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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV, Hozon New Energy Automobile Co Ltd and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd
  • Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Hozon New Energy Automobile Co Ltd (1850123D CH) seeks to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC, MS, Citic, ABCI and CMBI.
  • Hozon New Energy Automobile (HNEA) is a NEV technology company which sells cars under the Neta brand. The prices of its vehicles generally range between US$15,000 to US$45,000. 
  • The firm has been expanding into the more profitable mid-to-high-end market segment and replicating its local success in overseas markets.

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Daily Brief India: HDFC Bank, Dollar Industries, Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • HDFC Bank – Rebalancing & MUFG Acquisition Benefit, Ongoing NPL Stability & Profit Strength
  • The Beat Ideas- Dollar Industries: A Tech-Driven Transformation in the Innerwear Market
  • Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd


HDFC Bank – Rebalancing & MUFG Acquisition Benefit, Ongoing NPL Stability & Profit Strength

By Daniel Tabbush

  • There is renewed interest in HDFC Bank given potential for stock index re-balancing as well as an acquisition for one of its subsidiaries
  • The story with HDFC Bank is strong regardless of these new ancillary positives, where growth is incredibly stable, and credit metrics shine
  • We remind that the amalgamation of HDFC Finance remains new, and gains are still not fully reflected, but a look at costs/assets shows progress

The Beat Ideas- Dollar Industries: A Tech-Driven Transformation in the Innerwear Market

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Dollar has 15% market share in the Indian hosiery space with 2,000 products
  • Strategically expanding the Distribution network by targeting specific areas with Lakshya   
  • Integrated value chain from Spinning to stitching to marketing and distribution

Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Japan: Honda Motor, Daidoh Ltd, SUNWELS Co, Timee Inc, Aisin , Digital Arts, Tsubakimoto Kogyo, Srg Takamiya and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small
  • JAPAN ACTIVISM: Strategic Capital Target Daido (3205) Now A Murakami Target Too
  • Sunwels Co (9229) – Nursing Care Operator Offering and TOPIX Inclusion
  • Honda (7267 JP): A US$3.3 Billion Secondary Offering
  • Honda Motor Placement – Large in Size, Relatively Small in Other Terms
  • Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case
  • Aisin Corp Placement – Follow Up – Could Fall into a Similar Fate as past Large JP Secondary Deals
  • Digital Arts: Decision to Deconsolidate DAC Business – A Positive Move
  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 Jp) – Record Net Sales for Second Consecutive Year
  • 4Q Follow-Up – Takamiya (2445 JP)


Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small

By Travis Lundy

  • Just pre-close on 2 July, Reuters carried an article suggesting a ¥500bn secondary offering in Honda Motor (7267 JP) as insurers sold. The stock fell 4% in minutes. 
  • Honda semi-confirmed but it took two days to get to the details, now out. The stock climbed in the meantime. 
  • At launch, this deal is two-thirds covered by buyback + passive demand but the supply is heavily-weighted to retail. Cheaper than it looks, lots of moving parts. Read the details!

JAPAN ACTIVISM: Strategic Capital Target Daido (3205) Now A Murakami Target Too

By Travis Lundy

  • Small cap Japanese manufacturer and purveyor of apparel Daidoh Ltd (3205 JP) has consistently been a target for value investors. In late 2022, Strategic Capital went over 5%.
  • They have bought more, and as of end-March, they declared 24.85% of TSO (28% of voting rights), but they have 33%. They made proposals for the AGM. They won one. 
  • Now Murakami-san has bought in, going over 5%. This gets interesting. Together they have 39.4% as of last week, and probably more now. That should get them 50+% next AGM/EGM.

Sunwels Co (9229) – Nursing Care Operator Offering and TOPIX Inclusion

By Travis Lundy

  • On 2 July 2024, nursing care operator SUNWELS Co (9229 JP) announced a sale of Treasury shares and newly-issued shares, and with it, a move to TSE Prime (therefore TOPIX)
  • The stock, of course, popped. The stock starts with VERY low float because the CEO and his company own 64% of shares out ex-treasury. 
  • The offering is much larger than the TOPIX inclusion, so this is really more about the growth story.

