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Daily Brief Credit: Tata Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Tata Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Morning Views Asia: Indika Energy


Tata Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and offsetting the robust Indian business. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly, due to lower earnings and soft cash flows. Liquidity was inadequate, driven by the poor cash flows and large dividends.

We expect the steel industry’s operating environment in FY 2024-25 to be constructive and support Tata Steel’s earnings. However, the company’s solid earnings for the Indian operations should be offset by the restructuring of the UK business, for which another GBP 1.6 bn of additional costs is projected. It is unclear if there is light at the end of the tunnel.


Morning Views Asia: Indika Energy

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ECM: Webtoon Entertainment IPO Preview and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Webtoon Entertainment IPO Preview
  • Yankuang Energy Placement – Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged Although Deal Size Is Large
  • Pre-IPO QuantumPharm (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


Webtoon Entertainment IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Webtoon Entertainment is getting ready to complete its IPO on the NASDAQ exchange in 2H 2024. Webtoon Entertainment is a subsidiary of Naver Corp (035420 KS).
  • Webtoon is seeking to raise as much of US$500 million at a valuation of US$3 billion to US$4 billion.
  • Webtoon Entertainment is one of the largest Korean company related IPOs in 2024. 

Yankuang Energy Placement – Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged Although Deal Size Is Large

By Ethan Aw

  • Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK) is looking to raise up to US$608m through a primary follow-on, via selling 270m H-shares.
  • The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 10.6 days of three month ADV and 2.7% of current mcap.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Pre-IPO QuantumPharm (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • We have always been concerned about QuantumPharm’s business model. It is relatively difficult for a service provider like QuantumPharm to scale up revenue by just relying on charging service fees.
  • For AI pharmaceutical companies, how to make money is a pain point for entire industry. Just focusing on preclinical stages would limit profitability.We haven’t seen any certainty of achieving breakeven.
  • Increasing competition would bring more challenges for QuantumPharm. Post-investment valuation in 2021 was too expensive.If its future performance falls short of expectations, then sooner or later the valuation will collapse. 

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade
  • Updated Tool (31May24) & “Diff File Generator” For TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price”
  • Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP): Marunouchi Capital-Sponsored MBO at JPY3,100
  • CSI Esoteric Index Rebals Jun 24: All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical, Defense, & Livestock
  • Another Day Ending in Y, Another MBO Done Too Cheap. Today? Nagatanien (2899 JP).
  • Impact on SK Inc Post Record Divorce Ruling for SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-Won
  • Quiddity STAR 50/100 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1bn+ One-Way Flow; Some Surprises; New Trade
  • APM Human Services (APM AU): Madison Dearborn Partners’ Binding Proposal at A$1.45
  • Quiddity SSE50/180 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1.8bn One-Way Flow; LONGs up 8.6% Vs SHORTs in a Month
  • Kakao Pay Lockup Expiry – US$1bn Overhang from Alipay


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: US$1bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 7 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index at the June rebalance.
  • We correctly forecast 5/7 and 7/7 for the Chinext Index adds/deletes and were 3/5 and 5/5 for the Chinext50 Index adds/deletes.
  • Based on the estimated passive tracking AUM, the one-way trade across both indices is estimated to be CNY 3.69bn (US$508m).

Updated Tool (31May24) & “Diff File Generator” For TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price”

By Travis Lundy

  • In mid-January 2024, the TSE announced a “name-and-shame” list where they listed all the companies which had put forth a disclosure about 【資本コストや株価を意識した経営の実現に向けた対応】. But they did not actually shame.
  • The TSE list shows which companies have disclosed a policy/consideration. But no data/links. We are weeks ahead of the TSE and we have all the links (and the shame list).
  • We created a tool to name everyone, show their reports, provide links to every document, and now a new tool. Put in a name, see the difference between the Old/New Reports.

Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP): Marunouchi Capital-Sponsored MBO at JPY3,100

By Arun George

  • Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP) recommended a Marunouchi Capital-sponsored MBO at JPY3,100, a 38.4% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The offer period is from 4 June to 16 July.
  • While not a knockout bid, the offer represents a five-year high and requires a 58% minority acceptance rate. This is a done deal with payment commencing from 23 July.  

