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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes
  • Samsonite (1910 HK):  Time To Revisit After >20% Pullback + Just Announced Share Buyback
  • Fast Retailing (9983) | Positive Q3 Outlook, but Priced In
  • Korean Food Goes Global
  • The Beat Ideas: Bharat Wire Ropes- The Turnaround and Transformation
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs
  • Core Scientific Rejects The CoreWeave Unsolicited Offer But What Value Could They Be Expecting? What Makes Them So Attractive? – Financial Forecasts
  • Wardwizard Innovations: Promoter Dumped Stake Under the Billion Dollar Illusion
  • Ssi Group (SSI PM) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024
  • Cuckoo Holdings (192400) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024


Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes

By Travis Lundy

  • In February, Aozora Bank Ltd (8304 JP) extended its writedowns and the shares fell sharply. By end-Feb, we found out Japanese activist Murakami-san had bought shares. 
  • I didn’t see the endgame. The pump worked, but he didn’t dump. Then Aozora got Daiwa to be a lead investor through a 3rd party share allotment, diluting Murakami-san.
  • Last week we got news the FSA had approved the Daiwa transaction. Yesterday, we got news the Murakami Group would sell its whole stake to Daiwa. 

Samsonite (1910 HK):  Time To Revisit After >20% Pullback + Just Announced Share Buyback

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Samsonite is similar to another HK-listed company that I have written extensively about, L’Occitane (973 HK), in that they are both western brands selling globally but somehow listed on HKSE.  
  • The company announced a share buyback program this morning.  The company targets to repurchase up to USD200m, which is around 4.3% of the total shares outstanding.
  • With the announcement of the share buyback plan, it offers an attractive entry point for the stock, as I like the fundamentals of the company and the valuation is cheap. 

Fast Retailing (9983) | Positive Q3 Outlook, but Priced In

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fast Retailing is due to report Q3 results on 11 July. We update our views on the outlook for the stock heading into the announcement.
  • Uniqlo Japan has already released monthly sales data for the March to May quarter. Performance in May was again strong, slightly surpassing our estimates
  • We maintain our full year earnings estimates. The stock has declined by around 6% since Q2 results, but remains fully valued.

Korean Food Goes Global

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the key themes this year that has worked well has been Korean food & beverage stocks that have significantly outperformed KOSPI. 
  • Some of the best selling Korean foods (especially overseas) include Samyang Foods’ instant noodles, CJ Seafood’s seaweed products, and Wooyang’s frozen gimbab. 
  • We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this outperformance could continue.

The Beat Ideas: Bharat Wire Ropes- The Turnaround and Transformation

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Debt restructuring in 2021 reduced interest costs and improved profitability, with promoters increasing their stake by 4%.
  • Revenue and EBITDA have grown significantly, with a revenue CAGR of 35% and EBITDA CAGR of 72% over the past 3 years.
  • Strong export presence and increasing domestic market share indicate robust growth potential despite global economic fluctuations.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Apple Announces New AI Features at WDC; Shares Surge to New All-Time Highs
  • Top Movers: Major Computex Exhibitors See Share Prices Fall Despite Strong Presence
  • Computex 2024: Chip Companies Notably Competing to Win PC Makers

Core Scientific Rejects The CoreWeave Unsolicited Offer But What Value Could They Be Expecting? What Makes Them So Attractive? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Core Scientific, a leading entity in the cryptocurrency mining and data center sector, has recently positioned itself as a pivotal player in the evolving digital infrastructure landscape.
  • The firm reported robust financials for the first quarter of Fiscal Year 2024, showcasing significant growth and operational efficiency.
  • Notably, Core Scientific rejected an unsolicited acquisition proposal from CoreWeave, an event that merits analysis concerning its impact on shareholder value and corporate strategy.

