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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief ECM: Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny
  • Aadhar Housing Finance IPO | Takeaways from Branch Visits
  • Indegene IPO Trading – High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut


Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny

By Sumeet Singh

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely, raised around US$440m in its US listing, after the deal was upsized and priced at the top.
  • Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Aadhar Housing Finance IPO | Takeaways from Branch Visits

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Branches visited – Ajmer, Bengaluru, Mandya, Mysuru, Jaipur, Solapur, Pimpri and Pune.
  • Business growth is driven by taking calls that peers are reluctant to take with regards to property and incomes.
  • Lack of team and increasing competition are primary concerns that also warrant attention. 

Indegene IPO Trading – High Anchor Quality + Strong Demand, Expect a Pop on Debut

By Clarence Chu

  • Indegene Limited (1864095D IN) raised around US$220m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • Indegene is a “digital-first” commercialisation firm with an exclusive focus on the global life sciences industry.
  • We had looked at the firm’s past performance and shared our thoughts on Indegene’s valuation in earlier notes. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Japan Weekly | Relo and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Weekly | Relo, KHI, Kose, Yokogawa
  • Themes of India: Future of Data Centre in India
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 10/05/2024
  • Shroom Shmooz – How Valid Are ICER’s Concerns About MAPS’ MDMA- AT Trials?
  • Water Tower Hour Recap – Cannabis Rescheduling Review with Poseidon


Japan Weekly | Relo, KHI, Kose, Yokogawa

By Mark Chadwick

  • Japanese equity indices and 10-year JGB yields remain flat as overseas markets benefit from positive earnings and softer labor data in the US.
  • Topix 500 earnings reports influence individual equity movements with around 50% reported; remainder expected next week.
  • Notable stock movements include Relo Group (+22%), Kose (+22%), and Kawasaki Heavy Industries (+21%), with earnings exceeding expectations, while Seibu Holdings (-16%) faces uncertainties in its real estate strategy.

Themes of India: Future of Data Centre in India

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India, with high data generation but low data center capacity, is attracting investments in India.
  • Rapid digital transformation and lower setup costs are driving India’s data center market growth, offering significant investment opportunities.
  • Understanding India’s potential as a data center hub highlights investment prospects and the need for sustainable practices in infrastructure development.

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 10/05/2024

By Auctus Advisors

  • GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d.
  • The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement.
  • As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 mm for a total of US$500 mm, in prepaid future oil sales over the period of the offtake contract.

Shroom Shmooz – How Valid Are ICER’s Concerns About MAPS’ MDMA- AT Trials?

By Water Tower Research

  • ICER pours cold water on MAPS’ MDMA-AT candidate for treating PTSD.
  • In March, the Institute fo  Clinical and Economic Review (ICER) published its draft evidence report on MAPS’ (aka Lykos Therapeutics) Phase III clinical trials.
  • The draft report, which is not the final version, controversially questions the integrity of the studies and validity of MAPS’ reported results.

Water Tower Hour Recap – Cannabis Rescheduling Review with Poseidon

By Water Tower Research

  • Poseidon co-founders Emily and Morgan Paxhia joined us on the Water Tower Hour podcast to discuss the rescheduling news.
  • Those interested can listen to this podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or on our website.
  • On April 30, 2024, the DEA reportedly agreed with the HHS recommendation to reclassify cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III. 

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz
  • GAPack (468 HK): Mengniu & Bi Weigh Options On Shandong Xinjufeng’s VGO
  • Great Eastern (GE SP): OCBC’s S$25.60 Unconditional Offer
  • Eoflow Announced that US Federal Court Has Decided to Suspend the Effect of 1st Injunction Decision
  • Nihon Housing (4781 JP) – A Very Tight Register Sees an MBO At All Time Highs
  • EQD | KOSPI 200 Ready to Pullback


Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday after the close, Nissin Corp (9066 JP) announced earnings (down vs last year), guidance (back up partway to last year), and a sale of securities to raise ¥6+bn.
  • Nissin also announced an employee share incentive plan (¥900mm) and an adjustment to its MTMP from Apr24 to Mar27. Much lower revenues. Same OP. Higher net. Higher Div Payout ratio.
  • They also announced a really big buyback which should be done by the time people read this. It is really big.

