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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Most Read: Fancl Corp, Enchem, Great Eastern Holdings, Jeisys Medical, Abacus Storage King, Lynas Corp Ltd, NVIDIA Corp, Sun Corp, Keisei Electric Railway Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Fancl (4921) TOB – Kirin (2503) Does the Inevitable and Takes Out Minorities. Lightish But…
  • Fancl (4921 JP): Kirin (2503 JP)’s Light JPY2,690 Tender Offer
  • Block Deal Sale of 3.6% Shares of Enchem
  • Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric
  • MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Abacus Storage King Deleted (Finally!)
  • MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes
  • MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA
  • Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jun) – Sun Corp, Fancl, Tatsuta, Great Eastern, A8, Webtoon, Shift Up
  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii


Fancl (4921) TOB – Kirin (2503) Does the Inevitable and Takes Out Minorities. Lightish But…

By Travis Lundy

  • Kirin Holdings (2503 JP) bought a 33% stake from the founder and several others in August 2019. Five years later, they are coming back for the rest. 
  • The price here is ¥2,690/share which is a 42.7% premium from yesterday’s close. Kirin paid 20+% more in 2019. Earnings fell, but they paid 37x NTM. This is 32x. 
  • This is lightish… but…  this should get done. Activism would be difficult. There are enough shareholders who should be OK getting out. This should trade tight.

Fancl (4921 JP): Kirin (2503 JP)’s Light JPY2,690 Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • Fancl Corp (4921 JP) recommended Kirin Holdings (2503 JP)’s tender offer of JPY2,690, a 42.7% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • The timing looks opportunistic as Fancl’s shares are down 20% YTD. The offer period is from 17 June to 29 July.
  • While the offer is attractive vs peer multiples, it is light vs historical trading ranges. Securing the required acceptance rate could prove challenging as the offer price is light. 

Block Deal Sale of 3.6% Shares of Enchem

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 14 June, it was reported that Woori PE/other investors will be selling 705,384 shares of Enchem in a block deal, representing 3.6% of outstanding shares. 
  • The block deal discount rate ranges from 6.9% to 8.92%, resulting in potential block deal sale price of 270,500 won to 276,500 won.
  • We would not subscribe to this block deal and we are concerned about the valuations of Enchem after a sharp share price appreciation this year.

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

By Arun George

  • Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) IFA opines that the OCBC (OCBC SP) S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.
  • In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.
  • The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. 

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric

By David Blennerhassett


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Abacus Storage King Deleted (Finally!)

By Brian Freitas


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes

By Brian Freitas


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

By Brian Freitas


Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jun) – Sun Corp, Fancl, Tatsuta, Great Eastern, A8, Webtoon, Shift Up

By Arun George


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co, Donaldson Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii
  • Donaldson Company Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion in Life Sciences Sector & Other Major Drivers


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii

By David Blennerhassett


Donaldson Company Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion in Life Sciences Sector & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Donaldson Company’s third quarter fiscal 2024 results illuminate a company adeptly navigating its competitive landscape and growth avenues, albeit with nuances across different segments and geographies that invite a more tempered enthusiasm.
  • The reported 6% increase in total sales to a record $928 million and a 22% increase in EPS to a record $0.92, alongside an operating margin at a more than decade-high, succinctly encapsulate the firm’s short-term operational success.
  • In Mobile Solutions, notable volume growth driven by the aftermarket business has surpassed pricing gains, which points to robust market performance and potentially sustainable revenue streams from recurrent business.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Lynas Corp Ltd, Gold and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes
  • Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Two Deletions & Other Changes

