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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings , Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), AP Moeller – Maersk A/S, Pluxee and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold
  • Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today
  • SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024): Weak Net Buy, Weak Gross, Idiosyncratic Flows
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)
  • Pluxee (PLX.PA) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold

By Arun George

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) shares are trading 85.7% above AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) JPY3,000 offer due to the disclosure of four counterbidders. 
  • The white knight “winning” bidder can secure the Board’s recommendation if it is the highest offer (likely well below the last close) and does not result in AZ-COM Maruwa-type dis-synergies. 
  • AZ-COM Maruwa would face the dilemma of bumping, particularly if the white knight bidder secures irrevocables and the Board presents a compelling case to support the white knight bidder.

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

By Brian Freitas


SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly

By Brian Freitas


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024): Weak Net Buy, Weak Gross, Idiosyncratic Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 0.8bn of A-shares on lower gross volumes. NORTHBOUND bought CATL, China Yangtze Power, and Luxshare. AH Premia bounced, but net volumes are suspect.
  • There is some question as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected.

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Our index shows April pricing momentum remained positive in deep-sea trades
  • Evergreen Marine posted strong revenue and earnings growth in Q124
  • Container carriers have performed well YTD in 2024; we expect convergence

Pluxee (PLX.PA) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Pluxee is a spin-off company with a strong business model, offering an attractive investment opportunity.
  • The company’s undervalued stock price and potential for growth make it a compelling choice for investors.
  • With large insider ownership, new initiatives, and the Bellon family as controlling shareholders, Pluxee is expected to see improvements and long-term success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Health Care: HLB Life Science, Shanghai Henlius Biotech , China Resources Pharmaceutical, Jiangxi Rimag Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • What’s Still Concerning in the HLB Situation & HLB Life Science’s Stock Rights Trading Next Week
  • Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696.HK) – Behind the Trading Halt and Privatization Rumor
  • China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)-VBP Scope Expands, Optimistic About Glove Industry, China Resources
  • Jiangxi Rimag IPO: FCF Generation and Margin Expansion. Expect ~30 New Imaging Centers By 2026


What’s Still Concerning in the HLB Situation & HLB Life Science’s Stock Rights Trading Next Week

By Sanghyun Park

  • HLB expects Jiangsu Hengrui to receive another CRL from the FDA, but specifics on CMC issues remain unclear. Due to the lack of clarity, it’s advisable to avoid trading HLB.
  • HLB IR stated they’ll apply for KOSPI transfer listing after FDA approval when asked by local media, suggesting it’s currently not under consideration.
  • We should instead consider short-term trading opportunities in HLB Life Science. Anticipate a surge in forfeited shares from Day 1, reminiscent of last year’s CJ CGV rights offer event.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696.HK) – Behind the Trading Halt and Privatization Rumor

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • There are many rumors about Henlius’s trading halt, but Fosun Pharma had applied for the resumption of trading in H Shares, which makes us confused whether this is really privatization.
  • Henlius is in “an awkward position” in capital market. Fosun is to blame for Henlius’s low valuation. The high debt problem makes the profits generated from drug sales meaningless.
  • If Henlius cannot break away from the system controlled by Fosun, the complexity of corporate governance brought about by the relationship between Henlius and Fosun would inevitably affect investment judgment.

China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)-VBP Scope Expands, Optimistic About Glove Industry, China Resources

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The NHSA issued a Notice on “improving the quality and expanding the scope of VBP”. The trend of full coverage of VBP of conventional drugs/consumables is determined.TCM is under pressure.
  • We analyzed the potential demand growth rate of the glove industry, which is already better than most cyclical stocks. Therefore, we see no need to remain pessimistic about this industry.
  • Holding platform companies have valuation discounts.HK$50-60 billion is reasonable market value for China Resources Pharmaceutical.Better to go long when share price is below HK$5 and then hold to receive dividends.

Jiangxi Rimag IPO: FCF Generation and Margin Expansion. Expect ~30 New Imaging Centers By 2026

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Jiangxi Rimag Group, China’s largest medical group with focus on medical imaging services, updated its PHIP and may enter the public market in June.
  • Terms of an IPO have not yet been set. The expected price range and the size of the offering were not disclosed in the company’s filings. 
  • I’m positive on Jiangxi Rimag Group given the fast-growing TAM: third-party medical imaging center market accounts only for ~1% of the PRC medical imaging service market today.