GAPack (468 HK): Mengniu & Bi Weigh Options On Shandong Xinjufeng’s VGO

By David Blennerhassett


Great Eastern (GE SP): OCBC’s S$25.60 Unconditional Offer

By David Blennerhassett


Eoflow Announced that US Federal Court Has Decided to Suspend the Effect of 1st Injunction Decision

By Douglas Kim

  • On 8 May, Eoflow announced that the U.S. federal court has decided to suspend the effect of the first injunction decision.
  • While the effect of the second preliminary injunction decision remains intact, Eoflow has requested a review of the suspension of the effect of the second revised injunction decision as well.
  • There has been a renewed optimism on Eoflow (294090 KS)’s share price in the past week which increased by 46% from 7 May to 10 May.

Nihon Housing (4781 JP) – A Very Tight Register Sees an MBO At All Time Highs

By Travis Lundy

  • Nihon Housing (4781 JP) is a business which manages real estate for owners (office, apartment management, janitorial, cleaning, facilities management, security, agency, sub-leasing package systems, etc). 
  • The company has operated in Tokyo for 60+yrs, and they are finally just going to take what has always been a tight register private. Foreigners own 0.05%. Index owns nothing.
  • This is basically a completely done deal. It will trade tight, and illiquidly.

EQD | KOSPI 200 Ready to Pullback

By Nico Rosti

  • This is an update to our previous insight published on April 22nd: “EQD | KOSPI 200 WEEKLY Bounce: Rally or Not?“.
  • The KOSPI 200 INDEX  has performed a nearly +6% rally in the last 3 weeks, closing up 3 weeks in a row (CC=+3).
  • We have something to say about this pattern that was identified 3 weeks and ago and so we wanted to post this insight to explicit our view.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-May-2024): China smartphone market and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-May-2024): China smartphone market, Q1 2024
  • PayPal Holdings: Continued Focus On Its Omnichannel Strategy Increasing Innovation & Adoption! – Major Drivers
  • Amazon.com Inc.: Prime
  • TPL: Watering for the Next Phase
  • South Korean Banks; Stick with Woori (316140 KS) And KB Financial (105560 KS)
  • CXW: 1Q24 Beat Highlights Operating Leverage, Improving Occupancies
  • Ecolab Inc.: Internal Innovation and Acquisition Potential Driving Ecolab’s Healthcare Business! – Major Drivers
  • Mondelez International: A Tale Of Preserving Critical Price Points and Investing in Supply Chain Reliability! – Major Drivers
  • Starbucks Corporation: A Major Disappointment But These 6 Factors That Can Help Them Recover! – Major Drivers
  • Celltrion (068270 KS): 1Q24 Result- Sales Hit Quarterly High; Profit Sinks on Merger Effect


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-May-2024): China smartphone market, Q1 2024

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • China’s smartphone market saw growth in 1Q 2024, with increased shipments of OLED panels indicating potential for LG.
  • Panasonic’s battery unit received US subsidy but faces weak EV demand, potentially hurting sales.
  • Concerns rise as tech giants invest in AI infrastructure, with focus on consolidation, data privacy, and potential misuse of power.

PayPal Holdings: Continued Focus On Its Omnichannel Strategy Increasing Innovation & Adoption! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PayPal Holdings Inc.’s Q1 2024 earnings showcased a solid start for the year with substantial improvements across various sectors of the business, tempered by an understanding of the need for continued retooling and operational changes.
  • The company leadership is operating cohesively and the new strategies in place are evidently beginning to make a difference.
  • PayPal has maintained steady progress with their three customer groups; large enterprises, small businesses, and consumers, including their subsidiary, Venmo.

Amazon.com Inc.: Prime

By Baptista Research

  • Amazon.com reported robust first quarter financial results in 2024, with revenue of $143.3 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year.
  • However, the result excludes the impact of foreign exchange rates, which caused an unfavorable impact that reduced revenue by roughly $700 million.
  • The company delivered higher than expected operating income of $15.3 billion, which is a 221% increase from last year, driven primarily by efficiency improvements and better customer experiences.

TPL: Watering for the Next Phase

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TPL reported first quarter results with a higher than expected revenue figure from water sales to go along with the Company’s disclosure of a new desalination technology
  • TPL’s quarterly results were better than we had projected due to the performance in water sales. Unlike second quarter 2023 results, TPL’s management referred to a pipeline of sales
  • TPL used the first quarter results to disclose a new method of desalination of produced water

South Korean Banks; Stick with Woori (316140 KS) And KB Financial (105560 KS)

By Victor Galliano

  • In our latest South Korean banks screener, we keep Woori on the buy list along with KB Financial as our Korean banks picks
  • Delinquency ratios continued to worsen QoQ, yet Woori is the benchmark for NPL ratio; Woori had lagged in terms of returns, but these are holding at the pre-provision level
  • KB has a low PBV ratio relative to its ROE, it delivers rising post-provision returns, with cost of risk declining and it has a healthy CET1 ratio

CXW: 1Q24 Beat Highlights Operating Leverage, Improving Occupancies

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Management has indicated that the pipeline for new leases, renewals is robust as ICE & multiple government entities seek capacity.
  • Company is engaged in multiple discussions.
  • In addition, the recent debt issuance extended maturities & CXW was able to maintain the cost of capital despite the uncertain rate, economic outlook.

