS reported first quarter results confirming a turnaround in the packaging segment could be underway
  • Packaging is TRS’s largest business segment and had undergone a restructuring last year. The increase in sales has done little to impress investors
  • TRS reported first quarter sales of $227.1 million compared to our estimate of $216.2 million. The biggest driver for the outperformance was the packaging segment

UGRO: 1Q Review: Remain Calm & Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $8 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $8 price target and conservatively leaving our 2024 and 2025 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA projections unchanged after urban-gro registered upside in 1Q top and Adjusted EBITDA and reiterated prior 2024 guidance.
  • That said, with the Drug Enforcement Agency approving the reclassification of cannabis from a Schedule I to Schedule III drug, and the potential for Florida to approve recreational cannabis usage in November, we believe our 2H24 and especially 2025 projections could prove highly conservative.
  • As such, we are reiterating our Buy rating and $8 price target.

Base Carbon, Inc. – Continued Execution Across All Projects

By Water Tower Research

  • Recent update highlights a proven and replicable cash- generating business model.
  • In the two-plus years since its founding, Base Carbon has successfully sourced, invested, and developed three projects that are on time, on budget, and are either producing credits or will be in the coming quarters.
  • Credit sales from Vietnam have already generated ~$18 million in cash, Rwanda has produced its first credits, and the Indian ARR project is on track to deliver its first credits in early 2025.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Advanced Micro Devices, Amazon.com Inc, Jeju Semiconductor, Hanmi Semiconductor, Ximalaya, Spectur Ltd, Esker SA, Kin & Carta , MotorK Ltd, Vection Technologies Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • AMD. It’s A Marathon, Not A Sprint
  • Amazon 1Q’24 Update
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June
  • Pre-IPO Ximalaya – The Potential Risks and the Outlook
  • Spectur Ltd – Strong YTD growth, capital raised to repay debt
  • Esker – Targeting margin recovery in FY24
  • Kin And Carta (KCT) – Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024
  • MotorK – Strong pipeline and cash target reaffirmed
  • Vection Technologies – Moving from niche to mainstream markets


AMD. It’s A Marathon, Not A Sprint

By William Keating

  • Q124 revenues of $5.5 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, down 11% QoQ but up 2% YoY.
  • Looking ahead, AMD forecasted the current quarter revenues of $5.7 billion, up 3.6% sequentially.
  • Share price down 7% in AH and down 35% from its recent 52 week high. We could see it retest the $100 level in the coming months

Amazon 1Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.
  • So, while I will mostly discuss Amazon’s earnings in this update, I will briefly touch on some broader themes as well.
  • Overall revenue was slightly below the high end of Amazon’s guidance.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends

By Brian Freitas

  • With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
  • Even with 15 changes, there is some sector balance among the potential adds and deletes with big churn in the Information Technology sector.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) since the start of the review period but performance has flattened over the last month.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June

By Brian Freitas


Pre-IPO Ximalaya – The Potential Risks and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The key to Ximalaya turning losses into profits is not the outstanding performance in revenue side, but rather the effective cost control. The Company seems to have encountered growth bottleneck.
  • To achieve long-term stable profits, it’s necessary to continuously optimize content quality, improve user experience, and expand paying user scale, but Ximalaya has shown “signs of fatigue” in this regard. 
  • AI technology brings big room for imagination, but the question here is how much would truly translate into a leap in financial performance? Ximalaya’s valuation could be lower than peers.

Spectur Ltd – Strong YTD growth, capital raised to repay debt

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Spectur Limited (ASX:SP3) is a surveillance technology company providing security, safety, environmental monitoring and visual AI solutions to watch and act on assets managed by its platform.
  • The company develops, manufactures and sells solar- and battery-powered, remotely-connected hardware, which is driven by SP3’s firmware, software, cloud and web-apps, providing data and solutions to its customers.
  • Spectur has reported a 35% increase in Q3 sales revenue to $1.261m on the previous corresponding period (pcp) (ASX release 26 April).

Esker – Targeting margin recovery in FY24

By Edison Investment Research

Esker reported FY23 results in line with our expectations. Revenue grew 12% (14% constant currency) while inflationary effects and sales commissions on bookings outperformance in H223 resulted in operating profit declining 16% y-o-y. The high level of contracts signed towards the end of FY23 provide good support for revenue growth in FY24 and FY25 and measures taken by management to improve productivity should drive margin expansion over our forecast period back into the company’s target range of 12–15%.


