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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Indonesia: Barito Renewables Energy, Elevarm Technologies , GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Jejakin and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Barito Renewables Lockup Expiry – US$8bn Lockup Expiry for Largest Indonesian Market Cap Stock
  • Elevarm Raises US$2.6M to Empower Indonesia’s Small-Holder Farmers | E27
  • Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci
  • Jejakin raises US$2.7M to help organisations achieve net zero targets | e27


Barito Renewables Lockup Expiry – US$8bn Lockup Expiry for Largest Indonesian Market Cap Stock

By Ethan Aw

  • Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ) raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end at IDR780/share. Its eight-month lockup will expire on 29th May 2024.
  • Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Elevarm Raises US$2.6M to Empower Indonesia’s Small-Holder Farmers | E27

By e27

  • Indonesia’s integrated farming productivity platform Elevarm has secured US$2.6 million in a seed funding round led by Singapore’s Insignia Ventures Partners.
  • 500 Global and eFishery founder and CEO Gibran Huzaifa also participated.
  • The strategic raise, completed in two phases, will be used to scale Elevarm’s seedlings and organic fertiliser production capacity threefold to meet growing demand.

Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Jejakin raises US$2.7M to help organisations achieve net zero targets | e27

By e27

  • Jejakin, an Indonesian-based carbon management platform, has secured US$2.7 million in a funding round from Bhinneka Power, Indogen Capital, SMDV, and East Ventures.
  • The capital will be mainly invested in R&D, technological improvement, and market growth.
  • Jejakin was founded in 2018 by Arfan Arlanda, Sudono Salim (CGO), Andreas Djingga (COO), and Haris Iskandar (Chief of Sustainability and Climate Change) with a mission to make a positive impact on the environment.

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Daily Brief India: Inox Wind Ltd, GMR Hyderabad International Airport and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Inox Wind : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy
  • Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci


Inox Wind : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief United States: Qualcomm Inc, Take Two Interactive Software, Inc, S&P 500 INDEX, Deere & Co, Vimeo , Gold, Liberty TripAdvisor Holdings A, Walmart, Bitcoin, Caesars Entertainment and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Qualcomm Leapfrogs Intel & AMD To Power The First Microsoft CoPilot + PCs
  • Take-Two Interactive Software: Increased Relevance of Mobile and Strategic Titles
  • Commodity Comeback
  • Deere & Company: These Are The 6 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Vimeo Inc (VMEO) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024
  • This Is How Fund Managers Can Close Their Research Gap in Agricultural Commodities
  • Liberty Tripadvisor Holdings (LTRPA) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024
  • Walmart Inc.: Growth in Newer Businesses and E-commerce
  • Crypto Crisp: “There Is No Second Place”
  • Caesars January 2026 $60 Strike Call Option (CZR) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024


Qualcomm Leapfrogs Intel & AMD To Power The First Microsoft CoPilot + PCs

By William Keating

  • Microsoft last week launched their CoPilot+ PC category which enables their CoPilot to run locally on your PC, as long as it has an NPU with >40 TOPS
  • With Qualcomm being the only one currently offering such an NPU, their Snapdragon processors will be powering the first wave of CoPilot+ PC’s
  • It’s an extraordinary accomplishment for Qualcomm & likely an inflection point for Arm powered PCs. It’s also really bad news for Intel and not great for AMD

Take-Two Interactive Software: Increased Relevance of Mobile and Strategic Titles

By Baptista Research

  • Take-Two Interactive Software Inc reported a healthy performance for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2024 with net bookings of $1.35 billion.
  • The fiscal year 2024 saw net bookings of $5.33 billion.
  • The performance for the period was attributed to the success of NBA 2K24, Zynga’s in-app purchases, Match Factory!, the Red Dead Redemption series, and the Grand Theft Auto series.

Commodity Comeback

By Douglas Busch

  • S&P 5700 year end target remains intact after MONTHLY breakout. 
  • Copper and silver rally to resume with dollar potentially falling.
  • Semis continue to lead tech and look for software to join.

