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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: Aisin , Mitsui Matsushima, Onward Holdings, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Bike O & Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Aisin (7259 JP): The Current Playbook
  • JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up
  • Onward Holdings (8016 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update
  • Whether Measures to Meet TSE’s Request Increased Certainty Will Be Tested at 2Q Financial Reporting
  • Bike O & Co Ltd (3377 JP): 1H FY11/23 flash update


Aisin (7259 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$1.1 billion secondary placement announcement, Aisin (7259 JP)’s shares are up 2.5% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,243 per share (27 June).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Aisin’s shares have deviated from the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 8 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up

By Travis Lundy

  • On 20 May, I wrote that Japanese activist MURAKAMI Yoshiaki and relations/affiliates had gone from 5% to 20% of Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) in 5 trading days.
  • I wondered if it was real, or a pump & dump, but they went to near 30% in following days. THEN they drifted off as Murakami-Fille sold while Murakami-Père bought. 
  • The reasoning was not clear, but the story had real potential. Still does. Today, shareholders got more good news. 

Onward Holdings (8016 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales rose JPY1.5bn YoY (+2.9% YoY) to JPY51.4bn, driven by higher sales in domestic and overseas apparel businesses.
  • Operating profit decreased JPY306mn YoY (-5.7% YoY) to JPY5.1bn due to a decline in domestic profit and wider overseas losses.
  • Full-year forecasts revised for recurring profit and net income attributable to owners of the parent, reflecting better-than-expected affiliate performance.

Whether Measures to Meet TSE’s Request Increased Certainty Will Be Tested at 2Q Financial Reporting

By Aki Matsumoto

  • If a company hasn’t improved its return such as ROE, it’s difficult to buy its shares until the plan is more certain that cash flow will expand in the future.
  • Since cash flow margin must be raised to increase cash flow, the ultimate goal is to achieve sales growth while raising the profit margin on sales.
  • Cutting costs alone isn’t enough; cash must be used for investments that will lead to future growth, so cash must be used for growth investments as well as stock repurchases.

Bike O & Co Ltd (3377 JP): 1H FY11/23 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In 1H FY11/24, revenue was JPY16.5bn (-5.5% YoY), with an operating loss of JPY244mn and net loss of JPY146mn.
  • Wholesale revenue was JPY8.7bn (-17.1% YoY), retail revenue JPY6.5bn (-0.7% YoY), and other revenue JPY1.3bn (+191.1% YoY).
  • SG&A expenses totaled JPY6.3bn (+4.3% YoY), with selling expenses at JPY2.4bn (-2.9% YoY) and personnel expenses JPY2.2bn (+4.9% YoY).

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Most Read: Honda Motor, Robosense Technology, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Hanwha Corporation, Aisin , Mitsui Matsushima, Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, SHEIN, J&T Global Express and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small
  • Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry – US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement
  • A Practical Guide to Create A Workable Electronic File for KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Simulation
  • Hanwha Corp Tender Offer Details & Arbitrage Trading Assessment
  • Aisin (7259 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Aisin Corp Placement – Follow Up – Could Fall into a Similar Fate as past Large JP Secondary Deals
  • JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up
  • Impact of Kim Byung-Hwan’s Appointment as Korea FSC Chairman on Value-Up Policy
  • SHEIN: Teaming up with Reliance Retail to Re-Enter India. A Win-Win Move
  • HK CEO & Director Dealings (5th Jul 2024): J&T Global Express, Flat Glass, Lifetech Scientific, PCCW


Big ¥500bn Honda (7267) Offering Is Small

By Travis Lundy

  • Just pre-close on 2 July, Reuters carried an article suggesting a ¥500bn secondary offering in Honda Motor (7267 JP) as insurers sold. The stock fell 4% in minutes. 
  • Honda semi-confirmed but it took two days to get to the details, now out. The stock climbed in the meantime. 
  • At launch, this deal is two-thirds covered by buyback + passive demand but the supply is heavily-weighted to retail. Cheaper than it looks, lots of moving parts. Read the details!

Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry – US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

By Sumeet Singh

  • Robosense Technology (2498 HK) raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.
  • The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.
  • In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.

A Practical Guide to Create A Workable Electronic File for KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Simulation

By Sanghyun Park

  • Predicting KOSPI 200 rebalancing is straightforward, focusing on quantitative screening rather than qualitative factors, unlike other indices.
  • Accurate simulation of KOSPI 200 requires daily data on shares, volume, and prices for six months, typically sourced from KOSCOM due to limitations in free data access.
  • I plan to share a practical KOSPI 200 simulation file with Smartkarma readers, leveraging freely available data from Google Finance.

Hanwha Corp Tender Offer Details & Arbitrage Trading Assessment

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hanwha Energy, wholly owned by the Hanwha Group’s owning family, announced a tender offer for an 8% stake in Hanwha Corp at ₩30,000. The tender period is until July 24.
  • Hanwha Energy will buy all shares if tendered less than planned, otherwise pro-rata. Payment in cash eliminates cancellation risk but poses allocation risk.
  • Approximately 10-15% of shares are likely to be the potential ceiling for tendering, minimizing allocation risk for the 8% target. A widening spread of 2-3% could offer arbitrage opportunities.

Aisin (7259 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$1.1 billion secondary placement announcement, Aisin (7259 JP)’s shares are up 2.5% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,243 per share (27 June).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Aisin’s shares have deviated from the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 8 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Aisin Corp Placement – Follow Up – Could Fall into a Similar Fate as past Large JP Secondary Deals

By Clarence Chu


JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up

By Travis Lundy

  • On 20 May, I wrote that Japanese activist MURAKAMI Yoshiaki and relations/affiliates had gone from 5% to 20% of Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) in 5 trading days.
  • I wondered if it was real, or a pump & dump, but they went to near 30% in following days. THEN they drifted off as Murakami-Fille sold while Murakami-Père bought. 
  • The reasoning was not clear, but the story had real potential. Still does. Today, shareholders got more good news. 

Impact of Kim Byung-Hwan’s Appointment as Korea FSC Chairman on Value-Up Policy

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kim Byung-hwan addressed criticism of weak incentives in tax support for the value-up policy, emphasizing boosting dividends. His background suggests effective advocacy for tax reforms in his new role.
  • He prioritized abolishing the FIIT in the National Assembly, citing its hindrance to capital market liquidity and investment promotion, indicating a robust approach to the value-up policy.
  • Kim’s appointment as FSC Chairman signals the government’s commitment to advancing the value-up policy. He emphasizes boosting dividends and aligning tax policies accordingly, shaping trading strategies toward dividend-expanding companies.

SHEIN: Teaming up with Reliance Retail to Re-Enter India. A Win-Win Move

By Devi Subhakesan

  • SHEIN’s fast-fashion apparel is set to hit India through Reliance Retail’s platforms, marking a major comeback after the 2020 ban.
  • This partnership could be a win-win, tapping into India’s booming fashion demand and offering Shein access to the world’s largest youth market, ahead of its proposed IPO.
  • With Shein’s affordable styles and Reliance’s extensive network, this alliance targets the youth market, challenging brands like Tata Group’s Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) owned Zudio.

HK CEO & Director Dealings (5th Jul 2024): J&T Global Express, Flat Glass, Lifetech Scientific, PCCW

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 5th): Tencent and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 5th): Tencent, Meituan, Aia


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 5th): Tencent, Meituan, Aia

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 5th based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).