Ecolab Inc.: Internal Innovation and Acquisition Potential Driving Ecolab’s Healthcare Business! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Ecolab Inc.’s first-quarter 2024 earnings showcased strong progress with adjusted earnings per share increasing by 52%.
  • This impressive outcome can be attributed to a 5% growth in organic sales and the expansion of organic operating income margin by 400 basis points.
  • The company is also expected to maintain its long-term earnings growth of 12% to 15%.The CEO, Christophe Beck, expressed satisfaction with the level of dedication and the results obtained from Ecolab’s workforce.

Mondelez International: A Tale Of Preserving Critical Price Points and Investing in Supply Chain Reliability! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Mondelez International had robust Q1 2024 with solid top line results, strong earnings, and free cash flow generation.
  • The performance was buoyed by momentum in emerging markets where consumer confidence is high and categories are resilient.
  • The company faced challenges such as disruption with European clients and boycott of Western products in the Middle East and Southeast Asia.

Starbucks Corporation: A Major Disappointment But These 6 Factors That Can Help Them Recover! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Starbucks’ second quarter fiscal year 2024 results reflect the challenges and opportunities the company faces in a changing marketplace.
  • While global comparable store sales declined by 4% year-over-year and the company’s total revenue dipped by 1% to $8.6 billion, a decline in foot traffic in North America and a hefty decline of 11% in China being a few of the contributing factors.
  • The company was also affected by severe weather conditions, causing a nearly 3% impact on both US and total company comp during the quarter.

Celltrion (068270 KS): 1Q24 Result- Sales Hit Quarterly High; Profit Sinks on Merger Effect

By Tina Banerjee

  • Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) posted revenue of KRW700B+ in 1Q24, thanks to increasing demand for Remsima in Europe. The market share of Remsima is approaching 80–90% in select European countries.
  • 1Q24 profit setback is temporary as COGS ratio is expected to improve rapidly starting from 2Q24 as the inventory is digested, leading to sequentially improved profit margins in coming quarters.
  • With the successful U.S. launch of Zymfentra and continued solid uptake of the existing products, the company is well-positioned to meet its 2024 revenue target of KRW3.5T (+60% YoY).

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Daily Brief Macro: HEW: BoE Lunges Hopefully After ECB and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • HEW: BoE Lunges Hopefully After ECB
  • Portfolio Watch: Reflation is back!
  • Norway CPI Inflation 3.6% y-o-y (consensus 3.5%) in Apr-24


HEW: BoE Lunges Hopefully After ECB

By Phil Rush

  • Central bank decisions came as expected with cuts or cautious progress towards them, but the Bank of England’s unexpected guidance disrupted predictions and market pricing. An August cut is now anticipated, though there are concerns it could be a mistake.
  • Next week, macro data is expected to drive the market more, with US inflation data due on Wednesday, UK labour market data on Tuesday, and ongoing updates on HICP, GDP, and employment around the Euro Area.
  • The only notable rate decision expected is from the Philippines.

Portfolio Watch: Reflation is back!

By Andreas Steno

  • We were honestly puzzled by the weakness in Manufacturing PMIs in April as our models pointed in the other direction.
  • The timely data delivered by daily congestion numbers point in a positive direction (also adjusted for seasonality), which is typically a strong sign that the lagging consumption numbers (of energy, food and the likes) will see upside.
  • The congestion based now-cast from ports, roads and air data sources point to 5-6% YoY increase still and the US truck market demand index rebounded in the first few weeks of May as well after a soft path in April.

