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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: Doosan Robotics , I-Scream Media and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Group: Index Implications of the Corporate Restructuring
  • I-Scream Media IPO Valuation Analysis


Doosan Group: Index Implications of the Corporate Restructuring

By Brian Freitas


I-Scream Media IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our valuation analysis suggests a base case implied market cap of 567 billion won or implied price per share of 41,450 won.
  • This suggests a 3% upside to the high end of the IPO price range. We would not subscribe to this IPO due to lack of upside.
  • Our base case valuation is based on P/E of 18.8x using the company’s net profit of 30.2 billion won in 2023.

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Daily Brief Singapore: DBS and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows


Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows

By Geoff Howie

  • The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional inflow.
  • Among the STI constituents, DBS led the net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, with inflow of S$118 million, reversing S$28 million of net institutional outflow in 1H24.
  • For the contingent of STI constituents that ranked among the 30 stocks with highest net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, DBS Group Holdings booked the highest net institutional inflow of S$118 million.

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Daily Brief United States: Super Micro Computer, Onestream Inc, UL Solutions Inc, Joby Aviation , Limoneira Co, Corn Active Contract, Matador Resources Co, Bitcoin Pro, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp, Chord Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Super Micro Ascends, Walgreens Exits Nasdaq-100 on 22/Jul. How Will Index Rebalancing Pan Out?
  • OneStream IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Modest Upside and Top-Tier Backers
  • Ul Solutions Inc -Redh (ULS) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024
  • Joby Aviation (JOBY) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
  • Limoneira Co (LMNR) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
  • Latest WASDE Paints Agri Bearishness; Wheat Harvest Dominates While Corn & Beans Find Thin Support
  • Matador Resources Company: Enhanced Production and Resource Optimization A Critical Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers
  • The Bulls Strike Back
  • Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.: Leveraging Digital Platforms to Augment Customer Engagement! – Major Drivers
  • Chord Energy presented robust results for the first quarter of 2024


Super Micro Ascends, Walgreens Exits Nasdaq-100 on 22/Jul. How Will Index Rebalancing Pan Out?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • SMCI has surged 214% YTD and will form part of NASDAQ-100 from 22/Jul topping $50 billion in valuation. Strategic partnerships with Nvidia & AMD boosted its AI server market presence. 
  • Walgreens has declined 56% YTD with its market cap falling below $10 billion. Failing to maintain at least 0.1% of NASDAQ 100’s market value has led to its exclusion. 
  • Historically, stocks added to indices outperformed briefly post-announcement. Although recent trend shows minimal outperformance, SMCI and WBA have shown strong trends due to idiosyncratic drivers.

OneStream IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Modest Upside and Top-Tier Backers

By Andrei Zakharov

  • OneStream, the financial software maker and enterprise-focused technology company, set terms for its IPO and plans to raise ~$441M at the midpoint of the range at $18.00 per share.  
  • The company was backed by American global investment company KKR, D1 Capital Partners, Investment Group of Santa Barbara and Tiger Global Management.
  • The offering is attractively valued vs. peers given 30%+ growth rates at scale and cash flow generation. OneStream shares are expected to list on the Nasdaq next week.

Ul Solutions Inc -Redh (ULS) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • UL Solutions offers independent testing, inspection, and certification services globally as a newly listed company
  • They are the only US-listed player in the TIC industry, making them a valuable investment option for potential compound growth
  • With a strong brand and historical roots dating back to 1894, investors see ULS as a potential premium multiple due to their market position, revenue growth, and earnings growth opportunities.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Joby Aviation (JOBY) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Strong team, innovative product, and potential market demand in auto tech space support highly speculative projections for investment in Joby Aerospace
  • Despite concerns about aggressive projections, company’s current valuation offers attractive entry point for investors seeking substantial upside with decent margin of safety
  • Joby’s eVTOL aircraft development and plans for air taxi service differentiate it from other failed SPAC ventures, positioning it as top-tier hard tech startup with potential for success

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Limoneira Co (LMNR) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Limoneira is an agribusiness with underutilized land and water assets, resulting in poor returns for shareholders
  • Peter Nolan, a successful asset manager from Leonard Green, has joined the board along with Global Alpha, indicating a potential turnaround in capital allocation and strategy
  • Nolan’s leadership is expected to unlock the potential of Limoneira’s assets, leading to significant returns for shareholders