Wardwizard Innovations: Promoter Dumped Stake Under the Billion Dollar Illusion

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The billion-dollar order that had initially seemed like a game-changer for Wardwizard Innovations turned out to be its downfall as it happens to be a Non Binding MoU. 
  • While for an INR 300 crore revenue company billion dollar order was huge, hence stock price rose on the back of rosy picture.
  • Promoter used the situation to dump the shares via stake sale as the news of order led to 20% rise in the stock price which eventually raises Corporate Governance Concerns

Ssi Group (SSI PM) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SSI grew and expanded, but underwent restructuring after market downturn in 2015
  • Share price has not fully reflected improved fundamentals post-restructuring
  • Undervalued at P$3.8 per share, with fair value estimate of P$10 per share, offering 160% potential upside for investors

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Cuckoo Holdings (192400) – Tuesday, Mar 12, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Cuckoo Holdings is known for its high-quality rice cookers popular among Asians, particularly Koreans
  • Stock price of the company has increased due to its success, with dividends rising from 800 to 1,100 per share
  • South Korea’s “value-up” program may further boost the company’s growth and attract more investors as the importance of rice in Korean cuisine creates a strong market for its products

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Macro: CrossASEAN Ground Zero – Grab’s ESG Credentials and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • CrossASEAN Ground Zero – Grab’s ESG Credentials, Vinfast in Indonesia, Digital Payments, and Evermos
  • Energy Cable: The oil market is OVERLY pessimistic by now..
  • Great Game – Can the European Right leverage their victory?
  • [ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week
  • UK: Labour Market Rates Peaking


CrossASEAN Ground Zero – Grab’s ESG Credentials, Vinfast in Indonesia, Digital Payments, and Evermos

By Angus Mackintosh

  • This week we look at Grab’s ESG qualities and its recent report along with Vingroup’s plans to start EV ride-hailing in Indonesia on top of Vinfast‘s commitment to manufacturing. 
  • We also look at how the digital payments space is developing in Indonesia and Vietnam with Momo and Evermos’s differentiated social commerce strategy in Indonesia helping to foster entrepreneurialism. 
  • CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.

Energy Cable: The oil market is OVERLY pessimistic by now..

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • Take aways: Alignment in OPEC is crumbling but the short-term risk-reward is
  • STRONG Riyadh Accord coming to the rescue? Natural Gas markets remain tight and the bullish price action CONTINUE.
  • Another week of increasing freight rates OPEC’s cohesion is becoming increasingly fragile due to the necessity for deep supply cuts to sustain oil prices.

Great Game – Can the European Right leverage their victory?

By Mikkel Rosenvold

  • Welcome to this weeks Great Game, which is obviously very much focused on the European elections.
  • We also cover the ongoing EV war and the massive heatwave in India, which could have huge ramifications for certain commodities.
  • Right-Wing Swing in European Parliament Elections. 

[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

By Suhas Reddy

  • Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.
  • Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US & Outages in Norway.
  • Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.

UK: Labour Market Rates Peaking

By Phil Rush

  • The UK unemployment rate increased to 4.4% in April amid residual seasonality nearing its peak. Underlying changes are also shrinking so it may not go significantly higher.
  • Stabilisation in vacancies and still-low redundancies should prevent a new fundamental shock from depressing labour market activity.
  • Total pay growth exceeded expectations again, albeit owing to revisions that skew higher. The slowing to 0.4% m-o-m may also be revised up, but suggests slowing in May.

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Daily Brief Crypto: ETF Flows Shine As BTC Flirts With Range Highs and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • ETF Flows Shine As BTC Flirts With Range Highs


ETF Flows Shine As BTC Flirts With Range Highs

By Delphi Digital

  • BTC Spot ETFs see record inflows, signaling strong market interest despite flat prices.
  • Market structure remains bullish as BTC consolidates near all-time highs, indicating potential breakout.
  • Altcoins suffer double-digit drawdowns amid BTC’s resilience, highlighting market dispersion.

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Most Read: LG Energy Solution, Sun Corp, Keisei Electric Railway Co, Jeisys Medical, CPMC Holdings, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Medical Data Vision, Atour Lifestyle Holdings, Aozora Bank Ltd, Judo Capital and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals
  • Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer
  • [JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?
  • Jeisys Medical (287410 KS): Archimed’s Delisting Offer
  • CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead
  • Korea’s Finalized Short-Selling Rules Include Limiting 90-Day Short Position Extensions
  • Medical Data Vision (3902) – SBI Upping Their Stake AGAIN In The Market
  • Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well
  • Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes
  • ASX200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Judo Capital to Replace CSR; Positioning Appears Light


Mandatory Block Deal Pre-Announcement Requirement in Korea Starting 24 July: Impact on Block Deals

By Douglas Kim

  • Starting 24 July, there will be a mandatory pre-announcement requirement for block deal sales in Korea. 
  • In other words, the major shareholders of the Korean companies need to report publicly prior to their actual sales of their stakes in these companies through block deal sales.
  • The potential block deal sales candidates could continue to underperform on average the companies that are selling these stocks in potential block deal sales in the next several weeks. 

