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In today’s briefing:
- China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Update Provides Fodder for Bulls and Bears
- Legend Biotech (LEGN US): Takeover Interest – Possible but Tough to Pull Off
- BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stocks Update (July 15)
- Wasion (3393): Smart Power Meter
- Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: US$1.6bn+ One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations.
- Remember DiDi Global? We Check in on China’s Dominant Rideshare Company and Review Recent Results
- CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 11% Turnover; US$3.4bn Round-Trip Trade
- China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) – Negative Growth in 24H1 Seems Inevitable
- Yifeng Pharmacy (603939 CH) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024
- Hello Group Inc (MOMO) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024
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China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK): Update Provides Fodder for Bulls and Bears
- China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)’s monthly update provides ammunition to both the bulls and bears. Since falling on no news on 26 June, the spread has widened to 31.8%.
- The bull view is that while the timelines are delayed, the privatisation remains on track as the update shows ongoing progress in satisfying the pre-condition.
- The bear view is that progress remains glacial, as the consortium wants to withdraw from a binding offer by failing to satisfy the pre-condition before the long stop date.
Legend Biotech (LEGN US): Takeover Interest – Possible but Tough to Pull Off
- Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US) shares increased 12% on Friday as a Street Insider report claimed it received takeover interest and hired Centerview Partners to help review the offer.
- Genscript Biotech (1548 HK), the largest shareholder, shares rose 25%. Genscript responsded that it is not aware of any reasons for these share price movements and any inside information.
- The chances for an offer are low as the offeror would face several hurdles. Nevertheless, without an offer, the upcoming CARVYKTI commercial production in 2H24 will support the share price.
BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stocks Update (July 15)
- Hong Kong market still trades at a substantial discount to Analyst year end price targets.
- Budweiser APAC is dependent on China’s consumer to lift sales while Anta Sports is targeting increased sales from the upcoming Paris Olympics.
- Sunny Optical is seeing substantial growth from it EV segment and Haitian continues to grow its international sales. Shineway RX is a rare value play in the pharmaceutical sector.
Wasion (3393): Smart Power Meter
- Energy is scarce, thus, besides renewable energy, energy efficiency should also be the key focus.
- Wasion Group Holdings (3393 HK) customers have grown from domestic grids to both non-grid and grid domestic as well as overseas customers (Latin America).
- Despite a 65% YTD return, it is still trading at 11x PER, with a 4% dividend yield, 6x EV/EBITDA, and 1.2x PBR.
Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: US$1.6bn+ One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations.
- SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
- In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the December 2024 index rebal event.
- There have been some changes to the SSE 180 expected ADDs/DELs lists since our last insight.
Remember DiDi Global? We Check in on China’s Dominant Rideshare Company and Review Recent Results
- First, we offer a recent history of Didi going back to its June 2021 IPO
- Next, we review the company’s annual results from 2020-23 plus Q124
- Finally, we try to answer the question, “Does Didi need to raise cash soon?”
CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: 50 Changes; 11% Turnover; US$3.4bn Round-Trip Trade
- With 70% of the review period now complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index at the close on 13 December.
- We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.3% at the rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY12.08bn (US$1.7bn). The Information Technology and HealthCare sectors gain at the expense of Industrials.
- The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI Smallcap 500 Index (SH000905 INDEX) since the start of the year with the outperformance gradually picking up.
China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) – Negative Growth in 24H1 Seems Inevitable
- Three business segments of Shineway showed negative YoY growth in 24Q1. 24Q2 performance could remain sluggish. We’re not optimistic about the 24H1 results due to the high base in 23H1.
- It is expected that Shineway’s growth in 24H2 would pick up. If revenue growth of Shineway in 2024 full-year could be double-digit (e.g. 10-15% YoY), it is already good.
- Shineway is undervalued. It has sufficient cash (cash balance of RMB5.9 billion by 2023) and is willing to distribute dividends (usually twice a year). Shineway is suitable for long-term holding.
Yifeng Pharmacy (603939 CH) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024
- Yifeng is a leading pharmacy chain in China with 13,000 stores nationwide, primarily in East and Southcentral regions
- Revenue is mostly derived from prescription and over-the-counter drugs, with Traditional Chinese Medicine and non-medicine products also contributing
- Despite already being a top pharmacy chain in China, Yifeng still has room to grow and capture more market share in the industry
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
Hello Group Inc (MOMO) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024
- Investment opportunity in MOMO, Chinese ADR trading at 70% of net cash and 5x EPS/FCF
- Core business may be in decline, but management has shown good cost discipline and capital allocation
- Potential for MOMO to return $200m per year to shareholders, offering potential 50% return on investment as a cigar butt investment similar to HUYA success.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.