Norway CPI Inflation 3.6% y-o-y (consensus 3.5%) in Apr-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • Norway’s CPI inflation decreased from 3.9% to 3.6% year-on-year in April 2024, slightly exceeding market expectations of 3.5%.
  • The small decline in inflation was driven by an unexpected increase in core inflation.
  • Core inflation was at 4.4%, 0.1pp higher than market expectations.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

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Most Read: Toyota Motor, Infocom Corp, Alps Logistics, Nissin Corp, Greatview Aseptic Packaging, Great Eastern Holdings, HYBE , Eoflow, ZEEKR and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyota Cross-Shareholding – To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement
  • Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit
  • Logisteed/KKR Bid BIGLY for Alps Logistics (9055). A Gobsmacking Price/Multiple
  • Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz
  • GAPack (468 HK): Mengniu & Bi Weigh Options On Shandong Xinjufeng’s VGO
  • Great Eastern (GE SP): OCBC’s S$25.60 Unconditional Offer
  • Netmarble Plans to Sell 2.6% Stake in HYBE Through PRS (Price Return Swap).
  • Eoflow Announced that US Federal Court Has Decided to Suspend the Effect of 1st Injunction Decision
  • Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 10th): Meituan, Hang Seng Bank, Swire Pacific


Toyota Cross-Shareholding – To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

By Sumeet Singh

  • With Toyota (7203 JP) having sold some of its stake in Denso, KDDI and Harmonic Drive this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.
  • Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.
  • In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.

Infocom (4348 JP): Rumoured Tender Offer as Teijin Seeks to Exit

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) wants to sell its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP). The rumoured bidders are Sony Corp (6758 JP), Blackstone and KKR. 
  • Based on precedents, the offer structure will likely be structured such that Teijin provides an irrevocable NOT to accept but vote in favour of share consolidation at the EGM.
  • Bloomberg suggests that Infocom could be valued at JPY200 billion. If this refers to market cap, the tender offer is JPY3,472, a 16.5% premium to the last close.

Logisteed/KKR Bid BIGLY for Alps Logistics (9055). A Gobsmacking Price/Multiple

By Travis Lundy

  • In late February, a specialty media outlet noted Alps Logistics (9055 JP) was up for sale. I missed that. Yesterday pre-close, a headline crossed the wires. A deal was imminent.
  • Nikkei overnight said “¥150bn+ market cap”. I thought KKR might slightly overpay the Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP) multiple paid. That meant +13% today was full-ish. I was wrong.
  • KKR is paying ¥5,774 to minorities, and about ¥4,084-ish to the parent, who is reinvesting at ¥5,774. This is a total knock-out price paid. HUGE MINORITY WIN.

Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday after the close, Nissin Corp (9066 JP) announced earnings (down vs last year), guidance (back up partway to last year), and a sale of securities to raise ¥6+bn.
  • Nissin also announced an employee share incentive plan (¥900mm) and an adjustment to its MTMP from Apr24 to Mar27. Much lower revenues. Same OP. Higher net. Higher Div Payout ratio.
  • They also announced a really big buyback which should be done by the time people read this. It is really big.

GAPack (468 HK): Mengniu & Bi Weigh Options On Shandong Xinjufeng’s VGO

By David Blennerhassett


Great Eastern (GE SP): OCBC’s S$25.60 Unconditional Offer

By David Blennerhassett


Netmarble Plans to Sell 2.6% Stake in HYBE Through PRS (Price Return Swap).

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 9 May, Netmarble announced that it plans to sell 2.6% stake in HYBE for 219.9 billion won. 
  • The transaction is based on PRS (price return swap) basis. Previous to this deal, Netmarble sold 2.5 million shares (about 6%) of HYBE shares in November 2023. 
  • We continue to remain negative on HYBE including on this deal involving Netmarble’s plan to sell additional 2.6% stake in HYBE.

Eoflow Announced that US Federal Court Has Decided to Suspend the Effect of 1st Injunction Decision

By Douglas Kim

  • On 8 May, Eoflow announced that the U.S. federal court has decided to suspend the effect of the first injunction decision.
  • While the effect of the second preliminary injunction decision remains intact, Eoflow has requested a review of the suspension of the effect of the second revised injunction decision as well.
  • There has been a renewed optimism on Eoflow (294090 KS)’s share price in the past week which increased by 46% from 7 May to 10 May.

Zeekr IPO Trading – Not as Cheap as It Looks but Float Is Tiny

By Sumeet Singh

  • ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium EV brand by Geely, raised around US$440m in its US listing, after the deal was upsized and priced at the top.
  • Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 10th): Meituan, Hang Seng Bank, Swire Pacific

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 10th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Meituan (3690 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).

