All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: Innospace, EcoPro Materials and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis
  • A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO


Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Innospace is target price of 51,481 won per share (12 month view), which is 28% higher than the midpoint of the IPO valuation range.
  • We estimate Innospace to generate sales of 1.8 billion won in 2024, 28.7 billion won in 2025, and 58.3 billion won in 2026.
  • Innospace is involved in the satellite launch vehicle production and launch service business.

A Comparison Between Ecopro Materials & HD Hyundai Marine Solution Post IPO

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we make comparisons between EcoPro Materials (450080 KS) and HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) post their IPOs
  • Ecopro Materials’ share price is likely to face continued weakness, especially with the potential for a major block deal sale by BRV Capital and end of the lock up period.
  • We believe that HD Hyundai Marine Solution’s share price has surged above its intrinsic value. More insiders are likely to start selling HD Hyundai Marine Solution in the coming months.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Indonesia: GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) – Metamorphosis


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) – Metamorphosis

By Angus Mackintosh

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) booked an encouraging set of 1Q2024 results which provided a first look at the new structure, whereby suddenly e-commerce became cashflow positive for the company. 
  • The company booked strong headline growth with core GMV increasing by +32% YoY, despite incentive & product spending decreasing by -31% YoY, whilst adjusted EBITDA losses fell -89% YoY. 
  • GoTo will drive growth less through incentives and more through innovative products, increasing the user base, and focusing on retention through its subscription products, with fintech becoming increasingly important. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Singapore: MoneyHero , DBS and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • MoneyHero – Money saver in South-East Asia
  • Wilmar, Raffles Medical chairs continue adding to stakes
  • MoneyHero Group: The Small-Cap To Watch Out For In The Asia-Pacific Fintech Sector!


MoneyHero – Money saver in South-East Asia

By Edison Investment Research

MoneyHero is a leading South-East Asian personal finance aggregator and comparison platform, covering the full suite of personal finance products. Its goal is to educate and empower consumers on personal finance through engaging content and rewards on financial products. The company partners with leading local and global financial institutions to ensure it has the most attractive products and offers for its user base. Management has ambitious plans to grow market share and attractive product verticals, such as insurance. Having raised c $87m in net proceeds from a deSPAC transaction in October 2023, the company paid down all debt and had a net cash position of $68.6m at end FY23, meaning it is well capitalised to fund the acceleration in growth.


Wilmar, Raffles Medical chairs continue adding to stakes

By Geoff Howie

  • CapitaLand Investment (CLI) led the buyback consideration tally, buying back 17,055,700 shares at an average price of S$2.61 per share.
  • This brought the percentage of company shares bought back on the current mandate to 0.47 per cent.
  • The preceding year’s buyback mandate saw CLI buy back 03 per cent of its issued shares (excluding treasury shares) between Sep 28, 2023, and Jan 26, 2024.

MoneyHero Group: The Small-Cap To Watch Out For In The Asia-Pacific Fintech Sector!

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on MoneyHero Group and we look to provide a detailed account of the various assets owned by the company and the drivers that will be responsible for the company’s growth in the coming years.
  • MoneyHero Group stands out as a compelling investment opportunity in the burgeoning financial services sector of Greater Southeast Asia.
  • The company’s core competency lies in its sophisticated digital platforms that connect consumers with an extensive range of financial products, including credit cards, loans, and insurance, through seamless and user-friendly interfaces.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief United States: Tesla , Ubiquiti Inc., Johnson Controls, Cocoa Futures, Immersion Corporation, GSK , WinVest Acquisition Corp, Yum! Brands Inc, Achieve Life Sciences , Ethereum and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • TSLA: Chinese EV Tariffs?$$$
  • UI: Signs of a Rebound
  • Johnson Controls International: A Tale Of Acceleration in Orders and Pipeline Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Investors Flock Back Into Commodity Funds & New Cocoa Narrative
  • Immersion Corp (IMMR) – Sunday, Feb 11, 2024
  • GlaxoSmithKline plc: Will Its Ongoing Investment In Oncology & Vaccines Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • The Art of the Deal
  • Yum! Brands Inc.: How Is Their Global Expansion of Franchise Locations Going? – Major Drivers
  • ACHV: First Quarter Results
  • Crypto Crisp: Your Move, Gary Gensler


TSLA: Chinese EV Tariffs?$$$

By Value Investing

  • Takeaways: Biden plans to quadruple US/EU tariffs on Chinese EV imports.
  • This will further defend TSLA’s domestic beachhead: 1) 50% EV market share in the USA (No. 2: Ford 7% ) + 2) huge headstart over domestic auto incumbents in assembly line processes (Gigapress) & high manufacturing concentration .
  • Together, this should result in superior economies of scale which translates into lower unit costs — increasingly important in a commoditizing US EV sector.