Honda (7267 JP): A US$3.3 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Honda Motor (7267 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 298.9 million shares (including overallotment). At the close, the offer, including overallotment, is worth JPY535 billion (US$3.3 million).
  • The offering is another sign that the unwinding of cross-shareholdings is catching pace as part of Japan’s corporate governance reforms.
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 17 and 22 July (likely 17 July).

Honda Motor Placement – Large in Size, Relatively Small in Other Terms

By Sumeet Singh

  • A group of shareholders aims to raise up to US$3.2bn via selling around 5% of Honda Motor (7267 JP) .
  • The possibility of such a selldown was flagged earlier in the week by Reuters. Thus, the deal is well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.
  • In Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, an industry-low FCF profile, and a business model predicated on access to large funding and significant share option dilution.

Aisin Corp Placement – Follow Up – Could Fall into a Similar Fate as past Large JP Secondary Deals

By Clarence Chu


Digital Arts: Decision to Deconsolidate DAC Business – A Positive Move

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Digital Arts (2326 JP) , based in Japan offers internet security software and appliances  globally. The company also provides consulting services related to information security.
  • The company’s share price has moved up by more than 30% over the last 30-days driven by DA’s decision to deconsolidate its DAC business.
  • Given the high-cost nature, we welcome Digital Arts’ move to deconsolidate the DAC business as it should help improve the company’s profitability.

Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 Jp) – Record Net Sales for Second Consecutive Year

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) is an industrial equipment–related trading company with a history that goes back more than a century.
  • While primarily handling power transmission products, such as motors and chains, the Company also handles factory automation (FA) equipment, including conveyors for automobiles and liquid crystals.
  • Furthermore, the Company is expanding into other industrial equipment parts, including actuators, such as cylinders, for semiconductor-manufacturing equipment, and conveyor equipment in factories, inspection equipment, and various types of meters. 

4Q Follow-Up – Takamiya (2445 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Takamiya (hereafter, the Company) announced its FY24/3 full-year earnings results on Friday, May 10, 2024 after the market closed.
  • Sales, operating profit, and net profit were below its initial estimates, except for ordinary profit.
  • However, a significant increase in profits were achieved thanks to the strong performance of its high-margin rental business.

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Most Read: China Traditional Chinese Medicine, Honda Motor, Toyota Motor, Daidoh Ltd, Douyu International Holdings, SUNWELS Co, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • China TCM (570.HK) Update – Behind The Share Price Plunge and Prospects for Privatization Progress
  • Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small
  • Japan Cross-Shareholding – Summary Matrix – Over US$100bn of Selling in 118 Companies
  • JAPAN ACTIVISM: Strategic Capital Target Daido (3205) Now A Murakami Target Too
  • Screening For The Next Douyu (DOYU US)
  • Sunwels Co (9229) – Nursing Care Operator Offering and TOPIX Inclusion
  • Honda (7267 JP): A US$3.3 Billion Secondary Offering
  • Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Cheaper than Peers with Index Inclusion Kicker
  • Honda Motor Placement – Large in Size, Relatively Small in Other Terms
  • A Practical Guide to Create A Workable Electronic File for KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Simulation


China TCM (570.HK) Update – Behind The Share Price Plunge and Prospects for Privatization Progress

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The slow progress of privatization is related to recent high-level changes in CNPGC. Decisions on SOE deals with “strategic purpose” require careful considerations, not based on “one leader’s personal preferences”.
  • Based on public information, we cannot find convincing reason to prove that CNPGC has changed its mind.There’re rumors that China TCM’s privatization is still considered important project on the agenda.
  • China TCM’s has strong fundamentals to support valuation. If there is no announcement, the privatization process is expected to proceed as usual, and we continue to wait for the voting.  

Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small

By Travis Lundy

  • Just pre-close on 2 July, Reuters carried an article suggesting a ¥500bn secondary offering in Honda Motor (7267 JP) as insurers sold. The stock fell 4% in minutes. 
  • Honda semi-confirmed but it took two days to get to the details, now out. The stock climbed in the meantime. 
  • At launch, this deal is two-thirds covered by buyback + passive demand but the supply is heavily-weighted to retail. Cheaper than it looks, lots of moving parts. Read the details!

Japan Cross-Shareholding – Summary Matrix – Over US$100bn of Selling in 118 Companies

By Sumeet Singh

  • Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding work, in this note we look to summarize our work so far by looking at where most of the selling will likely come.
  • Of the seven companies that we have looked at so far, collectively they have around US$102bn worth of shares to sell in 118 companies. 
  • Of these, they have a combined stake of over US$1bn in 23 companies.