Deere & Company: These Are The 6 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Deere & Co.’s Q2 results revealed a decline in net sales and revenues with a noticeable impact from more challenging market conditions, particularly in the agriculture sector.
  • Net sales have gone down by 15% to $13.61 billion while net income attributable to the company reached $2.37 billion or $8.53 per diluted share.
  • Breaking it down by business segments, the Production and Precision Ag business reported net sales of $6.581 billion, a decline of 16% compared to the same period last year.

Vimeo Inc (VMEO) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Vimeo experienced a decline in growth post-spinoff from IAC due to fading COVID-related tailwinds
  • Recent trends suggest a potential turnaround for Vimeo, with indications of a return to growth
  • Focus on strategic business use cases and growth of Enterprise segment contributing to turnaround, transforming Vimeo into a profitable and cash flow-positive company

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


This Is How Fund Managers Can Close Their Research Gap in Agricultural Commodities

By The Commodity Report

  • Expectations of an “above-normal” monsoon in 2024 currently help to keep prices for commodities that are in large parts grown in India under control.

  • That includes rice as well as sugar prices.

  • According to the IRI’s latest ENSO forecast, La Niña becomes the most probable category in Aug-Oct, 2024 through Jan-Mar, 2025.


Liberty Tripadvisor Holdings (LTRPA) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Potential all-cash offer for Tripadvisor complex may end tumultuous relationship with Liberty TripAdvisor
  • LTRPA currently trades at a discount to NAV, expected to close if offer is finalized
  • TRIP could be valued at $30-$35 per share, significant upside potential for LTRPA with multiple potential buyers interested

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Walmart Inc.: Growth in Newer Businesses and E-commerce

By Baptista Research

  • Walmart Inc. reported a robust start to the year in their latest earnings call Q&A section.
  • With sales growth of 5.7% and adjusted operating profit up 12.9% in constant currency, all three operating segments performed well.
  • This momentum was driven by growth not solely due to inflation, but through increases in units sold, transaction counts, and market share gains, particularly in general merchandise.

Crypto Crisp: “There Is No Second Place”

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Do we even need to mention the most significant news from last week? Probably not.
  • However, here is a brief summary: the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved an Ethereum spot ETF on Thursday.
  • Almost as significant as the approval itself is the shift in the U.S. regulatory environment’s tone toward crypto.

Caesars January 2026 $60 Strike Call Option (CZR) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Investment opportunity in long Caesar’s Entertainment January 2026, $60 strike calls
  • Stock has underperformed due to investments in digital without desired results
  • Anticipated turning point in stock performance towards end of 2025 or 2026

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Japan: Exedy Corp, Infocom Corp, Amuse Inc, Starts Corp Inc, Shimamura and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Cash-Rich Exedy (7278) Sees Huge Offering Offset by Huge Buyback – Watch For Short-Term Games
  • Infocom (4348 JP) – The Meaning of ‘Binding Bids’ and ‘¥250bn’
  • Exedy Corporation Placement – Relatively Large One, Although Buyback Should Aid Share Price
  • Amuse Inc (4301) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024
  • Starts Corporation Inc (8850) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024
  • Shimamura Benefitting Big from Consumer Uncertainty


Cash-Rich Exedy (7278) Sees Huge Offering Offset by Huge Buyback – Watch For Short-Term Games

By Travis Lundy

  • Toyota equity affiliate Aisin (7259 JP) last September said it would sell all its crossholdings. That now includes a 36.5% stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP)
  • Today, they announced an offering of all the shares (when including the greenshoe). That is nearly ¥50bn. That is offset by a ¥15bn buyback which could reduce the offering size.
  • Games may be played, but there is considerable accretion, and Exedy will see higher float and still-high net cash.

Infocom (4348 JP) – The Meaning of ‘Binding Bids’ and ‘¥250bn’

By Travis Lundy

  • A variety of articles of recent from private media sources have suggested that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) has its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) up for auction. 
  • According to earlier articles, binding Second Round bids were due last week. According to an article out late last week, binding bids have been made, with some “around ¥250bn.”
  • What that means for price may depend on what the “around ¥250bn” means. A brief exploration below. 

Exedy Corporation Placement – Relatively Large One, Although Buyback Should Aid Share Price

By Clarence Chu

  • Aisin (7259 JP) is looking to raise US$290m from selling its entire stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP).
  • While the selldown doesn’t seem to be particularly well-flagged, this appears to be another cross-shareholder unwind in Japan.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Amuse Inc (4301) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • The music industry in the west focuses on speculative assets and bundling services, while in Japan firms have 360-degree deals with artists.
  • Amuse, a major player in the Japanese music industry, historically managed the successful band Southern All Stars but has diversified beyond them.
  • Despite still having concentration in top acts like Masaharu Fukuyama, Amuse’s business model and intrinsic value are seen as attractive to investors.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Starts Corporation Inc (8850) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Starts is a high-quality business operating primarily in asset-light CRE services
  • The company has the potential to reframe its narrative and increase its share price
  • Strong founder and management team with a history of delivering impressive returns on equity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Shimamura Benefitting Big from Consumer Uncertainty

By Michael Causton

  • Shimamura continues to grow at a solid rate after struggling to find relevance in the five years to 2021.
  • Its growing success with collaborative brands and direct sourcing has delivered younger fans in city centres, and the apparel retailer now plans to build stores in the four big conurbations.
  • The timing is just right as consumers shift to ever cheaper basics in the face of fears of further inflation and tougher times ahead.

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Daily Brief China: Alibaba Group Holding , Huafa Property Services Group, China Merchants China Direct Investments, Baidu, JD.com , iQIYI Inc, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, Akeso Biopharma Inc and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba/JD.com:  Thoughts On The Recent Convertible Bond Issuance
  • Huafa Property Services (982 HK)’s Knockout Offer
  • Activism Takes On CMCDI (133 HK)
  • Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Scheme Offer at HK$0.29
  • Baidu Inc.: What Are Their Expansion Plans Of AI Offerings Beyond Ernie? – Major Drivers
  • JD.com Inc.: How Are They Strengthening the Platform Ecosystem & Continuing Their Market Dominance? – Major Drivers
  • iQIYI Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – How Are They Leveraging Generative AI capabilities? – Major Drivers
  • Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts
  • Akeso Biopharma (9926.HK) – It’s Not Game over Yet


Alibaba/JD.com:  Thoughts On The Recent Convertible Bond Issuance

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) both announced the issuance of convertible debt last week (Alibaba on May 23 and JD.com on May 21). 
  • Both have mentioned that the reasons for the issuance are the low funding cost (0.25% coupon for JD.com and 0.5% for Alibaba) and to fund their current share repurchase program. 
  • I think the convertible debt structures makes sense and it is beneficial for both companies to buy back as much as possible at the current share price.

Huafa Property Services (982 HK)’s Knockout Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • After entering a trading halt on the 16th May pursuant to the Takeover’s Code, property manager Huafa Property Services (982 HK) has now announced a privatisation by way of a Scheme. 
  • The cancellation price of A$0.29/share is a 30.63% to last close, a 70.59% premium over the 30-day average close, and a life-time high price. The price is final.
  • The Offeror, Zhuhai Huafa, a state-owned enterprise wholly-owned by Zhuhai SASAC, plus concert parties hold 42.63% of shares out. Clean deal.

Activism Takes On CMCDI (133 HK)

By David Blennerhassett

  • In January this year, Argyle Street, a (now) 8% shareholder of China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) (CMCDI), a closed-end investment company, proposed a solution to boost shareholder value.
  • Two months later, Rydal Value Fund (stake unknown) also proposed a means to boosting shareholder value along similar lines.
  • CMCDI is currently trading at a ~63% discount to NAV. But it is up 78% since Argyle’s initial proposal, and recently touched a six-year high. Argyle is still buying.

Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Scheme Offer at HK$0.29

By Arun George

  • Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK) announced a privatisation offer from Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH) at HK$0.29 per share, a 30.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. No shareholder holds a blocking stake.
  • The offer, which has been declared final, is attractive compared to historical share prices and peer multiples. This is a done deal, with payment likely in November.  

Baidu Inc.: What Are Their Expansion Plans Of AI Offerings Beyond Ernie? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Baidu’s revenue growth for the first quarter exceeded expectations, with a year-over-year increase of 4%, reaching RMB 23.8 billion.
  • Additionally, Baidu’s continued efforts in Gen AI path have resulted in a 12% year-over-year acceleration in the revenue growth from Baidu AI Cloud, which also delivered an operating profit on a non-GAAP basis.
  • These positive results signify the company’s successful transition from an internet-centric business to an AI-first business.

JD.com Inc.: How Are They Strengthening the Platform Ecosystem & Continuing Their Market Dominance? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • JD.com, a China-based multinational technology conglomerate, has announced its first-quarter results for 2024 in an earnings call and reported robust profit and revenue growth, along with an encouragingly high Net Promoter Score (NPS).
  • The revenue growth was accelerated by strong execution amidst evolving industry dynamics, improved user experience, price competitiveness, and platform ecosystems.
  • Importantly, the general merchandise and supermarket category recorded a notable jump in terms of gross merchandise value (GMV) and revenue growth.

iQIYI Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – How Are They Leveraging Generative AI capabilities? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • iQIYI, an innovative market-leading online entertainment service provider in China, delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, achieving numerous record highs, such as non-GAAP operating income and its corresponding margin.
  • CEO, Mr. Yu Gong, shared that the expanding margin could be attributed to the high-quality growth of the company.
  • The Membership Services business continued its growth trajectory with monthly ARM observed an all-time high.

Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

By Daniel Hellberg

  • We compare Lalatech’s scale, P&L, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow to peers
  • On several measures, Lalatech is comparable to Full Truck Alliance, SF-Intra
  • Small, unprofitable GOGOX not an appropriate comp for Lalatech, in our view

Akeso Biopharma (9926.HK) – It’s Not Game over Yet

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • We saw the collapse of Akeso’s share price after the Company released the clinical data of AK112 on ASCO. Judging from the market reaction, there are indeed“something unsatisfactory” about AK112.
  • Akeso’s high valuation mainly comes from the expectation that it would be a player that can compete on international stage. But investors’ confidence in AK112’s future commercialization has been shaken.
  • We advise investors to remain patient and “let the bullets fly”. It’s not yet time for the final result.But, if you want to bet, you need to pay the price.

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Most Read: Exedy Corp, Infocom Corp, S.M.Entertainment Co, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings , Alibaba Group Holding , AU Optronics, Huafa Property Services Group, China Merchants China Direct Investments and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Cash-Rich Exedy (7278) Sees Huge Offering Offset by Huge Buyback – Watch For Short-Term Games
  • Infocom (4348 JP) – The Meaning of ‘Binding Bids’ and ‘¥250bn’
  • HYBE: Block Deal Sale of SM Entertainment
  • Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today
  • Alibaba/JD.com:  Thoughts On The Recent Convertible Bond Issuance
  • Exedy Corporation Placement – Relatively Large One, Although Buyback Should Aid Share Price
  • Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade
  • Huafa Property Services (982 HK)’s Knockout Offer
  • Activism Takes On CMCDI (133 HK)
  • Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Scheme Offer at HK$0.29


Cash-Rich Exedy (7278) Sees Huge Offering Offset by Huge Buyback – Watch For Short-Term Games

By Travis Lundy

  • Toyota equity affiliate Aisin (7259 JP) last September said it would sell all its crossholdings. That now includes a 36.5% stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP)
  • Today, they announced an offering of all the shares (when including the greenshoe). That is nearly ¥50bn. That is offset by a ¥15bn buyback which could reduce the offering size.
  • Games may be played, but there is considerable accretion, and Exedy will see higher float and still-high net cash.

Infocom (4348 JP) – The Meaning of ‘Binding Bids’ and ‘¥250bn’

By Travis Lundy

  • A variety of articles of recent from private media sources have suggested that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) has its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) up for auction. 
  • According to earlier articles, binding Second Round bids were due last week. According to an article out late last week, binding bids have been made, with some “around ¥250bn.”
  • What that means for price may depend on what the “around ¥250bn” means. A brief exploration below. 

HYBE: Block Deal Sale of SM Entertainment

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 27 May, HYBE (352820 KS) announced that it will conduct a block deal sale of 0.75 million to 0.94 million shares of SM Entertainment.
  • The block deal sale price discount is 4% to 5.5% discount to the closing price on 27 May (95,800 won). 
  • One of the major positive, recent issues facing the Korean K-Pop related stocks has been the potential easing of Korean content restrictions by China.

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in June; Cutoff Today

By Brian Freitas


Alibaba/JD.com:  Thoughts On The Recent Convertible Bond Issuance

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) both announced the issuance of convertible debt last week (Alibaba on May 23 and JD.com on May 21). 
  • Both have mentioned that the reasons for the issuance are the low funding cost (0.25% coupon for JD.com and 0.5% for Alibaba) and to fund their current share repurchase program. 
  • I think the convertible debt structures makes sense and it is beneficial for both companies to buy back as much as possible at the current share price.

Exedy Corporation Placement – Relatively Large One, Although Buyback Should Aid Share Price

By Clarence Chu

  • Aisin (7259 JP) is looking to raise US$290m from selling its entire stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP).
  • While the selldown doesn’t seem to be particularly well-flagged, this appears to be another cross-shareholder unwind in Japan.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
  • Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.
  • Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.

Huafa Property Services (982 HK)’s Knockout Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • After entering a trading halt on the 16th May pursuant to the Takeover’s Code, property manager Huafa Property Services (982 HK) has now announced a privatisation by way of a Scheme. 
  • The cancellation price of A$0.29/share is a 30.63% to last close, a 70.59% premium over the 30-day average close, and a life-time high price. The price is final.
  • The Offeror, Zhuhai Huafa, a state-owned enterprise wholly-owned by Zhuhai SASAC, plus concert parties hold 42.63% of shares out. Clean deal.

Activism Takes On CMCDI (133 HK)

By David Blennerhassett

  • In January this year, Argyle Street, a (now) 8% shareholder of China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) (CMCDI), a closed-end investment company, proposed a solution to boost shareholder value.
  • Two months later, Rydal Value Fund (stake unknown) also proposed a means to boosting shareholder value along similar lines.
  • CMCDI is currently trading at a ~63% discount to NAV. But it is up 78% since Argyle’s initial proposal, and recently touched a six-year high. Argyle is still buying.

Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Scheme Offer at HK$0.29

By Arun George

  • Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK) announced a privatisation offer from Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH) at HK$0.29 per share, a 30.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. No shareholder holds a blocking stake.
  • The offer, which has been declared final, is attractive compared to historical share prices and peer multiples. This is a done deal, with payment likely in November.  

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Anglo American, Barito Renewables Energy, Inox Wind Ltd, S&P 500 INDEX, Genel Energy, Gold, Adriatic Metals PLC, IsoEnergy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • BHP Anglo Bid: Market Pricing Restructuring, No BHP Deal, PUSU Deadline on Wednesday
  • Barito Renewables Lockup Expiry – US$8bn Lockup Expiry for Largest Indonesian Market Cap Stock
  • Inox Wind : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy
  • Commodity Comeback
  • Genel Energy (GENL.L) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024
  • This Is How Fund Managers Can Close Their Research Gap in Agricultural Commodities
  • Another “fully funded” capital raise?
  • IsoEnergy Ltd – Uranium: Only Getting Started


BHP Anglo Bid: Market Pricing Restructuring, No BHP Deal, PUSU Deadline on Wednesday

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • Over the weekend, the FT reported that Anglo was urged by top shareholders to extend talks with BHP over its proposed merger. 
  • BHP’s third unsolicited non-binding offer was rejected last Wednesday. The merger exchange ratio was raised by 9% to 0.886, an increase of 24.8% on the initial offer ratio.
  • Anglo left the door open for talks, extending the PUSU deadline for BHP to make a firm offer by 1 week to this Wednesday (29 May).

Barito Renewables Lockup Expiry – US$8bn Lockup Expiry for Largest Indonesian Market Cap Stock

By Ethan Aw

  • Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ) raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end at IDR780/share. Its eight-month lockup will expire on 29th May 2024.
  • Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

Inox Wind : Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

Commodity Comeback

By Douglas Busch

  • S&P 5700 year end target remains intact after MONTHLY breakout. 
  • Copper and silver rally to resume with dollar potentially falling.
  • Semis continue to lead tech and look for software to join.

Genel Energy (GENL.L) – Monday, Feb 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Genel Energy is a high-risk arbitration opportunity with potential for significant reward due to its legal dispute with the Kurdistan government
  • Despite previous market capitalization reduction in the 2014 oil crisis, Genel Energy is now an undervalued asset with strong cash position and minimal debt
  • With current market cap at £210 million and significant cash reserves, the company has notable potential for growth, but the unpredictable nature of the situation makes it difficult to model or quantify with certainty

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


This Is How Fund Managers Can Close Their Research Gap in Agricultural Commodities

By The Commodity Report

  • Expectations of an “above-normal” monsoon in 2024 currently help to keep prices for commodities that are in large parts grown in India under control.

  • That includes rice as well as sugar prices.

  • According to the IRI’s latest ENSO forecast, La Niña becomes the most probable category in Aug-Oct, 2024 through Jan-Mar, 2025.


Another “fully funded” capital raise?

By Money of Mine

  • Adriatic is raising an additional $50 million in capital through a discounted offering
  • Orion is selling down half of their equity position in the raise, with plans to trim further after 90 days
  • Queens Road Capital converted their $20 million convertible debt into equity ahead of schedule in March

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


IsoEnergy Ltd – Uranium: Only Getting Started

By Atrium Research

  • Uranium spot prices are up 84% since our last report in late 2022, yet we still expect further momentum in the sector.
  • The sentiment on nuclear power from governments around the world has begun to shift, with many nations ramping plans for reactors.
  • While new mines begin production and future mines achieve financing, we continue to believe the current spot price is too low in the short term.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Bizlink Holding, Seatrium , Deere & Co, Grab Holdings , GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Copart Inc, Qantm Intellectual Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion And Some Surprises
  • Seatrium – Offshore Ahoy!
  • Deere & Company: These Are The 6 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Grab Holdings: Improving Marketplace Efficiencies and Operating Leverage!
  • Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci
  • Copart Inc.: Is The Growth In Non-insurance Business A Key Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers
  • Qantm Intellectual Property – Revised guidance to incorporate scheme costs


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion And Some Surprises

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 indices for the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Today is the base date for the T50/100 June 2024 index review and there are some changes to our expectations since my last insight roughly a month ago.
  • We see one change for the T50 index and three changes for the T100 index.

Seatrium – Offshore Ahoy!

By Rikki Malik

  • An overlooked old economy sector in Asia ripe for a comeback
  • Industry dynamics will provide  a long-term tailwind for the company
  • Opportunity created by  deletion from an index and corporate restructuring

Deere & Company: These Are The 6 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Deere & Co.’s Q2 results revealed a decline in net sales and revenues with a noticeable impact from more challenging market conditions, particularly in the agriculture sector.
  • Net sales have gone down by 15% to $13.61 billion while net income attributable to the company reached $2.37 billion or $8.53 per diluted share.
  • Breaking it down by business segments, the Production and Precision Ag business reported net sales of $6.581 billion, a decline of 16% compared to the same period last year.

Grab Holdings: Improving Marketplace Efficiencies and Operating Leverage!

By Baptista Research

  • Grab, a Singapore-based technology company offering ride-hailing transport, food delivery, and payment solutions, leveraged its vast user base of more than 2 million drivers and 63 million downloads in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Its financial performance for the first quarter of 2024 shows strong growth in several key areas, such as its delivery and mobility services, its financial services, and its strategic initiatives to sustain and generate growth.
  • In the first quarter of 2024, Grab’s revenue grew by 24% year over year and 29% in constant currency terms, reaching $653 million.

Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Copart Inc.: Is The Growth In Non-insurance Business A Key Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Copart, Inc., reported Q3 fiscal 2024 results showing a promising trend in the total loss frequency rate, driven by a decrease in used vehicle prices and an increase in repair costs.
  • This rate reverted to pre-pandemic levels during Q3 as used vehicle prices fell by 14% YoY, while repair costs remained high due to labor challenges and the complexity of vehicle repairs.
  • The company’s Insurance business has grown its volume by 6.8% YoY, as the frequency and magnitude of storm-related activity have increased.

Qantm Intellectual Property – Revised guidance to incorporate scheme costs

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update report on IP services group QANTM Intellectual Property (ASX:QIP) following its update on earnings guidance, incorporating the impact of transaction costs on reported EPS in FY24.
  • QIP said that as a result of transaction costs it expects to incur up to 30 June in relation to the Scheme of Arrangement with Adamantem Capital, FY24 EPS is now expected to be from $0.075 to $0.08/share.
  • The company also provided a new underlying EBITDA range of $33.0m to $33.5m, noting there has been no material change to underlying trading conditions.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Bizlink Holding, Seatrium , Deere & Co, Grab Holdings , GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Copart Inc, Qantm Intellectual Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion And Some Surprises
  • Seatrium – Offshore Ahoy!
  • Deere & Company: These Are The 6 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Major Drivers
  • Grab Holdings: Improving Marketplace Efficiencies and Operating Leverage!
  • Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci
  • Copart Inc.: Is The Growth In Non-insurance Business A Key Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers
  • Qantm Intellectual Property – Revised guidance to incorporate scheme costs


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun 24: Bizlink TDIV Deletion And Some Surprises

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 indices for the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • Today is the base date for the T50/100 June 2024 index review and there are some changes to our expectations since my last insight roughly a month ago.
  • We see one change for the T50 index and three changes for the T100 index.

Seatrium – Offshore Ahoy!

By Rikki Malik

  • An overlooked old economy sector in Asia ripe for a comeback
  • Industry dynamics will provide  a long-term tailwind for the company
  • Opportunity created by  deletion from an index and corporate restructuring

Deere & Company: These Are The 6 Most Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Deere & Co.’s Q2 results revealed a decline in net sales and revenues with a noticeable impact from more challenging market conditions, particularly in the agriculture sector.
  • Net sales have gone down by 15% to $13.61 billion while net income attributable to the company reached $2.37 billion or $8.53 per diluted share.
  • Breaking it down by business segments, the Production and Precision Ag business reported net sales of $6.581 billion, a decline of 16% compared to the same period last year.

Grab Holdings: Improving Marketplace Efficiencies and Operating Leverage!

By Baptista Research

  • Grab, a Singapore-based technology company offering ride-hailing transport, food delivery, and payment solutions, leveraged its vast user base of more than 2 million drivers and 63 million downloads in the fourth quarter of 2021.
  • Its financial performance for the first quarter of 2024 shows strong growth in several key areas, such as its delivery and mobility services, its financial services, and its strategic initiatives to sustain and generate growth.
  • In the first quarter of 2024, Grab’s revenue grew by 24% year over year and 29% in constant currency terms, reaching $653 million.

Morning Views Asia: GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Lippo Karawaci

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Copart Inc.: Is The Growth In Non-insurance Business A Key Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Copart, Inc., reported Q3 fiscal 2024 results showing a promising trend in the total loss frequency rate, driven by a decrease in used vehicle prices and an increase in repair costs.
  • This rate reverted to pre-pandemic levels during Q3 as used vehicle prices fell by 14% YoY, while repair costs remained high due to labor challenges and the complexity of vehicle repairs.
  • The company’s Insurance business has grown its volume by 6.8% YoY, as the frequency and magnitude of storm-related activity have increased.

Qantm Intellectual Property – Revised guidance to incorporate scheme costs

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update report on IP services group QANTM Intellectual Property (ASX:QIP) following its update on earnings guidance, incorporating the impact of transaction costs on reported EPS in FY24.
  • QIP said that as a result of transaction costs it expects to incur up to 30 June in relation to the Scheme of Arrangement with Adamantem Capital, FY24 EPS is now expected to be from $0.075 to $0.08/share.
  • The company also provided a new underlying EBITDA range of $33.0m to $33.5m, noting there has been no material change to underlying trading conditions.