CSI Esoteric Index Rebals Jun 24: All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical, Defense, & Livestock

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • We have already discussed our flow expectations for the mainstream indices in the CSI family such as CSI300/500, SSE50/100, and the STAR50/100 for the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our flow expectations for the ADDs/DELs involved in the rebalance of some of the lesser known indices in the CSI family.
  • The indices covered in this insight are All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical Devices, National Defense, and Livestock Breeding indices.

Another Day Ending in Y, Another MBO Done Too Cheap. Today? Nagatanien (2899 JP).

By Travis Lundy

  • MitCorp – the largest shareholder – and the Nagatani family – today announced an MBO where they will buy a classic ubiquitous brand at an Adjusted EV of 5.4x EBITDA.
  • The equity check appears to buy at ~2.5x Mar27-29 average FCF but they probably have 50% of the shares in the bag. Retail, or who they sell to, matter.
  • There is room for a noisy activist to get involved here and disrupt the retail ownership. But there are very few of those around. And none in it now.

Impact on SK Inc Post Record Divorce Ruling for SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-Won

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the outlook for the likely impact on SK Inc post record divorce ruling for the SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-Won and his estranged wife Roh So-Young. 
  • Last week, a South Korean appellate court ordered Chairman Chey to pay 1.38 trillion won to Roh. Chey is appealing this case and the Supreme Court’s ruling is still pending. 
  • It is in the best interest of SK Inc to raise the overall value of the company since the payment of the divorce is mostly based in cash.

Quiddity STAR 50/100 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1bn+ One-Way Flow; Some Surprises; New Trade

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The June 2024 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.
  • There will be 3 changes for the STAR 50 index and 9 changes for the STAR 100 index.
  • We expect one-way flows of approximately US$750mn and US$314mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events in June 2024.

APM Human Services (APM AU): Madison Dearborn Partners’ Binding Proposal at A$1.45

By Arun George

  • APM Human Services (APM AU) has entered a SID with Madison Dearborn Partners (MDP) at A$1.45 per share, a 27.5% discount on CVC’s aborted non-binding proposal of A$2.00 per share.
  • FIRB approval should be forthcoming as MDP is the largest shareholder, representing 45.56% of outstanding shares.
  • The offer is disappointing but a weak trading update, deal fatigue and a concentrated shareholder register facilitate it. At the last close, the gross spread was 5.3%.  

Quiddity SSE50/180 Jun 24 Rebalance: US$1.8bn One-Way Flow; LONGs up 8.6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The June 2024 index review results for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.
  • There will be 5 changes for the SSE 50 index and 18 changes for the SSE 180 index.
  • These changes could collectively cause one-way index flows of ~US$1.8bn during the June 2024 index rebal event. In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.

Kakao Pay Lockup Expiry – US$1bn Overhang from Alipay

By Sumeet Singh

  • Alipay will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Kakaopay (377300 KS) today.
  • Alipay (i.e. Alibaba Group (9988 HK)) had earlier sold some of its stake in Jun 2022 and Mar 2024. It still has over US$1bn worth of shares left to sell.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: China Consumption Weekly (3 Jun 2024): Alibaba and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • China Consumption Weekly (3 Jun 2024): Alibaba, Alibaba Pictures, Li Auto, JD.com, JD Health
  • The Beat Ideas: Indiabulls Housing- A New Era in Housing Finance
  • Korea Gas Corp: Drill Baby Drill
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jun-2024): Chinese semiconductors & tech.
  • Trip.com Q124 Review: Solid Top-Line Growth | Progress on Margins | BUY Below US$50
  • Golf Digest Online (3319 JP) – 1Q FY24/12 Profits Down YoY Is Temporary
  • NVX: Multiple Agreements to Secure Demand
  • The Tang group ventures into the S-Reit sector
  • U S Silica Holdings Inc (SLCA) – Monday, Mar 4, 2024
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Higher 1Q24 Production than We Anticipated. All Eyes on High Impact Drilling in the Paradox


China Consumption Weekly (3 Jun 2024): Alibaba, Alibaba Pictures, Li Auto, JD.com, JD Health

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba Pictures’ revenue increased by 44% YoY and EBTIDA increased by 61% in the March quarter.
  • Cainiao, Alibaba’s logistics network, plans to purchase fresh food from the places of origin.
  • Li Auto finished a round of layoff, in which headcount was reduced to 22,000 from 30,000.