JAPAN ACTIVISM: Strategic Capital Target Daido (3205) Now A Murakami Target Too

By Travis Lundy

  • Small cap Japanese manufacturer and purveyor of apparel Daidoh Ltd (3205 JP) has consistently been a target for value investors. In late 2022, Strategic Capital went over 5%.
  • They have bought more, and as of end-March, they declared 24.85% of TSO (28% of voting rights), but they have 33%. They made proposals for the AGM. They won one. 
  • Now Murakami-san has bought in, going over 5%. This gets interesting. Together they have 39.4% as of last week, and probably more now. That should get them 50+% next AGM/EGM.

Screening For The Next Douyu (DOYU US)

By David Blennerhassett

  • In a particularly altruistic move, live-streaming game platform play Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)  announced a special cash dividend of US$9.76/share, vs. a last price of US$12.59.
  • The cash outlay is roughly US$308mn, and Douyu had cash (as at 1Q24) of US$936.6mn. And no debt.  Founder/chairman/CEO Shaojie Chen (17.2% shareholder) will pocket a tidy ~US$53mn.
  • An outlier; or should we expect more of the same for other cash-rich US-listed China plays?

Sunwels Co (9229) – Nursing Care Operator Offering and TOPIX Inclusion

By Travis Lundy

  • On 2 July 2024, nursing care operator SUNWELS Co (9229 JP) announced a sale of Treasury shares and newly-issued shares, and with it, a move to TSE Prime (therefore TOPIX)
  • The stock, of course, popped. The stock starts with VERY low float because the CEO and his company own 64% of shares out ex-treasury. 
  • The offering is much larger than the TOPIX inclusion, so this is really more about the growth story.

Honda (7267 JP): A US$3.3 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Honda Motor (7267 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 298.9 million shares (including overallotment). At the close, the offer, including overallotment, is worth JPY535 billion (US$3.3 million).
  • The offering is another sign that the unwinding of cross-shareholdings is catching pace as part of Japan’s corporate governance reforms.
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 17 and 22 July (likely 17 July).

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Cheaper than Peers with Index Inclusion Kicker

By Brian Freitas

  • The rally in Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) over the last month should result in the stock being added to global passive portfolios late next month.
  • Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) trades cheaper than peers on forward PE but there has been a big rally in the stock over the last month.
  • There has been an increase in cumulative excess volume since mid-May and there will be positioning for the event, but there could be further gains in the stock.

Honda Motor Placement – Large in Size, Relatively Small in Other Terms

By Sumeet Singh

  • A group of shareholders aims to raise up to US$3.2bn via selling around 5% of Honda Motor (7267 JP) .
  • The possibility of such a selldown was flagged earlier in the week by Reuters. Thus, the deal is well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

A Practical Guide to Create A Workable Electronic File for KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Simulation

By Sanghyun Park

  • Predicting KOSPI 200 rebalancing is straightforward, focusing on quantitative screening rather than qualitative factors, unlike other indices.
  • Accurate simulation of KOSPI 200 requires daily data on shares, volume, and prices for six months, typically sourced from KOSCOM due to limitations in free data access.
  • I plan to share a practical KOSPI 200 simulation file with Smartkarma readers, leveraging freely available data from Google Finance.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2024
  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 28th): Macquarie, Westpac, CSL, Pro Medicus, Yancoal Australia


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2024

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • During 2Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +7.1%y/y, down slightly from the +8.7% reported during 1Q2024.
  • Overall, 61% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and 57% delivered positive Sales surprises, a marked improvement from the previous quarter.
  • Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 28th): Macquarie, Westpac, CSL, Pro Medicus, Yancoal Australia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 28th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Macquarie, Westpac, CSL, Pro Medicus, Yancoal Australi, Telstra, Insurance Australia.