Sun Corporation (6736 JP): True Wind’s Hostile Partial Offer

By Arun George

  • True Wind has launched a hostile partial tender offer for Sun Corp (6736 JP) for a minimum (3.8m) and maximum (4.2m) shares at JPY4,400, 19.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer was prompted by frustration with the Board’s lack of urgency in closing the disparity between Sun Corp’s market cap and the value of its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) stake.
  • The Board has three options: do nothing (low probability), find a white knight bidder (high probability), or commit to selling/distributing its Cellebrite stake (medium probability).

[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?

By Travis Lundy

  • In Oct2023, activist Palliser Capital launched a campaign on well-known “stub trade” Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) (1.6% stake). The proposal? Monetise OLC, invest for growth, be shareholder friendly.
  • Keisei responded 3+mos ago: buyback and 1% OLC stake sale but said OLC would remain an equity affiliate. Palliser re-engaged in late April (Japanese/English and two AGM agenda items). Keisei objected.
  • Palliser made their case, Glass Lewis and ISS support Palliser. Palliser likely cannot win. The goal here isn’t to win though. It is to get enough to raise management consciousness. 

Jeisys Medical (287410 KS): Archimed’s Delisting Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Aesthetic laser maker Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) has announced French PE outfit Archimed SAS is seeking to delist the company.
  • Archimed intends to acquire 72% of Jeisys at ₩13,000, a 20.82% premium to undisturbed. Archimed has also inked agreements with founders/directors for 26.44%, taking its possible % acquisition to 98.44%. 
  • A Korean medical device maker – not another Eoflow (294090 KS)?! Jeisys did face a patent infringement case from Syneron Medical (ELOS US) in 2018; but since resolved. 

CPMC Holdings (906.HK) – ORG Can’t Afford to Lose, But Baosteel Is a Step Ahead

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baosteel’s SOE background helps bring more advantages- This deal is a consolidation of assets under SASAC, which may involve some strategic intent at national level. Baosteel has an upper hand. 
  • ORG cannot afford to fail considering the strategic significance of CMPC for ORG. Major shareholder of CPMC Zhang Wei has picked ORG side, making it maintain the hope of winning.
  • For arbitrageurs, the good news is CPMC would be acquired by either Changping Industrial or ORG, with high certainty.Baosteel is also worth watching since it could be a new leader. 

Korea’s Finalized Short-Selling Rules Include Limiting 90-Day Short Position Extensions

By Sanghyun Park

  • The government will announce short selling improvements Thursday. A leaked detail includes limiting 90-day short position extensions.
  • Limiting the 90-day short position holding period may ease local investor concerns, but it could shrink the short selling market, potentially affecting overseas fund outflows.
  • Resuming short selling in early July may bring new flow patterns due to temporary distortions from mandatory repayment within 90 days and limitations on position extensions, increasing price impacts.

Medical Data Vision (3902) – SBI Upping Their Stake AGAIN In The Market

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, SBI Holdings (8473 JP) – which currently owns 32.4% of Medical Data Vision (3902 JP) – announced it would buy another 1.91mm shares over 7mos.
  • This market purchase would lift them to ~37.4% by year-end. Interestingly, they plan to go through the one-third level without a Tender Offer. But their buying history hasn’t been great. 
  • SBI bought 20% in 2020. It fell by half. They bought another 5%. Then it dropped 50%, so they bought another 5%. Now -25% so they are buying another 5%.

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement – Well Flagged Deal, past Selldowns Have Done Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$168m through a secondary selldown.
  • This will be the third selldown by Legend Capital in just over a year’s time. Hence, the deal is well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Daiwa to Buy More Aozora (8304) Shares – Murakami-San Escapes

By Travis Lundy

  • In February, Aozora Bank Ltd (8304 JP) extended its writedowns and the shares fell sharply. By end-Feb, we found out Japanese activist Murakami-san had bought shares. 
  • I didn’t see the endgame. The pump worked, but he didn’t dump. Then Aozora got Daiwa to be a lead investor through a 3rd party share allotment, diluting Murakami-san.
  • Last week we got news the FSA had approved the Daiwa transaction. Yesterday, we got news the Murakami Group would sell its whole stake to Daiwa. 