UI: Signs of a Rebound

By Hamed Khorsand

  • UI reported fiscal third quarter (March) results in line with our revenue forecasts suggesting the business could be on the rebound after two years in a challenging environment
  • The performance in the June quarter comes even though peers have been reporting a tough selling environment with extended sales process as customers took time to make their decision
  • The increase in product availability did backfire in the quarter with Ubiquiti taking a charge for obsolete inventory. Nevertheless, Ubiquiti’s results show a business that is improving

Johnson Controls International: A Tale Of Acceleration in Orders and Pipeline Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The second quarter performance for Johnson Controls was strong, with adjusted EPS coming in at the upper limit of company estimations.
  • Johnson Controls managed to return to sales growth after experiencing a cybersecurity disturbance at the beginning of the fiscal year.
  • Backed by productivity and the conversion of their higher-margin backlog, the company achieved robust margin expansion.

Investors Flock Back Into Commodity Funds & New Cocoa Narrative

By The Commodity Report

  • Investors Flock Back Into Commodity Funds Investors are increasingly flocking to commodity funds again.
  • A net €353 million flowed into funds from the Morningstar Broad Basket Commodities category in Europe in April.
  • This was by far the best month for the category in over two years.

Immersion Corp (IMMR) – Sunday, Feb 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Immersion Corp. is a high-margin licensing business with no debt and significant cash reserves
  • Recent settlement with Meta in patent lawsuit could exceed company’s current enterprise value
  • Previous settlements with Apple resulted in significant increase in Immersion’s share price, potential upside not fully reflected in current share price due to limited access to court documents, presenting possible investment opportunity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


GlaxoSmithKline plc: Will Its Ongoing Investment In Oncology & Vaccines Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GlaxoSmithKline demonstrated robust quarterly performance, continuing its commitment to creating long-term value for its stakeholders.
  • The company managed to deliver double-digit growth for the quarter, with sales increasing by 13% to GBP 7.4 billion, core operating profit going up by 35% to GBP 2.4 billion, and core earnings per share increasing by 37%.
  • Underpinning GlaxoSmithKline’s solid financial results is the successful launch and strong delivery of its new products, reflecting the company’s ability to continue growing and innovating in the highly competitive pharmaceutical industry.

The Art of the Deal

By subSPAC

  • The last week of SPACs was packed with activity, including deals, bankruptcies, and IPOs.
  • Two new deals are announced including a SPAC taking a digital commerce platform connecting buyers and sellers public, and a blank-cheque firm merging with a company producing large format projection screens for the entertainment industry.
  • Also, a used car retailer could declare bankruptcy three years after debuting through a SPAC, and an advanced nuclear fission company sees its shares plummet after completing a SPAC merger. 

Yum! Brands Inc.: How Is Their Global Expansion of Franchise Locations Going? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Yum!
  • Brands, Inc.’s Q1 2024 Earnings highlighted a mixed performance, demonstrating the resilience of the business amidst a challenging operating environment.
  • The company saw a growth rate of 6% in its core operating profit this quarter.

ACHV: First Quarter Results

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Achieve Life Sciences is developing cytisinicline for use as a smoking cessation treatment in the United States and rest of world.
  • Topline results from ORCA-2 were reported in April 2022 and for ORCA-3 in May 2023.
  • Results exceeded expectations on safety & efficacy parameters.

Crypto Crisp: Your Move, Gary Gensler

By Mads Eberhardt

  • We have entered the week before the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) must decide on VanEck’s Ethereum spot ETF application, with a decision due next Thursday, May 23.
  • It is expected that the outcome for this application will set a precedent for all the other Ethereum ETF applications.
  • This issue of Crypto Crisp focuses extensively on the Ethereum spot ETF.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ESG: Raising ROE May Require Raising Proxy Voting Guidelines and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Raising ROE May Require Raising Proxy Voting Guidelines