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Daily Brief Financials: Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Hoshino Resorts Reit, NIFTY Index, ICICI Securities Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Announces Final Version of Value-Up Disclosure Guidelines Alongside Dedicated Website Launch
  • Hoshino Resorts REIT Placement – Another Raising to Fund an Accretive Acquisition
  • EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 20-May-24 to 24-May-24
  • Icici Securities (NSE:ISEC) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024


KRX Announces Final Version of Value-Up Disclosure Guidelines Alongside Dedicated Website Launch

By Sanghyun Park

  • Starting May 27th, KRX-listed firms can voluntarily disclose value-up details, publicly available on the website. Additionally, view five investment indicators for all KRX-listed companies below.
  • Finalized version similar to draft, with added content requested by listed companies, like R&D investment growth rate. Tax incentives excluded, awaiting alignment with Ministry’s plan in July.
  • KRX keeps a screening framework for the index akin to March’s criteria, with ROE likely having the highest weight. Recent signals hint at increasing dividend weighting.

Hoshino Resorts REIT Placement – Another Raising to Fund an Accretive Acquisition

By Clarence Chu

  • Hoshino Resorts Reit (3287 JP) is looking to raise US$125m from a primary follow-on. Proceeds will be used to acquire the OMO7 Osaka asset.
  • The REIT has been active on the acquisition front, undertaking a number of capital raisings in recent years.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 20-May-24 to 24-May-24

By Sankalp Singh

  • Multiple factors help IVs stabilize after last week’s spike. “High & Up” vol state to persist until elections results on 04-June-2024.
  • SEBI makes changes to Dynamic Price-band Mechanism. Will impact options market-making & should have an overall Vol suppressing effect. 
  • Nifty50 10-delta Risk-reversals extend to -8.5% as the Index reaches 23000. Risk-premia favouring puts over calls is looking over-extended.

Icici Securities (NSE:ISEC) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Recommendation to buy ISEC shares at Rs 840 per share with a price target of Rs 1200 per share
  • Dissatisfaction among minority shareholders due to insider’s attempt to acquire remaining shares at a lower price
  • Illiquidity and limited institutional investors due to Parent owning 75% of shares, potential merger poses a risk but shareholders can extract fair value even in a merger scenario

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Meituan, Great Wall Motor, L’Occitane, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, XPeng , Warby Parker Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In
  • Merger Arb Mondays (27 May) – L’Occitane, SciClone, GA Pack, KFC Japan, CF Logistics, Best World
  • Many Companies Still Consider Engagement with Investors to Be Someone Else’s Business
  • China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo
  • Warby Parker Inc (WRBY) – Friday, Feb 23, 2024


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$18.6bn on strong two-way volumes. The top three net buys of the week were SOE banks. Some may be Central Huijin.
  • Some of this may be driven by the dividend w/h tax cancellation on H divs and by significant H-share discounts, but high-div CNOOC was the biggest net sell.
  • No end to the inflows, and HK valuations are not at a place where they would hamper continued flows. Alibaba making HK a Primary will spur more inflows over time.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND’s buy streak continued this past week; every day was net positive. NORTHBOUND was net positive too. It is not clear how much is National Team buying. Much may be.
  • AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng and other HK indices fell sharply and A-shares did not fall as much. 


Many Companies Still Consider Engagement with Investors to Be Someone Else’s Business

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Although it’s possible to move AGM forward given the timing of financial reporting, 70% of companies will hold their AGM during the 3 days of the last week of June.
  • As long as the concentration of AGM dates continues, the start of electronic provision of AGM documents should at least be accelerated to allow time to review the agenda.
  • Only slightly less than 30% of prime market listed companies provide English translations of all convocation notices, including business reports and financial statements.

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

By Ming Lu

  • In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.
  • KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.
  • Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.

Warby Parker Inc (WRBY) – Friday, Feb 23, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Warby Parker disrupted the eyewear industry in 2010 with affordable prices and innovative styles, known for their commitment to social impact
  • The company has faced challenges with slowing growth and increased competition, leading to concerns about its uniqueness and disrupter status
  • Critics believe that Warby Parker’s focus on technology and business model changes indicate a potential decline, making it a target for short selling.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief ESG: Improved Profitability to Attract Overseas Investors Key to Raise Valuation Even After TSE’s Request and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Improved Profitability to Attract Overseas Investors Key to Raise Valuation Even After TSE’s Request


Improved Profitability to Attract Overseas Investors Key to Raise Valuation Even After TSE’s Request

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Companies that increased Tobin’sQ have further increased Tobin’sQ due to continued growth in ROE and ROA. They have room to further improve return on capital by reducing cash on hand.
  • Companies with lower Tobin’s Q may include small-cap stocks that are increasingly undervalued because they have relatively high ROE and ROA but are not covered by overseas investors.
  • Over the past year, few companies raised their valuations based solely on expectations of P/B bottoming-out without improving profitability, and IR activities alone have had limited effect in boosting valuations.