The Beat Ideas: Indiabulls Housing- A New Era in Housing Finance

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Indiabulls Housing Finance (IHFL IN) Raised INR 3,693 crores through rights issue, issued $350 million bond.
  • Strong balance sheet, low NPAs, poised for growth in the retail housing via its asset light model.
  • Rebranding to Samman Capital signals new phase of the company with multi-year growth guidance.

Korea Gas Corp: Drill Baby Drill

By Douglas Kim

  • On 3 June, the shares of Korea Gas jumped limit up 30% to 38,700 won on huge volume (13.4 million), which was 37x higher than the previous day volume traded. 
  • This was driven by the announcement of the South Korean President Yoon giving the approval to conduct exploratory drilling for potentially vast oil and gas prospects near Pohang. 
  • The Korean government announced that there is a “very high” possibility the area contains as much as 14 billion barrels of oil and gas.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jun-2024): Chinese semiconductors & tech.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • SK Hynix leads in next-gen HBM innovation, setting pace with Indian startup FermionIC aiming for market domination.
  • AMD releases new processors for data centers and PCs promising improved performance and efficiency with Instinct, Ryzen, and EPYC.
  • India partners with Taiwan for semiconductor ecosystem development, while Russia plans to produce 350nm chips with self-developed EUV machines in 2024.

Trip.com Q124 Review: Solid Top-Line Growth | Progress on Margins | BUY Below US$50

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Q124 showed solid top-line growth, impressive improvement in core margins
  • We are not too concerned about moderating domestic hotel, air pricing
  • After consensus EPS raised, TCOM a BUY below US$50 per ADS, in our view

Golf Digest Online (3319 JP) – 1Q FY24/12 Profits Down YoY Is Temporary

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Numerical targets for FY24/12 initial guidance are shown in the exhibit below.
  • Despite initial guidance for consolidated OP of ¥800mn, an increase of ¥420mn (+110.3% YoY), the Company cites conservatively forecasting non-operating and extraordinary items such as interest expenses, restructuring costs, and exchange rate fluctuations for initial guidance for ordinary profit break-even and a net loss of (¥600mn) for profit attributable to owners of parent (see P2).
  • Key initiatives and expectations for 2024 include: 1) in Japan, aim to provide more data-oriented and efficient services (online golf equipment sales GPM improving after 4Q inventory adjustment), 2) GOLFTEC golf lesson cash sales set to improve on coach issue addressed and marketing campaigns such as “7 shots better,” and 3) expand SkyTrak sales distribution channels. 

NVX: Multiple Agreements to Secure Demand

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • A near-term key NVX goal is to secure additional customers and lock in demand.
  • NVX recently formed an agreement with PowerCo SE, part of the Volkswagen Group, to develop, test and analyze synthetic graphite anode materials customized for PowerCo’s requirements.
  • If successful, this could lead to a new supply agreement.

The Tang group ventures into the S-Reit sector

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 30, with S$108.4 million of net institutional inflow, as 20 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks by way of market acquisition with a total consideration of S$37.9 million.
  • Meanwhile Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Singapore Airlines, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, CapitaLand Ascendas Reit, Sembcorp Industries, UOL Group, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Mapletree Industrial Trust, and Keppel Reit led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions.
  • In addition to the 9.3 per cent interest that the Tang group owns in ARA H-Trust, the proposed acquisition increases the Tangs’ holding in ARA H-Trust to 28.3 per cent.

U S Silica Holdings Inc (SLCA) – Monday, Mar 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SLCA has seen a decrease in shares and reduction in debt, making its enterprise value cheaper
  • Core thesis remains unchanged, with focus on potential split of company’s two businesses for separate valuations
  • Recent acquisition in frack sand business by Atlas Energy provides comparable valuation exercise for SLCA, suggesting potential value of company’s assets and opportunity for increased valuation in the future

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Higher 1Q24 Production than We Anticipated. All Eyes on High Impact Drilling in the Paradox

By Auctus Advisors

  • 1Q24 production (excluding NGL) in the Williston was 1,151 boe/d.
  • This is 140 boe/d above our expectations and ~100 boe/d above 4Q23 production.
  • Production in March (excluding NGL) had increased to 1,212 boe/d.