ASX200 Index Adhoc Rebalance: Judo Capital to Replace CSR; Positioning Appears Light

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Posco M-Tech, Alumina Ltd, Bharat Wire Ropes , ADF Group , Indo Tambangraya Megah, Natural Gas, International Paper Co, Chariot Limited and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSDAQ Global Rebalancing This Week: Trading Considerations
  • Alumina (AWC AU): Scheme Vote on 18 July
  • The Beat Ideas: Bharat Wire Ropes- The Turnaround and Transformation
  • DRX: Sizeable Beat on Q1 Financials & Returning Cash to Shareholders
  • Alumina (AWU AU)’s 18th July Scheme Vote. Alcoa’s Done Deal
  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ): Pure Coal Play at 4.5x PE, 50% of the Market Cap in Cash
  • [ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week
  • International Paper: What Value Could They Extract From Suzano & What Makes Them So Valuable? – Financial Forecasts
  • Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): High impact well offshore Morocco on track to spud in August


KOSDAQ Global Rebalancing This Week: Trading Considerations

By Sanghyun Park

  • KRX announced KOSDAQ Global rebalancing. Annually in June, effective date follows June options expiry. Passive flow trading on Thursday, the 13th. 49 companies designated, with nine excluded and eleven added.
  • Predicting passive capital movement is challenging, but attention must be given to price impacts because reshuffle predictability is low, lacking preemptive trading setups.
  • We must anticipate the SSF reshuffle in August, likely including new KOSDAQ Global constituents. KRX plans to list SSFs for all remaining constituents, potentially advancing setup timing for price increases.

Alumina (AWC AU): Scheme Vote on 18 July

By Arun George

  • The Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) IE considers Alcoa (AA US)’s scheme offer (0.02854 Alcoa shares per Alumina share) fair and reasonable as the terms are within its valuation range. 
  • The offer is conditional on FIRB and Alumina/Alcoa shareholder approval. FIRB approval should be forthcoming as Alcoa already owns most of Alumina’s sole assets (AWAC).
  • The support of the substantive shareholders and the re-rating of Alcoa shares since 12 March (entry into a SID) has materially lowered the vote risk. This is a done deal.

The Beat Ideas: Bharat Wire Ropes- The Turnaround and Transformation

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Debt restructuring in 2021 reduced interest costs and improved profitability, with promoters increasing their stake by 4%.
  • Revenue and EBITDA have grown significantly, with a revenue CAGR of 35% and EBITDA CAGR of 72% over the past 3 years.
  • Strong export presence and increasing domestic market share indicate robust growth potential despite global economic fluctuations.

DRX: Sizeable Beat on Q1 Financials & Returning Cash to Shareholders

By Atrium Research

  • ADF Group reported Q1 financial results that largely beat our estimates, including revenue of $107.4M (+34% YoY) vs. $90.1M and EBITDA of $23.1M (+130% YoY) vs. $17.2M.
  • ADF announced a cash utilization strategy including its intention to repurchase up to 3.0M shares from insiders and the doubling of its semi-annual dividend to $0.02/share.
  • ADF Group (DRX:TSX, ADFJF:OTC) reported Q1 financial results today before market open that smashed our expectations across the board with the most notable beat being EBITDA coming in at $23.1M vs. $17.2M expected.

Alumina (AWU AU)’s 18th July Scheme Vote. Alcoa’s Done Deal

By David Blennerhassett

  • Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) and Alcoa (AA US) announced an NBIO on the 26th Feb, before entering  into a Scheme on the 12th March. 
  • Alcoa is offering  0.02854 new shares for each Alumina share, a 13% premium to undisturbed. Key shareholders Allan Gray and CITIC are supportive.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting to be held on the 18th July. Expected implementation on the 1 August. The IE says fair & reasonable.

Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ): Pure Coal Play at 4.5x PE, 50% of the Market Cap in Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) reported an inline Q1 FY24, with stabilizing price. Net cash at 875 mn USD is 50% of mkt cap. 
  • If coal prices remain stable at 135 USD/ton, the company will be able to churn out 400 mn USD of profits (~24 mnt sales).  
  • With a minimum 65% dividend payout ratio, we derive a dividend yield of 15%. This number could be an upside risk as payout ratios have also been 100%.