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Daily Brief ECM: Weekly Deals Digest (26 May) – Henlius and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (26 May) – Henlius, HKTV, SciClone, KFC, Best World, PropertyGuru, Modec


Weekly Deals Digest (26 May) – Henlius, HKTV, SciClone, KFC, Best World, PropertyGuru, Modec

By Arun George


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Best World (BEST SP): Best and Final S$2.56 Offer and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Best World (BEST SP): Best and Final S$2.56 Offer
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: KFC Holdings Japan, Shanghai Henlius, Alumina, BHP/ Anglo American, SciClone
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, L’Occitane, Prosus/Tencent, EOFlow


Best World (BEST SP): Best and Final S$2.56 Offer

By Arun George

  • Best World International (BEST SP) has disclosed a revised exit offer which has been declared final. The S$2.56 offer is a modest 2.4% premium to the previous S$2.50 offer. 
  • The key conditions are approval for the selective capital reduction (at least 75% of eligible shareholders) and delisting resolution (a majority holding not less than 75% in value).
  • The revised offer remains underwhelming. However, the headcount test risk is lowering as retail seems resigned to accepting it. At the last close, the gross spread was 2.4%. 

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: KFC Holdings Japan, Shanghai Henlius, Alumina, BHP/ Anglo American, SciClone

By David Blennerhassett


Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, L’Occitane, Prosus/Tencent, EOFlow

By David Blennerhassett

  • Murakami-San now owns far more in Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) than he can easily get out of other than by corporate action. Murakami-san is not a dumb guy. He knows this.
  • The unique investigative shareholder register confirms what has been long rumoured about a certain shareholder activist in L’Occitane (973 HK). It is also informative for what isn’t present.
  • Prosus (PRX NA)‘s discount to NAV and implied stub widened after Fabricio Bloisi’s CEO appointment the previous week. But the sell-down of Tencent (700 HK) to buy-back Prosus will continue.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Alibaba Group: A Story Of Cross-Border E-commerce Scale-up! – Major Drivers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba Group: A Story Of Cross-Border E-commerce Scale-up! – Major Drivers
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Grape King Bio
  • Sony Corporation: How It Is Implementing A Multi-Faceted Strategy In A Maturing Consumer Electronics Market! – Major Drivers
  • Honda Motor Co.: What Is The Positioning of Hybrid in Electrification Strategy? – Major Drivers
  • Legend Biotech Corporation: Implementation of Commercial Launch of CARVYKTI & Other Major Drivers
  • StoneCo Ltd.: Business Diversification Through Additional Monetization Opportunities Beyond Payments! – Major Drivers
  • SharkNinja Inc.: What Are The Growth Avenues for Global Expansion? – Major Drivers
  • Dropbox Inc.: Investments in AI-Enabled Experiences and New Market Opportunities! – Major Drivers
  • Cisco Systems: AI Investments
  • The Home Depot Inc.: The Influence of Housing Turnover and Interest Rate Environment! – Major Drivers


Alibaba Group: A Story Of Cross-Border E-commerce Scale-up! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alibaba Group’s March Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2024 results show that major segments such as the Taobao and Tmall Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce, and core public cloud offerings are experiencing growth.
  • The Taobao and Tmall Group achieved double-digit year-over year growth, while Alibaba International Digital Commerce revenue increased by 45%.
  • Moreover, AI related revenue increased triple digit year-over-year, demonstrating the potential of AI technology in fueling the company’s growth.

Asian Dividend Gems: Grape King Bio

By Douglas Kim

  • Grape King Bio has one of the most remarkable consistency in profit margins among all Asian F&B companies. Its net margins ranged from 13% to 15% in the past decade.
  • The company’s dividend yield increased from 3.8% in 2021 to 4.1% in 2022, and 4.4% in 2023. Its annual dividend payout averaged 69.6% from 2019 to 2023. 
  • Established in 1969, Grape King Bio is one of the leading health food, drink, and supplement products manufacturers in Taiwan.