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  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ESG: Whether Measures to Meet TSE’s Request Increased Certainty Will Be Tested at 2Q Financial Reporting and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Whether Measures to Meet TSE’s Request Increased Certainty Will Be Tested at 2Q Financial Reporting


Whether Measures to Meet TSE’s Request Increased Certainty Will Be Tested at 2Q Financial Reporting

By Aki Matsumoto

  • If a company hasn’t improved its return such as ROE, it’s difficult to buy its shares until the plan is more certain that cash flow will expand in the future.
  • Since cash flow margin must be raised to increase cash flow, the ultimate goal is to achieve sales growth while raising the profit margin on sales.
  • Cutting costs alone isn’t enough; cash must be used for investments that will lead to future growth, so cash must be used for growth investments as well as stock repurchases.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

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  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): #25 India Insight: LIC Stake in IDFC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • #25 India Insight: LIC Stake in IDFC, INOX Wind Soars 13%, Reliance Retail to Launch Shein IPO
  • Taiwan Banks – HFD Profit Figures Good, Tech Exposure Can Support Credit Metrics, Loan Growth
  • US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part II
  • Auctus on Friday – 05/07/2024
  • Despite Many Years and Efforts, Insurance Covered Online Pharmacies Still Only 0.8-3.6% of Total


#25 India Insight: LIC Stake in IDFC, INOX Wind Soars 13%, Reliance Retail to Launch Shein IPO

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Reliance Retail Ventures will launch Shein in India, four years after its ban
  • Indian Railways plans 10,000 non-AC coaches by 2025-26 to alleviate overcrowding issues
  • The coal sector achieved a notable 10.2% growth in May, leading key infrastructure industries

Taiwan Banks – HFD Profit Figures Good, Tech Exposure Can Support Credit Metrics, Loan Growth

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Monthly high frequency data from Taiwan’s banks shows strong profit acceleration through May YTD, which will include insurance investment gains for some
  • This can be driven by accelerating loan growth to technology companies, to related companies, indirectly and may explain in part, Taiwan’s leading loan growth rate vs other countries
  • Credit metrics and net profit growth can be supported for Taiwan’s banks by a sector focus that differs from many others in the region and the world

US Battery and Solar Investments, One Year After, Part II

By Eric Wen

  • One year after we started tracking solar investment in US, the planned capacity almost doubled to 123GW, comparing to addition of 32GW of capacity added in 2023;
  • However, there is a lack of wafer, ingot and polysilicon capacity in planning. Only 7GW of ingot capacity is planned, vs. cell capacity rose from 8% of total to 43%;
  • Chinese participation declined only slightly from 31% to 28%. Lack of wafer, ingot and polysilicon integration means cost of US production stays high. But overcapacity still restrains up stream profitability.

Auctus on Friday – 05/07/2024

By Auctus Advisors

  • Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK52 per share: About to commence drilling in EG – The drilling rig has arrived in EG.
  • The drilling campaign is about to commence.
  • It will include two development wells plus an exploration well at the high impact Akeng Deep prospect.

Despite Many Years and Efforts, Insurance Covered Online Pharmacies Still Only 0.8-3.6% of Total

By Andy Fu

  • Beijing launched the use of medical social insurance (MSI) via online payments, marking MSI payable among all the 1st tier cities in China. But the policy only covers non-prescription;
  • However, the progress for the online penetration of MSI payment was still slow, reaching only 3.6% of all MSI capable pharmacies and 0.8% of all pharmacies in China;
  • The reason for the slow adoption is the vested, interlinked interests among local public hospitals, local MSI administrators and public security concerns over drug disbursement.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
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  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief ECM: Aisin (7259 JP): The Current Playbook and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Aisin (7259 JP): The Current Playbook
  • SHEIN: Teaming up with Reliance Retail to Re-Enter India. A Win-Win Move


Aisin (7259 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$1.1 billion secondary placement announcement, Aisin (7259 JP)’s shares are up 2.5% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,243 per share (27 June).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Aisin’s shares have deviated from the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 8 July. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