Raising ROE May Require Raising Proxy Voting Guidelines

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Although many institutional investors’ voting criteria apply the rule of “support the proposed appointment of top management director if one female director is nominated,” more in-depth examination should be conducted.
  • Agenda based on TSE’s request isn’t easy to understand for all investors, and the current voting guidelines for domestic institutional investors make it unlikely that they will vote for it.
  • The ISS ROE criteria will be raised next year, and companies may not raise ROE with bold shareholder returns until the voting guidelines for domestic institutional investors are also raised.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | A Cautious Mood and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | A Cautious Mood
  • Update on Some of the HK Commodity Stocks We Follow
  • Finding the Next Takeout in Canadian Small-Caps – Part Two
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – May 13, 2024
  • The Highlights – Cannabis News for the Week Ending May 10, 2024


Ohayo Japan | A Cautious Mood

By Mark Chadwick

  • Amidst cautious anticipation of impending inflation data, the U.S. markets saw minimal movement on Monday
  • The Bank of Japan signaled a hawkish stance by cutting its purchase of Japanese government bonds; the move suggests potential interest rate hikes following the first increase since 2007.
  • Softbank shifts its business model towards AI-focused ventures, aiming to lead the AI revolution.

Update on Some of the HK Commodity Stocks We Follow

By Rikki Malik

  • Continued tailwinds for oil tanker stocks with tight markets keeping rates high
  • The copper supply and demand story is becoming more widely known and speculative interest is rising
  • Oil corrects  as the geopolitical premium subsides,but the longer-term story remains intact

Finding the Next Takeout in Canadian Small-Caps – Part Two

By Atrium Research

  • Since our last note in November, there have been 9 more acquisitions in Canadian small-caps, all at significant premiums.
  • In this report, we analyze how the 9 newly acquired firms fit into our 6-part framework for identifying takeout candidates.
  • Our potential takeouts watchlist was up 22% vs. the TSX up 14% and XCS up 15% since November.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – May 13, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • Furniture and furnishing stocks performed well last week. All three of the WTR indexes outperformed the broader market, led by Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers (+3.3%), Commercial/Contract Furniture (+3.2%) and Home Goods Retailers (+2.7%), which outperformed the broader markets (- 0.1% to +0.8%) and the Mass Retailers Index (+0.1%).
  • Mattress demand remains weak. Tempur Sealy International (TPX) CEO Scott Thompson noted in his 1Q24 remarks, “You’d have to say the bedding industry is in a depression and has been in one for a number of quarters” , with demand down an estimated 15% industry-wide in the first three months of the year.
  • For TPX, sequentially, demand was weakest in January and improved (though erratically) through April, where it was ‘flattish’. Higher- end price points were a bright spot.

The Highlights – Cannabis News for the Week Ending May 10, 2024

By Water Tower Research

  • Despite relatively strong earnings, the US cannabis MSOS ETF fell 3.52%, while the global YOLO ETF dropped 2.21%.
  • With four of the five Tier 1 MSOs reporting, on average they have beaten revenue consensus by 2.27% and adjusted EBITDA consensus by 9.15%. See page two for more details on Tier 1 earnings results.
  • Verano (NEO: VRNO, OTCQX: VRNOF) reported better-than-expected results last week and Co- Founder, Chairman, and CEO George Archos joined us on Higher Exchanges. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Cafe De Coral (341 HK): Immediate Upside and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Cafe De Coral (341 HK): Immediate Upside
  • TSMC Surges As April Revenue Soars 60% YoY
  • Shiseido (4911 JP):  1Q24 Results Beat; Recovery On Track
  • China Consumption Weekly (13 May 2024): Guangzhou Auto, NIO, CALT, Kuaishou, Trip.com, Seres
  • Asustek: Margin Beat, Guides More Upside; Qualcomm for AI PCs; Why Asus Confident in AI PC Up-Cycle
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-May-2024): ASE to speed up 2H24 sales growth.
  • Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Guiding for Lower Profits in H2
  • TSLA: Chinese EV Tariffs?$$$
  • UI: Signs of a Rebound
  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) – Metamorphosis


Cafe De Coral (341 HK): Immediate Upside

By Henry Soediarko


TSMC Surges As April Revenue Soars 60% YoY

By William Keating

  • April revenue ~NT$236.02 billion, +20.9% MoM & + 59.6% YoY
  • It was the company’s second highest monthly revenue ever, made all the more remarkable by the fact that it occurred during its seasonally low first half year
  • Our April YoY Taiwan monthly revenue comps are flashing green across the board with just one exception, Globalwafers

Shiseido (4911 JP):  1Q24 Results Beat; Recovery On Track

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Shiseido Company (4911 JP) reported 1Q24 results last Friday.  Core operating profit declined less than expected at -10% yoy, and exceeded the management’s target. 
  • The beat was driven by robust growth in Japan, Americas, and EMEA, while China steadily recovered.  Overall sales growth was 4% yoy in the quarter. 
  • As a reminder, the investment thesis for Shiseido is twofold:  a recovering China mainly due to one-off concerns (nuclear wastewater), and a margin recovery story in Japan. 