Kin And Carta (KCT) – Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Investment opportunity in Kin and Carta (KCT LN) based on bumpitrage strategy
  • Apax may increase bid by 20% or more, potentially leading to further upside
  • Estimated downside of around 4% if Apax does not offer topping bid, with BC offer likely to proceed

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


MotorK – Strong pipeline and cash target reaffirmed

By Edison Investment Research

MotorK’s FY23 revenue growth was robust across most regions, with slow growth regions gaining momentum. Q124 revenue fell slightly year-on-year due to delayed delivery contracts, but these are expected to contribute to Q2 sales. Revenue quality improved, with software-as-a-service (SaaS) recurring revenue rising as a share of group revenue in FY23. M&A continues to play a pivotal role in unlocking opportunities across MotorK’s markets, providing potential average contract value (ACV) expansion from customers migrating to the platform. While personnel investments for growth swung EBITDA to a loss, MotorK’s holistic SparK platform remains well-positioned to capitalise on the automotive industry’s digital shift and technological innovation.


Vection Technologies – Moving from niche to mainstream markets

By Edison Investment Research

Vection’s Q324 update showed strong double-digit growth in revenue and cash receipts, driven by multiple contract wins, including its largest contract to date with an existing defence customer. A swing to positive operating cash flow in Q3 (A$4.1m), coupled with contract wins, validates the company’s streamlined sales structure, designed to bolster operational efficiency. Cash generated also supported a quarter-on-quarter reduction in debt. Management is seeing early positive signs by enhancing the platform’s compatibility with Apple Vision Pro, potentially unlocking a key growth avenue from rising enterprise adoption among large global players.


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Daily Brief Industrials: West Japan Railway Co, Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Austal Ltd, Sai Gon Cargo Service , Trimas Corp, Urban-Gro , Base Carbon and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • JR West (9021 JP) – Shareholder Structure Means Large-Ish Buyback Could Have Impact
  • AZ-Com Maruwa Launches Hostile TOB on Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) – Expect More Fun To Come
  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa Calls the Board’s Bluff, Launches the Offer
  • The Bigger Picture As Aussie Government “Approves’ Hanwha Ocean’s Austal Bid
  • Saigon Cargo Services (SCS VN): Good Q1 2024 in the Bag, More Catalyst To Come
  • TRS: Packing an Earnings Rebound
  • UGRO: 1Q Review: Remain Calm & Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $8 PT
  • Base Carbon, Inc. – Continued Execution Across All Projects


JR West (9021 JP) – Shareholder Structure Means Large-Ish Buyback Could Have Impact

By Travis Lundy


AZ-Com Maruwa Launches Hostile TOB on Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) – Expect More Fun To Come

By Travis Lundy

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) had been sending out questions, and trying to get AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) to delay the start until at least late-May.
  • AZ-Com Maruwa answered questions (first and second set) and on the 24th, C&F asked AZ-Com to extend. They did not extend. AZ-Com announced the Tender Offer at ¥3,000 today.
  • C&F responded today saying the TOB is launched without C&F Board approval. Then they said some other things that might be disclosed when C&F’s Board presents its Target Opinion.

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa Calls the Board’s Bluff, Launches the Offer

By Arun George

  • AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) has satisfied the precondition for its hostile Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) JPY3,000 offer. The offer closes on 17 June (31 business days).
  • AZ-COM Maruwa has called the Board’s bluff by providing sufficient time (extending the offer period from 20 to 31 business days) for a white knight to lob a competing bidder.
  • While a bump is probable, the shares already factor in a significant bumpitrage premium. A potential bump has a good chance of being lower than the last close.

The Bigger Picture As Aussie Government “Approves’ Hanwha Ocean’s Austal Bid

By David Blennerhassett

  • Recently, I surmised FIRB would approve Sociedad Quimica y Minera (SQM US)/Hancock’s bid for Azure (AZS AU); but ding Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)s Austal (ASB AU) tilt. I’m batting 50%. 
  • Whereas FIRB gave the green light for Azure this week; reportedly (no official ASX announcement as yet), the Aussie government is “not concerned” with Hanwha’s acquisition. Austal gained 3% yesterday.
  • Even Austal didn’t high hopes of securing Aussie approval. Presumably the US government is similarly onboard. This development also signals an expanding AUKUS security pact. 

