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Daily Brief Macro: US CPI Inflation 3.27% y-o-y (consensus 3.4%) in May-24 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • US CPI Inflation 3.27% y-o-y (consensus 3.4%) in May-24
  • CX Daily: Turning Research Into Revenue – China’s Quest to Bring Lab Inventions to Market
  • Iron Ore: Disappointing Data Pushed Price Down to 105, Bounce To 120 On Further Stimulus From China
  • UK: Structural Trend Imputation
  • EM Watch: Is China making a fool out of Western metals speculants?
  • Thailand Policy Rate 2.5% (consensus 2.5%) in Jun-24
  • US CPI Review – Admittedly a soft report, but NOT the new normal
  • India CPI Inflation 4.75% y-o-y (consensus 4.9%) in May-24
  • China CPI 0.3% y-o-y (consensus 0.4%) in May-24


US CPI Inflation 3.27% y-o-y (consensus 3.4%) in May-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • US CPI inflation for May 2024 was reported at 3.27% year-on-year, the lowest growth rate since February 2024, and slightly below the consensus estimate and the previous month’s figure.
  • Despite a decrease in headline inflation, core CPI inflation remained stable at 3.4% year-on-year.
  • This stability in core CPI inflation is due to persistent producer price pressures, indicating sustained underlying inflationary pressures.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

CX Daily: Turning Research Into Revenue – China’s Quest to Bring Lab Inventions to Market

By Caixin Global

  • Cover Story: Turning research into revenue – China’s quest to bring lab inventions to market
  • Peru amends law allowing Cosco Shipping to retain exclusive rights to operate Chancay Port
  • In Depth: How Hong Kong could help craft mainland policies for digital assets

Iron Ore: Disappointing Data Pushed Price Down to 105, Bounce To 120 On Further Stimulus From China

By Sameer Taneja

  • Iron ore continued to operate in its band from 95-130 USD/ton over the last few years, with a recent drop from 120 USD/ton to 105 USD/ton on tepid China data.
  • With incremental news on China’s stimulus in the property and infrastructure sectors, we remain confident that iron ore will return to 120 USD/ton in the short term. 
  • We also remain bullish on the 65-62 spread, which has expanded to the teens. Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) and Vale (VALE US)  are good plays on the spread.

UK: Structural Trend Imputation

By Phil Rush

  • Sustaining the Q1 rebound in April suggests economic trends have improved in 2024 to about 0.3% q-o-q for demand and 0.4% for supply amid slightly rising unemployment.
  • The fading positive supply shock from falling energy prices should slow those trends before policy aligns at neutral such that both trends converge at 0.3% q-o-q in 2025.
  • Easing before expectations have re-anchored with the target risks excessively high inflation, compounding the UK risk of rates reversing higher relative to other countries.

EM Watch: Is China making a fool out of Western metals speculants?

By Andreas Steno

  • Hot on the heels of watching Powell’s press conference, which pushed back slightly against renewed rate-cut optimism, it’s clear that the Fed is playing a cautious game.
  • Despite the soft inflation data this morning, they significantly changed the dot plot.
  • They likely believe the CPI report was noisy due to a sudden deflation in transportation.

Thailand Policy Rate 2.5% (consensus 2.5%) in Jun-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • The Bank of Thailand maintained its Policy Rate at 2.5%, with a 6 to 1 vote, reflecting a cautious approach amid structural challenges and ongoing economic uncertainties, particularly in the export sector.
  • It projects economic growth at 2.6% in 2024 and 3.0% in 2025, driven by strong domestic demand, tourism recovery, and accelerated government disbursements, while structural impediments continue to weigh on export performance.
  • Inflation should gradually increase towards the target range by the fourth quarter of 2024, with headline inflation projected at 0.6% for 2024 and 1.3% for 2025, necessitating careful monitoring of external and domestic factors that could influence inflation dynamics and future policy decisions.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

US CPI Review – Admittedly a soft report, but NOT the new normal

By Andreas Steno

  • The CPI report today was admittedly softer than our initial hawkish forecasts, with headline coming in unchanged at 0.0% MoM vs 0.1% expected while core came in to the soft side of 0.2% MoM vs 0.3% expected.
  • Our anticipation of rising goods-flation didn’t play out fully, and while shelter re-accelerated as we forecasted, core services disinflated heavily in May due to auto insurance costs declining.
  • The main culprit behind the dovish CPI report was the sudden drop in Motor Vehicle Insurance (chart 2.b), which has so far been printing at trend MoM levels around 1-1.5%, lifting headline inflation by 0.03-0.05% consecutively.

