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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Macro: Korea Exchange Launches the Disclosure of Corporate Value Up Program on KIND System and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea Exchange Launches the Disclosure of Corporate Value Up Program on KIND System
  • China’s Housing Market: Heading Closer Towards an Eventual Bottom
  • How to Spot A Market Top
  • Inflation Moderation?
  • Global Commodities: Gas be nimble, gas be quick…but there will be repercussions
  • Steno Signals #101 – Introducing the Washington DC Crypto Put!


Korea Exchange Launches the Disclosure of Corporate Value Up Program on KIND System

By Douglas Kim

  • The Korea Exchange introduced the Corporate Value Up program on the KIND website. This is a voluntary system aimed at boosting the corporate value of listed Korean companies.
  • Five key investment indicators for the 2,400+ listed Korean companies include PBR, PER, ROE, dividend payout, and dividend yield. The detailed data these indicators can be easily downloaded on excel. 
  • Corporate Value Up program is a marathon, not a sprint. In this race, the runners (Korean companies) also need some water (such as improvements to dividend/corporate income tax policy).

China’s Housing Market: Heading Closer Towards an Eventual Bottom

By Said Desaque

  • Beijing has announced a range of measures to stabilise China’s housing market, including dealing with unsold inventory through government purchases and boosting demand via lower mortgage downpayments.
  • A return to the 2016-2020 boom in housing activity is unlikely, while an extended L-shaped period of healing appears to be a plausible baseline scenario.
  • Improvement in homebuyers’ confidence will be crucial in achieving a market bottom, particularly lower concerns about the financial health of developers and non-delivery risks for new homes.   

How to Spot A Market Top

By Cam Hui

  • We are not overly concerned about the capitulation of a prominent Wall Street bear on an intermediate-term basis.
  • Stock prices are advancing on stable interest rates and continued economic and earnings growth.
  • However, the stock market is showing some signs of bullishness exhaustion and it’s vulnerable to a short-term pullback.

Inflation Moderation?

By Nomura – The Week Ahead

  • Key data releases in the upcoming week include PMI data from China, CPI data from Tokyo and Australia, GDP data from India, and Industrial production data from Korea
  • US core PCE inflation data forecasted to be 0.252% for April, indicating a possible slowdown in inflation
  • Fed expected to delay easing cycle start until September, with recent data showing signs of slowing growth and consumer sector cracks

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global Commodities: Gas be nimble, gas be quick…but there will be repercussions

By At Any Rate

  • Market fears production return will impact prices, with Wood McKenzie predicting increase in June production
  • Northeast, Permian, and Haynesville expected to see production rebound in the coming months
  • Price rally in US market driven by short summer positions, but weather will play a key role in price movements, with heat expected in the coming days potentially mitigating any retracement

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Steno Signals #101 – Introducing the Washington DC Crypto Put!

By Andreas Steno

  • It’s been a break-through week for Crypto bros in many ways.
  • First, the SEC made a massive u-turn and approved the spot ETH ETF and then Donald Trump fully endorsed the crypto space in his speech at the Libertarian Party forum over the weekend.
  • Crypto has broken through to K-street and on top of the obvious positive side-effects, a BTC or an ETH is now becoming a politicized asset.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Techwing Inc, HLB Life Science, CosmoAM&T and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Announces Final Version of Value-Up Disclosure Guidelines Alongside Dedicated Website Launch
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping
  • What’s Still Concerning in the HLB Situation & HLB Life Science’s Stock Rights Trading Next Week
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner


KRX Announces Final Version of Value-Up Disclosure Guidelines Alongside Dedicated Website Launch

By Sanghyun Park

  • Starting May 27th, KRX-listed firms can voluntarily disclose value-up details, publicly available on the website. Additionally, view five investment indicators for all KRX-listed companies below.
  • Finalized version similar to draft, with added content requested by listed companies, like R&D investment growth rate. Tax incentives excluded, awaiting alignment with Ministry’s plan in July.
  • KRX keeps a screening framework for the index akin to March’s criteria, with ROE likely having the highest weight. Recent signals hint at increasing dividend weighting.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 13 inclusions and 13 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 13 June.
  • For the second consecutive review, Fadu (440110 KS) and Shinsung DeltaTech (065350 KS) have been kept out of the index. Not sure what the index committee’s beef with them is.
  • The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ150 since the start of the review period. This has been helped, in no small, part by the ban on short selling.