Saigon Cargo Services (SCS VN): Good Q1 2024 in the Bag, More Catalyst To Come

By Sameer Taneja


TRS: Packing an Earnings Rebound

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TRS reported first quarter results confirming a turnaround in the packaging segment could be underway
  • Packaging is TRS’s largest business segment and had undergone a restructuring last year. The increase in sales has done little to impress investors
  • TRS reported first quarter sales of $227.1 million compared to our estimate of $216.2 million. The biggest driver for the outperformance was the packaging segment

UGRO: 1Q Review: Remain Calm & Conservative; Reiterate Buy, $8 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $8 price target and conservatively leaving our 2024 and 2025 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA projections unchanged after urban-gro registered upside in 1Q top and Adjusted EBITDA and reiterated prior 2024 guidance.
  • That said, with the Drug Enforcement Agency approving the reclassification of cannabis from a Schedule I to Schedule III drug, and the potential for Florida to approve recreational cannabis usage in November, we believe our 2H24 and especially 2025 projections could prove highly conservative.
  • As such, we are reiterating our Buy rating and $8 price target.

Base Carbon, Inc. – Continued Execution Across All Projects

By Water Tower Research

  • Recent update highlights a proven and replicable cash- generating business model.
  • In the two-plus years since its founding, Base Carbon has successfully sourced, invested, and developed three projects that are on time, on budget, and are either producing credits or will be in the coming quarters.
  • Credit sales from Vietnam have already generated ~$18 million in cash, Rwanda has produced its first credits, and the Indian ARR project is on track to deliver its first credits in early 2025.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Rio Tinto Ltd, Criterium Energy, Sintana Energy , VAALCO Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’24 Report
  • Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): On track
  • Sintana Energy Inc. (TSX-V: SEI): Chevron farm-in rerates a new area in Namibia
  • VAALCO Energy, Inc. – Diversified Asset Portfolio Supports Free Cash Flow


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’24 Report

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.3%); GBL, 39% (vs. 38.1%); Heineken Holding, 17.3% (vs 16.7%); 
  • Industrivärden C, 4.7% (vs. 1.4%); Investor B, 8.3% (vs. 6.1%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 41.1% (vs. 45.4%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 22.5% (vs. to 24.9%).
  • What seems interesting: Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): On track

By Auctus Advisors

  • • The work-over programme has started with the first two work-overs having added a total of ~40 bbl/d.
  • The third work-over was not completed as damaged equipment was encountered downhole.
  • • The second tranche of work-overs will start in May.

Sintana Energy Inc. (TSX-V: SEI): Chevron farm-in rerates a new area in Namibia

By Auctus Advisors

  • Chevron is acquiring an 80% WI in PEL82 in the Walvis Basin, offshore north Namibia.
  • As a result of the transaction NAMCOR and Custos’ 10% (each) residual interest will be carried. Sintana holds 49% of Custos.
  • The Orange Basin’s acreage is now in the hands of multiple large companies.

VAALCO Energy, Inc. – Diversified Asset Portfolio Supports Free Cash Flow

By Water Tower Research

  • A diverse mix of producing assets in Gabon, Egypt, and Canada, coupled with future development projects in Equatorial Guinea and Cote d’Ivoire, positions VAALCO with an asset base that could generate substantial free cash flow to reinvest for growth and continue returning cash to shareholders in the coming years.
  • VAALCO closed the Svenska acquisition on April 30, 2024, for $40.2 million in cash.
  • The primary asset is a 27.39% non- operated working interest in the deepwater producing Baobab field in Block CI-40 offshore Cote d’Ivoire.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Peptidream Inc, Newron Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Peptidream (4587 JP): Steadily Riding the Next Wave of Drug Discovery
  • Newron Pharmaceuticals – Evenamide notches up another win (study 008A)


Peptidream (4587 JP): Steadily Riding the Next Wave of Drug Discovery

By Tina Banerjee

  • Peptidream Inc (4587 JP) has obtained first-in-human imaging studies approval for its first in-house peptide radiopharmaceutical therapeutic program, PD-32766 targeting patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma.
  • Novartis (NOVN SW) has expanded peptide discovery collaboration with Peptidream. The expanded partnership could bring up to $2.7B in milestone payments plus royalties to Peptidream.
  • In 2023, Peptidream reported revenue of ¥29B, up 7% YoY, with radiopharmaceutical revenue growing 40% YoY to ¥16B. For 2024, the company guided for revenue of ¥35B, up 22% YoY.  

Newron Pharmaceuticals – Evenamide notches up another win (study 008A)

By Edison Investment Research

Newron Pharmaceuticals has shared positive top-line data for its evenamide programme from its potentially pivotal Phase II/III trial (study 008A) in patients with poorly managed schizophrenia on current antipsychotic therapy, but not considered treatment-resistant. The trial met its primary endpoint of improvement on the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) score from baseline, and the key secondary endpoint of improvement on the Clinical Global Impression of Severity (CGI-S) scale. Statistical significance was met in both, consolidating the already strong results from the Phase II trial (study 014/015) in treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS). Management plans to follow this up with a potentially pivotal Phase III study in TRS (study 017), which, subject to final agreement by potential partners and regulatory bodies, could commence within 2024.