India CPI Inflation 4.75% y-o-y (consensus 4.9%) in May-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • India’s CPI inflation for May 2024 was 4.75% year-on-year, lower than the predicted 4.9%, and the lowest since May 2023.
  • There has been a slowdown in CPI inflation and subdued wholesale price movements, especially in the manufacturing sector.
  • This suggests a potential easing of inflationary pressures, which could provide economic relief and lead to adjustments in monetary policy.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

China CPI 0.3% y-o-y (consensus 0.4%) in May-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • China’s CPI remained stable at 0.3% year-on-year in May 2024, indicating modest inflationary pressures.
  • Despite this stability, the CPI was slightly above the one-year average.
  • Other economic indicators, such as declining new house prices and robust monetary and credit growth, suggest potential future inflationary dynamics.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

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Daily Brief Australia: Telix Pharmaceuticals, Iron Ore, Road King Infrastructure and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Telix Pharmaceutical US ADS – Momentum Remains Strong, Offering Would Triple Its Cash Base
  • Iron Ore: Disappointing Data Pushed Price Down to 105, Bounce To 120 On Further Stimulus From China
  • Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , Road King Infrastructure, Yankuang Energy Group


Telix Pharmaceutical US ADS – Momentum Remains Strong, Offering Would Triple Its Cash Base

By Clarence Chu

  • Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) is looking to raise around US$190m in its US ADS listing. The bookrunners on the deal are Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Truist Securities, and William Blair.
  • TLX is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of therapeutic and diagnostic radiopharmaceuticals.
  • In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and current deal dynamics.

Iron Ore: Disappointing Data Pushed Price Down to 105, Bounce To 120 On Further Stimulus From China

By Sameer Taneja

  • Iron ore continued to operate in its band from 95-130 USD/ton over the last few years, with a recent drop from 120 USD/ton to 105 USD/ton on tepid China data.
  • With incremental news on China’s stimulus in the property and infrastructure sectors, we remain confident that iron ore will return to 120 USD/ton in the short term. 
  • We also remain bullish on the 65-62 spread, which has expanded to the teens. Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) and Vale (VALE US)  are good plays on the spread.

Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , Road King Infrastructure, Yankuang Energy Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief South Korea: SK Telecom, Samsung C&T and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Proposed Merger Between Rebellions and Sapeon – To Challenge Nvidia
  • Changes in Law for Allocation of Treasury Shares as New Shares Post Spin-Offs in Korea in 2H 2024


Proposed Merger Between Rebellions and Sapeon – To Challenge Nvidia

By Douglas Kim

  • On 12 June, SK Telecom (017670 KS) confirmed that its affiliate Sapeon plans to merge with its competitor Rebellions by end of this year.
  • Sapeon and Rebellions’ largest global competitor is Nvidia. A key aim of the merger is to challenge Nvidia and try to take away its global dominance in AI chips.
  • If the combined Sapeon and Rebellion can take away just 1% market share resulting in 1% of Nvidia’s market cap, this would suggest valuation of US$31 billion.

Changes in Law for Allocation of Treasury Shares as New Shares Post Spin-Offs in Korea in 2H 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • On 11 June, the FSC announced that the restrictions on allocation of treasury shares as new shares post spin-offs is expected to be made into law in 2H 2024.
  • Meanwhile, starting 1 July, the financial regulators will make it more difficult for Korean companies to conduct spin-offs that have separate allocation of treasury shares as new shares.
  • The top five stocks with highest percentage of treasury shares/outstanding shares are up on average 40.5% YTD. 

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Daily Brief United States: Bally’s Corporation, Cal Maine Foods, Sacks Parente Golf, Lands’ End Inc, Longeveron , Sotera Health Company, Target Hospitality Corp, Adaptimmune Therapeutics , Vera Bradley, Chefs’ Warehouse and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Ballys Corp (BALY) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024
  • Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024
  • INITIATION – Sacks Parente Golf, Inc
  • LE: Snapping the Catalog: Layering in Newness; Reiterate Buy Rating, $17 PT
  • LGVN: Positive Trial Update and First Contract
  • Sotera Health Co (SHC) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024
  • Sifting the Debris with Target Hospitality (TH)
  • ADAP: Initiating Coverage of Leading T-Cell Therapy Company
  • VRA: 1Q Review; ST Investor Focus Offers Compelling Entry Point; Reiterate Buy
  • Chefs’ Warehouse Inc (CHEF) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024


Ballys Corp (BALY) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Bally’s Corporation is undervalued despite insiders recognizing its potential
  • Standard General made a buyout offer of $15/share, prompting Bally’s to form a special committee
  • The author predicts that Standard General will increase their bid to take Bally’s private, highlighting it as a compelling investment opportunity.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) is a promising long-term investment with potential for around 50% upside
  • Stock is currently undervalued due to low historical book multiples and high short interest
  • Company has a cost advantage over peers and strong earnings potential, especially in the event of an avian flu outbreak

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


INITIATION – Sacks Parente Golf, Inc

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Sacks Parente Golf (NASDAQ: SPGC) is an innovative, technology driven golf company with a growing portfolio of golf products, including putters, golf shafts, golf grips, and other golf-related accessories.
  • The company went public in August 2023 raising $11.6 million in net proceeds.
  • The company announced its entry into the golf shaft market in November 2023.

LE: Snapping the Catalog: Layering in Newness; Reiterate Buy Rating, $17 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $17 price target for Lands’ End after reviewing the June 2024 and June 2023 catalogs.
  • We believe, with Lands’ End in the heart of the swim season, the company remains focused on key new items to drive earlier purchases by customer, with new shaping swimwear products, updates to classic items such as the Tugless Tank and Starfish pants, new fabrics (gauze and rayon) and increased emphasis on seasonal winners (linen).
  • Further, the expansion into adjacent categories, such as dresses, after-swim looks and cover-ups, further expands the Lands’ End collection and creates a true swim-wear driven vacation lifestyle look.

LGVN: Positive Trial Update and First Contract

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Longeveron is focusing on using its primary treatment, Lomecel-B, to fight a rare pediatric heart birth defect that devastates families.
  • The company announced the completion of an encouraging meeting with investigators involved in the ongoing trial of Lomecel-B for the treatment of HLHS.
  • Additionally, the LGVN announced it has signed its first contract for the use of its state-of-the-art manufacturing facility.

Sotera Health Co (SHC) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • SHC is a provider of medical device and pharmaceutical sterilization services with potential for significant upside
  • Operates in a duopoly market with high barriers to entry and strong customer retention
  • Stock is currently undervalued, providing investors with a timely opportunity to capitalize on the company’s potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Sifting the Debris with Target Hospitality (TH)

By Acid Investments

  • This is a quick idea possibly worth a punt from here – a hairball of sorts at this point but asymmetric to the upside.
  • One thing that happens in special sits land is that yeah sometimes turd hits the fan – maybe a takeover falls through, a merger breaks etc.there will rampant selling, the stock chart will look like a cliff-off and a bloodbath ensues for a short period of time.
  • Different investors operate with different mandates and sometimes for a certain kind, it’s just plain discipline – if you are there for the takeout and the takeout falls through, then the thesis is broken and you exit.

ADAP: Initiating Coverage of Leading T-Cell Therapy Company

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Adaptimmune Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ: ADAP) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on designing, developing, and delivering innovative cell therapies.
  • The company’s unique T-cell receptor (TCR) platform engineers T-cells to target and destroy cancers across multiple solid tumor types.
  • The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Abingdon, United Kingdom, and Philadelphia, PA.