[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

By Suhas Reddy

  • Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.
  • Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US & Outages in Norway.
  • Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.

International Paper: What Value Could They Extract From Suzano & What Makes Them So Valuable? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • International Paper, a prominent player in the paper and packaging industry, recently disclosed its financial results for the first quarter of 2024.
  • These results are pivotal when assessing the company’s current operational efficiency and financial health, especially considering its potential acquisition by Suzano, a Brazilian firm also in the paper and packaging sector.
  • The reported quarter saw International Paper navigating through a mix of challenges and strategic advancements.

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): High impact well offshore Morocco on track to spud in August

By Auctus Advisors

  • The FY23 financials were in line with our forecasts.
  • The high impact Anchois East well continues to be expected to spud in August.
  • A drilling success could increase the size of Anchois to over 1 tcf (300 bcf net to Chariot).

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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co, GFL Environmental and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?
  • GFL Environmental – Why Is It An Attractive M&A Target Amidst The Current Market Frenzy & At What Valuation? – Financial Forecasts


[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?

By Travis Lundy

  • In Oct2023, activist Palliser Capital launched a campaign on well-known “stub trade” Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) (1.6% stake). The proposal? Monetise OLC, invest for growth, be shareholder friendly.
  • Keisei responded 3+mos ago: buyback and 1% OLC stake sale but said OLC would remain an equity affiliate. Palliser re-engaged in late April (Japanese/English and two AGM agenda items). Keisei objected.
  • Palliser made their case, Glass Lewis and ISS support Palliser. Palliser likely cannot win. The goal here isn’t to win though. It is to get enough to raise management consciousness. 

GFL Environmental – Why Is It An Attractive M&A Target Amidst The Current Market Frenzy & At What Valuation? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • GFL Environmental Inc., having begun the year with strong performance, has reported first quarter results that exceeded expectations, driven by robust execution and strategic growth initiatives.
  • The company showcases a balanced approach between organic growth and strategic acquisitions, which could attract potential suitors, considering the company is exploring sales options.
  • GFL Environmental’s Q1 revenue reached $1.8 billion, a 6.5% increase year-over-year, driven by better-than anticipated pricing and volume adjustments.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Naturgy Energy Group SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • It’s a No Deal, But…


It’s a No Deal, But…

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Abu Dhabi National Energy (TAQA UH) has unexpectedly withdrawn from negotiations to launch a takeover bid for Naturgy Energy Group SA (NTGY SM) with CriteriaCaixa.
  • Criteria may continue to explore other options. CriteriaCaixa and IFM may reconcile. IFM could offer a solution for the exit of CVC and GIP, could potentially increase its stake.
  • A joint offer from CriteriaCaixa and IFM could well happen. At the current price, I would be long Naturgy, plus one gets paid to wait. Dividend yield is 6.6%.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Core Scientific, Salesforce.Com Inc, SmartRent, Instructure Holdings , BigCommerce Holdings, Solid State PLC, DXC Technology Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs
  • Core Scientific Rejects The CoreWeave Unsolicited Offer But What Value Could They Be Expecting? What Makes Them So Attractive? – Financial Forecasts
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.
  • SmartRent Exploring A Potential Sale! – Strategic Expansion in Community WiFi Solutions & 3 Other Factors Making It An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts
  • Instructure Inc. – Special Report
  • BigCommerce Holdings – Special M&A Report – What Valuation Can It Extract In The Event Of A Potential Acquisition? – Financial Forecasts
  • Solid State: Compounding Shareholder Capital in Industries with High Regulatory Barriers to Entry
  • DXC Technology Company – Special M&A Report – What Would Be A Fair Offer From Kyndryl & Apollo? – Financial Forecasts


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Apple Announces New AI Features at WDC; Shares Surge to New All-Time Highs
  • Top Movers: Major Computex Exhibitors See Share Prices Fall Despite Strong Presence
  • Computex 2024: Chip Companies Notably Competing to Win PC Makers