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Daily Brief Consumer: TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A, Hilton Worldwide Holdings , Melco Resorts & Entertainment, Park Lawn , Tortilla Mexican Grill PLC, Yum China Holdings , China Resources Beverage and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • TSE’s “Request” Is a Catalyst for a Final Decision on the Foundation of Years of Engagement
  • Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A – AKA: 1Q Preview: Building for the Future; Reiterate Buy, Price Target
  • Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) – Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024
  • Morning Views Asia: Indika Energy, Melco Resorts and Entertainment (Philippines)
  • Park Lawn Corp (PLC.CN) – Thursday, Feb 1, 2024
  • Tortilla Mexican Grill – Cracking on
  • Yum China (9987 HK/YUMC US):  Earnings Risk Materialized As 1Q24 Earnings Were Weak
  • China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Remains a Minnow in Other Markets


TSE’s “Request” Is a Catalyst for a Final Decision on the Foundation of Years of Engagement

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Many companies have low liquidity since listing, with nearly half of companies having major shareholders with over 20% ownership. Raising listing criteria should considered to improve quality of the market.
  • TSE seems to raise the listing criteria for Growth Market in 2025, when the transitional measures expire, but for Prime Market, TSE is likely to respond with a “request.”
  • Although TSE’s “request” may be the catalyst for increasing MBOs and dissolution of parent-subsidiary listings, engagement with overseas investors over years to resolve management issues was foundation of this trend.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Cl A – AKA: 1Q Preview: Building for the Future; Reiterate Buy, Price Target

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and price target for a.k.a. Brands with the company announcing 1Q24 (March) results after the close on Wednesday.
  • We believe 1Q will be another period of rebuilding momentum and credibility, with the cleanup continuing at Culture Kings, Princess Polly adding new retail stores to the mix and rolling out new categories to become even more of a lifestyle brand and Petal & Pup leveraging new digital marketplace relationships and continued dress-driven expansion.
  • Further, we believe management remains laser focused on reducing both inventory exposure and net debt.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) – Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Hilton is a well-established franchisor of hotel brands with a history dating back to 1919
  • While not offering high expected returns, Hilton is viewed as a solid business opportunity with the potential for steady growth in intrinsic value
  • Through significant events like its IPO, acquisition of Promus, LBO by Blackstone, and spin-offs, Hilton has positioned itself as a stable and well-run option for investment portfolios in the global travel industry

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Morning Views Asia: Indika Energy, Melco Resorts and Entertainment (Philippines)

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Park Lawn Corp (PLC.CN) – Thursday, Feb 1, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • PLC is a new addition to the VIC platform as a TSX-listed rollup company in the funeral homes and cemeteries industry with a majority of its revenue coming from the US
  • The company has shifted its focus towards improving margins and operations, with plans to drive growth through M&A activities at reasonable multiples
  • Consensus estimates have overlooked the potential for margin improvements and value creation from M&A, creating an opportunity for investors to capitalize on the company’s growth potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tortilla Mexican Grill – Cracking on

By Edison Investment Research

Notwithstanding its sector ‘sweet spot’ (a healthy, customisable product at a competitive price), Tortilla Mexican Grill (Tortilla) has taken the opportunity of a change in management to refine its strategy to address challenges since its successful IPO in 2021 as well as expedite growth. Significant benefit is expected from a new delivery structure to mitigate commission charges in an important part of the business (c 30% of sales), from enhanced marketing to tackle surprisingly low brand awareness and from an initial director of food to bolster menu development. With a new FY24 target of self-funded roll-out (down from 12 to eight), franchising will drive expansion as capital light and has been so successful to date. A near-doubling in H223 pre-IFRS 16 adjusted EBITDA, if from a low base, is testament to Tortilla’s recovering financials and initiatives already in place.


Yum China (9987 HK/YUMC US):  Earnings Risk Materialized As 1Q24 Earnings Were Weak

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)‘s 1Q24 earnings were weaker than the already lowered consensus expectations, as both sales and core operating profit only grew 1% yoy.
  • Same-Store-Sales declined by 3% yoy, and restaurant margin declined by 2.7ppt yoy, mainly due to more discounts offered.
  • China’s catering industry has changed compared to pre-COVID, where overall average selling price (ASP) is continually under pressure, and customers are increasing seeking value-for-money options.