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Daily Brief Macro: Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good, Just Not for Crude
  • The Holy Grail of Commodity Trading // Shipping Rates Explosion
  • Long ETH, Short BTC on Expected ETH ETF Approval
  • Global Rates : A Round up of Hot Topics for European Rate Markets
  • India: Real GDP to Accelerate to 8.5% Growth This FY from Last Year’s 8.2%
  • HEM: Policy Blowing Bubbles
  • The CrossASEAN Week That Was in South-East Asia – ACES High, Alfamart’s Solid, and Cimory Sticks
  • The Week at A Glance: The comeback of the (growth and inflation) cycle


Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good, Just Not for Crude

By At Any Rate

  • Brent crude has weakened by $10 since early April, with the prompt time spread indicating plentiful supply relative to consumption
  • Demand for crude oil for combustive fuels like gasoline and diesel is expected to peak towards the end of the decade, while demand for natural gas liquids used in petrochemical production is set to rise
  • Preliminary demand data for April showed signs of improvement, with observable oil inventories increasing, particularly in China, due to lower oil prices prompting stockpiling

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


The Holy Grail of Commodity Trading // Shipping Rates Explosion

By The Commodity Report

  • The Holy Grail of Commodity Trading? If there is a holy grail of commodity trading, I would say it’s becoming a master in reading the movements in the futures forward curve.
  • Knowing how futures contracts change and how the curve shifts from contango to backwardation, and vice versa, gives commodity traders a lot of useful info about the physical supply and demand.
  • While many market participants argue about the meaning and definition of backwardation and contango, the direction in which the spreads are actually moving is far more important to us.

Long ETH, Short BTC on Expected ETH ETF Approval

By Pranay Yadav

  • The SEC’s approval of 19b-4 forms marks a critical step towards spot Ethereum ETFs, signaling a potential near-term final approval that could drive significant ETH spot buying.
  • Despite recent gains following ETF approval news, Ethereum remains a laggard in the crypto rally, underperforming relative to Bitcoin and smaller cryptocurrencies like Solana, BNB, and Dogecoin.
  • Bitcoin faces headwinds from an expected influx of supply due to Mt. Gox repayments and losses from the DMM hack, which could pressure BTC prices in the short term.

Global Rates : A Round up of Hot Topics for European Rate Markets

By At Any Rate

  • Expectation of a 25 basis point cut from the ECB with a focus on delivering on that commitment
  • Market pricing in an incomplete cutting cycle, with potential for further easing depending on inflation dynamics
  • Long duration valuations attractive in both short and intermediate sectors of the curve, with limited risk of a significant sell-off.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


India: Real GDP to Accelerate to 8.5% Growth This FY from Last Year’s 8.2%

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • RGDP grew 8.2% in FY24, led by 9% growth in GFCF. Stronger PCE (up only 4% in FY24), aided by rebounding rural consumption, should enable 8.5% RGDP growth in FY25.
  • Fiscal deficit contracted to 5.6% of GDP in FY24 (0.3pp of GDP lower than budgeted), aided by soaring direct tax and GST revenues. Lower FY25 deficit should crowd-in private investment.  
  • With CPI inflation likely falling below 4%YoY in Q2FY25, we expect a 25bp rate in Aug’24. A 6%-above-normal monsoon should lower food inflation and repo-rate, further boosting FY25 RGDP growth. 

HEM: Policy Blowing Bubbles

By Phil Rush

  • The ECB is expected to implement rate cuts in June, followed by the BoE in August.
  • Additional cuts are contingent on the Fed’s actions starting in September, while inflation is being maintained by excessive labour cost growth.
  • There are concerns about premature stimulus causing bubbles like in 1998, and potential rate hikes in 2025 to reverse these cuts.