Sony Corporation: How It Is Implementing A Multi-Faceted Strategy In A Maturing Consumer Electronics Market! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Sony Group Corporation recently reported its FY 2023 results and offered insights into its FY 2024 forecast as well as its fifth mid-range plan.
  • The corporation experienced a record high in consolidated sales at JPY 13,020.8 billion while consolidated operating income was JPY 1,208.8 billion.
  • Net income stood at JPY 970.6 billion, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA was JPY 1,880 billion.

Honda Motor Co.: What Is The Positioning of Hybrid in Electrification Strategy? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Honda Motor’s earnings of FY ’24 reveals that the mobility company has been posting a historic high operating profit of JPY 1,381.9 billion, with an operating profit margin of 6.8%.
  • Underpinning this growth has been the company’s core strategy of focusing on environmental sustainability and safety, which is resonating well with the consumers.
  • For FY ’25, Honda has set a higher target for operating profit at JPY 1.42 billion, aiming to achieve an operating profit margin of 7%, a year ahead of their original plan.

Legend Biotech Corporation: Implementation of Commercial Launch of CARVYKTI & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Legend Biotech Corporation is a biotech company specializing in CAR-T cell therapy for the treatment of multiple myeloma.
  • In Quarter 1 2024, two major approvals by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and European Commission for the company’s CARVYKTI therapy for second line relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma have solidified its position in the industry.
  • This historical quarterly update positions Legend Biotech’s CARVYKTI on the path to transforming the treatment landscape for thousands of patients suffering from multiple myeloma.

StoneCo Ltd.: Business Diversification Through Additional Monetization Opportunities Beyond Payments! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • StoneCo Ltd., a financial technology company in Brazil, provided its Q1 2021 results with an updated outlook on the business.
  • The company’s business performed strongly, delivering strategic priorities with significant growth in financial services across all client offerings.
  • StoneCo also launched instant payments in Ton, which fulfills a key request from micro-merchant clients.

SharkNinja Inc.: What Are The Growth Avenues for Global Expansion? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • SharkNinja’s first quarter 2024 earnings revealed a company with strong financial performance, a robust global supply chain, and a commitment to a growth strategy that has yielded positive results.
  • In the first quarter, the company saw adjusted net sales increase by 28% and adjusted EBITDA grow by 30%.
  • This can be attributed to significant investments in selling and marketing initiatives aimed at expanding the company’s presence in emerging international markets and driving global awareness of their new products.

Dropbox Inc.: Investments in AI-Enabled Experiences and New Market Opportunities! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dropbox, Inc.’s Q1 2024 earnings showed both positive and negative aspects of the company’s financial performance.
  • In terms of positives, the company reported revenue for the quarter that met its expectations.
  • In addition, Dropbox reported an increase in paying users with 35,000 net new additions, despite a challenging fourth quarter.

Cisco Systems: AI Investments

By Baptista Research

  • Cisco Systems (Cisco) had a promising Q3, with organic revenue aligning with the higher end of guidance expectations.
  • The company has transformed its business model, with over half of its total revenue now coming from subscription services, providing the company with a robust base for potential long-term growth.
  • The acquisition of Splunk was also completed, adding over $4 billion in annualized recurring revenue and strengthening Cisco’s position as one of the world’s major software companies.

The Home Depot Inc.: The Influence of Housing Turnover and Interest Rate Environment! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the first quarter of 2024, The Home Depot’s total sales amounted to $36.4 billion, marking a decrease of 2.3% from the same period last year.
  • The company’s comp sales declined by 2.8% and US stores also reported negative comps of 3.2%.
  • The diluted earnings per share were noted to be $3.63 for the first quarter, a dip from $3.82 during the first quarter of the previous year.

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Daily Brief Australia: BHP Group Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: KFC Holdings Japan, Shanghai Henlius, Alumina, BHP/ Anglo American, SciClone


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: KFC Holdings Japan, Shanghai Henlius, Alumina, BHP/ Anglo American, SciClone

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief South Korea: Eoflow and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, L’Occitane, Prosus/Tencent, EOFlow


Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, L’Occitane, Prosus/Tencent, EOFlow

By David Blennerhassett

  • Murakami-San now owns far more in Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) than he can easily get out of other than by corporate action. Murakami-san is not a dumb guy. He knows this.
  • The unique investigative shareholder register confirms what has been long rumoured about a certain shareholder activist in L’Occitane (973 HK). It is also informative for what isn’t present.
  • Prosus (PRX NA)‘s discount to NAV and implied stub widened after Fabricio Bloisi’s CEO appointment the previous week. But the sell-down of Tencent (700 HK) to buy-back Prosus will continue.

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