SHEIN: Teaming up with Reliance Retail to Re-Enter India. A Win-Win Move

By Devi Subhakesan

  • SHEIN’s fast-fashion apparel is set to hit India through Reliance Retail’s platforms, marking a major comeback after the 2020 ban.
  • This partnership could be a win-win, tapping into India’s booming fashion demand and offering Shein access to the world’s largest youth market, ahead of its proposed IPO.
  • With Shein’s affordable styles and Reliance’s extensive network, this alliance targets the youth market, challenging brands like Tata Group’s Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) owned Zudio.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Outpacing Delivery Expectations Sends Shares Soaring. Is Tesla the Most Undervalued AI Name? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Outpacing Delivery Expectations Sends Shares Soaring. Is Tesla the Most Undervalued AI Name?
  • Wix.com Ltd. – Improved Monetization Leading to Increasing ARPS! – Major Drivers
  • Onward Holdings (8016 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update
  • Credo Technology Group: We Are Unsure Despite Their Expansion in Artificial Intelligence Applications! – Major Drivers
  • Signet Jewelers: A Flexible Operating Model and Strong Free Cash Flow Conversion! – Major Drivers
  • J & J Snack Foods Corp.: Enhanced Distribution Strategy with New Infrastructure Developments As A Critical Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers
  • Meritage Homes Corporation: A Tale Of Community Expansion and Market Share Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) – Friday, Apr 5, 2024
  • Iheartmedia Inc (IHRT) – Friday, Apr 5, 2024
  • Nano Dimension – Agreement to acquire Desktop Metal


Outpacing Delivery Expectations Sends Shares Soaring. Is Tesla the Most Undervalued AI Name?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Tesla delivered 443,956 vehicles in Q2 with production of 410,831 vehicles. It deployed a quarterly record of 9.4 GW hours of battery storage, its best quarter ever.
  • Tesla delivered 443,956 vehicles in Q2 with production of 410,831 vehicles. It deployed a quarterly record of 9.4 GW hours of battery storage, its best quarter ever.
  • Future remains uncertain for Tesla and its investors. Tesla shares are pricing in the launch of a lower priced model and Tesla’s Robotaxi on 8/8.

Wix.com Ltd. – Improved Monetization Leading to Increasing ARPS! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the Q1 2024 earnings, Wix.com Ltd.’s management shared a very positive outlook based on the company’s recent financial results, strategic initiatives, and product advancements.
  • Key achievements included stronger-than-expected Q1 growth, with booking growing to over $457 million and revenue reaching $420 million, exceeding the company’s previous guidance.
  • This performance led to free cash flow growth to more than $111 million.

Onward Holdings (8016 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales rose JPY1.5bn YoY (+2.9% YoY) to JPY51.4bn, driven by higher sales in domestic and overseas apparel businesses.
  • Operating profit decreased JPY306mn YoY (-5.7% YoY) to JPY5.1bn due to a decline in domestic profit and wider overseas losses.
  • Full-year forecasts revised for recurring profit and net income attributable to owners of the parent, reflecting better-than-expected affiliate performance.

Credo Technology Group: We Are Unsure Despite Their Expansion in Artificial Intelligence Applications! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Credo’s fiscal 2024 earnings presented a blend of robust achievements and markers for future growth, tied along with inherent business risks associated with developing and scaling high-speed connectivity solutions.
  • The company highlighted record annual revenue alongside a notable uplift in revenue derived from AI-powered workloads, indicating successful alignment with leading-edge technological demands.
  • Revenue for fiscal year 2024 stood at $193 million, up by 5% year-over-year, with a marked improvement in non GAAP gross margins to 62.5%.

Signet Jewelers: A Flexible Operating Model and Strong Free Cash Flow Conversion! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Signet Jewelers delivered a performance that aligns with its guidance amidst a challenging retail environmen characterized by macroeconomic pressures and heightened discount activities in the jewelry sector.
  • The company reported $1.5 billion in sales and $58 million in adjusted operating income, which falls within the upper half of its guidance range.
  • The quarter saw a sluggish start but improved significantly with late Valentine’s Day shopping and further momentum through March and April.