By Brian Freitas


Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term

By Douglas Busch

  • Gold MONTHLY chart records back-to-back bearish shooting stars in April and May.
  • Steel stocks possibly bottoming on incessant tariff talks creating opportunity.
  • Silver looks technically better than gold and likely to outshine precious metal into year-end.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Sun Corp, IDP Education, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Dollar Tree Inc, Five Below, Lululemon Athletica, Ollie’S Bargain Outlet Holdings, Pvh Corp, Bausch + Lomb, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jun) – Sun Corp, Fancl, Tatsuta, Great Eastern, A8, Webtoon, Shift Up
  • MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: IDP Education (IEL) & Lendlease Group (LLC) Out
  • Reducing Policy Shareholdings May Be a Sign of Seriousness to Improve Management
  • Dollar Tree Inc.: E-commerce & Digital Experience Optimization & Other Major Drivers
  • Five Below Inc.: How The Management Is Enhancing Margins Through Strategic Cost Management? – Major Drivers
  • Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Enhanced Technology Infrastructure & Data Analytics Aiding Their Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings: Expansion of Store Network & 3 Pivotal Drivers
  • PVH Corp.: Optimization of Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Channels & Other Major Drivers
  • Bausch + Lomb Corporation: Strategic Product Integration and Sales Force Realignment! – Major Drivers
  • Wyndham Hotels & Resorts: Franchise Growth & Development Strategy & Other Major Drivers


Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jun) – Sun Corp, Fancl, Tatsuta, Great Eastern, A8, Webtoon, Shift Up

By Arun George


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: IDP Education (IEL) & Lendlease Group (LLC) Out

By Brian Freitas


Reducing Policy Shareholdings May Be a Sign of Seriousness to Improve Management

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Although few shareholder proposals will be passed, companies that receive shareholder proposals and don’t like the attention are likely to seek compromise and come to terms with shareholders before AGM.
  • Companies with low valuations have significantly lower ROE, ROA, market capitalization, and foreign ownership. In order to raise valuations, the first step should be to increase return on capital.
  • Companies with higher valuations can be expected to have begun to steer their board operations in an improved direction. Policy shareholding reductions can be considered as seriousness toward management improvement.

Dollar Tree Inc.: E-commerce & Digital Experience Optimization & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Dollar Tree’s financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 reflected a mixed performance amid operational challenges and strategic undertakings.
  • In terms of expansion, Dollar Tree highlighted their proactive steps toward aggressive growth, including acquisition opportunities such as purchasing stores from the $0.99 only bankruptcy.
  • Furthermore, the consolidation of its Family Dollar stores indicated a strategic reshaping, aiming at focusing resources on more profitable ventures while delving into a formal review of strategic alternatives for the Family Dollar business.

Five Below Inc.: How The Management Is Enhancing Margins Through Strategic Cost Management? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Five Below reported mixed financial outcomes in the first quarter of 2024, encountering challenges reflected in a total sales growth of 12% paired with a comparable sales decrease of 2.3%.
  • Adjusted earnings per share stood at $0.60, aligning with the lower spectrum of the company’s expectations.
  • This performance highlights particular strengths and vulnerabilities in Five Below’s operational and strategic positioning within the retail sector.

Lululemon Athletica Inc.: Enhanced Technology Infrastructure & Data Analytics Aiding Their Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lululemon Athletica Inc. recently shared its performance for the first quarter of 2024, showcasing a mixed set of results that present both opportunities and challenges for potential investors.
  • Starting with the highlights, Lululemon achieved a 10% increase in total revenue, hitting 11% growth in constant currency terms.
  • This growth was bolstered by a significant rise in international markets, particularly in China Mainland and the rest of the world, which saw increases of 52% and 30% respectively in constant currency.

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings: Expansion of Store Network & 3 Pivotal Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Ollie’s Bargain Outlet showcased a robust performance in the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, reflecting a strong execution of its business strategies amid challenging market conditions.
  • The company delivered an overall 11% increase in net sales, totaling $509 million, driven by new store growth and a 3% uptick in comparable store sales.
  • Adjusted earnings per share rose by 49% to $0.73, exceeding expectations.

PVH Corp.: Optimization of Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Channels & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PVH Corp. delivered mixed results in the first quarter of 2024, exhibiting robust performance in some sectors while facing challenges in others due to the volatile macroeconomic environment.
  • The company continued its strategic shift toward focusing on its Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger brands, emphasizing high-margin direct-to consumer (DTC) sales and reducing exposure to lower-margin wholesale channels.
  • This pivot is part of PVH Corp.’s long-term vision to transform into a leading brand lifestyle powerhouse.

