Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As we expected in the preview, total revenue stopped decreasing in 4Q22.</li>
<li>WeChat advertising recovered in 4Q22 earlier than we expected in the preview.</li>
<li>We believe game-related revenues will grow by 8% in 2023 and 19% in 2024.</li>
</ul>


As we expected in the preview, total revenue stopped decreasing in 4Q22.
WeChat advertising recovered in 4Q22 earlier than we expected in the preview.
We believe game-related revenues will grow by 8% in 2023 and 19% in 2024.


Tencent (700 HK): 4Q22, Stop Decreasing WeChat Ad Recovered Earlier

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our Tencent sell from 385 has formed a flat range with a bias to pressure the 331 pivot support to reach our 300-305 buy (cover) target.</li>
<li>The descending wedge or channel is the dominant chart pattern that will drive the medium term trend. Global and HK bear pressure will influence Tencent near term.</li>
<li>From the 300 support zone we see a better macro set up that will see the bull wedge mature and break higher once summer turbulence subsides.</li>
</ul>


Our Tencent sell from 385 has formed a flat range with a bias to pressure the 331 pivot support to reach our 300-305 buy (cover) target.
The descending wedge or channel is the dominant chart pattern that will drive the medium term trend. Global and HK bear pressure will influence Tencent near term.
From the 300 support zone we see a better macro set up that will see the bull wedge mature and break higher once summer turbulence subsides.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zkh-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36818:1" rel="noopener">ZKH Group (ZKH US)</a>, a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zkh-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97653" rel="noopener">ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.</li>
</ul>



ZKH Group (ZKH US), a leading MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) procurement service platform in China, is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise US$200-300 million.
In ZKH Group IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>OST is a property management service provider in China, primarily owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke (H) (2202 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.
OST is a property management service provider in China, primarily owned by China Vanke (H) (2202 HK). 
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Onewo Space-Tech IPO Lock-Up - Company, Parent and Cornerstones Could Eventually Sell

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Growatt Technology is a global distributed energy solution provider, specializing in sustainable energy generation, storage and consumption, as well as energy digitalization. </li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance, peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will talk about its refiling updates.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
Growatt Technology is a global distributed energy solution provider, specializing in sustainable energy generation, storage and consumption, as well as energy digitalization. 
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance, peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will talk about its refiling updates.


Growatt Technology Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Still Running Strong

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent (700 HK): 4Q22, Stop Decreasing WeChat Ad Recovered Earlier

As we expected, total revenue stop decreasing in 4Q22. WeChat advertising recovered earlier than we expected. We believe game-related revenues will...

Ming Lu

Tencent 331 Support Pressure

Our Tencent sell from 385 has formed a flat range with a bias to pressure the 331 pivot support to reach toward our 300-305 buy (cover) target. The...

Thomas Schroeder

ZKH Group IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on market share losses, slowing top-line growth, declining take rates and persistent cash burn.

Arun George

Onewo Space-Tech IPO Lock-Up - Company, Parent and Cornerstones Could Eventually Sell

Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its six-month lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Growatt Technology Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Still Running Strong

Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about its refiling...

Ethan Aw

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