J & J Snack Foods Corp.: Enhanced Distribution Strategy with New Infrastructure Developments As A Critical Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • J&J Snack Foods recently reported fiscal results for the second quarter of 2024 and showcased a promising outcome, marked by significant sales and profit growth.
  • The company’s strategy and operational efficiencies appear to be paying off, with net sales reaching $357 million, an increase of 6.5% compared to the prior year.
  • This results from a combination of higher volumes, new business performance, and continued robust sales in major segments like Foodservice and Retail.

Meritage Homes Corporation: A Tale Of Community Expansion and Market Share Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Meritage Homes commenced the year with a remarkable first quarter in 2024, demonstrating both strong execution and a robust demand environment, yet facing challenges due to the unpredictability of interest rates and increased land and material costs.
  • On the performance front, Meritage Homes reported substantial gains, with first-quarter sales orders hitting a record 3,991 homes, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase.
  • This noteworthy jump was primarily driven by healthy spring sales, an 8% cancellation rate, and robust demand across all regions, particularly from entry-level homebuyers who make up more than 90% of the order volume.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) – Friday, Apr 5, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Recommendation to short shares of Scotts Miracle-Gro based on excessive leverage from Hawthorne hydroponics subsidiary’s cannabis market bet
  • Core consumer lawn care business facing increased competition, pricing pressure, and challenges in driving volume growth
  • Projected 40% downside for SMG due to precarious financial position and reliance on key retailers and seasonal revenue

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Iheartmedia Inc (IHRT) – Friday, Apr 5, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • IHRT is expected to experience positive growth in the upcoming quarters, driven by its podcasting business
  • CEO and CFO have been buying stocks, indicating confidence in the company’s future prospects
  • Potential debt restructuring and positive growth could lead to a significant increase in IHRT’s equity value by the end of 2025.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Nano Dimension – Agreement to acquire Desktop Metal

By Edison Investment Research

Nano Dimension has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Desktop Metal (DM) in an all-cash deal worth $185m ($5.50 per DM share), with potential adjustments that could reduce it to $135m ($4.07 per share). The deal is subject to regulatory approvals and DM shareholder approval and is expected to close in Q424. With complementary product lines, the combined entity will offer a broad range of additive manufacturing solutions covering multiple verticals and materials, supporting the entire value chain from prototyping through to mass manufacturing.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Hanwha Corp Tender Offer Details & Arbitrage Trading Assessment and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Hanwha Corp Tender Offer Details & Arbitrage Trading Assessment
  • JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up
  • Impact of Kim Byung-Hwan’s Appointment as Korea FSC Chairman on Value-Up Policy
  • HK CEO & Director Dealings (5th Jul 2024): J&T Global Express, Flat Glass, Lifetech Scientific, PCCW
  • Hanwha Energy Launches Tender Offer of 180 Billion Won Worth of Hanwha Corp
  • EQD | Will the HSI Keep Falling In July?


Hanwha Corp Tender Offer Details & Arbitrage Trading Assessment

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hanwha Energy, wholly owned by the Hanwha Group’s owning family, announced a tender offer for an 8% stake in Hanwha Corp at ₩30,000. The tender period is until July 24.
  • Hanwha Energy will buy all shares if tendered less than planned, otherwise pro-rata. Payment in cash eliminates cancellation risk but poses allocation risk.
  • Approximately 10-15% of shares are likely to be the potential ceiling for tendering, minimizing allocation risk for the 8% target. A widening spread of 2-3% could offer arbitrage opportunities.

JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up

By Travis Lundy

  • On 20 May, I wrote that Japanese activist MURAKAMI Yoshiaki and relations/affiliates had gone from 5% to 20% of Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) in 5 trading days.
  • I wondered if it was real, or a pump & dump, but they went to near 30% in following days. THEN they drifted off as Murakami-Fille sold while Murakami-Père bought. 
  • The reasoning was not clear, but the story had real potential. Still does. Today, shareholders got more good news. 