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Daily Brief ECM: Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small
  • Honda (7267 JP): A US$3.3 Billion Secondary Offering
  • Honda Motor Placement – Large in Size, Relatively Small in Other Terms
  • Sanil Electric IPO: Valuation Insights
  • Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case
  • Aisin Corp Placement – Follow Up – Could Fall into a Similar Fate as past Large JP Secondary Deals
  • Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small

By Travis Lundy

  • Just pre-close on 2 July, Reuters carried an article suggesting a ¥500bn secondary offering in Honda Motor (7267 JP) as insurers sold. The stock fell 4% in minutes. 
  • Honda semi-confirmed but it took two days to get to the details, now out. The stock climbed in the meantime. 
  • At launch, this deal is two-thirds covered by buyback + passive demand but the supply is heavily-weighted to retail. Cheaper than it looks, lots of moving parts. Read the details!

Honda (7267 JP): A US$3.3 Billion Secondary Offering

By Arun George

  • Honda Motor (7267 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 298.9 million shares (including overallotment). At the close, the offer, including overallotment, is worth JPY535 billion (US$3.3 million).
  • The offering is another sign that the unwinding of cross-shareholdings is catching pace as part of Japan’s corporate governance reforms.
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 17 and 22 July (likely 17 July).

Honda Motor Placement – Large in Size, Relatively Small in Other Terms

By Sumeet Singh

  • A group of shareholders aims to raise up to US$3.2bn via selling around 5% of Honda Motor (7267 JP) .
  • The possibility of such a selldown was flagged earlier in the week by Reuters. Thus, the deal is well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Sanil Electric IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.
  • In Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, an industry-low FCF profile, and a business model predicated on access to large funding and significant share option dilution.

Aisin Corp Placement – Follow Up – Could Fall into a Similar Fate as past Large JP Secondary Deals

By Clarence Chu


Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Hozon New Energy Automobile Co Ltd (1850123D CH) seeks to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC, MS, Citic, ABCI and CMBI.
  • Hozon New Energy Automobile (HNEA) is a NEV technology company which sells cars under the Neta brand. The prices of its vehicles generally range between US$15,000 to US$45,000. 
  • The firm has been expanding into the more profitable mid-to-high-end market segment and replicating its local success in overseas markets.

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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | US Closed; EU Higher and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | US Closed; EU Higher
  • #24 India Insight: ONDC to Integrate Banks, Corporate Bond Value Decreased, Indiabulls Name Change
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/981 HK/BEKE US/2150 HK
  • China Property – Weekly New Home Sales Data Now Clearly “Less Negative” (To June 30, 2024)
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/TCOM US/NTES US/700 HK/


Ohayo Japan | US Closed; EU Higher

By Mark Chadwick

  • European stocks climbed amid key election developments and rising optimism about potential US interest-rate cuts
  • Foreign investors drove Japanese stock market gains last week, capitalizing on a weakened yen and global interest in AI-related firms
  • In the first half of 2024, domestic sales of electric vehicles in Japan plummeted by 39%

#24 India Insight: ONDC to Integrate Banks, Corporate Bond Value Decreased, Indiabulls Name Change

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • ONDC to Integrate Banks and Fintechs to Expand Credit Services
  • SEBI Reduces Corporate Bond Face Value to Boost Retail Participation
  • Vedanta’s Q1 FY25 sees mixed results; aluminium and iron ore output rise

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/981 HK/BEKE US/2150 HK

By Eric Wen

  • 1211 HK/LI US /1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US: In the 26th week of 2024 (6/24-6/30), new energy vehicles strengthened across the board, mainly due to consumption subsidies(/////////)
  • MNSO US: Indonesia Plans to Impose 100%-200% Tariffs on Chinese Imports (-)
  • Macro News Update: Expectations Rise for Consumption Tax Reform (+)

China Property – Weekly New Home Sales Data Now Clearly “Less Negative” (To June 30, 2024)

By Robert Ciemniak

  • The policy easing and the change in the base effect started to show some impact on new home sales y/y metrics turning ‘”less negative”.
  • We highlight points from our Weekly New Home Sales Data Update Report, which looks at 16 major cities and the latest data for the week ending June 30.
  • Certain weekly metrics on a small sample of cities serve as a good gauge for what to expect directionally in the national NBS data released later.

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/TCOM US/NTES US/700 HK/

By Ying Pan

  • BABA US/JD US/3690 HK: Taobao adds one-hour delivery entrance to app homepage (+/-/-)
  • BABA US: Alibaba upgrades enterprise-chat application “DingTalk” into an AI super-app (+)
  • TCOM US :The average ticket price for domestic routes during the summer vacation period decreased by 12%, with a narrowing decline (+)

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd
  • Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd


Morning Views Asia: Road King Infrastructure, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: JAPAN ACTIVISM: Strategic Capital Target Daido (3205) Now A Murakami Target Too and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • JAPAN ACTIVISM: Strategic Capital Target Daido (3205) Now A Murakami Target Too
  • Screening For The Next Douyu (DOYU US)
  • Sunwels Co (9229) – Nursing Care Operator Offering and TOPIX Inclusion
  • A Practical Guide to Create A Workable Electronic File for KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Simulation
  • S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September


JAPAN ACTIVISM: Strategic Capital Target Daido (3205) Now A Murakami Target Too

By Travis Lundy

  • Small cap Japanese manufacturer and purveyor of apparel Daidoh Ltd (3205 JP) has consistently been a target for value investors. In late 2022, Strategic Capital went over 5%.
  • They have bought more, and as of end-March, they declared 24.85% of TSO (28% of voting rights), but they have 33%. They made proposals for the AGM. They won one. 
  • Now Murakami-san has bought in, going over 5%. This gets interesting. Together they have 39.4% as of last week, and probably more now. That should get them 50+% next AGM/EGM.

Screening For The Next Douyu (DOYU US)

By David Blennerhassett

  • In a particularly altruistic move, live-streaming game platform play Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)  announced a special cash dividend of US$9.76/share, vs. a last price of US$12.59.
  • The cash outlay is roughly US$308mn, and Douyu had cash (as at 1Q24) of US$936.6mn. And no debt.  Founder/chairman/CEO Shaojie Chen (17.2% shareholder) will pocket a tidy ~US$53mn.
  • An outlier; or should we expect more of the same for other cash-rich US-listed China plays?

Sunwels Co (9229) – Nursing Care Operator Offering and TOPIX Inclusion

By Travis Lundy

  • On 2 July 2024, nursing care operator SUNWELS Co (9229 JP) announced a sale of Treasury shares and newly-issued shares, and with it, a move to TSE Prime (therefore TOPIX)
  • The stock, of course, popped. The stock starts with VERY low float because the CEO and his company own 64% of shares out ex-treasury. 
  • The offering is much larger than the TOPIX inclusion, so this is really more about the growth story.

A Practical Guide to Create A Workable Electronic File for KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Simulation

By Sanghyun Park

  • Predicting KOSPI 200 rebalancing is straightforward, focusing on quantitative screening rather than qualitative factors, unlike other indices.
  • Accurate simulation of KOSPI 200 requires daily data on shares, volume, and prices for six months, typically sourced from KOSCOM due to limitations in free data access.
  • I plan to share a practical KOSPI 200 simulation file with Smartkarma readers, leveraging freely available data from Google Finance.

S&P 500 / S&P 1500: Deriving Forecasts & First Prediction for September

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Index Committee’s discretion decreases the predictability of index changes. Even when a company passes all eligibility criteria and thresholds, it might still not be selected.
  • Understanding triggers for index changes, types of additions/deletions and selection patterns, narrows down the pool of candidates and increases conviction of forecasts.
  • Dell Technologies (DELL US) is currently the main candidate to be added by transition to the S&P 500 in September 2024 Quarterly Rebalance.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: HDFC Bank – Rebalancing & MUFG Acquisition Benefit and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • HDFC Bank – Rebalancing & MUFG Acquisition Benefit, Ongoing NPL Stability & Profit Strength
  • What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?
  • The Beat Ideas- Dollar Industries: A Tech-Driven Transformation in the Innerwear Market
  • Digital Arts: Decision to Deconsolidate DAC Business – A Positive Move
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Jul-2024): S. Korea boosts EDA competitiveness.
  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources: These Are The 4 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & 2025! – Financial Forecasts
  • IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Outstanding Performance in 1Q24; Looking for Business Expansion
  • Lululemon (LULU) – Thursday, Apr 4, 2024
  • Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.: Strategic Restaurant Expansion
  • Inspire Medical Systems Inc.: Expansion in International Markets & 3 Factors Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers


HDFC Bank – Rebalancing & MUFG Acquisition Benefit, Ongoing NPL Stability & Profit Strength

By Daniel Tabbush

  • There is renewed interest in HDFC Bank given potential for stock index re-balancing as well as an acquisition for one of its subsidiaries
  • The story with HDFC Bank is strong regardless of these new ancillary positives, where growth is incredibly stable, and credit metrics shine
  • We remind that the amalgamation of HDFC Finance remains new, and gains are still not fully reflected, but a look at costs/assets shows progress

What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

By Douglas Kim

  • On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. 
  • In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.
  • NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military & defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). 