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Daily Brief Industrials: Nissin Corp, CoreCivic , Illinois Tool Works and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz
  • CXW: 1Q24 Beat Highlights Operating Leverage, Improving Occupancies
  • Illinois Tool Works Inc.: Has Its Performance In China Truly Improved? – Major Drivers


Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday after the close, Nissin Corp (9066 JP) announced earnings (down vs last year), guidance (back up partway to last year), and a sale of securities to raise ¥6+bn.
  • Nissin also announced an employee share incentive plan (¥900mm) and an adjustment to its MTMP from Apr24 to Mar27. Much lower revenues. Same OP. Higher net. Higher Div Payout ratio.
  • They also announced a really big buyback which should be done by the time people read this. It is really big.

CXW: 1Q24 Beat Highlights Operating Leverage, Improving Occupancies

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Management has indicated that the pipeline for new leases, renewals is robust as ICE & multiple government entities seek capacity.
  • Company is engaged in multiple discussions.
  • In addition, the recent debt issuance extended maturities & CXW was able to maintain the cost of capital despite the uncertain rate, economic outlook.

Illinois Tool Works Inc.: Has Its Performance In China Truly Improved? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Illinois Tool Works Inc., a globally diversified manufacturing company, has experienced a mixed start to its first quarter 2024 results.
  • Despite the ongoing challenging demand environment across the majority of its segments, organic growth has managed to decline at a rate of only 0.6% while five of the seven segments have also reported a similar trend.
  • Conversely, this difficult environment has not deterred Illinois Tool Works’ management from maintaining a positive outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Greatview Aseptic Packaging, Texas Pacific Land , Ecolab Inc, Rayonier Advanced Materials and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • GAPack (468 HK): Mengniu & Bi Weigh Options On Shandong Xinjufeng’s VGO
  • TPL: Watering for the Next Phase
  • Ecolab Inc.: Internal Innovation and Acquisition Potential Driving Ecolab’s Healthcare Business! – Major Drivers
  • Rayonier Advanced Materials, Inc. – Solid Start to the Year and Progress on Asset Transformation


GAPack (468 HK): Mengniu & Bi Weigh Options On Shandong Xinjufeng’s VGO

By David Blennerhassett


TPL: Watering for the Next Phase

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TPL reported first quarter results with a higher than expected revenue figure from water sales to go along with the Company’s disclosure of a new desalination technology
  • TPL’s quarterly results were better than we had projected due to the performance in water sales. Unlike second quarter 2023 results, TPL’s management referred to a pipeline of sales
  • TPL used the first quarter results to disclose a new method of desalination of produced water

Ecolab Inc.: Internal Innovation and Acquisition Potential Driving Ecolab’s Healthcare Business! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Ecolab Inc.’s first-quarter 2024 earnings showcased strong progress with adjusted earnings per share increasing by 52%.
  • This impressive outcome can be attributed to a 5% growth in organic sales and the expansion of organic operating income margin by 400 basis points.
  • The company is also expected to maintain its long-term earnings growth of 12% to 15%.The CEO, Christophe Beck, expressed satisfaction with the level of dedication and the results obtained from Ecolab’s workforce.

Rayonier Advanced Materials, Inc. – Solid Start to the Year and Progress on Asset Transformation

By Water Tower Research

  • 1Q24 performance ahead of expectations. RYAM reported 1Q24 results that included EPS of ($0.02) versus consensus of ($0.10) and our estimate of ($0.19).
  • While sales of $388 million fell short of our estimate of $402 million and consensus of $430 million, tight cost controls, lower raw material and transportation costs, and improved operating efficiencies drove EBITDA of $52 million versus our estimate of $39 million and consensus of $49 million.
  • EBITDA guidance maintained, FCF guidance increased. With market fundamentals stabilizing and most of customer inventory work-downs winding down, management reiterated its EBITDA guidance of $180-200 million and raised its FCF guidance for the year from $20- 40 million to $80-100 million on a higher working capital benefit and $39 million in cash to be realized from the sale of softwood duty refund rights to OCP Lumber LLC.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Nissin Corp, CoreCivic , Illinois Tool Works and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz
  • CXW: 1Q24 Beat Highlights Operating Leverage, Improving Occupancies
  • Illinois Tool Works Inc.: Has Its Performance In China Truly Improved? – Major Drivers


Nissin (9066) – Super Big Buyback Race-Walks the Governance Walk – Super Cheap Logistics Biz

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday after the close, Nissin Corp (9066 JP) announced earnings (down vs last year), guidance (back up partway to last year), and a sale of securities to raise ¥6+bn.
  • Nissin also announced an employee share incentive plan (¥900mm) and an adjustment to its MTMP from Apr24 to Mar27. Much lower revenues. Same OP. Higher net. Higher Div Payout ratio.
  • They also announced a really big buyback which should be done by the time people read this. It is really big.