Impact of Kim Byung-Hwan’s Appointment as Korea FSC Chairman on Value-Up Policy

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kim Byung-hwan addressed criticism of weak incentives in tax support for the value-up policy, emphasizing boosting dividends. His background suggests effective advocacy for tax reforms in his new role.
  • He prioritized abolishing the FIIT in the National Assembly, citing its hindrance to capital market liquidity and investment promotion, indicating a robust approach to the value-up policy.
  • Kim’s appointment as FSC Chairman signals the government’s commitment to advancing the value-up policy. He emphasizes boosting dividends and aligning tax policies accordingly, shaping trading strategies toward dividend-expanding companies.

HK CEO & Director Dealings (5th Jul 2024): J&T Global Express, Flat Glass, Lifetech Scientific, PCCW

By David Blennerhassett


Hanwha Energy Launches Tender Offer of 180 Billion Won Worth of Hanwha Corp

By Douglas Kim

  • On 5 July, Hanwha Energy announced a tender offer of 8% stake in Hanwha Corporation (000880 KS) worth 180 billion won.
  • The tender offer price is 30,000 won. Hanwha Energy will launch a tender offer for up to 6 million shares of Hanwha Corp, representing 8% of outstanding shares. 
  • Hanwha Corp’s 34% stake in Hanwha Aerospace which is worth 4.2 trillion won. (191% of Hanwha Corp’s market cap). 

EQD | Will the HSI Keep Falling In July?

By Nico Rosti

  • After an explosive rally in April, the Hang Seng Index has been in a downtrend since mid-May, many are wondering where the index is headed next.
  • July 2024, based on our seasonal pattern analysis, does not have a great chance to close higher (it could, but the odds are not good).
  • If the index goes down in the next 2 weeks, buy the 17600-17300 price area.

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Daily Brief Macro: Hong Kong: How Much GDP Is Deduced from the Northern Spending of Hong Kong Residents and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong: How Much GDP Is Deduced from the Northern Spending of Hong Kong Residents
  • Iron Ore Prices on Fire on Hopes of China’s Third Plenum
  • The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA/HONG KONG (July 5th)
  • Paladin-Fission Merger Primed to Benefit from Rising Uranium Demand
  • Eurozone: Will the Tight Labor Market Persevere?
  • US Nonfarm Payroll Change 206k (consensus 190k) in Jun-24
  • HEW: Passing Political Parties


Hong Kong: How Much GDP Is Deduced from the Northern Spending of Hong Kong Residents

By Alex Ng

  • It is estimated that 0.8 million Hong Kong residents spend weekends at other Bay Areas
  • These residents spend an average of HKD730 on a weekend in Shenzhen
  • The value-added factor for food, alcoholic drinks, and tobacco as well as retail trade are both  0.12, which gives 3.64 billion HKD, or 3.5% in annual GDP

Iron Ore Prices on Fire on Hopes of China’s Third Plenum

By Pranay Yadav

  • Anticipation of an extensive stimulus package at China’s Third Plenum, aimed at revitalizing the decelerating economy, is driving a rebound in iron ore prices.
  • China’s iron ore imports have increased by 7% year-over-year despite a 3% decline in steel output, leading to a buildup in inventories on-shore. 
  • The convergence of technical signals and seasonal trends in the SGX TSI Iron Ore Index suggests a bullish market stance, highlighting potential profit opportunities.

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA/HONG KONG (July 5th)

By David Mudd

  • China and Hong Kong saw positive ETF flows for the week.
  • Dividend Yield, Low Volatility and Value strategies have outperformed during the market correction in Hong Kong.
  • Lufax Holdings jumps after announcement that Ping An will increase stake.  Fufeng slumps after announcing a decline in 1st half profit.

Paladin-Fission Merger Primed to Benefit from Rising Uranium Demand

By Suhas Reddy

  • Combined entity of Paladin Energy and Fission Uranium expected to command a market capitalisation of USD 3.5 billion.  
  • Following the Russia-Ukraine war, uranium miners started looking for alternative sources in low-risk regions, putting focus on US and Canada.
  • Post-Merger, Paladin will have the second-largest resource base of any listed uranium miner in the Western Hemisphere, second only to Cameco.  

Eurozone: Will the Tight Labor Market Persevere?

By Alex Ng

  • With markets and policy makers very much focused on inflation, the EZ labor market continues to shine –apparently. Indeed, the EZ jobless rate has remains at a record-low of 6.4%.
  • That will perturb ECB hawks wary of higher ensuing wage pressures.  
  • But this apparent record-low may exaggerate the tightness in the labor market.

US Nonfarm Payroll Change 206k (consensus 190k) in Jun-24

By Heteronomics AI

  • US Nonfarm Payroll additions for June 2024 surpassed expectations, however, showed a slowdown compared to prior months, particularly in private sector hiring.
  • There is an increase in unemployment and only modest wage growth, indicating a weakening labour market.
  • This economic situation is likely to prompt a Federal Reserve rate cut in the near future.
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HEW: Passing Political Parties

By Phil Rush

  • UK, France, and US voters are showing support for opposition parties in recent elections, with a notable shift away from Biden in the US. Central banks in these countries are expected to make cuts in August and September.
  • Upcoming events include monetary policy decisions from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Korea, Bank Negara Malaysia, and Central Reserve Bank of Peru.
  • The second round of French elections and US inflation data are anticipated to be the focal points for global markets, with a potential September cut from the Federal Reserve if outcomes are benign.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Timee Inc, Hanwha Aerospace, Tsubakimoto Kogyo, Srg Takamiya, UFP Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case
  • What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?
  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 Jp) – Record Net Sales for Second Consecutive Year
  • 4Q Follow-Up – Takamiya (2445 JP)
  • UFP Industries Inc.: Will The Resilience in Housing & Construction Sectors Last?


Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Timee Inc (215A JP), a leading part-time job platform in Japan, is seeking to raise up to US$286 million. Book-building runs from 9 to 23 July.
  • In Timee (215A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on rapidly slowing growth, an industry-low FCF profile, and a business model predicated on access to large funding and significant share option dilution.

What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

By Douglas Kim

  • On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. 
  • In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.
  • NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military & defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). 

Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 Jp) – Record Net Sales for Second Consecutive Year

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) is an industrial equipment–related trading company with a history that goes back more than a century.
  • While primarily handling power transmission products, such as motors and chains, the Company also handles factory automation (FA) equipment, including conveyors for automobiles and liquid crystals.
  • Furthermore, the Company is expanding into other industrial equipment parts, including actuators, such as cylinders, for semiconductor-manufacturing equipment, and conveyor equipment in factories, inspection equipment, and various types of meters. 

4Q Follow-Up – Takamiya (2445 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Takamiya (hereafter, the Company) announced its FY24/3 full-year earnings results on Friday, May 10, 2024 after the market closed.
  • Sales, operating profit, and net profit were below its initial estimates, except for ordinary profit.
  • However, a significant increase in profits were achieved thanks to the strong performance of its high-margin rental business.

UFP Industries Inc.: Will The Resilience in Housing & Construction Sectors Last?

By Baptista Research

  • UFP Industries Inc. has presented its Q1 2024 earnings, showcasing a resilient yet moderately challenged financial and operational landscape.
  • The company reported net sales of $1.64 billion, a decrease driven by diminished demand and lower lumber market levels, alongside a net earnings per share of $1.96, which fortunately exceeded expectations due to a nonrecurring tax benefit.
  • Despite the fall in net sales, the consistency in earnings per share beyond projections is commendable and highlights the company’s effective management and strategic financial controls.

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