China Consumption Weekly (13 May 2024): Guangzhou Auto, NIO, CALT, Kuaishou, Trip.com, Seres

By Ming Lu

  • The new energy vehicle producers’ ranks changed a lot in April.
  • GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers.
  • Kuaishou’s GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) increased by 420% YoY during the Labor Day.

Asustek: Margin Beat, Guides More Upside; Qualcomm for AI PCs; Why Asus Confident in AI PC Up-Cycle

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Asus’s 1Q24 earnings beat consensus by 46% thanks to major increase in operating margin driven by costs optimization. Adjusted Asus brand Op profit rose 227% YoY and 98% QoQ.
  • Asus will host a major AI PC launch event May 21st, with additional AI PCs launched at Computex in Taiwan June 4th. Will feature Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) Snapdragon processors.
  • Asus confident in an PC upgrade cycle and has guided for sales to rise and margins to expand in the coming quarters. We maintain our Structural Long rating for Asus.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-May-2024): ASE to speed up 2H24 sales growth.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • ASE plans to boost sales in the second half of 2024 with cutting-edge technology and innovative solutions. Introspect CEO discusses how their GDDR7 memory test system outperforms competitors, helping customers stay ahead of the curve.
  • Taiwan’s space dreams face hurdles from regulations and geopolitics, hindering progress. N Chandrasekaran becomes chair of Tata Electronics, signaling entry into semiconductor industry. Indian GaN startup targets global expansion in telecom and EV markets for growth.
  • Triton ignites Taiwan’s push for satellite self-sufficiency; Apple partnership speculation with a leading EV startup generates buzz. Lam Research seeks chipmaking tool partners in India to drive innovation and collaboration. #Apple #EVstartup #newsroundup

Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Guiding for Lower Profits in H2

By Scott Foster

  • FY Mar-24 results were ahead of guidance, but management’s FY Mar-25 forecast has sales flat and profits down in the second half.
  • The shares have dropped back 24% from their all-time high, bringing the forward P/E ratio down to 22X.
  • China and foundry remain strong while North America and memory pick up. Guidance is probably conservative. Buy into the weakness.

TSLA: Chinese EV Tariffs?$$$

By Value Investing

  • Takeaways: Biden plans to quadruple US/EU tariffs on Chinese EV imports.
  • This will further defend TSLA’s domestic beachhead: 1) 50% EV market share in the USA (No. 2: Ford 7% ) + 2) huge headstart over domestic auto incumbents in assembly line processes (Gigapress) & high manufacturing concentration .
  • Together, this should result in superior economies of scale which translates into lower unit costs — increasingly important in a commoditizing US EV sector.

UI: Signs of a Rebound

By Hamed Khorsand

  • UI reported fiscal third quarter (March) results in line with our revenue forecasts suggesting the business could be on the rebound after two years in a challenging environment
  • The performance in the June quarter comes even though peers have been reporting a tough selling environment with extended sales process as customers took time to make their decision
  • The increase in product availability did backfire in the quarter with Ubiquiti taking a charge for obsolete inventory. Nevertheless, Ubiquiti’s results show a business that is improving

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) – Metamorphosis

By Angus Mackintosh

  • GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) booked an encouraging set of 1Q2024 results which provided a first look at the new structure, whereby suddenly e-commerce became cashflow positive for the company. 
  • The company booked strong headline growth with core GMV increasing by +32% YoY, despite incentive & product spending decreasing by -31% YoY, whilst adjusted EBITDA losses fell -89% YoY. 
  • GoTo will drive growth less through incentives and more through innovative products, increasing the user base, and focusing on retention through its subscription products, with fintech becoming increasingly important. 

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ECM: Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook
  • Breton Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Go Digit General Insurance IPO – Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap
  • TBO Tek IPO Trading – Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year
  • Chongho Bridge Pre-IPO – Broad Offering Catered to Rural Consumers, However, Market Is Fragmented


Innospace IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Innospace is target price of 51,481 won per share (12 month view), which is 28% higher than the midpoint of the IPO valuation range.
  • We estimate Innospace to generate sales of 1.8 billion won in 2024, 28.7 billion won in 2025, and 58.3 billion won in 2026.
  • Innospace is involved in the satellite launch vehicle production and launch service business.