Core Scientific Rejects The CoreWeave Unsolicited Offer But What Value Could They Be Expecting? What Makes Them So Attractive? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Core Scientific, a leading entity in the cryptocurrency mining and data center sector, has recently positioned itself as a pivotal player in the evolving digital infrastructure landscape.
  • The firm reported robust financials for the first quarter of Fiscal Year 2024, showcasing significant growth and operational efficiency.
  • Notably, Core Scientific rejected an unsolicited acquisition proposal from CoreWeave, an event that merits analysis concerning its impact on shareholder value and corporate strategy.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Jun-2024): AI aids sustainability but poses environmental challenges.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • AI technology is driving sustainability efforts while posing environmental risks, as discussed by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at London Tech Week 2024.
  • AI is revolutionizing computing and task optimization through advanced PCs and architectures, with AMD CEO predicting its dominance in the future and emphasizing Taiwan’s crucial role in the tech industry.
  • Google is investing $5 billion in expanding its Singapore Data Center and Cloud Region campus, Apple is introducing VisionOS for spatial computing, and the UK is seeking Taiwanese partnerships for high-tech collaborations, while also focusing on privacy with Apple Intelligence at WWDC.

SmartRent Exploring A Potential Sale! – Strategic Expansion in Community WiFi Solutions & 3 Other Factors Making It An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • SmartRent has provided a noteworthy set of results for the first quarter of 2024, accompanied by the company’s initiative of exploring a potential sale.
  • In the recent report, SmartRent disclosed a revenue for the quarter amounting to $50.5 million, with $12 million attributable to SaaS (Software as a Service) recurring revenue products, representing a year-over-year increase of 32%.
  • This growth is largely driven by the scaling of total deployed units and new gains from cross-selling strategies, demonstrating an effective execution of their business and product expansion strategy.

Instructure Inc. – Special Report

By Baptista Research

  • Instructure’s latest financial performance presents a nuanced picture for potential investors and acquirers, reflecting both strengths and challenges.
  • The company, anchored by its market-leading Canvas Learning Management System (LMS) in North America, reported robust first-quarter results.
  • Total revenue reached $155.5 million, marking a 20.7% year-over-year increase, with organic constant currency revenue growth at 6.8%.

BigCommerce Holdings – Special M&A Report – What Valuation Can It Extract In The Event Of A Potential Acquisition? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • BigCommerce has made notable strides in improving its business model and focusing on efficient revenue growth, particularly in the first quarter of 2024.
  • As expressed by the company’s CEO, Brent Bellm, and CFO, Daniel Lentz, on their latest financial results, BigCommerce reported a 12% year-over-year revenue increase to approximately $80 million.
  • This growth combined with an adjusted EBITDA of just over $4 million, indicating a trajectory towards sustainable profitability.

Solid State: Compounding Shareholder Capital in Industries with High Regulatory Barriers to Entry

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • Solid State (SOLI) is a British electronics manufacturer and distributor specializing in mission-critical components and systems for industries with high regulatory barriers.

  • The founding families still lead the company, owning over 13% of outstanding shares. Since 2010, the CEO has driven annual sales and EPS growth of 18%.

  • Despite this strong track record, the shares trade at a normalized 7.3% owner earnings yield and an 11.1 adj. EV/EBIT.


DXC Technology Company – Special M&A Report – What Would Be A Fair Offer From Kyndryl & Apollo? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • DXC Technology reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2024, displaying a mixed performance amidst challenging market conditions.
  • Total revenue experienced a decline of 5% on a constant currency basis, outpacing expectations slightly but reflecting broader industry and economic challenges.
  • The adjusted EBIT margin decreased by 50 basis points year over-year to 8.4%, indicating pressure on profitability despite efforts to optimize costs.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Jeisys Medical, Medical Data Vision, Sciclone Pharmaceuticals, Hugel Inc, BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics I, Scilex Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Jeisys Medical (287410 KS): Archimed’s Delisting Offer
  • Medical Data Vision (3902) – SBI Upping Their Stake AGAIN In The Market
  • Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600.HK) Privatization Update – Some “Unstable Factors” During Voting
  • Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Favorable Court Ruling Paves US Entry; Record High 1Q Sales
  • BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) Initiation 11062024
  • SCLX: Product Gets FDA Approval and Hits Market


Jeisys Medical (287410 KS): Archimed’s Delisting Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Aesthetic laser maker Jeisys Medical (287410 KS) has announced French PE outfit Archimed SAS is seeking to delist the company.
  • Archimed intends to acquire 72% of Jeisys at ₩13,000, a 20.82% premium to undisturbed. Archimed has also inked agreements with founders/directors for 26.44%, taking its possible % acquisition to 98.44%. 
  • A Korean medical device maker – not another Eoflow (294090 KS)?! Jeisys did face a patent infringement case from Syneron Medical (ELOS US) in 2018; but since resolved. 

Medical Data Vision (3902) – SBI Upping Their Stake AGAIN In The Market

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, SBI Holdings (8473 JP) – which currently owns 32.4% of Medical Data Vision (3902 JP) – announced it would buy another 1.91mm shares over 7mos.
  • This market purchase would lift them to ~37.4% by year-end. Interestingly, they plan to go through the one-third level without a Tender Offer. But their buying history hasn’t been great. 
  • SBI bought 20% in 2020. It fell by half. They bought another 5%. Then it dropped 50%, so they bought another 5%. Now -25% so they are buying another 5%.

Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600.HK) Privatization Update – Some “Unstable Factors” During Voting

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Some shareholders have confirmed to be acting in concert at the Court Meeting, but long-term investors may vote against the privatization because they are not satisfied with the Cancellation Price.
  • The success rate of SciClone’s privatization is lower than that of China TCM and L’Occitane. If fails, there’s a high probability that the share price will fall back to HK$14/share.
  • The current share price cannot provide decent returns. Together with exchange rate risk, potential failure risks, etc., there’s no need for investors to take risks at this share price level.

Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Favorable Court Ruling Paves US Entry; Record High 1Q Sales

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hugel Inc (145020 KS) got favorable preliminary ruling in US for its litigation with Medytox. The ruling revealed that the competitor’s claim of strain theft by Hugel is baseless.  
  • In March, Hugel received FDA approval for BTX product, Letybo in US. The company plans to launch Letybo in 2H24, while final ruling for the litigation is scheduled in October.
  • As BTX and HA filler grew steadily in domestic and overseas markets, 1Q24 sales grew 15% YoY to KRW74.3B, achieving the highest ever performance in the first quarter.

BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics (BCLI) Initiation 11062024

By ACF Equity Research

  • BrainStorm Cell Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: BCLI, Biotech) is focused on developing autologous mesenchymal stem cell (MSC) therapies for the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs) – BCLI’s primary target is the fatal amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS/MND/Lou Gehrig’s).
  • Post hoc analysis of BCLI’s PIII trial data shows BCLI’s NurOwn® (debamestrocel, MSC-NTF), has statistically significant clinical effects on early-stage ALS sufferers and that placebo trialists deteriorate faster.
  • Peer reviewed research (Mar 2024) indicated that BCLI’s NurOwn® has a positive impact on NfL biomarkers for ALS.

SCLX: Product Gets FDA Approval and Hits Market

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SCLX is filling a much-needed area of the health care sector, that of developing non-opioid pain relief products.
  • The company already has commercialized products that are proven to improve patients’ lives.
  • The company recently added to its important line on non-opioid drugs by announcing the FDA approved the commercial manufacturing of Gloperba and that the product is being stocked in many national pharmacy chains and independent pharmacies.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co, GFL Environmental and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?
  • GFL Environmental – Why Is It An Attractive M&A Target Amidst The Current Market Frenzy & At What Valuation? – Financial Forecasts


[JAPAN ACTIVISM] Palliser Gets ISS/GL Nods for Keisei AGM Proposals – How Will The Swing Vote Swing?

By Travis Lundy

  • In Oct2023, activist Palliser Capital launched a campaign on well-known “stub trade” Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) (1.6% stake). The proposal? Monetise OLC, invest for growth, be shareholder friendly.
  • Keisei responded 3+mos ago: buyback and 1% OLC stake sale but said OLC would remain an equity affiliate. Palliser re-engaged in late April (Japanese/English and two AGM agenda items). Keisei objected.
  • Palliser made their case, Glass Lewis and ISS support Palliser. Palliser likely cannot win. The goal here isn’t to win though. It is to get enough to raise management consciousness. 

GFL Environmental – Why Is It An Attractive M&A Target Amidst The Current Market Frenzy & At What Valuation? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • GFL Environmental Inc., having begun the year with strong performance, has reported first quarter results that exceeded expectations, driven by robust execution and strategic growth initiatives.
  • The company showcases a balanced approach between organic growth and strategic acquisitions, which could attract potential suitors, considering the company is exploring sales options.
  • GFL Environmental’s Q1 revenue reached $1.8 billion, a 6.5% increase year-over-year, driven by better-than anticipated pricing and volume adjustments.

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