Bausch + Lomb Corporation: Strategic Product Integration and Sales Force Realignment! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • At Bausch + Lomb, the results for the first quarter of 2024 denote a significant advancement, manifesting a 20% constant currency revenue growth, accelerated by the robust performance across its various business units and geographical regions.
  • This demonstrates a diversified growth model that is not heavily reliant on a single product line or market.
  • The company’s strategic initiatives to invigorate its operational efficiency, innovation, and product launches are turning fruitful, enhancing its financial and market position.

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts: Franchise Growth & Development Strategy & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Wyndham Hotels & Resorts has released their first-quarter 2024 results, which reflect a blend of advanced growth metrics coupled with challenges in specific segments.
  • The company reported substantial room openings globally, where openings increased by 27% year-over-year, marking the largest Q1 openings since the company went public.
  • Notably, in the U.S., both sequential and yearly improvement was observed, driven by a 3.3% growth in the midscale and above segments.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Nextera Energy, Atmos Energy, Vistra and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • NextEra Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – A Blend of Stability and Growth in Renewable Energy! – Major Drivers
  • Atmos Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Sustained Growth Through Strategic Investments and Regulatory Support! – Major Drivers
  • Vistra Corp.: Initiation of Coverage – How They Are Navigating Market Volatility and Competitive Pressures? – Major Drivers


NextEra Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – A Blend of Stability and Growth in Renewable Energy! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • A combination of strong demand growth, portfolio diversification, and strategic expansion has helped NextEra Energy post solid financial results for the first quarter of 2024.
  • The company reported an 8.3% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share, driven largely by the performance of its Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) and Energy Resources segments.
  • FPL’s earnings per share increased $0.04 year-over-year, the primary driver being a growth of approximately 11.5% in the company’s regulatory capital year-over-year.

Atmos Energy Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Sustained Growth Through Strategic Investments and Regulatory Support! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Atmos Energy Corporation has provided an update on their fiscal 2024 second quarter results in their latest earnings call.
  • The company reported a year-to-date net income of $743 million and has revised their fiscal 2024 earnings per share guidance to a range of $6.70 to $6.80, indicating a sound financial performance.
  • The company attributes their performance to the commitment and hard work of its employees in modernizing their natural gas distribution, transmission and storage systems, and providing reliable service to their 3.4 million customers.

Vistra Corp.: Initiation of Coverage – How They Are Navigating Market Volatility and Competitive Pressures? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Vistra Energy’s first quarter 2024 earnings revealed a company with a positive outlook for long-term growth, yet with some challenges ahead.
  • Positive remarks were made on improved market dynamics in the power sector and a significant increase in long-term outlook for the company.
  • A substantial execution plan was also presented, primarily focused on delivering reliable, affordable, and sustainable power amidst increasing power demands.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: NVIDIA Corp, Avnet Inc, Guidewire Software, Littelfuse Inc, Ma Com Technology Solutions, Smartsheet Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA
  • Avnet Inc.: New Launches
  • Guidewire Software Inc.: A Tale Of Strategic Focus on Modernization and Generative AI! – Major Drivers
  • Littelfuse Inc.: Will Its Increased Design Win Momentum Last? – Major Drivers
  • MACOM Technology Solutions: How They Are Strengthening Market Presence in Data Centers and Telecom! – Major Drivers
  • Smartsheet Inc.: Focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and User Engagement! – Major Drivers


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: US$1bn to Sell in NVIDIA

By Brian Freitas


Avnet Inc.: New Launches

By Baptista Research

  • Avnet delivered mixed financial results in its third quarter of fiscal year 2024.
  • While the company met the strategic objectives and forecasts laid out for the period, several nuances within the report reveal the complex environment in which the company is currently operating.
  • Avnet reported a revenue of $5.7 billion for the quarter, a figure that aligns with company projections but represents a significant decline compared to the previous year’s figures.

Guidewire Software Inc.: A Tale Of Strategic Focus on Modernization and Generative AI! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Guidewire recently disclosed its results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, which exhibited a strong operational performance and positive strategic developments.
  • The company, which provides insurance software, expressed confidence in its cloud-based offerings and reported significant progress in both customer traction and financial metrics.
  • During this quarter, Guidewire saw substantial customer adoption, evidenced by the closure of eight InsuranceSuite Cloud deals, bringing the year-to-date tally to 24—an increase of 33% year-over-year.