What’s Still Concerning in the HLB Situation & HLB Life Science’s Stock Rights Trading Next Week

By Sanghyun Park

  • HLB expects Jiangsu Hengrui to receive another CRL from the FDA, but specifics on CMC issues remain unclear. Due to the lack of clarity, it’s advisable to avoid trading HLB.
  • HLB IR stated they’ll apply for KOSPI transfer listing after FDA approval when asked by local media, suggesting it’s currently not under consideration.
  • We should instead consider short-term trading opportunities in HLB Life Science. Anticipate a surge in forfeited shares from Day 1, reminiscent of last year’s CJ CGV rights offer event.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner

By Brian Freitas

  • There will be 6 additions and 6 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 13 June.
  • The index committee has used a boatload of discretion in the inclusion of CosmoAM&T (005070 KS) and the deletion of some of the stocks.
  • The adds and deletes from the Information Technology sector will also have passive flow from the sector ETF and will increase the impact of the changes.

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Daily Brief India: Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, NIFTY Index, ICICI Securities Ltd, UPL Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly
  • EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 20-May-24 to 24-May-24
  • Icici Securities (NSE:ISEC) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, UPL Ltd, Xiaomi Corp


SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly

By Brian Freitas


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 20-May-24 to 24-May-24

By Sankalp Singh

  • Multiple factors help IVs stabilize after last week’s spike. “High & Up” vol state to persist until elections results on 04-June-2024.
  • SEBI makes changes to Dynamic Price-band Mechanism. Will impact options market-making & should have an overall Vol suppressing effect. 
  • Nifty50 10-delta Risk-reversals extend to -8.5% as the Index reaches 23000. Risk-premia favouring puts over calls is looking over-extended.

Icici Securities (NSE:ISEC) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Recommendation to buy ISEC shares at Rs 840 per share with a price target of Rs 1200 per share
  • Dissatisfaction among minority shareholders due to insider’s attempt to acquire remaining shares at a lower price
  • Illiquidity and limited institutional investors due to Parent owning 75% of shares, potential merger poses a risk but shareholders can extract fair value even in a merger scenario

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, UPL Ltd, Xiaomi Corp

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: Natural Gas, Warby Parker Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Commodities: Gas be nimble, gas be quick…but there will be repercussions
  • Warby Parker Inc (WRBY) – Friday, Feb 23, 2024


Global Commodities: Gas be nimble, gas be quick…but there will be repercussions

By At Any Rate

  • Market fears production return will impact prices, with Wood McKenzie predicting increase in June production
  • Northeast, Permian, and Haynesville expected to see production rebound in the coming months
  • Price rally in US market driven by short summer positions, but weather will play a key role in price movements, with heat expected in the coming days potentially mitigating any retracement

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Warby Parker Inc (WRBY) – Friday, Feb 23, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Warby Parker disrupted the eyewear industry in 2010 with affordable prices and innovative styles, known for their commitment to social impact
  • The company has faced challenges with slowing growth and increased competition, leading to concerns about its uniqueness and disrupter status
  • Critics believe that Warby Parker’s focus on technology and business model changes indicate a potential decline, making it a target for short selling.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief China: Meituan, Great Wall Motor, L’Occitane, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings , China Molybdenum Co Ltd H, Shanghai Henlius Biotech , Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), China Resources Pharmaceutical, Baidu , XPeng and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In
  • Merger Arb Mondays (27 May) – L’Occitane, SciClone, GA Pack, KFC Japan, CF Logistics, Best World
  • Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today
  • FXI Rebalance Preview: Cutoff Today; Two Changes Likely in June
  • Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696.HK) – Behind the Trading Halt and Privatization Rumor
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024): Weak Net Buy, Weak Gross, Idiosyncratic Flows
  • China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)-VBP Scope Expands, Optimistic About Glove Industry, China Resources
  • Baidu: Priced to Fail
  • China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$18.6bn on strong two-way volumes. The top three net buys of the week were SOE banks. Some may be Central Huijin.
  • Some of this may be driven by the dividend w/h tax cancellation on H divs and by significant H-share discounts, but high-div CNOOC was the biggest net sell.
  • No end to the inflows, and HK valuations are not at a place where they would hamper continued flows. Alibaba making HK a Primary will spur more inflows over time.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND’s buy streak continued this past week; every day was net positive. NORTHBOUND was net positive too. It is not clear how much is National Team buying. Much may be.
  • AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng and other HK indices fell sharply and A-shares did not fall as much. 


Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

By Brian Freitas


FXI Rebalance Preview: Cutoff Today; Two Changes Likely in June

By Brian Freitas

  • With a day to go in the review period, there could be 2 changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in June.
  • There should be more than 1x ADV to buy on one of the adds while there will be nearly 5x ADV to sell on one of the deletes.
  • There will be positioning in all the potential changes but there appears to be higher interest in one of the potential adds and one of the potential deletes.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696.HK) – Behind the Trading Halt and Privatization Rumor

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • There are many rumors about Henlius’s trading halt, but Fosun Pharma had applied for the resumption of trading in H Shares, which makes us confused whether this is really privatization.
  • Henlius is in “an awkward position” in capital market. Fosun is to blame for Henlius’s low valuation. The high debt problem makes the profits generated from drug sales meaningless.
  • If Henlius cannot break away from the system controlled by Fosun, the complexity of corporate governance brought about by the relationship between Henlius and Fosun would inevitably affect investment judgment.

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024): Weak Net Buy, Weak Gross, Idiosyncratic Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 0.8bn of A-shares on lower gross volumes. NORTHBOUND bought CATL, China Yangtze Power, and Luxshare. AH Premia bounced, but net volumes are suspect.
  • There is some question as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected.

China Healthcare Weekly (May.26)-VBP Scope Expands, Optimistic About Glove Industry, China Resources

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The NHSA issued a Notice on “improving the quality and expanding the scope of VBP”. The trend of full coverage of VBP of conventional drugs/consumables is determined.TCM is under pressure.
  • We analyzed the potential demand growth rate of the glove industry, which is already better than most cyclical stocks. Therefore, we see no need to remain pessimistic about this industry.
  • Holding platform companies have valuation discounts.HK$50-60 billion is reasonable market value for China Resources Pharmaceutical.Better to go long when share price is below HK$5 and then hold to receive dividends.

Baidu: Priced to Fail

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • Since late 2020, Search’s share of digital advertising revenue has stabilised at around 8-10%, seemingly retaining its core advertising customers and industries.
  • Baidu management expects AI Cloud to maintain strong revenue growth momentum in the upcoming quarters.
  • Baidu trades on a 3.6x NTM EV/EBITDA multiple, well below one standard deviation lower than its 5-year historical average trading range and the lowest it has ever been.

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

By Ming Lu

  • In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.
  • KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.
  • Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.

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Daily Brief Japan: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Hoshino Resorts Reit, Renesas Electronics, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold
  • Hoshino Resorts REIT Placement – Another Raising to Fund an Accretive Acquisition
  • ECM Weekly (27th May 2024) – Renesas, AUB, Modec, Tata Tech, MUFG, Shift Up, Novelis, Shulan
  • Many Companies Still Consider Engagement with Investors to Be Someone Else’s Business


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold

By Arun George

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) shares are trading 85.7% above AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) JPY3,000 offer due to the disclosure of four counterbidders. 
  • The white knight “winning” bidder can secure the Board’s recommendation if it is the highest offer (likely well below the last close) and does not result in AZ-COM Maruwa-type dis-synergies. 
  • AZ-COM Maruwa would face the dilemma of bumping, particularly if the white knight bidder secures irrevocables and the Board presents a compelling case to support the white knight bidder.

Hoshino Resorts REIT Placement – Another Raising to Fund an Accretive Acquisition

By Clarence Chu

  • Hoshino Resorts Reit (3287 JP) is looking to raise US$125m from a primary follow-on. Proceeds will be used to acquire the OMO7 Osaka asset.
  • The REIT has been active on the acquisition front, undertaking a number of capital raisings in recent years.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

ECM Weekly (27th May 2024) – Renesas, AUB, Modec, Tata Tech, MUFG, Shift Up, Novelis, Shulan

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, Go Digit managed to do well despite somewhat tepid subscription rates, while Shift Up (462870 KS) was looking to be the next hot listing in Korea.
  • On the placement front, Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) mega-block kept the cross-shareholding unwind going.

Many Companies Still Consider Engagement with Investors to Be Someone Else’s Business

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Although it’s possible to move AGM forward given the timing of financial reporting, 70% of companies will hold their AGM during the 3 days of the last week of June.
  • As long as the concentration of AGM dates continues, the start of electronic provision of AGM documents should at least be accelerated to allow time to review the agenda.
  • Only slightly less than 30% of prime market listed companies provide English translations of all convocation notices, including business reports and financial statements.