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Latest WASDE Paints Agri Bearishness; Wheat Harvest Dominates While Corn & Beans Find Thin Support

By Srinidhi Raghavendra

  • Strong American harvest driving downward pressure on Wheat, likely to offset reductions in EU and Russia.
  • Corn saw modest recovery, driven by muted ending stocks, below trade estimate, but the harvest is going to be the third largest ever.
  • US soybean production remains muted, in line with the Acreage report, and led to moderate recovery in early trading on Friday, but bearish sentiment persists.

Matador Resources Company: Enhanced Production and Resource Optimization A Critical Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Matador Resources Company has reported a promising start to the first quarter of 2024, with significant advancements in operational and financial aspects.
  • The company has successfully enhanced its infrastructure, expanded financial capacities, and is preparing for substantial well completions, indicating a robust growth trajectory.
  • From an operational perspective, Matador Resources has effectively integrated a significant pipeline system totaling 595 miles.

The Bulls Strike Back

By Delphi Digital

  • BTC reclaims multi-month range lows, hinting at potential bullish momentum despite recent sell pressure.
  • Spot ETF inflows surge, showing resilience even as BTC faced significant market cap erosion.
  • ETH spot ETF launch set for July 23, could spark renewed market interest and opportunities.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.: Leveraging Digital Platforms to Augment Customer Engagement! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Grocery Outlet reported fiscal Q1 2024 results that reflected mixed performance, illustrating both operational challenges and promising growth prospects.
  • During the quarter, the company recorded a 7.4% increase in sales, achieving $1.04 billion, spurred on by a 3.9% rise in comparable store sales and reinforced by robust transaction count growth of 7%.
  • This reflects Grocery Outlet’s continued customer appeal and effective store expansion strategy, having opened six new stores during this period.

Chord Energy presented robust results for the first quarter of 2024

By Baptista Research

  • Chord Energy presented robust results for the first quarter of 2024, reflecting notable resilience and capability in its operations and strategic planning.
  • During this period, the company successfully managed unexpected challenges due to adverse weather conditions, quickly restoring production levels while ensuring the safety of its operations.
  • This adaptability helped Chord Energy achieve oil volumes above the company’s expectations, thanks in large part to strong well performance and efficiency gains in their operational cycle times.

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Daily Brief India: Medi Assist Healthcare Services, Hyundai Motor India , Kalyan Jewellers, Niva Bupa Health Insurance and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Medi Assist US$180m Lock-Up Expiry – Multibagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking
  • Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case
  • Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN): Riding the Big Fat Indian Wedding Boom
  • Niva Bupa Health Insurance Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Medi Assist US$180m Lock-Up Expiry – Multibagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking

By Clarence Chu

  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (0886371D IN) was listed on 23rd Jan 2024 after raising US$140m. The IPO had been 100% secondary, with the promoters and pre-IPO investors trimming their stakes.
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (Medi Assist) provides third party administration services to insurance companies via its subsidiaries.
  • Coming up for six-month lockup expiry are the firm’s pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George


Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN): Riding the Big Fat Indian Wedding Boom

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) , a leading jeweller with a pan-India presence, is expected to deliver strong sales growth, and improving returns with its asset-light expansion plans.
  • Indian weddings have transformed from simple rituals to elaborate celebrations requiring heavy spending on jewellery and specialty apparel, reflecting rising affluence and media influence.
  • Wedding related jewellery demand constitutes 60% of India’s total gold jewellery demand and remains resilient regardless of price changes.

Niva Bupa Health Insurance Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Niva Bupa Health Insurance (1226871D IN) is looking to raise US$360m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are MS, Kotak, Axis, ICICI, HDFC, and Motilal Oswal.
  • Niva Bupa Health Insurance (Niva Bupa) is a health insurance firm. Its portfolio consists of health (including retail and group), personal accident, and travel insurance.
  • As per Redseer, the firm was one of India’s largest and fastest growing standalone health insurers (SAHI) based on overall health gross direct premium income (GDPI) in FY24. 