The Beat Ideas- Dollar Industries: A Tech-Driven Transformation in the Innerwear Market

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Dollar has 15% market share in the Indian hosiery space with 2,000 products
  • Strategically expanding the Distribution network by targeting specific areas with Lakshya   
  • Integrated value chain from Spinning to stitching to marketing and distribution

Digital Arts: Decision to Deconsolidate DAC Business – A Positive Move

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Digital Arts (2326 JP) , based in Japan offers internet security software and appliances  globally. The company also provides consulting services related to information security.
  • The company’s share price has moved up by more than 30% over the last 30-days driven by DA’s decision to deconsolidate its DAC business.
  • Given the high-cost nature, we welcome Digital Arts’ move to deconsolidate the DAC business as it should help improve the company’s profitability.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Jul-2024): S. Korea boosts EDA competitiveness.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • South Korea is prioritizing enhancing its EDA competitiveness to stay ahead in the technological race.
  • China is focusing on consolidating promising chip firms while doubling the terminations of IPOs to control the market.
  • Commodity DRAM and NAND chip prices are stalling due to slow demand recovery, affecting Taiwanese companies and PanelSemi’s development of mini LEDs. Vietnam PM strengthens South Korea relations and secures investments in display production and clean energy. Taiwan is aiming to lead in floating wind technology with a projected global investment of EUR250 billion by 2035.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources: These Are The 4 Pivotal Factors Driving Its Performance In 2024 & 2025! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Alpha Metallurgical Resources recently disclosed its financial results for the first quarter of 2024, presenting mixed outcomes amidst challenging market conditions.
  • The company announced an adjusted EBITDA of $190 million, a decline from the $266 million recorded in the previous quarter, citing the softening metallurgical coal market which deteriorated further after the quarter ended, setting a challenging environment for the upcoming quarter.
  • Despite these complex market dynamics, Alpha Metallurgical Resources remains committed to maintaining operational excellence and cost-efficient practices.

IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Outstanding Performance in 1Q24; Looking for Business Expansion

By Tina Banerjee

  • IHH Healthcare (IHH MK) reported highest ever quarterly revenue in 1Q24, with double-digit growth across key metrics. 1Q24 revenue increased 16%, while EBITDA grew at a faster pace of 19%.
  • Favorable patient mix, which was inclined to more acute and complex patients and price adjustments to counter inflation drove the growth. 1Q24 EBITDA margin (22.9%) improved from year-ago quarter (22.3%).
  • The company expects favorable tailwinds from secular trends in its core markets, which will underpin longer-term growth. IHH is on track to add ~4,000 beds (+33% capacity) by 2028.

Lululemon (LULU) – Thursday, Apr 4, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Strong candidate for shorting in the short-run, potential to miss revenue consensus by 4-5ppt in Q1 2024
  • Recommendation to short LULU US when share price is above USD410, price target of USD300 before next earnings date in May 2024
  • Lululemon is a leading brand in women’s indoor training and yoga, overvalued and likely to see a decline in share price

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.: Strategic Restaurant Expansion

By Baptista Research

  • Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. recently discussed its financial performance for the first quarter of 2024, highlighting both favorable outcomes and challenges that depict a mixed fiscal environment.
  • The company, a major player in the fast-food industry in Latin America and the Caribbean, operates primarily under the McDonald’s brand, holding exclusive rights to own, operate, and grant franchises in 20 countries.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Inspire Medical Systems Inc.: Expansion in International Markets & 3 Factors Driving Our ‘Buy’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Inspired Medical Systems First Quarter 2024 performance showcases a robust growth trajectory alongside strategic market advancements and impending innovations.
  • The company reported a notable increase in revenue, which reached $164 million, marking a 28% year-over-year growth.
  • This uplift was primarily driven by enhanced penetration in existing markets and expansion into new territories, both domestically and internationally.

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