CXW: 1Q24 Beat Highlights Operating Leverage, Improving Occupancies

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Management has indicated that the pipeline for new leases, renewals is robust as ICE & multiple government entities seek capacity.
  • Company is engaged in multiple discussions.
  • In addition, the recent debt issuance extended maturities & CXW was able to maintain the cost of capital despite the uncertain rate, economic outlook.

Illinois Tool Works Inc.: Has Its Performance In China Truly Improved? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Illinois Tool Works Inc., a globally diversified manufacturing company, has experienced a mixed start to its first quarter 2024 results.
  • Despite the ongoing challenging demand environment across the majority of its segments, organic growth has managed to decline at a rate of only 0.6% while five of the seven segments have also reported a similar trend.
  • Conversely, this difficult environment has not deterred Illinois Tool Works’ management from maintaining a positive outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Lenovo, Paypal Holdings, Amazon.com Inc, Arlo Technologies Inc, Cambium Networks , PVA TePla and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-May-2024): China smartphone market, Q1 2024
  • PayPal Holdings: Continued Focus On Its Omnichannel Strategy Increasing Innovation & Adoption! – Major Drivers
  • Amazon.com Inc.: Prime
  • ARLO: Risk Removed
  • Cambium Networks Corporation – 1Q24 Earnings Weak on 6 GHz Delay
  • PVA TePla – Material matters


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-May-2024): China smartphone market, Q1 2024

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • China’s smartphone market saw growth in 1Q 2024, with increased shipments of OLED panels indicating potential for LG.
  • Panasonic’s battery unit received US subsidy but faces weak EV demand, potentially hurting sales.
  • Concerns rise as tech giants invest in AI infrastructure, with focus on consolidation, data privacy, and potential misuse of power.

PayPal Holdings: Continued Focus On Its Omnichannel Strategy Increasing Innovation & Adoption! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PayPal Holdings Inc.’s Q1 2024 earnings showcased a solid start for the year with substantial improvements across various sectors of the business, tempered by an understanding of the need for continued retooling and operational changes.
  • The company leadership is operating cohesively and the new strategies in place are evidently beginning to make a difference.
  • PayPal has maintained steady progress with their three customer groups; large enterprises, small businesses, and consumers, including their subsidiary, Venmo.

Amazon.com Inc.: Prime

By Baptista Research

  • Amazon.com reported robust first quarter financial results in 2024, with revenue of $143.3 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year.
  • However, the result excludes the impact of foreign exchange rates, which caused an unfavorable impact that reduced revenue by roughly $700 million.
  • The company delivered higher than expected operating income of $15.3 billion, which is a 221% increase from last year, driven primarily by efficiency improvements and better customer experiences.

ARLO: Risk Removed

By Hamed Khorsand

  • ARLO grew the number of paid subscribers faster than expected in the first quarter, but it was the contract extension with Verisure that was the big news of the day
  • ARLO and Verisure have had an agreement for five years expiring later this year. The new agreement is through 2029
  • The growth in paid subscribers in Q1 puts ARLO on pace to achieve 4 million total paid subscribers by the end of 2024, after hitting 3 million in February 2024

Cambium Networks Corporation – 1Q24 Earnings Weak on 6 GHz Delay

By Water Tower Research

  • Cambium Networks (CMBM) reported earnings on May 9 that came in below our expectations (we were the lowest on the Street), mainly due to a delay in FTC approval of 6 GHz spectrum.
  • This also hit gross margin, which came in at 22.7%. Company expectations are for a better 2Q24 and 2H24, but with continued challenges in inventory and the move to 6 GHz.
  • The company did see a recovery in the enterprise market in 1Q24, but not enough to offset the weakness in 6 GHz. The stock dropped 13% in the aftermarket.

PVA TePla – Material matters

By Edison Investment Research

PVA TePla has transitioned from a small seller of industrial systems to a materials technology and metrology solutions company, set to reach c €280m in revenues in FY24. Its increasing exposure to the fast-growing semiconductor industry (more than two-thirds of sales) and high-end materials markets is securing growth, driven by AI, digitisation and e-mobility. The combination of a higher capital intensity in the semiconductor industry and growing end markets bodes well for players like PVA TePla, which are exposed to the fast-growing part of equipment sales like metrology. Despite this, PVA TePla is still largely valued as an industrial company, trading at a significant discount to peers and our DCF.


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