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Daily Brief Japan: Honda Motor, Timee Inc, FP Partner, Tay Two Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • The Honda (7267) Offering – Much Easier Than It Looks
  • Honda (7267 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Timee IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
  • FP Partner (7388 JP): 1H FY11/24 flash update
  • Tay Two Co Ltd (7610 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update


The Honda (7267) Offering – Much Easier Than It Looks

By Travis Lundy

  • At the beginning of this month, we got a scoop from Reuters about a US$3bn selldown of Honda Motor (7267 JP) by P&C insurers and others. 
  • We knew this was coming at some point. The FSA had pushed the insurers to unwind cross-holdings, and it is otherwise of the zeitgeist. 
  • It came out as heavily retail-oriented, and the supply/demand details are otherwise interesting. To boot, there is an EPS boost to come.

Honda (7267 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$3.3 billion secondary placement announcement, Honda Motor (7267 JP)’s shares are down 5% from the undisturbed price of JPY1,791 per share (4 July).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Honda’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 17 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Timee IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee has set an indicative IPO price range of ¥1,350-1,450 per share and will raise US$280m (at the midpoint) where existing shareholders will sell down part of their ownership.
  • We expect Timee’s earnings to grow as the company is still in its early stages and with further growth in scale, we expect Timee’s margins to continue to expand further.
  • Our analysis shows that Timee Inc (215A JP) IPO is valued attractively as the company has better-than-peer margin profile which suggests that there is further upside to implied valuation multiples.

FP Partner (7388 JP): 1H FY11/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue was JPY17.1bn (+17.6% YoY), with life insurance commission revenue at JPY16.4bn (+18.2% YoY).
  • Operating profit was JPY2.7bn (-0.2% YoY), with an OPM decrease of 2.8pp YoY to 15.7%.
  • Acquisition of 333,000 treasury shares for JPY1.0bn, with cancellation scheduled for August 30, 2024.

Tay Two Co Ltd (7610 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales were JPY8.3bn (-0.7% YoY), with secondhand goods accounting for 53.5% of total sales (-0.4pp YoY).
  • Operating profit was JPY111mn (-76.3% YoY), with an operating profit margin of 1.3%, down 4.3pp YoY.
  • As of end-May 2024, Tay Two had 168 stores, opening five Furuichi stores and two franchise stores.

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Daily Brief China: Samson Holding, PC Partner, Cambricon Technologies Lt, Bloks Group, Lenovo and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Samson Holding (531 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.48
  • Further “SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal” Musings
  • SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Outperforming (And How!)
  • Pre-IPO Bloks Group – High Growth May Not Be Sustainable
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo


Samson Holding (531 HK): Chairman’s Scheme Privatisation at HK$0.48

By Arun George

  • Samson Holding (531 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Samuel Kuo (Chairman) at HK$0.48 per share, a 77.8% and 50.0% premium to undisturbed and last close price, respectively. 
  • The key condition will be approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (<10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The offer price is final.
  • The attractive takeover premium, lack of shareholders holding a blocking stake, and low AGM minority participation rate point to a done deal. However, this is a small cap illiquid stock.

Further “SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal” Musings

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 18th June, personal computer parts and accessories play PC Partner (1263 HK)  announced a SGX listing was under consideration; and a possible withdrawal of the HKEx listing.
  • This development was discussed in PC Partner (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal.  PC Partner subsequently announced a privatisation would not accompany any proposed withdrawal (should it happens).
  • My recent discussions with SFC confirms this is possible. And there was a recent precedent. But there may be caveats.

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Outperforming (And How!)

By Brian Freitas

  • With 70% of the review period complete, 4 non-constituents are in inclusion zone and 5 constituents are in deletion zone.
  • We estimate one-way turnover of 6.5% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.8bn (US$1.2bn). Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. With multiple days ADV to trade on the changes and the recent short selling clampdown, there could be further outperformance.

Pre-IPO Bloks Group – High Growth May Not Be Sustainable

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The key for high growth in 2023/24Q1 lies in its assembly character toys with renowned IPs,which may not be sustainable or even collapse if Bloks fails to renew license agreements.
  • The advantages of Bloks in development prospects, self-developed IPs, brand stickiness are not obvious. The latest valuation reached RMB7.2 billion, but the founder has already cashed out before IPO. 
  • Hong Kong stock market has been “lukewarm” to toy companies. Except Pop Mart, valuation/share price of peers are quite weak.How to gain investor/market’s recognition for Bloks is a question mark.

Morning Views Asia: Lenovo

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Health Care: Glaukos Corp, Haemonetics Corp, Intuitive Surgical, Landos Biopharma , Revolution Medicines and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Glaukos Corporation: Is The Enhanced Training & Scaling of Surgeon Adoption Enough To Warrant A Bullish Rating? – Major Drivers
  • Haemonetics Corporation: A Tale Of Hospital Business Growth and Portfolio Expansion! – Major Drivers
  • Intuitive Surgical Inc.: New Product Innovations & The Strategy To Capitalize On Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Landos Biopharma Inc (LABP) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
  • Revolution Medicines Inc.: Focus on Novel Combo-Therapeutic Approaches and Broader Genetic Mutations & Other Major Developments – Financial Forecasts


Glaukos Corporation: Is The Enhanced Training & Scaling of Surgeon Adoption Enough To Warrant A Bullish Rating? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Glaukom Corporation has reported a promising start to Q1 2024, underscoring strong sales and a forward-looking strategy driven by innovations in glaucoma and corneal health technologies.
  • In the first quarter, Glaukom posted record net sales of $85.6 million, marking a 16% rise compared to the previous year.
  • U.S. and international glaucoma franchises each saw a year-over-year growth of 20%, showcasing robust market engagements driven mainly by the iStent products and the promising launch of iDose TR, a novel microinvasive injectable therapy.

Haemonetics Corporation: A Tale Of Hospital Business Growth and Portfolio Expansion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Haemonetics Corporation has demonstrated significant progress in its business strategies, leading to notable growth in its latest fiscal results, despite facing challenges and changes.
  • Noteworthy is the company’s bold shift in integrating service revenue within its commercial units and adjusting its reporting formats.
  • These efforts aim to streamline internal synergies and enhance accountability, potentially offering improved customer service and driving robust growth in the new work structure.

Intuitive Surgical Inc.: New Product Innovations & The Strategy To Capitalize On Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Intuitive Surgical’s first quarter of 2024 demonstrates robust performance in procedure growth and system placements despite some regional adversity.
  • The solid results reflect consistent execution and innovation in its product offerings, such as the launch of the next-generation multiport platform, da Vinci 5, and the roll-out of the da Vinci SP platform in Europe.
  • While the company shows resilience and growth potential, there are several factors and challenges that investors should consider when evaluating its investment prospects.

Landos Biopharma Inc (LABP) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Biopharma company LABP targeted for takeover by AbbVie with offer of $20.42 cash per share and CVR potentially worth over $11
  • Deal valued at $137.5 million in cash and $75 million in contingent value rights, expected to close in Q2 2024
  • CVR presents opportunity for potentially lucrative payout but comes with risks associated with illiquid securities

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Revolution Medicines Inc.: Focus on Novel Combo-Therapeutic Approaches and Broader Genetic Mutations & Other Major Developments – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Revolution Medicines has posted the financial and operational updates for the first quarter of 2024, emphasizing significant advancements in its novel RAS(ON) inhibitor pipeline.
  • The company continues to prioritize advancing RMC-6236 into pivotal monotherapy trials in major cancers driven by oncogenic RAS variants, with a strong focus on expanding the clinical applications of RMC-6236 beyond G12X mutations into different RAS genotypes and tumor types.
  • In the past quarter, Revolution Medicines has provided encouraging preclinical and clinical data, particularly highlighting the potential of RMC-6236 in treating various cancers, including pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and non-small cell lung cancer.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Robotics , Medi Assist Healthcare Services, Joby Aviation , Timee Inc, NEXTracker and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Group: Index Implications of the Corporate Restructuring
  • Medi Assist US$180m Lock-Up Expiry – Multibagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking
  • Joby Aviation (JOBY) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
  • Timee IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
  • Nextracker Inc.: A Competitive Advantage Through Global Expansion and Market Diversification!


Doosan Group: Index Implications of the Corporate Restructuring

By Brian Freitas


Medi Assist US$180m Lock-Up Expiry – Multibagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking

By Clarence Chu

  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (0886371D IN) was listed on 23rd Jan 2024 after raising US$140m. The IPO had been 100% secondary, with the promoters and pre-IPO investors trimming their stakes.
  • Medi Assist Healthcare Services (Medi Assist) provides third party administration services to insurance companies via its subsidiaries.
  • Coming up for six-month lockup expiry are the firm’s pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.

Joby Aviation (JOBY) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Strong team, innovative product, and potential market demand in auto tech space support highly speculative projections for investment in Joby Aerospace
  • Despite concerns about aggressive projections, company’s current valuation offers attractive entry point for investors seeking substantial upside with decent margin of safety
  • Joby’s eVTOL aircraft development and plans for air taxi service differentiate it from other failed SPAC ventures, positioning it as top-tier hard tech startup with potential for success

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Timee IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Timee has set an indicative IPO price range of ¥1,350-1,450 per share and will raise US$280m (at the midpoint) where existing shareholders will sell down part of their ownership.
  • We expect Timee’s earnings to grow as the company is still in its early stages and with further growth in scale, we expect Timee’s margins to continue to expand further.
  • Our analysis shows that Timee Inc (215A JP) IPO is valued attractively as the company has better-than-peer margin profile which suggests that there is further upside to implied valuation multiples.

Nextracker Inc.: A Competitive Advantage Through Global Expansion and Market Diversification!

By Baptista Research

  • Nextracker’s Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2024 conference detailed a period of significant achievement and robust performance, balanced by a practical outlook on the evolving challenges and opportunities in the solar industry.
  • The company reported a strong year with highlights including a 40% annual increase in Q4 revenue to $737 million and a doubling of adjusted EBITDA to $160 million for the same period.
  • This capped a fiscal year where revenue soared over 30% to hit $2.5 billion with adjusted EDBITA more than doubling to $521 million.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Red 5 Ltd, Iron Ore, Matador Resources Co, Cemex SAB de CV ADR, DT Midstream Inc, Kinetik Holdings , Murphy Oil Corp, Noble Corp Plc, Pbf Energy Inc Class A and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September
  • [Iron Options Weekly 2024/28] Supply/Demand Outlook for Iron Ore Outweighs Stimulus Hopes
  • Matador Resources Company: Enhanced Production and Resource Optimization A Critical Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers
  • Cemex: The Promising Credit Story of a Regional Leader in the Cement Industry
  • DT Midstream Inc.: Emerging Opportunities in Carbon Capture and Sequestration! – Major Drivers
  • Fortescue Metals Group (FMG AU): High Dividend Yield of 9%, What to Expect From Q4 FY24
  • Kinetik Holdings Inc.: Strategic Market Positioning Through PHP Capacity! – Major Drivers
  • Murphy Oil Corporation: Exploration and Expansion of Portfolio & Other Major Drivers
  • Noble Corporation Plc: Exploration & Production Contract Renewals & Other Major Drivers
  • PBF Energy Inc.: Adaptation to Market Conditions and Regulatory Environment! – Major Drivers


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to September

By Brian Freitas

  • With nearly 80% of the review period complete, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in September.
  • There is a lot of stocks for passive trackers to trade on the index changes with the largest impacts on the potential changes to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by a LOT over the last few months and continued positioning could lead to further gains.

[Iron Options Weekly 2024/28] Supply/Demand Outlook for Iron Ore Outweighs Stimulus Hopes

By Pranay Yadav

  • Following the iron ore rally at the start of the month, prices have corrected sharply lower owing to downbeat economic data and an inventory buildup.
  • Option activity over the past week was notably skewed towards put options suggesting a negative sentiment. Weekly options volume was sharply lower WoW.
  • Recent bearish sentiment has been accompanied by a decline in IV. Outcome from the plenary meeting is likely to reignite volatility in the coming weeks.

Matador Resources Company: Enhanced Production and Resource Optimization A Critical Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Matador Resources Company has reported a promising start to the first quarter of 2024, with significant advancements in operational and financial aspects.
  • The company has successfully enhanced its infrastructure, expanded financial capacities, and is preparing for substantial well completions, indicating a robust growth trajectory.
  • From an operational perspective, Matador Resources has effectively integrated a significant pipeline system totaling 595 miles.

Cemex: The Promising Credit Story of a Regional Leader in the Cement Industry

By Leandro Gubler

  • We are initiating coverage on Cemex with a preference for CX 5.20% 2030 bonds. 
  • Cemex’s business position, favorable market trends within its key markets, commitment to further strengthening its credit profile, and credit-positive strategic priorities support our optimistic view on the name.
  • For EM investors, we prefer CX 5.20% 2030, considering these bonds are trading wide to the Mexican Sovereign, the EM BBB Index, and the LatAm BBB Index.

DT Midstream Inc.: Emerging Opportunities in Carbon Capture and Sequestration! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • DT Midstream reported a positive start to the first quarter of 2024, underpinned by advancements in strategic growth projects and stable financial metrics.
  • The highlights from the results include an adjusted EBITDA of $245 million, marking an increase of $6 million from the previous quarter.
  • These figures were attributed to a robust performance in the gathering segment and consistent results in the pipeline segment.

Fortescue Metals Group (FMG AU): High Dividend Yield of 9%, What to Expect From Q4 FY24

By Sameer Taneja

  • Fortescue Metals (FMG AU) trades at a steady dividend yield of 9%, assuming a 115 USD/ton iron ore price and an 80% payout. 
  • The payout risk lies in incremental capex spend on green energy in future years. For FY24, the company has committed USD 500 mn  (overall capex 3.0-3.2 bn USD). 
  • We expect shipments of ~54 million tons for Q4 FY24 (in its production report to be released on 25th July) and 192 million tons for FY24 (flat YoY).

Kinetik Holdings Inc.: Strategic Market Positioning Through PHP Capacity! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Kinetik reported a strong start to the year, surpassing its own internal expectations and signaling robust growth prospects for 2024.
  • In Q1, Kinetik recorded an adjusted EBITDA of $234 million, marking a 25% increase year-over-year.
  • This positive performance was primarily driven by volume growth, leveraging contributions from the Permian Highway Pipeline (PHP) expansion, and the Delaware Link.

Murphy Oil Corporation: Exploration and Expansion of Portfolio & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Murphy Oil Corporation displayed a mixed performance in its first quarter of 2024, with several areas of strength along with areas requiring attentiveness.
  • The company achieved a production output of 170,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, operating at the upper end of its anticipated range.
  • This was primarily driven by higher production in Eagle Ford Shale and Tupper Montney.

Noble Corporation Plc: Exploration & Production Contract Renewals & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Noble Corporation’s first quarter 2024 results reflect both strengths and areas of concern as they position themselves in a changing market landscape.
  • One of the key highlights from the quarterly review includes an adjusted EBITDA of $183 million, illustrating a 32% increase on a year-over year basis.
  • This growth primarily stemmed from solid operational uptime and a slight bump in marketed utilization.

PBF Energy Inc.: Adaptation to Market Conditions and Regulatory Environment! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PBF Energy recently presented updates on its operational and financial performance for the first quarter of 2024, along with insights into future strategy adjustments.
  • Reflecting a mixed performance during this period, the results demonstrate both challenges and strengths in PBF Energy’s operations.
  • From a financial standpoint, PBF Energy reported adjusted net income of $0.85 per share and adjusted EBITDA of $301.5 million.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Gigabyte Technology, PC Partner, Super Micro Computer, Cambricon Technologies Lt, I-Scream Media, Onestream Inc, UL Solutions Inc, Lenovo, Intelsat Sa and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Gigabyte GDRs Early Look – While Core Segment Has Slowed, Had Benefited from the AI Server Wave
  • Gigabyte GDR Offering – Not Wholly Convinced, but Discount at Wide End Is Inline with the Average
  • Further “SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal” Musings
  • Super Micro Ascends, Walgreens Exits Nasdaq-100 on 22/Jul. How Will Index Rebalancing Pan Out?
  • SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Outperforming (And How!)
  • I-Scream Media IPO Valuation Analysis
  • OneStream IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Modest Upside and Top-Tier Backers
  • Ul Solutions Inc -Redh (ULS) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024
  • Morning Views Asia: Lenovo
  • Intelsat (INTEL 6.5% 3/15/30) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024


Gigabyte GDRs Early Look – While Core Segment Has Slowed, Had Benefited from the AI Server Wave

By Clarence Chu

  • Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT) is looking to raise up to US$350m in its upcoming GDR offering. The firm is also looking to raise another US$300m via convertible bonds.
  • In late Jun 2024, Gigabyte announced that it had received its shareholder’s approval to issue between 32-38m common shares via a GDR offering. 
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.

Gigabyte GDR Offering – Not Wholly Convinced, but Discount at Wide End Is Inline with the Average

By Clarence Chu

  • Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT) is looking to raise up to US$307m in its global depository receipts (GDRs) offering. The firm is also looking to raise another US$300m via convertible bonds.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Further “SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal” Musings

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 18th June, personal computer parts and accessories play PC Partner (1263 HK)  announced a SGX listing was under consideration; and a possible withdrawal of the HKEx listing.
  • This development was discussed in PC Partner (1263 HK) Muses SGX Listing & HKEx Withdrawal.  PC Partner subsequently announced a privatisation would not accompany any proposed withdrawal (should it happens).
  • My recent discussions with SFC confirms this is possible. And there was a recent precedent. But there may be caveats.

Super Micro Ascends, Walgreens Exits Nasdaq-100 on 22/Jul. How Will Index Rebalancing Pan Out?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • SMCI has surged 214% YTD and will form part of NASDAQ-100 from 22/Jul topping $50 billion in valuation. Strategic partnerships with Nvidia & AMD boosted its AI server market presence. 
  • Walgreens has declined 56% YTD with its market cap falling below $10 billion. Failing to maintain at least 0.1% of NASDAQ 100’s market value has led to its exclusion. 
  • Historically, stocks added to indices outperformed briefly post-announcement. Although recent trend shows minimal outperformance, SMCI and WBA have shown strong trends due to idiosyncratic drivers.

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Outperforming (And How!)

By Brian Freitas

  • With 70% of the review period complete, 4 non-constituents are in inclusion zone and 5 constituents are in deletion zone.
  • We estimate one-way turnover of 6.5% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.8bn (US$1.2bn). Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
  • The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. With multiple days ADV to trade on the changes and the recent short selling clampdown, there could be further outperformance.

I-Scream Media IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our valuation analysis suggests a base case implied market cap of 567 billion won or implied price per share of 41,450 won.
  • This suggests a 3% upside to the high end of the IPO price range. We would not subscribe to this IPO due to lack of upside.
  • Our base case valuation is based on P/E of 18.8x using the company’s net profit of 30.2 billion won in 2023.

OneStream IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: Modest Upside and Top-Tier Backers

By Andrei Zakharov

  • OneStream, the financial software maker and enterprise-focused technology company, set terms for its IPO and plans to raise ~$441M at the midpoint of the range at $18.00 per share.  
  • The company was backed by American global investment company KKR, D1 Capital Partners, Investment Group of Santa Barbara and Tiger Global Management.
  • The offering is attractively valued vs. peers given 30%+ growth rates at scale and cash flow generation. OneStream shares are expected to list on the Nasdaq next week.

Ul Solutions Inc -Redh (ULS) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • UL Solutions offers independent testing, inspection, and certification services globally as a newly listed company
  • They are the only US-listed player in the TIC industry, making them a valuable investment option for potential compound growth
  • With a strong brand and historical roots dating back to 1894, investors see ULS as a potential premium multiple due to their market position, revenue growth, and earnings growth opportunities.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Morning Views Asia: Lenovo

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Intelsat (INTEL 6.5% 3/15/30) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Intelsat’s secured bonds offer a potential short-term re-rating opportunity due to discussions of a merger with SES
  • A merger with SES would benefit Intelsat’s equity owners by de-risking their investment and increasing liquidity for SES
  • The Intelsat 6.5% 2030 secured bond could see a significant increase in value if a merger is announced, trading at a yield similar to SES’s <4.5%

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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