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook

By Tina Banerjee

  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP) has announced a buyback plan for up to 60M shares, representing 5.15% of outstanding shares, by spending ¥100B from May 13 to December 31, 2024.
  • The company has posted mixed FY24 results, with revenue beating and operating and net profits missing guidance. Olympus has guided for just 9% revenue growth for FY25.
  • Overall business outlook of the company seems to be bleak. With limited upside potential expected, it will be wise to tender shares through the company’s buyback offer.

Breton Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Breton Technology (1884270D CH) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC and CMB International.
  • Breton Technology is a clean energy solution provider in China, focusing on the design, development and commercialization of engineering machinery powered by new energy sources. 
  • Such engineering machinery includes battery-electric loaders and wide-body dump trucks, each offering a variety of payload and battery capacities. 

Go Digit General Insurance IPO – Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap

By Sumeet Singh

  • Go Digit General Insurance is looking to raise around US$315m in its India IPO.
  • Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the refiling updates and valuations.

TBO Tek IPO Trading – Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • TBO Tek (0395045D IN) raised around US$186m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR920/share.
  • TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.
  • We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.

Chongho Bridge Pre-IPO – Broad Offering Catered to Rural Consumers, However, Market Is Fragmented

By Clarence Chu

  • Chongho Bridge (2314866D CH) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Chongho Bridge (CB) is an integrated services provider to China’s rural population. It offers rural inclusive credit services, agricultural production services, rural consumer goods and rural clean energy services.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief India: Go Digit General Insurance, TBO Tek, Tata Motors Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Go Digit General Insurance IPO – Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap
  • TBO Tek IPO Trading – Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year
  • Tata Motors – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics


Go Digit General Insurance IPO – Growth Remains Strong, Valuation Isn’t Cheap

By Sumeet Singh

  • Go Digit General Insurance is looking to raise around US$315m in its India IPO.
  • Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the refiling updates and valuations.

TBO Tek IPO Trading – Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year

By Ethan Aw

  • TBO Tek (0395045D IN) raised around US$186m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR920/share.
  • TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.
  • We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.

Tata Motors – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Tata Motors’ Q4 and FY 2023-24 results were excellent in our view, with record high revenue and earnings. Net debt plunged by such a large amount that the Indian business has turned net cash, and the group remained on track to be overall net automotive debt free in FY 2024-25.


💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: I’Rom Group, Aozora Bank Ltd, Toppan Printing, Paris Miki Holdings, Softbank Group, Shiseido Company, Olympus Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, SCREEN Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Blackstone to Take I’rom (2372 JP) Private in MBO at ¥2800/Share (49% Premium)
  • Aozora (8304) – Daiwa Securities Group (8601) Tie-Up – Daiwa To Buy 15+%
  • Toppan Printing (7911) Accelerates Buyback Pace and Amount; But Crossholder Sales Lurk
  • Luxottica Buys Washin Optical, Paris Miki Next?
  • Softbank (9984 JP): Has Group NAV Peaked?
  • Shiseido (4911 JP):  1Q24 Results Beat; Recovery On Track
  • I’rom Group (2372 JP): Blackstone-Sponsored Pre-Conditional MBO at JPY2,800
  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook
  • Raising ROE May Require Raising Proxy Voting Guidelines
  • Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Guiding for Lower Profits in H2


Blackstone to Take I’rom (2372 JP) Private in MBO at ¥2800/Share (49% Premium)

By Travis Lundy

  • Today SMO and CRO operator I’Rom Group (2372 JP) announced an MBO where Blackstone would be the sponsor.
  • From outward appearances, it would seem to be an estate management exercise. It’s not particularly rich as a bid, but it isn’t awful. 
  • I expect this gets done as Mori-san and family and friends appear to have 58% going in. Expected to start in June.

Aozora (8304) – Daiwa Securities Group (8601) Tie-Up – Daiwa To Buy 15+%

By Travis Lundy

  • Pre-Open on February 1 2024, Aozora Bank Ltd (8304 JP) announced writedowns and a forecast revision, lowering full-year net profit expectations from +¥24bn to -¥28bn.
  • Shares which had been trading relatively richly (and heavily shorted) fell sharply over the following days, then noted activist Murakami-san started buying in. Then he bought more and went silent.
  • Today, Aozora reported full-year earnings – much worse than expected and Mar25 guidance lower than already low Street estimates. And they are selling 15% stake to Daiwa Securities Group. Oof!