Littelfuse Inc.: Will Its Increased Design Win Momentum Last? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Littelfuse, a global leader in circuit protection, reported its first quarter 2024 results which reflect a balanced narrative of progressing through challenges while capitalizing on long-term growth opportunities.
  • The company continues to execute its strategies amid an evolving macroeconomic context, emphasizing diversification and operational efficiency which has been pivotal in navigating high inflation and uncertain market conditions.
  • Littelfuse reported a drop in revenue by 12% year-over-year, attributing much of this decline to ongoing inventory adjustments across its channels and weaker end-market demands particularly noted in the Electronics and Industrial segments.

MACOM Technology Solutions: How They Are Strengthening Market Presence in Data Centers and Telecom! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MACOM’s financial results for the second fiscal quarter of 2024 reflect a healthy and profitable business environment, with continuing investments aimed at future growth opportunities.
  • The company reported a revenue of $181.2 million, a 15.3% sequential increase, and adjusted EPS of $0.59 per diluted share.
  • These figures are indicative of MACOM’s robust performance, particularly in the Industrial and Defense (I&D) and telecom sectors, demonstrating strong existing operations and the added financial benefits from the recent acquisition of an RF business.

Smartsheet Inc.: Focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and User Engagement! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Smartsheet has reported a strong start to the fiscal year 2025 with a number of positive developments, though there are areas that warrant close observation as the company moves forward with its new initiatives.
  • Smartsheet’s growth narrative continues to strengthen with a reported annualized recurring revenue (ARR) of $1.056 billion, marking an increase of 19% year-over-year.
  • This growth has been buoyed by a significant increase in the number of customers contributing more than $100,000 to Smartsheet’s ARR, indicating robust customer expansion and deeper penetration within existing accounts.

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Daily Brief Financials: Great Eastern Holdings, Abacus Storage King, Vinhomes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair
  • MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Abacus Storage King Deleted (Finally!)
  • MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

By Arun George

  • Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) IFA opines that the OCBC (OCBC SP) S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.
  • In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.
  • The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. 

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Abacus Storage King Deleted (Finally!)

By Brian Freitas


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • Viettel Construction (CTR VN) and EVN Finance (EVF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 June.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a one-way trade of US$27m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
  • There will be over US$1m to buy in Vinhomes (VHM VN), Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (VCB VN) and Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)

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Daily Brief Health Care: Jeisys Medical, Medipal Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric
  • Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Mixed FY24 Result; Growth to Continue in FY25; Buyback Plan Announced


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric

By David Blennerhassett


Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Mixed FY24 Result; Growth to Continue in FY25; Buyback Plan Announced

By Tina Banerjee

  • Medipal Holdings (7459 JP) reported FY24 result, with revenue and net profit beating and operating profit missing guidance. FY24 revenue increased 6% YoY, driven by growth across all business segments.
  • The company is anticipating an upturn in revenue and operating profit in FY25. However, FY25 net profit is expected to fall due to the absence of extraordinary income.
  • The company has announced a share buy-back plan to purchase up to 2.5M shares for ¥5B from May 15, 2024 to August 30, 2024.  

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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co, Donaldson Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii
  • Donaldson Company Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion in Life Sciences Sector & Other Major Drivers


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii

By David Blennerhassett


Donaldson Company Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion in Life Sciences Sector & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Donaldson Company’s third quarter fiscal 2024 results illuminate a company adeptly navigating its competitive landscape and growth avenues, albeit with nuances across different segments and geographies that invite a more tempered enthusiasm.
  • The reported 6% increase in total sales to a record $928 million and a 22% increase in EPS to a record $0.92, alongside an operating margin at a more than decade-high, succinctly encapsulate the firm’s short-term operational success.
  • In Mobile Solutions, notable volume growth driven by the aftermarket business has surpassed pricing gains, which points to robust market performance and potentially sustainable revenue streams from recurrent business.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 7th): Xero and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 7th): Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy
  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 14th): Tencent, Meituan, Aia


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 7th): Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 7th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy.

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 14th): Tencent, Meituan, Aia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 14th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).

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