The CrossASEAN Week That Was in South-East Asia – ACES High, Alfamart’s Solid, and Cimory Sticks

By Angus Mackintosh


The Week at A Glance: The comeback of the (growth and inflation) cycle

By Andreas Steno

  • Welcome to our short and sweet weekly overview of key events, our expectations and how we position for them.
  • On ISM Manufacturing (Monday). Our forecast at Steno Research is 50.2 for the ISM Manufacturing Index, slightly above the consensus of 49.9.
  • April’s activity was notably weak due to several factors: tax seasonality which withdrew liquidity, a hawkish build-up of expectations ahead of the early May FOMC press conference, and weak international impulses.

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Daily Brief India: Indiabulls Housing Finance, Tata Steel Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • The Beat Ideas: Indiabulls Housing- A New Era in Housing Finance
  • Tata Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics


The Beat Ideas: Indiabulls Housing- A New Era in Housing Finance

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Indiabulls Housing Finance (IHFL IN) Raised INR 3,693 crores through rights issue, issued $350 million bond.
  • Strong balance sheet, low NPAs, poised for growth in the retail housing via its asset light model.
  • Rebranding to Samman Capital signals new phase of the company with multi-year growth guidance.

Tata Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

Tata Steel’s Q4 and FY 2023-24 numbers were weak in our view, with the restructuring of the UK operations weighing on group performance and offsetting the robust Indian business. The financial risk profile deteriorated significantly, due to lower earnings and soft cash flows. Liquidity was inadequate, driven by the poor cash flows and large dividends.

We expect the steel industry’s operating environment in FY 2024-25 to be constructive and support Tata Steel’s earnings. However, the company’s solid earnings for the Indian operations should be offset by the restructuring of the UK business, for which another GBP 1.6 bn of additional costs is projected. It is unclear if there is light at the end of the tunnel.


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Daily Brief Australia: APM Human Services, Novonix and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • APM Human Services (APM AU): Madison Dearborn Partners’ Binding Proposal at A$1.45
  • NVX: Multiple Agreements to Secure Demand


APM Human Services (APM AU): Madison Dearborn Partners’ Binding Proposal at A$1.45

By Arun George

  • APM Human Services (APM AU) has entered a SID with Madison Dearborn Partners (MDP) at A$1.45 per share, a 27.5% discount on CVC’s aborted non-binding proposal of A$2.00 per share.
  • FIRB approval should be forthcoming as MDP is the largest shareholder, representing 45.56% of outstanding shares.
  • The offer is disappointing but a weak trading update, deal fatigue and a concentrated shareholder register facilitate it. At the last close, the gross spread was 5.3%.  

NVX: Multiple Agreements to Secure Demand

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • A near-term key NVX goal is to secure additional customers and lock in demand.
  • NVX recently formed an agreement with PowerCo SE, part of the Volkswagen Group, to develop, test and analyze synthetic graphite anode materials customized for PowerCo’s requirements.
  • If successful, this could lead to a new supply agreement.

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Daily Brief Singapore: OCBC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • The Tang group ventures into the S-Reit sector


The Tang group ventures into the S-Reit sector

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 30, with S$108.4 million of net institutional inflow, as 20 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks by way of market acquisition with a total consideration of S$37.9 million.
  • Meanwhile Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Singapore Airlines, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, CapitaLand Ascendas Reit, Sembcorp Industries, UOL Group, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Mapletree Industrial Trust, and Keppel Reit led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions.
  • In addition to the 9.3 per cent interest that the Tang group owns in ARA H-Trust, the proposed acquisition increases the Tangs’ holding in ARA H-Trust to 28.3 per cent.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Webtoon Entertainment, SK Inc, Korea Gas, Kakaopay and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Webtoon Entertainment IPO Preview
  • Impact on SK Inc Post Record Divorce Ruling for SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-Won
  • Korea Gas Corp: Drill Baby Drill
  • Kakao Pay Lockup Expiry – US$1bn Overhang from Alipay


Webtoon Entertainment IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Webtoon Entertainment is getting ready to complete its IPO on the NASDAQ exchange in 2H 2024. Webtoon Entertainment is a subsidiary of Naver Corp (035420 KS).
  • Webtoon is seeking to raise as much of US$500 million at a valuation of US$3 billion to US$4 billion.
  • Webtoon Entertainment is one of the largest Korean company related IPOs in 2024. 