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Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Infocom Corp, AU Optronics, Asia Vital Components, Baidu, Renesas Electronics, Qualcomm Inc, iQIYI Inc, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd, Take Two Interactive Software, Inc, Shift Up and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Infocom (4348 JP) – The Meaning of ‘Binding Bids’ and ‘¥250bn’
  • Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Asia Vital Components (3017 TT) In Back-To-Back Inclusion?
  • Baidu Inc.: What Are Their Expansion Plans Of AI Offerings Beyond Ernie? – Major Drivers
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-May-2024): Liquid cooling market to double by 2025, industry shakeout predicted.
  • Qualcomm Leapfrogs Intel & AMD To Power The First Microsoft CoPilot + PCs
  • iQIYI Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – How Are They Leveraging Generative AI capabilities? – Major Drivers
  • Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts
  • Take-Two Interactive Software: Increased Relevance of Mobile and Strategic Titles
  • Shift Up IPO – Peer Comparison – Small in Size but Ranks High on Growth and Margins


Infocom (4348 JP) – The Meaning of ‘Binding Bids’ and ‘¥250bn’

By Travis Lundy

  • A variety of articles of recent from private media sources have suggested that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) has its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) up for auction. 
  • According to earlier articles, binding Second Round bids were due last week. According to an article out late last week, binding bids have been made, with some “around ¥250bn.”
  • What that means for price may depend on what the “around ¥250bn” means. A brief exploration below. 

Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
  • Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.
  • Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Asia Vital Components (3017 TT) In Back-To-Back Inclusion?

By Brian Freitas


Baidu Inc.: What Are Their Expansion Plans Of AI Offerings Beyond Ernie? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Baidu’s revenue growth for the first quarter exceeded expectations, with a year-over-year increase of 4%, reaching RMB 23.8 billion.
  • Additionally, Baidu’s continued efforts in Gen AI path have resulted in a 12% year-over-year acceleration in the revenue growth from Baidu AI Cloud, which also delivered an operating profit on a non-GAAP basis.
  • These positive results signify the company’s successful transition from an internet-centric business to an AI-first business.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-May-2024): Liquid cooling market to double by 2025, industry shakeout predicted.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Liquid cooling market expected to double by 2025, but industry shakeout predicted by Auras chair.
  • Apple plans to ship over 9 million units of OLED iPad Pro, aiming to boost its market presence.
  • South Korea aims to enhance its IC design sector, currently holding just a 1% share of the global market.

Qualcomm Leapfrogs Intel & AMD To Power The First Microsoft CoPilot + PCs

By William Keating

  • Microsoft last week launched their CoPilot+ PC category which enables their CoPilot to run locally on your PC, as long as it has an NPU with >40 TOPS
  • With Qualcomm being the only one currently offering such an NPU, their Snapdragon processors will be powering the first wave of CoPilot+ PC’s
  • It’s an extraordinary accomplishment for Qualcomm & likely an inflection point for Arm powered PCs. It’s also really bad news for Intel and not great for AMD

iQIYI Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – How Are They Leveraging Generative AI capabilities? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • iQIYI, an innovative market-leading online entertainment service provider in China, delivered robust first-quarter 2024 results, achieving numerous record highs, such as non-GAAP operating income and its corresponding margin.
  • CEO, Mr. Yu Gong, shared that the expanding margin could be attributed to the high-quality growth of the company.
  • The Membership Services business continued its growth trajectory with monthly ARM observed an all-time high.

Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

By Daniel Hellberg

  • We compare Lalatech’s scale, P&L, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow to peers
  • On several measures, Lalatech is comparable to Full Truck Alliance, SF-Intra
  • Small, unprofitable GOGOX not an appropriate comp for Lalatech, in our view

Take-Two Interactive Software: Increased Relevance of Mobile and Strategic Titles

By Baptista Research

  • Take-Two Interactive Software Inc reported a healthy performance for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2024 with net bookings of $1.35 billion.
  • The fiscal year 2024 saw net bookings of $5.33 billion.
  • The performance for the period was attributed to the success of NBA 2K24, Zynga’s in-app purchases, Match Factory!, the Red Dead Redemption series, and the Grand Theft Auto series.

Shift Up IPO – Peer Comparison – Small in Size but Ranks High on Growth and Margins

By Sumeet Singh

  • Shift Up (462870 KS) plans to raise up to US$320m in its upcoming South Korean IPO.
  • Shift Up is a South Korean games developer, which as released three games so far for the global markets.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

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