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Most Read: Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Meituan, Modec Inc, Techwing Inc, Hoshino Resorts Reit, Great Wall Motor, L’Occitane, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings , China Molybdenum Co Ltd H and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX Announces Final Version of Value-Up Disclosure Guidelines Alongside Dedicated Website Launch
  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues
  • Weekly Deals Digest (26 May) – Henlius, HKTV, SciClone, KFC, Best World, PropertyGuru, Modec
  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping
  • Hoshino Resorts REIT Placement – Another Raising to Fund an Accretive Acquisition
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In
  • Merger Arb Mondays (27 May) – L’Occitane, SciClone, GA Pack, KFC Japan, CF Logistics, Best World
  • Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today
  • FXI Rebalance Preview: Cutoff Today; Two Changes Likely in June


KRX Announces Final Version of Value-Up Disclosure Guidelines Alongside Dedicated Website Launch

By Sanghyun Park

  • Starting May 27th, KRX-listed firms can voluntarily disclose value-up details, publicly available on the website. Additionally, view five investment indicators for all KRX-listed companies below.
  • Finalized version similar to draft, with added content requested by listed companies, like R&D investment growth rate. Tax incentives excluded, awaiting alignment with Ministry’s plan in July.
  • KRX keeps a screening framework for the index akin to March’s criteria, with ROE likely having the highest weight. Recent signals hint at increasing dividend weighting.

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold

By Arun George

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) shares are trading 85.7% above AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) JPY3,000 offer due to the disclosure of four counterbidders. 
  • The white knight “winning” bidder can secure the Board’s recommendation if it is the highest offer (likely well below the last close) and does not result in AZ-COM Maruwa-type dis-synergies. 
  • AZ-COM Maruwa would face the dilemma of bumping, particularly if the white knight bidder secures irrevocables and the Board presents a compelling case to support the white knight bidder.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024); Strong Bank Buying and Tech Selling Continues

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$18.6bn on strong two-way volumes. The top three net buys of the week were SOE banks. Some may be Central Huijin.
  • Some of this may be driven by the dividend w/h tax cancellation on H divs and by significant H-share discounts, but high-div CNOOC was the biggest net sell.
  • No end to the inflows, and HK valuations are not at a place where they would hamper continued flows. Alibaba making HK a Primary will spur more inflows over time.

Weekly Deals Digest (26 May) – Henlius, HKTV, SciClone, KFC, Best World, PropertyGuru, Modec

By Arun George


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 13 inclusions and 13 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 13 June.
  • For the second consecutive review, Fadu (440110 KS) and Shinsung DeltaTech (065350 KS) have been kept out of the index. Not sure what the index committee’s beef with them is.
  • The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ150 since the start of the review period. This has been helped, in no small, part by the ban on short selling.

Hoshino Resorts REIT Placement – Another Raising to Fund an Accretive Acquisition

By Clarence Chu

  • Hoshino Resorts Reit (3287 JP) is looking to raise US$125m from a primary follow-on. Proceeds will be used to acquire the OMO7 Osaka asset.
  • The REIT has been active on the acquisition front, undertaking a number of capital raisings in recent years.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have a BAD Week and AH Premium Rebounds In

By Travis Lundy

  • The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
  • SOUTHBOUND’s buy streak continued this past week; every day was net positive. NORTHBOUND was net positive too. It is not clear how much is National Team buying. Much may be.
  • AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng and other HK indices fell sharply and A-shares did not fall as much. 


Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

By Brian Freitas


FXI Rebalance Preview: Cutoff Today; Two Changes Likely in June

By Brian Freitas

  • With a day to go in the review period, there could be 2 changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in June.
  • There should be more than 1x ADV to buy on one of the adds while there will be nearly 5x ADV to sell on one of the deletes.
  • There will be positioning in all the potential changes but there appears to be higher interest in one of the potential adds and one of the potential deletes.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Techwing Inc, CosmoAM&T , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Vanguard Intl Semiconductor, Renesas Electronics, Baidu and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead
  • Vanguard (5347.TT): Planning to Announce the Construction of a 12″ Fab in Singapore in 2024.
  • ECM Weekly (27th May 2024) – Renesas, AUB, Modec, Tata Tech, MUFG, Shift Up, Novelis, Shulan
  • Baidu: Priced to Fail


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 13 inclusions and 13 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 13 June.
  • For the second consecutive review, Fadu (440110 KS) and Shinsung DeltaTech (065350 KS) have been kept out of the index. Not sure what the index committee’s beef with them is.
  • The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ150 since the start of the review period. This has been helped, in no small, part by the ban on short selling.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Knows Best; Cosmo AM&T the Winner

By Brian Freitas

  • There will be 6 additions and 6 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 13 June.
  • The index committee has used a boatload of discretion in the inclusion of CosmoAM&T (005070 KS) and the deletion of some of the stocks.
  • The adds and deletes from the Information Technology sector will also have passive flow from the sector ETF and will increase the impact of the changes.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC’s Latest 2024E Industry Guidance Provided at Symposium in Taiwan
  • More Potential Details on Nvidia & Mediatek’s AI PC Chip to Compete with Qualcomm & Intel
  • Samsung’s HBM DRAM Chips Face Challenges in Meeting Nvidia’s AI Requirements

Vanguard (5347.TT): Planning to Announce the Construction of a 12″ Fab in Singapore in 2024.