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

By Sumeet Singh

  • China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
  • In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Financials: Merchants Trust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • The Merchants Trust – Celebrating its 135th anniversary


The Merchants Trust – Celebrating its 135th anniversary

By Edison Investment Research

The Merchants Trust’s (MRCH’s) manager, Simon Gergel at Allianz Global investors, is very excited about the number of reasonably priced opportunities available in the UK market. Also, good income generation from the trust’s portfolio of high-quality companies with robust fundamentals enabled MRCH to record another consecutive dividend increase in FY24; it now has a 42-year track record. The trust’s attractive 5.1% dividend yield is one of the highest in the 19-strong AIC UK Equity Income sector and its NAV total return over the last three, five and 10 years is superior versus the peers with a higher yield. MRCH could be seen as a good income play in a scenario of improving investor sentiment towards UK companies, which Gergel envisages given the more stable political environment (as the two main political parties’ policies are now less divergent) and signs of improvement in the UK economy.


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Daily Brief Australia: IDP Education, Endeavour Group /Australia, West China Cement, Rent.com.au Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 – Historical Analysis and A Trade Basket
  • Endeavour Group Placement – While There Is an Overhang, Selldown Now Appears Well Flagged
  • Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , West China Cement
  • Rent.com.au Ltd – Best ever revenue result, RentPay surpasses $250m


Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 – Historical Analysis and A Trade Basket

By Travis Lundy

  • I am not a tax advisor and I do not play one on TV but it is a subject of interest in Australia, as an AFR article from June 2022 shows.
  • The general gist: retail investors in Australia will take gains on stocks which run up in price, or get taken over, then look for losses to offset.
  • Below I present a study using data from 2012-2023 and this year’s portfolio.

Endeavour Group Placement – While There Is an Overhang, Selldown Now Appears Well Flagged

By Clarence Chu

  • Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU) is looking to raise A$468m (US$305m) from selling its stake in Endeavour Group /Australia (EDV AU).
  • Endeavour Group was demerged from Woolworths in Jun 2021 and it runs the drinks and hospitality business of Woolworths.
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , West China Cement

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Rent.com.au Ltd – Best ever revenue result, RentPay surpasses $250m

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Rent.com.au Limited (ASX:RNT) is a purpose-led company seeking to empower home renters through its technology platform and a growing number of aligned transactional services.
  • The company has reported its best ever quarterly revenue result with total revenue increasing 41% on the previous corresponding period (pcp) to $0.89m.
  • The result was driven by a 25% year-on-year improvement in search portal revenue and a 144% increase in RentPay revenue.

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Daily Brief South Korea: CJ Cheiljedang, EcoPro Materials, Krafton and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Leading Candidates for the First Value-Up Disclosure
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 54 Companies in Korea in May 2024
  • Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (Mar and Apr 2024)


Leading Candidates for the First Value-Up Disclosure

By Sanghyun Park

  • Of utmost importance in these guidelines will be the framework for Value-up disclosure. Local authorities aim to encourage proactive disclosure, starting with companies that are well-prepared.
  • Two companies are being closely watched as potential candidates for the first Value-up disclosure: CJ Cheiljedang (097950 KS) and Koh Young Technology (098460 KS).
  • The rationale for us to actively engage in alpha trading with these two names stems from the strong probability that they will emerge as cornerstone constituents of the Value-up index

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 54 Companies in Korea in May 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 54 stocks in Korea in May 2024, among which 4 are in KOSPI and 50 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 54 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in May and could underperform relative to the market.
  • The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in May include EcoPro Materials, Enchem, and Gaonchips. 

Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (Mar and Apr 2024)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the alpha generation through companies that announced share buybacks in Korea in March and April 2024.
  • We provide a list of 30 stocks in the Korean stock market that have announced share buyback programs in the past two months.
  • Major companies that have announced share buybacks in Korea in the past two months include Krafton (259960 KS), Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), and Woori Financial Group (316140 KS).

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Daily Brief Singapore: Sheng Siong and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP) Q1 2024: Making a Strong Case for Growth This Year


Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP) Q1 2024: Making a Strong Case for Growth This Year

By Sameer Taneja

  • Q1 FY24 revenues/profits were up 5.5%/9.3% YoY as inflationary pressure in Singapore force consumers to adopt cost-cutting measures like eating at home and shopping in supermarkets with value for money.
  • Cash continued to pile on the balance sheet with >350 mn SGD ( now almost 15% of market capitalization). Capital allocation (besides a 70% pay out ratio) is key now. 
  • Trading at 16.5x PE with ROEs consistently over 25% and a dividend yield of 4.3%, this is one of the rare quality companies in Singapore worth exploring 

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