VRA: 1Q Review; ST Investor Focus Offers Compelling Entry Point; Reiterate Buy

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $10 price target, leaving our FY25 EPS projection unchanged and raising our FY26 EPS to $0.68 (from $0.65) after Vera Bradley announced lower than Street consensus 1Q results, but reiterated FY25 guidance and provided a compelling overview of the upcoming shifts from the Project Restoration launch in mid-July.
  • As we have previously stated, the period before the launch of Project Restoration was going to be lumpy and 1Q results proved our thesis.
  • That said, with the company remaining cash-rich, aggressively managing inventories and expenses and with the launch of Project Restoration less than a month away, we believe the investor reaction to 1Q results is, at best, short-sighted and offers a highly compelling entry point for VRA, as the company shifts to a growth mode with a new product assortment, new store look and compelling business model.

Chefs’ Warehouse Inc (CHEF) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Highly fragmented distribution market provides growth opportunities and market share gains
  • Focus on serving high-end independent restaurants gives competitive advantage
  • Commitment to improving efficiencies and achieving higher profit margins positions CHEF for significant upside potential

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief China: A8 New Media, Mao Geping Cosmetics, Shenzhen Transsion Holdings , QuantumPharm, Medtide, Yankuang Energy Group, Beijing Capital International Airport (BCIA), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Road King Infrastructure and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • A8 New Media (800 HK): A Scheme with a 162% Takeover Premium
  • Mao Geping Cosmetics Pre-IPO – Riding on the Founder’s Reputation
  • Transsion (688036 CH): Global No. 4 Smartphone Producer, Revenue Up by 88% YoY in 1Q24
  • QuantumPharm IPO Trading – Lukewarm Insti Demand Combined with a Tight Float at Listing
  • Medtide Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Coal Is Back – The Real Inconvenient Truth
  • Beijing Capital International Airport: On Track to Break Even
  • A8 Media (800 HK): A 163% Premium to Undisturbed? Yes Please.
  • Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276.CH) – More Downside Ahead; The Long Logic Doesn’t Exist
  • Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , Road King Infrastructure, Yankuang Energy Group


A8 New Media (800 HK): A Scheme with a 162% Takeover Premium

By Arun George

  • A8 New Media (800 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Liu Xiaosong (Founder, Chairman, CEO) at HK$0.36 per share, a 162.8% premium to the last close price. 
  • The massive premium is unsurprising, as A8’s EV has been negative since April 2023 due to headwinds from the weak Chinese leasing sector and uncertainty about cash use.  
  • The high takeover premium, no shareholder holding a blocking stake, and low AGM minority participation rate point to a done deal. However, this is a small-cap illiquid stock.  

Mao Geping Cosmetics Pre-IPO – Riding on the Founder’s Reputation

By Sumeet Singh

  • Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Transsion (688036 CH): Global No. 4 Smartphone Producer, Revenue Up by 88% YoY in 1Q24

By Ming Lu

  • Transsion is the global No. 4 largest smartphone producer according to IDC.
  • In 1Q24, shipments increased by 34% YoY and revenue increased by 88% YoY.
  • We see the stock’s upside at 17% and the price target at RMB100.00.

QuantumPharm IPO Trading – Lukewarm Insti Demand Combined with a Tight Float at Listing

By Clarence Chu

  • QuantumPharm (QUP HK) raised US$126m from its Hong Kong IPO.
  • QuantumPharm is a R&D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&D solutions.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Medtide Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Medtide (1268709D CH) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by Morgan Stanley and Citic Securities.
  • Medtide is the third largest peptide-focused contract research, development and manufacturing organization (CRDMO) worldwide in terms of sales revenue in 2023, according to F&S. 
  • Its full-cycle services range from early-stage discovery, pre-clinical research and clinical development to commercial-stage production.

Coal Is Back – The Real Inconvenient Truth

By Rikki Malik

  • Increased demand from power plants under construction outside  G-7 countries
  • There is constrained supply as with many other fossil fuels
  • We look at a basket of coal stocks with good balance sheets and increasing production

Beijing Capital International Airport: On Track to Break Even

By Eric Chen

  • The worst is behind Beijing Capital International Airport. We believe it is on track to achieve breakeven on quarterly basis in 2H24.
  • We see recent parking fee hikes at Daxing Airport as a signal that more will come, which is not in the price and can bring in extra option value.
  • Boom-And-Bust in China property sector is behind the airport’s share price cycle. The airport is at the cusp of a steady recovery driving mean reversion of valuation .

A8 Media (800 HK): A 163% Premium to Undisturbed? Yes Please.

By David Blennerhassett

  • Following a suspension on the 28th May, property rental play A8 New Media (800 HK) has now announced an Offer by way of a Scheme from chairman/founder/major shareholder Liu Xiaosong.
  • The Cancellation price is $0.36, a whopping 162.77% to last close. The price is final.
  • This is a done deal. But A8 is an illiquid micro cap. 

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276.CH) – More Downside Ahead; The Long Logic Doesn’t Exist

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Around RMB5 billion generic drugs would be included in VBP in 2024/2025 (e.g. sevoflurane/Ioversol/butorphanol tartrate). So, the assumption that all the negative effects of VBP have cleared up isn’t correct.
  • Hengrui’s innovative drugs would lose growth momentum after they reach peak sales. It’s difficult for Hengrui to maintain its scale expansion or achieve the over 20% YoY revenue growth.
  • Hengrui’s PE would fall below 30 (or even below 20) in the future, which means its valuation would start to enter a downward trend. Current high valuation cannot be justified.

Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , Road King Infrastructure, Yankuang Energy Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief India: Reliance Industries, Tata Power, Bharat Heavy Electricals and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Reliance’s Next Mega Industrial Hub: The Rise of Navi Mumbai
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Changes Possible for NIFTY 50; Some New Trade Ideas
  • NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Meets Passive


Reliance’s Next Mega Industrial Hub: The Rise of Navi Mumbai

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Reliance Industries (RIL IN) is developing a new integrated industrial area in Navi Mumbai, part of a global economic hub.
  • This project, supported by a 43-year land lease and strategic partnerships, aims to attract global companies, fostering innovation and economic growth in the Fourth Industrial Revolution.
  • Reliance’s initiative will significantly boost Navi Mumbai’s attractiveness as an investment destination, driving regional economic growth and employment opportunities.

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Changes Possible for NIFTY 50; Some New Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs during the September 2024 index rebal event.
  • Since my last insight, we have observed a couple of important changes to candidate rankings and that has resulted in some changes to our index change expectations.

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Meets Passive

By Brian Freitas

  • With a substantial part of the review period complete, there could potentially be 7 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 17.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 47.2bn (US$566m). 8 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
  • There are a bunch of stocks that are potential migrations between Mid Cap and Large Cap segments in the AMFI Classification system and there will be flows from active managers.

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Daily Brief Japan: Helios Techno Holding, Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, i-mobile Co Ltd, CRE Inc/Japan, GiG Works and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Helios Techno Holding (6927) TOB – Today Could Be The Day
  • Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP) Crunch Time = Bump Time?
  • Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Finally Secures SAMR Approval but Needs to Bump
  • i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Q3 FY07/24 flash update
  • CRE Inc/Japan (3458 JP): Q3 FY07/24 flash update
  • GiG Works (2375 JP): 1H FY10/24 flash update


Helios Techno Holding (6927) TOB – Today Could Be The Day

By Travis Lundy

  • Rs Technologies (3445 JP) announced a TOB on Helios Techno Holding (6927 JP) 12 days ago. At a 74% premium, but that was too cheap. I discussed it here.
  • Shares went limit up for two days then traded huge volume the first full day last Wednesday. The lowest trade so far in open trading is 3% through terms.
  • 57% of Shares Out Ex-Treasury have traded in five days. Anyone who bought 5% on Day 1 has to file a Large Shareholder Report today.

Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP) Crunch Time = Bump Time?

By Travis Lundy

  • ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) announced a deal to buy out their affiliate Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) 18 months ago. The TOB was expected to start June 2023.
  • June 2023 came around and China’s SAMR still hadn’t approved. ENEOS provided quarterly updates in Sep and Dec and monthly updates since. The May update was different. 
  • The May update cut the “re-update” schedule to mid-month June. There are reasons to look at what has changed since the Dec 2022 announcement. 

Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Finally Secures SAMR Approval but Needs to Bump

By Arun George

  • 18 months after announcing the offer, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) secured SAMR approval for the Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) tender offer at JPY720 per share.   
  • The tender offer is expected to be launched on 21 June, subject to securing the recommendation from the special committee and the Board.
  • A bump is required due to the material market rerating since 21 December 2022. An offer of JPY828, a 15.1% premium to the current offer, implies a P/B of 1x.  

i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Q3 FY07/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • i-mobile reported cumulative Q3 FY07/24 revenue of JPY16.3bn (+14.3% YoY), operating profit of JPY3.7bn (+9.2% YoY).
  • Consumer Service business cumulative Q3 revenue was JPY14.2bn (+19.4% YoY), with segment profit of JPY3.5bn (+18.9% YoY).
  • Online Advertising business cumulative Q3 revenue was JPY2.1bn (-11.8% YoY), with segment profit of JPY316mn (-39.3% YoY).

CRE Inc/Japan (3458 JP): Q3 FY07/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In cumulative Q3 FY07/24, the company reported sales of JPY30.2bn (-30.0% YoY) and business profit of JPY1.3bn (-80.8% YoY).
  • Sales from recurring revenue businesses declined 2.8% YoY to JPY18.3bn, with segment profit falling 7.3% YoY to JPY1.9bn.
  • The company revised its FY07/24 year-end dividend forecast to JPY50.00 per share, including a special dividend of JPY24.00.

GiG Works (2375 JP): 1H FY10/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue: JPY13.0bn (-3.8% YoY); Operating profit: JPY185mn (+564.7% YoY); Recurring profit: JPY181mn (+449.7% YoY); Net income: JPY65mn (+67.6% YoY).
  • Revenue: JPY5.5bn (-8.0% YoY); Operating profit: JPY475mn (+22.4% YoY); Segment profit margin: 8.7% (+2.2pp YoY).
  • Revenue: JPY2.3bn (+19.9% YoY); Operating profit: JPY232mn (JPY104mn loss in 1H FY10/23); Segment profit margin: 9.9%.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Tata Power and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Changes Possible for NIFTY 50; Some New Trade Ideas


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 24: Multiple Changes Possible for NIFTY 50; Some New Trade Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs during the September 2024 index rebal event.
  • Since my last insight, we have observed a couple of important changes to candidate rankings and that has resulted in some changes to our index change expectations.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Helios Techno Holding, Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable, Samsung C&T, Bharat Heavy Electricals, Beijing Capital International Airport (BCIA), GiG Works, Kirby Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Helios Techno Holding (6927) TOB – Today Could Be The Day
  • Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP) Crunch Time = Bump Time?
  • Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Finally Secures SAMR Approval but Needs to Bump
  • Changes in Law for Allocation of Treasury Shares as New Shares Post Spin-Offs in Korea in 2H 2024
  • NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Meets Passive
  • Beijing Capital International Airport: On Track to Break Even
  • GiG Works (2375 JP): 1H FY10/24 flash update
  • Kirby Corp (KEX) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024


Helios Techno Holding (6927) TOB – Today Could Be The Day

By Travis Lundy

  • Rs Technologies (3445 JP) announced a TOB on Helios Techno Holding (6927 JP) 12 days ago. At a 74% premium, but that was too cheap. I discussed it here.
  • Shares went limit up for two days then traded huge volume the first full day last Wednesday. The lowest trade so far in open trading is 3% through terms.
  • 57% of Shares Out Ex-Treasury have traded in five days. Anyone who bought 5% on Day 1 has to file a Large Shareholder Report today.

Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP) Crunch Time = Bump Time?

By Travis Lundy

  • ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) announced a deal to buy out their affiliate Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) 18 months ago. The TOB was expected to start June 2023.
  • June 2023 came around and China’s SAMR still hadn’t approved. ENEOS provided quarterly updates in Sep and Dec and monthly updates since. The May update was different. 
  • The May update cut the “re-update” schedule to mid-month June. There are reasons to look at what has changed since the Dec 2022 announcement. 

Tatsuta Electric (5809 JP): Eneos Finally Secures SAMR Approval but Needs to Bump

By Arun George

  • 18 months after announcing the offer, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) secured SAMR approval for the Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable (5809 JP) tender offer at JPY720 per share.   
  • The tender offer is expected to be launched on 21 June, subject to securing the recommendation from the special committee and the Board.
  • A bump is required due to the material market rerating since 21 December 2022. An offer of JPY828, a 15.1% premium to the current offer, implies a P/B of 1x.  

Changes in Law for Allocation of Treasury Shares as New Shares Post Spin-Offs in Korea in 2H 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • On 11 June, the FSC announced that the restrictions on allocation of treasury shares as new shares post spin-offs is expected to be made into law in 2H 2024.
  • Meanwhile, starting 1 July, the financial regulators will make it more difficult for Korean companies to conduct spin-offs that have separate allocation of treasury shares as new shares.
  • The top five stocks with highest percentage of treasury shares/outstanding shares are up on average 40.5% YTD. 

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Meets Passive

By Brian Freitas

  • With a substantial part of the review period complete, there could potentially be 7 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 17.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 47.2bn (US$566m). 8 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
  • There are a bunch of stocks that are potential migrations between Mid Cap and Large Cap segments in the AMFI Classification system and there will be flows from active managers.

Beijing Capital International Airport: On Track to Break Even

By Eric Chen

  • The worst is behind Beijing Capital International Airport. We believe it is on track to achieve breakeven on quarterly basis in 2H24.
  • We see recent parking fee hikes at Daxing Airport as a signal that more will come, which is not in the price and can bring in extra option value.
  • Boom-And-Bust in China property sector is behind the airport’s share price cycle. The airport is at the cusp of a steady recovery driving mean reversion of valuation .

GiG Works (2375 JP): 1H FY10/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue: JPY13.0bn (-3.8% YoY); Operating profit: JPY185mn (+564.7% YoY); Recurring profit: JPY181mn (+449.7% YoY); Net income: JPY65mn (+67.6% YoY).
  • Revenue: JPY5.5bn (-8.0% YoY); Operating profit: JPY475mn (+22.4% YoY); Segment profit margin: 8.7% (+2.2pp YoY).
  • Revenue: JPY2.3bn (+19.9% YoY); Operating profit: JPY232mn (JPY104mn loss in 1H FY10/23); Segment profit margin: 9.9%.

Kirby Corp (KEX) – Wednesday, Mar 13, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Kirby Corporation (KEX) is undervalued and has a strong historical performance in the tugboat and tank barge industry
  • Despite industry challenges including oversupply and Covid-19 impacts, KEX is expected to benefit from rising demand and falling supply
  • With a recession-resilient track record and potential for earnings growth, KEX presents a compelling long-term investment opportunity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Reliance Industries, Yankuang Energy Group, Iron Ore and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Reliance’s Next Mega Industrial Hub: The Rise of Navi Mumbai
  • Coal Is Back – The Real Inconvenient Truth
  • Iron Ore: Disappointing Data Pushed Price Down to 105, Bounce To 120 On Further Stimulus From China


Reliance’s Next Mega Industrial Hub: The Rise of Navi Mumbai

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Reliance Industries (RIL IN) is developing a new integrated industrial area in Navi Mumbai, part of a global economic hub.
  • This project, supported by a 43-year land lease and strategic partnerships, aims to attract global companies, fostering innovation and economic growth in the Fourth Industrial Revolution.
  • Reliance’s initiative will significantly boost Navi Mumbai’s attractiveness as an investment destination, driving regional economic growth and employment opportunities.

Coal Is Back – The Real Inconvenient Truth

By Rikki Malik

  • Increased demand from power plants under construction outside  G-7 countries
  • There is constrained supply as with many other fossil fuels
  • We look at a basket of coal stocks with good balance sheets and increasing production

Iron Ore: Disappointing Data Pushed Price Down to 105, Bounce To 120 On Further Stimulus From China

By Sameer Taneja

  • Iron ore continued to operate in its band from 95-130 USD/ton over the last few years, with a recent drop from 120 USD/ton to 105 USD/ton on tepid China data.
  • With incremental news on China’s stimulus in the property and infrastructure sectors, we remain confident that iron ore will return to 120 USD/ton in the short term. 
  • We also remain bullish on the 65-62 spread, which has expanded to the teens. Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU) and Vale (VALE US)  are good plays on the spread.

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