By Patrick Liao

  • Vanguard should declare to established 12″ Fab in Singapore within 2014.
  • Vanguard is likely to announce the establishment of 2 sets of 12″ fabs in the next 6 months.  
  • China is expanding 28/22nm and above technologies, and we believe it’s more appropriate for Vanguard to compete with others rather than TSMC.

ECM Weekly (27th May 2024) – Renesas, AUB, Modec, Tata Tech, MUFG, Shift Up, Novelis, Shulan

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, Go Digit managed to do well despite somewhat tepid subscription rates, while Shift Up (462870 KS) was looking to be the next hot listing in Korea.
  • On the placement front, Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) mega-block kept the cross-shareholding unwind going.

Baidu: Priced to Fail

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • Since late 2020, Search’s share of digital advertising revenue has stabilised at around 8-10%, seemingly retaining its core advertising customers and industries.
  • Baidu management expects AI Cloud to maintain strong revenue growth momentum in the upcoming quarters.
  • Baidu trades on a 3.6x NTM EV/EBITDA multiple, well below one standard deviation lower than its 5-year historical average trading range and the lowest it has ever been.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings , Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), AP Moeller – Maersk A/S, Pluxee and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold
  • Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today
  • SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly
  • Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024): Weak Net Buy, Weak Gross, Idiosyncratic Flows
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)
  • Pluxee (PLX.PA) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Irrational Exuberance Takes Hold

By Arun George

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) shares are trading 85.7% above AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) JPY3,000 offer due to the disclosure of four counterbidders. 
  • The white knight “winning” bidder can secure the Board’s recommendation if it is the highest offer (likely well below the last close) and does not result in AZ-COM Maruwa-type dis-synergies. 
  • AZ-COM Maruwa would face the dilemma of bumping, particularly if the white knight bidder secures irrevocables and the Board presents a compelling case to support the white knight bidder.

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

By Brian Freitas


SENSEX Index Rebalance: And That’s a Googly

By Brian Freitas


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 24 May 2024): Weak Net Buy, Weak Gross, Idiosyncratic Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
  • Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 0.8bn of A-shares on lower gross volumes. NORTHBOUND bought CATL, China Yangtze Power, and Luxshare. AH Premia bounced, but net volumes are suspect.
  • There is some question as to whether the NORTHBOUND volumes to the buy side are all foreigners. Some suspect there is national team buying mixed in, as was expected.

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Firm | Share Prices Converging | (May 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Our index shows April pricing momentum remained positive in deep-sea trades
  • Evergreen Marine posted strong revenue and earnings growth in Q124
  • Container carriers have performed well YTD in 2024; we expect convergence

Pluxee (PLX.PA) – Sunday, Feb 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Pluxee is a spin-off company with a strong business model, offering an attractive investment opportunity.
  • The company’s undervalued stock price and potential for growth make it a compelling choice for investors.
  • With large insider ownership, new initiatives, and the Bellon family as controlling shareholders, Pluxee is expected to see improvements and long-term success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: China Molybdenum Co Ltd H, Natural Gas, UPL Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • FXI Rebalance Preview: Cutoff Today; Two Changes Likely in June
  • Global Commodities: Gas be nimble, gas be quick…but there will be repercussions
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, UPL Ltd, Xiaomi Corp


FXI Rebalance Preview: Cutoff Today; Two Changes Likely in June

By Brian Freitas

  • With a day to go in the review period, there could be 2 changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in June.
  • There should be more than 1x ADV to buy on one of the adds while there will be nearly 5x ADV to sell on one of the deletes.
  • There will be positioning in all the potential changes but there appears to be higher interest in one of the potential adds and one of the potential deletes.

Global Commodities: Gas be nimble, gas be quick…but there will be repercussions

By At Any Rate

  • Market fears production return will impact prices, with Wood McKenzie predicting increase in June production
  • Northeast, Permian, and Haynesville expected to see production rebound in the coming months
  • Price rally in US market driven by short summer positions, but weather will play a key role in price movements, with heat expected in the coming days potentially mitigating any retracement

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo, UPL Ltd, Xiaomi Corp

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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