Toppan Printing (7911) Accelerates Buyback Pace and Amount; But Crossholder Sales Lurk

By Travis Lundy

  • Toppan Printing (7911 JP) established a new Medium-Term Management Plan with targets in May 2023. 8% ROE, PBR >1.0x. More DX business. More management modernisation. More ESG. Mooooarrrrr!
  • They also promised capital measures: ¥100bn of buybacks over three years. Total shareholder return of 50%+ over three years. More progress in selling down cross-holdings. 
  • Today the company reported better-than expected full-year revenues, OP, and Net Profit, added more to the buybacks, and shortened the buyback period to two years. Details matter.

Luxottica Buys Washin Optical, Paris Miki Next?

By Michael Causton

  • EssilorLuxottica has always played a long game in Japan but since 2018 the eyewear giant has been investing in local production and a growing store network.
  • As reported by Mark Chadwick,Travis Lundy and myself, Luxottica has a stake in Paris Miki Holdings (7455 JP) and the Japanese firm is a key strategic interest for EssilorLuxottica.
  • That Luxottica is increasing its investments in Japan retail through acquisition is evidenced by its takeover of Washin Optical, a 70-store eyewear chain, last month.

Softbank (9984 JP): Has Group NAV Peaked?

By Victor Galliano

  • Arm’s valuation has driven the group NAV to a new high at fiscal year-end in March; with Arm accounting for 45% of group equity value, NAV downside risk is high
  • JPY depreciation has been NAV supportive, but this could reverse; SVF2 remains very exposed to financing costs, with 87% of its equity value in private companies
  • Softbank shares trade at a 57% discount to the estimated NAV; yet the downside risks to Arm’s valuation, along with SVF2 valuation headwinds, should keep the discount wide

Shiseido (4911 JP):  1Q24 Results Beat; Recovery On Track

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Shiseido Company (4911 JP) reported 1Q24 results last Friday.  Core operating profit declined less than expected at -10% yoy, and exceeded the management’s target. 
  • The beat was driven by robust growth in Japan, Americas, and EMEA, while China steadily recovered.  Overall sales growth was 4% yoy in the quarter. 
  • As a reminder, the investment thesis for Shiseido is twofold:  a recovering China mainly due to one-off concerns (nuclear wastewater), and a margin recovery story in Japan. 

I’rom Group (2372 JP): Blackstone-Sponsored Pre-Conditional MBO at JPY2,800

By Arun George

  • I’Rom Group (2372 JP) recommended a Blackstone (BX US)-sponsored pre-conditional MBO at JPY2,800, a 49.5% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • Approvals under the competition laws of Japan and Australia are a precondition. The tender offer is expected to start in mid-June.
  • The offer is attractive and requires a 37% minority acceptance rate. While the timing of regulatory approvals is a risk, the transaction is a done deal.

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook

By Tina Banerjee

  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP) has announced a buyback plan for up to 60M shares, representing 5.15% of outstanding shares, by spending ¥100B from May 13 to December 31, 2024.
  • The company has posted mixed FY24 results, with revenue beating and operating and net profits missing guidance. Olympus has guided for just 9% revenue growth for FY25.
  • Overall business outlook of the company seems to be bleak. With limited upside potential expected, it will be wise to tender shares through the company’s buyback offer.

Raising ROE May Require Raising Proxy Voting Guidelines

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Although many institutional investors’ voting criteria apply the rule of “support the proposed appointment of top management director if one female director is nominated,” more in-depth examination should be conducted.
  • Agenda based on TSE’s request isn’t easy to understand for all investors, and the current voting guidelines for domestic institutional investors make it unlikely that they will vote for it.
  • The ISS ROE criteria will be raised next year, and companies may not raise ROE with bold shareholder returns until the voting guidelines for domestic institutional investors are also raised.

Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Guiding for Lower Profits in H2

By Scott Foster

  • FY Mar-24 results were ahead of guidance, but management’s FY Mar-25 forecast has sales flat and profits down in the second half.
  • The shares have dropped back 24% from their all-time high, bringing the forward P/E ratio down to 22X.
  • China and foundry remain strong while North America and memory pick up. Guidance is probably conservative. Buy into the weakness.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars