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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Legend Holdings Corp H, China Medical System, Shui On Land, Rakuten and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • How to Own Lenovo at a Discount: BUY Legend Holdings Corp (3396 HK)
  • China Medical System (CMS, 867 HK) – A Cheap Play on China’s Pending Health Care Crisis
  • Morning Views Asia: Shui On Land
  • Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten


How to Own Lenovo at a Discount: BUY Legend Holdings Corp (3396 HK)

By David Mudd

  • Legend Holdings Corp H (3396 HK) owns 31% of Lenovo (992 HK) , the number one global PC maker
  • Lenovo is a leader selling AI enabled PC’s globally.  Its server business is growing rapidly through strong demand for generative AI.  Legend is the leading AI seed investor in China.
  • Technical pattern strong for Lenovo reaching a 9 year high.  Legend showing increasing momentum from an historic trough valuation level

China Medical System (CMS, 867 HK) – A Cheap Play on China’s Pending Health Care Crisis

By Avien Pillay

  • A high disease burden, high demand for chronic treatment, and an ageing population makes China an excellent opportunity for an established pharma company.
  • A transition period following the inclusion of four large drugs in the NDRL creates an opportunity following a big de-rating.
  • With 1/3 of the market cap in cash, a healthy payout ratio, and a FPE of under 8, CMS is one of the bargain beneficiaries in the Chinese healthcare space.

Morning Views Asia: Shui On Land

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt, Ace Hardware Indonesia and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Solidifying Growth Prospects
  • Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) – Brighter Ambience Ahead


Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) – Solidifying Growth Prospects

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (Alfamart) booked a solid set of 1Q2024 results, a testament to its resilience during an election period, with the seasonal impact of Lebaran. 
  • Minimarkets continue to be the winning format in Indonesia and Alfamart continued to gain share during 1Q2024, neck and neck with Salim-backed Indomaret if you include Alfamidi, Lawson, and Dan+Dan. 
  • Alfamart will slow store openings to 1,300 stores this year after adding more than 1,800 outlets in 2023, with growth prospects remaining positive and profitability intact with a 25% ROE. 

Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) – Brighter Ambience Ahead

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ) continues to impress both in terms of SSSG and profitability, with numerous initiatives to drive future growth including more regular promotional campaigns and upgraded formats.
  • SSSG for 5M2024 is well ahead of full-year guidance with strong growth momentum driven by ongoing campaigns, brighter new concept formats, and successful omnichannel initiatives providing additional growth impetus. 
  • Ace Hardware Indonesia remains a top pick amongst Indonesian retailers, with valuations well below historical levels, despite the resurgence of growth and numerous initiatives in place both online and offline. 

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Daily Brief United States: Crowdstrike Holdings , Arlo Technologies Inc, VAALCO Energy, Talen Energy , RCI Hospitality Holdings, BILL Holdings , Tether, Soluna Holdings , Satellos Bioscience , Build A Bear Workshop and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) – Friday, Mar 1, 2024
  • Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) – Wednesday, Feb 28, 2024
  • VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Very good operating update in Canada
  • TLNE: Electrifying Tender, PT to $145
  • Rci Hospitality Hldgs Inc (RICK) – Thursday, Feb 29, 2024
  • 2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, End of the Share Repurchase Program and Customer Churn
  • Crypto Moves #30 – The European Union’s MiCA Removes Tether from the Market
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc. – Major Milestones Reached in Expansion
  • MSCLF: On Track to Initiate Phase 1 First-in-Human Trials of SAT-3247 in mid-2024
  • BBW: 1Q Review: Gearing Up for FY24; Reiterate Buy Rating, $41 PT


Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) – Friday, Mar 1, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Zscaler missed billings estimates and lowered full-year revenue guidance due to extended sales cycles and deal closures delays
  • Declining performances in the cybersecurity sector indicate potential underperformance for Crowdstrike
  • Author predicts potential significant miss in Crowdstrike’s upcoming earnings based on current trends in the market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) – Wednesday, Feb 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Anticipate significant downward revision in Arlo Technologies’ long-term revenue guidance
  • Management’s lack of transparency regarding key performance indicators may have misled investors
  • Initiate a short position before Feb. 29th guidance update to benefit from potential share price decline.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Very good operating update in Canada

By Auctus Advisors

  • VAALCO has brought online four new long (2.75 mile) lateral wells in Canada.
  • Three wells delivered IP rates of 500 bbl/d while the fourth well flowed 350 bbl/d for a total production capacity addition of 1.85 mbbl/d.
  • This is a good result and compares with individual IP30 oil rates of 374-444 bbl/d achieved at the two wells drilled in 2023.

TLNE: Electrifying Tender, PT to $145

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TLNE is putting its growing cash balance to use by announcing a Dutch tender buyback of up to $600 million of its stock.
  • The Dutch tender establishes our price target of $120 is too low as we look ahead to 2025.
  • Our price target of $120 was based on TLNE generating approximately $700 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2024. We are now using our 2025 estimate for our price target

Rci Hospitality Hldgs Inc (RICK) – Thursday, Feb 29, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • RICK is the largest strip club operator that also owns the struggling restaurant chain, Bombshells
  • Strip clubs in RICK’s targeted locations are generally profitable due to limited competition and high barriers to entry
  • Tootsie’s, a club owned by RICK, experienced significant revenue and EBITDA growth since its acquisition in 2007, showcasing the company’s ability to generate attractive returns on acquisitions in the strip club industry

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, End of the Share Repurchase Program and Customer Churn

By Andrei Zakharov

  • BILL Holdings shares significantly underperformed in 2024 with shares down ~37% year-to-date versus a 12% gain on the Nasdaq Composite Index.  
  • Shares saw sell-off post 3Q’FY24 earnings as results indicated a weak 4Q’FY24 guidance and customer churn while SMBs continue to be pressured by high inflation and interest rates.
  • My bear case implies a $31 valuation (vs. prior $25 PT), based on ~2x FY25E EV/Revenue and bear case FY25E revenue of $1368M, representing ~40% downside vs. current levels.

Crypto Moves #30 – The European Union’s MiCA Removes Tether from the Market

By Mads Eberhardt

  • Recently, we have discussed the significant positive shift in the U.S. regulatory environment for crypto.
  • You might be weary of regulatory discussions, but we need to address the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) framework.
  • This framework is set to take full effect on December 30, 2024.

Soluna Holdings, Inc. – Major Milestones Reached in Expansion

By Water Tower Research

  • 214MW of new projects to more than double the existing 75MW in operation and further builds on Soluna’s impressive corporate turnaround.
  • In the past year, Soluna has launched its flagship Project Dorothy with both hosting (1A) and propriety mining (1B), moved to more profitable hosting contracts at its 25MW Project Sophie, began diversifying revenue through AI hosting at Project Sophie, and launched a new AI cloud venture and the Helix AI datacenter design.
  • In addition, the company has been adjusted EBITDA positive for the past two quarters, while the balance sheet has improved. 

MSCLF: On Track to Initiate Phase 1 First-in-Human Trials of SAT-3247 in mid-2024

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On May 14, 2024, Satellos Biosciences Inc. (MSCLF) announced financial results for the first quarter of 2024 and provided a business update.
  • Satellos is on track to initiate a Phase 1 first-in-human clinical trial of its lead development asset SAT-3247 in mid-2024.
  • The company has completed manufacturing bulk quantities of the drug and formulated the first tablets for use in the trial.

BBW: 1Q Review: Gearing Up for FY24; Reiterate Buy Rating, $41 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $41 price target for Build-A-Bear Workshop after the company reported lower than consensus 1Q results, driven by weaker-than-expected online revenue, but reiterated both revenue and pre-tax income guidance for FY24.
  • Given the multiple shifts in FY24, the potential for the company to drive material franchised and commercial revenue and what we view as a highly appealing experiential shopping experience, we remain positive on the potential for Build-A-Bear to achieve their guidance for FY24.
  • Further, with the company remaining committed to returning capital to shareholders via share repurchases and dividends and maximizing a cash rich, debt-free balance sheet, we view today’s weakness in BBW as an opportunity to invest in one of the strongest (and highest margin) specialty retailers.

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Daily Brief India: Zomato, Action Construction Equipment, Rakuten and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Zomato Placement Lockup Expiry – US$800m Overhang
  • The Beat Ideas: Action Construction – A Bet on Manufacturing & Infrastructure Theme
  • Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten


Zomato Placement Lockup Expiry – US$800m Overhang

By Sumeet Singh

  • Antfin will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Zomato soon.
  • Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024. It still has over US$800m worth of shares left to sell.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

The Beat Ideas: Action Construction – A Bet on Manufacturing & Infrastructure Theme

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Action Construction – a leader in construction and heavy equipment theme is going for transformation with a defence foray and new product launches
  • With strong guidance and the historical success of good execution makes a good bet on the current infrastructure and manufacturing theme
  • The risk includes a slowdown in the election period and stiff competition from larger players

Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Japan: Exedy Corp, Infocom Corp, Kansai Paint, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Rakuten and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized – Watch the Dynamics Here
  • Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints
  • Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond
  • Why Are Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Ratings More Profitable?
  • Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten


Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized – Watch the Dynamics Here

By Travis Lundy

  • On Monday 27 May, Aisin (7259 JP) announced an offering to sell ALL of its 36+% stake in equity affiliate Exedy Corp (7278 JP) for likely ¥40bn+. 
  • Exedy announced a big buyback to go with it. It bought back 30% of the total on Weds morning, and that reduced the size of the offer. 
  • I had expected “short-term games” but we haven’t really had them. Which is a bit weird. This update shows the details and dynamics (they differ).

Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints

By Travis Lundy


Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond

By Travis Lundy

  • 24mos ago, Kansai Paint (4613 JP) announced a new MTMP, a large buyback, and plans to unwind cross-holdings. Big. 15mos ago a large secondary offering kicked off the festivities.
  • Key was Toyota sold. Then KP could sell its Toyota shares – two-thirds of its cross-holdings. The offering was one to buy. A buyback followed. KP vs Nippon Paint doubled.
  • KP offered a CB recently with the delta hedge done by TN-3. Now there is a HUGE new buyback. Really big. This gets rid of more cross-holders. And there’s more.

Why Are Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Ratings More Profitable?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Companies with higher ratings for Corporate Governance Practices (Board Practices and Key Actions) tend to have significantly higher profitability, market capitalization and valuations.
  • Foreign ownership has the highest correlation with the Metrical CG score, suggesting that years of overseas investor engagement have improved the companies’ corporate governance practices and profitability.
  • The pace of efforts varies with criteria of Corporate Governance Practices.  Companies with Metrical CG scores of over 70% are ahead in % independent directors and % female board members.

Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Most Read: Vanguard Intl Semiconductor, Exedy Corp, Infocom Corp, Mitsui Matsushima, SK Bioscience , SK Inc, Kansai Paint, Shift Up, Zomato, Shinsegae and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance Preview: AUM Jump & HUGE Trade
  • Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized – Watch the Dynamics Here
  • Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints
  • JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami-Père Ran Up Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP), Now Murakami-Fille Selling Down
  • Block Deal Prospects Arising from SK Group’s Corporate Reshuffle
  • Detailed Summary of Today’s Second Trial Ruling in Chey Tae-Won’s Divorce Case Involving SK Inc
  • Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond
  • Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Zomato Placement Lockup Expiry – US$800m Overhang
  • Legal Complications on Put Options on SSG.Com to Result in Ongoing Concerns for Emart and Shinsegae


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance Preview: AUM Jump & HUGE Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 209bn (US$6.5bn).
  • There could be 14 changes for the ETF in June with an estimated one-way turnover of around 40% and a round-trip trade of around US$5bn.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and there could be more to go heading into announcement and implementation.

Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized – Watch the Dynamics Here

By Travis Lundy

  • On Monday 27 May, Aisin (7259 JP) announced an offering to sell ALL of its 36+% stake in equity affiliate Exedy Corp (7278 JP) for likely ¥40bn+. 
  • Exedy announced a big buyback to go with it. It bought back 30% of the total on Weds morning, and that reduced the size of the offer. 
  • I had expected “short-term games” but we haven’t really had them. Which is a bit weird. This update shows the details and dynamics (they differ).

Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints

By Travis Lundy


JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami-Père Ran Up Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP), Now Murakami-Fille Selling Down

By Travis Lundy

  • Colour me perplexed. Murakami Group ran up Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)‘s share price in acquiring 29%. The pattern was clear, but one assumes everyone in-group was on the same page.
  • The earliest buyer was NOMURA Aya. She bought early, slowly, then aggressively, then onshore buyers bought aggressively at higher prices. But she has now sold 6 days straight.
  • The pattern is confusing but it will become clearer in coming days.

Block Deal Prospects Arising from SK Group’s Corporate Reshuffle

By Sanghyun Park

  • The declining appeal of the separator business prompts SK to seek buyers for SKIET through block deals amid financial pressures. The first deal is anticipated despite recent stock price drops.
  • SK Ecoplant looks to sell its 37.6% stake in SK Oceanplant. Negotiations stall over the former major shareholder’s 20% stake, prompting consideration of a block deal.
  • SK Bioscience, under SK Discovery, faces possible sale amid SK’s bio company reshuffle. SK Chemicals may bring SK Biopharm under its wing to help SK Inc focus on semiconductors/batteries.

Detailed Summary of Today’s Second Trial Ruling in Chey Tae-Won’s Divorce Case Involving SK Inc

By Sanghyun Park

  • The first trial in December 2022 ordered Chey to pay 67.5 billion KRW; today’s ruling increased this to 1.38 trillion KRW plus 2 billion KRW, including splitting SK Inc. shares.
  • The increased settlement and SK Inc. share split could spark a management rights battle, causing SK Inc.’s stock price to jump as investors and shareholders react.
  • It may take a year for the final verdict, making a sustained stock price increase unlikely. Yet, differences between trial rulings could alter Chey’s SK Inc. stake, sustaining market interest.

Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond

By Travis Lundy

  • 24mos ago, Kansai Paint (4613 JP) announced a new MTMP, a large buyback, and plans to unwind cross-holdings. Big. 15mos ago a large secondary offering kicked off the festivities.
  • Key was Toyota sold. Then KP could sell its Toyota shares – two-thirds of its cross-holdings. The offering was one to buy. A buyback followed. KP vs Nippon Paint doubled.
  • KP offered a CB recently with the delta hedge done by TN-3. Now there is a HUGE new buyback. Really big. This gets rid of more cross-holders. And there’s more.

Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • Shift Up (462870 KS) is Korea’s leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.
  • We previously discussed the IPO in Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case
  • We examine the syndicate’s valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO.

Zomato Placement Lockup Expiry – US$800m Overhang

By Sumeet Singh

  • Antfin will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Zomato soon.
  • Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024. It still has over US$800m worth of shares left to sell.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Legal Complications on Put Options on SSG.Com to Result in Ongoing Concerns for Emart and Shinsegae

By Douglas Kim

  • Emart and Shinsegae are facing concerns about put options of nearly 1 trillion won on private equity investors’ investment in SSG.com nearly six years ago. 
  • From AEP and BRV’s point of views, they want to get their money back through put options since an IPO is not likely in the near term.
  • The most probable result appears to be that this is likely to be dragged on for some time, which will cause continued concerns on both Emart and Shinsegae. 

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Daily Brief Utilities: Engie SA, Neoen, Talen Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: US$1.1bn Index Inflow for Engie if Nokia’s Rank Falls by ONE
  • Brookfield to Launch Mandatory Offer for Neoen
  • TLNE: Electrifying Tender, PT to $145


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: US$1.1bn Index Inflow for Engie if Nokia’s Rank Falls by ONE

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked and followed indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
  • This annual index rebal event usually results in some of the most significant index flow events in Europe every year, typically amounting to billions of dollars of flows.
  • In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2024.

Brookfield to Launch Mandatory Offer for Neoen

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Brookfield (BN CN) has entered exclusive negotiations with the top shareholders of Neoen (NEOEN FP) to acquire a 53.32% stake at €39.85/share, 26.9% premium, which will trigger a mandatory offer.
  • The offer represents 15.1x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA vs. the median of peers at 9.3x. My fair-value estimate (DCF-based) is €33.76/share, therefore the offer is generous, in my view.
  • Expect the shares to close the spread tomorrow and trade around 3% gross spread and the convertibles to price higher (2% 06/25 at around €51.85, 2.875% 09/27 around 111.72%).

TLNE: Electrifying Tender, PT to $145

By Hamed Khorsand

  • TLNE is putting its growing cash balance to use by announcing a Dutch tender buyback of up to $600 million of its stock.
  • The Dutch tender establishes our price target of $120 is too low as we look ahead to 2025.
  • Our price target of $120 was based on TLNE generating approximately $700 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2024. We are now using our 2025 estimate for our price target

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Daily Brief Industrials: Action Construction Equipment, BQE Water and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas: Action Construction – A Bet on Manufacturing & Infrastructure Theme
  • BQE: Decent Q1 Financials; Recurring Revenue Up 114% YoY


The Beat Ideas: Action Construction – A Bet on Manufacturing & Infrastructure Theme

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Action Construction – a leader in construction and heavy equipment theme is going for transformation with a defence foray and new product launches
  • With strong guidance and the historical success of good execution makes a good bet on the current infrastructure and manufacturing theme
  • The risk includes a slowdown in the election period and stiff competition from larger players

BQE: Decent Q1 Financials; Recurring Revenue Up 114% YoY

By Atrium Research

  • BQE reported Q1 financial results yesterday where the highlight was 114% YoY growth in its recurring operation services segment.
  • Technical services revenue was weak however, leading to a slight miss on proportional revenue ($3.4M vs. $3.8M expected) and margins.
  • Management’s outlook remained bullish, expecting operation services revenue continuing to grow rapidly and technical services revenue catch back up in H2.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Infocom Corp, SK Inc, Shift Up, Himax Technologies Inc Adr, Guangzhou Automobile Group , Legend Holdings Corp H, Crowdstrike Holdings , Arlo Technologies Inc, BILL Holdings , Soluna Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints
  • Detailed Summary of Today’s Second Trial Ruling in Chey Tae-Won’s Divorce Case Involving SK Inc
  • Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Himax, How New In-Car Displays Can Quadruple Chip Content Per Vehicle
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-May-2024): Groundhog Tech eyes SEA growth as 5G expands.
  • How to Own Lenovo at a Discount: BUY Legend Holdings Corp (3396 HK)
  • Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) – Friday, Mar 1, 2024
  • Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) – Wednesday, Feb 28, 2024
  • 2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, End of the Share Repurchase Program and Customer Churn
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc. – Major Milestones Reached in Expansion


Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints

By Travis Lundy


Detailed Summary of Today’s Second Trial Ruling in Chey Tae-Won’s Divorce Case Involving SK Inc

By Sanghyun Park

  • The first trial in December 2022 ordered Chey to pay 67.5 billion KRW; today’s ruling increased this to 1.38 trillion KRW plus 2 billion KRW, including splitting SK Inc. shares.
  • The increased settlement and SK Inc. share split could spark a management rights battle, causing SK Inc.’s stock price to jump as investors and shareholders react.
  • It may take a year for the final verdict, making a sustained stock price increase unlikely. Yet, differences between trial rulings could alter Chey’s SK Inc. stake, sustaining market interest.

Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • Shift Up (462870 KS) is Korea’s leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.
  • We previously discussed the IPO in Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case
  • We examine the syndicate’s valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO.

TechChain Insights: Call with Himax, How New In-Car Displays Can Quadruple Chip Content Per Vehicle

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We hosted a conference call recently with Himax management, the global leader in automotive touch display controllers; the company is experiencing a uniquely stronger automotive supply/demand environment than some peers.
  • Discussed in detail how larger or more sophisticated interior displays can drive higher dollar content of display controllers per vehicle. We examine trending new car designs with much larger displays.
  • We forecast an exponential jump-up in display controller content value per vehicle as beautiful display designs are becoming key USP for auto brands; Maintain our Structural Long rating for Himax.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-May-2024): Groundhog Tech eyes SEA growth as 5G expands.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Groundhog Tech focuses on expanding 5G in SE Asia to drive growth in the region’s tech industry
  • Skymizer introduces ET2 LPU and LLM system platform to enter the chip IP market and enhance its offerings
  • Samsung increases staff at Japan lab for chip packaging innovations, while Malaysia plans to invest in chip ecosystem development

How to Own Lenovo at a Discount: BUY Legend Holdings Corp (3396 HK)

By David Mudd

  • Legend Holdings Corp H (3396 HK) owns 31% of Lenovo (992 HK) , the number one global PC maker
  • Lenovo is a leader selling AI enabled PC’s globally.  Its server business is growing rapidly through strong demand for generative AI.  Legend is the leading AI seed investor in China.
  • Technical pattern strong for Lenovo reaching a 9 year high.  Legend showing increasing momentum from an historic trough valuation level

Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) – Friday, Mar 1, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Zscaler missed billings estimates and lowered full-year revenue guidance due to extended sales cycles and deal closures delays
  • Declining performances in the cybersecurity sector indicate potential underperformance for Crowdstrike
  • Author predicts potential significant miss in Crowdstrike’s upcoming earnings based on current trends in the market

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) – Wednesday, Feb 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Anticipate significant downward revision in Arlo Technologies’ long-term revenue guidance
  • Management’s lack of transparency regarding key performance indicators may have misled investors
  • Initiate a short position before Feb. 29th guidance update to benefit from potential share price decline.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, End of the Share Repurchase Program and Customer Churn

By Andrei Zakharov

  • BILL Holdings shares significantly underperformed in 2024 with shares down ~37% year-to-date versus a 12% gain on the Nasdaq Composite Index.  
  • Shares saw sell-off post 3Q’FY24 earnings as results indicated a weak 4Q’FY24 guidance and customer churn while SMBs continue to be pressured by high inflation and interest rates.
  • My bear case implies a $31 valuation (vs. prior $25 PT), based on ~2x FY25E EV/Revenue and bear case FY25E revenue of $1368M, representing ~40% downside vs. current levels.

Soluna Holdings, Inc. – Major Milestones Reached in Expansion

By Water Tower Research

  • 214MW of new projects to more than double the existing 75MW in operation and further builds on Soluna’s impressive corporate turnaround.
  • In the past year, Soluna has launched its flagship Project Dorothy with both hosting (1A) and propriety mining (1B), moved to more profitable hosting contracts at its 25MW Project Sophie, began diversifying revenue through AI hosting at Project Sophie, and launched a new AI cloud venture and the Helix AI datacenter design.
  • In addition, the company has been adjusted EBITDA positive for the past two quarters, while the balance sheet has improved. 

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Kansai Paint, VAALCO Energy, Arrow Exploration and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond
  • VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Very good operating update in Canada
  • Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): All eyes on the first horizontal well at Carrizales Norte


Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond

By Travis Lundy

  • 24mos ago, Kansai Paint (4613 JP) announced a new MTMP, a large buyback, and plans to unwind cross-holdings. Big. 15mos ago a large secondary offering kicked off the festivities.
  • Key was Toyota sold. Then KP could sell its Toyota shares – two-thirds of its cross-holdings. The offering was one to buy. A buyback followed. KP vs Nippon Paint doubled.
  • KP offered a CB recently with the delta hedge done by TN-3. Now there is a HUGE new buyback. Really big. This gets rid of more cross-holders. And there’s more.

VAALCO Energy (NYSE: EGY): Very good operating update in Canada

By Auctus Advisors

  • VAALCO has brought online four new long (2.75 mile) lateral wells in Canada.
  • Three wells delivered IP rates of 500 bbl/d while the fourth well flowed 350 bbl/d for a total production capacity addition of 1.85 mbbl/d.
  • This is a good result and compares with individual IP30 oil rates of 374-444 bbl/d achieved at the two wells drilled in 2023.

Arrow Exploration Corp. (AIM: AXL): All eyes on the first horizontal well at Carrizales Norte

By Auctus Advisors

  • The 1Q24 production of 2,730 boe/d was close to our expectations.
  • Arrow’s cash position of US$11.6 mm was also in line.
  • The first water disposal well at RCE is being brought into production and the conversion of the CN-4 well is currently waiting regulatory approval.

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