Impact on SK Inc Post Record Divorce Ruling for SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-Won

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the outlook for the likely impact on SK Inc post record divorce ruling for the SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-Won and his estranged wife Roh So-Young. 
  • Last week, a South Korean appellate court ordered Chairman Chey to pay 1.38 trillion won to Roh. Chey is appealing this case and the Supreme Court’s ruling is still pending. 
  • It is in the best interest of SK Inc to raise the overall value of the company since the payment of the divorce is mostly based in cash.

Korea Gas Corp: Drill Baby Drill

By Douglas Kim

  • On 3 June, the shares of Korea Gas jumped limit up 30% to 38,700 won on huge volume (13.4 million), which was 37x higher than the previous day volume traded. 
  • This was driven by the announcement of the South Korean President Yoon giving the approval to conduct exploratory drilling for potentially vast oil and gas prospects near Pohang. 
  • The Korean government announced that there is a “very high” possibility the area contains as much as 14 billion barrels of oil and gas.

Kakao Pay Lockup Expiry – US$1bn Overhang from Alipay

By Sumeet Singh

  • Alipay will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Kakaopay (377300 KS) today.
  • Alipay (i.e. Alibaba Group (9988 HK)) had earlier sold some of its stake in Jun 2022 and Mar 2024. It still has over US$1bn worth of shares left to sell.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

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Daily Brief United States: CRB Commodity Index, Copper, Novonix , Us Silica Holdings, Zephyr Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good, Just Not for Crude
  • The Holy Grail of Commodity Trading // Shipping Rates Explosion
  • NVX: Multiple Agreements to Secure Demand
  • U S Silica Holdings Inc (SLCA) – Monday, Mar 4, 2024
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Higher 1Q24 Production than We Anticipated. All Eyes on High Impact Drilling in the Paradox


Global Commodities: Demand for Oil Is Good, Just Not for Crude

By At Any Rate

  • Brent crude has weakened by $10 since early April, with the prompt time spread indicating plentiful supply relative to consumption
  • Demand for crude oil for combustive fuels like gasoline and diesel is expected to peak towards the end of the decade, while demand for natural gas liquids used in petrochemical production is set to rise
  • Preliminary demand data for April showed signs of improvement, with observable oil inventories increasing, particularly in China, due to lower oil prices prompting stockpiling

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


The Holy Grail of Commodity Trading // Shipping Rates Explosion

By The Commodity Report

  • The Holy Grail of Commodity Trading? If there is a holy grail of commodity trading, I would say it’s becoming a master in reading the movements in the futures forward curve.
  • Knowing how futures contracts change and how the curve shifts from contango to backwardation, and vice versa, gives commodity traders a lot of useful info about the physical supply and demand.
  • While many market participants argue about the meaning and definition of backwardation and contango, the direction in which the spreads are actually moving is far more important to us.

NVX: Multiple Agreements to Secure Demand

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • A near-term key NVX goal is to secure additional customers and lock in demand.
  • NVX recently formed an agreement with PowerCo SE, part of the Volkswagen Group, to develop, test and analyze synthetic graphite anode materials customized for PowerCo’s requirements.
  • If successful, this could lead to a new supply agreement.

U S Silica Holdings Inc (SLCA) – Monday, Mar 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SLCA has seen a decrease in shares and reduction in debt, making its enterprise value cheaper
  • Core thesis remains unchanged, with focus on potential split of company’s two businesses for separate valuations
  • Recent acquisition in frack sand business by Atlas Energy provides comparable valuation exercise for SLCA, suggesting potential value of company’s assets and opportunity for increased valuation in the future

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Higher 1Q24 Production than We Anticipated. All Eyes on High Impact Drilling in the Paradox

By Auctus Advisors

  • 1Q24 production (excluding NGL) in the Williston was 1,151 boe/d.
  • This is 140 boe/d above our expectations and ~100 boe/d above 4Q23 production.
  • Production in March (excluding NGL) had increased to 1,212 boe/d.

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