Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>SPX is due for a washout to a minor new low that sets up a May bounce as the RSI nears a buy level but a bounce to sell.</li>
<li>NDX and RTY have been our top shorts with the Russell already leading a new low breakdown with tech firmly in the underperform camp.</li>
<li>May 5th is the timeline where a tactical low is due to re take broken supports and will define the degree of a May bounce and level to re short.</li>
</ul>


SPX is due for a washout to a minor new low that sets up a May bounce as the RSI nears a buy level but a bounce to sell.
NDX and RTY have been our top shorts with the Russell already leading a new low breakdown with tech firmly in the underperform camp.
May 5th is the timeline where a tactical low is due to re take broken supports and will define the degree of a May bounce and level to re short.


Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The weekly &amp; monthly close on NDX gives a notable sell signal</li>
<li>Losses over the medium term towards 11k are expected to be seen</li>
<li>The Stocks/Bonds ratio also indicates a turn in trend in favour of Bonds here</li>
</ul>


The weekly &amp; monthly close on NDX gives a notable sell signal
Losses over the medium term towards 11k are expected to be seen
The Stocks/Bonds ratio also indicates a turn in trend in favour of Bonds here


Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Global Liquidity, the main driver of World asset markets, will head much lower </li>
<li>World Central Bank Liquidity slated to contract by 10-20% over next 2 years</li>
<li>Bond markets are already screaming a warning with 'death-cross' formation</li>
</ul>


Global Liquidity, the main driver of World asset markets, will head much lower 
World Central Bank Liquidity slated to contract by 10-20% over next 2 years
Bond markets are already screaming a warning with 'death-cross' formation


<ul>
<li>
 Global Liquidity, the main driver of World asset markets, is heading much lower. Bear market is here</li>
<li>
Recession coming: some economies may even already be in recession </li>
<li>
Investor exposure to stocks too high and out-of-line with deteriorating economies</li>
</ul>



 Global Liquidity, the main driver of World asset markets, is heading much lower. Bear market is here

Recession coming: some economies may even already be in recession 

Investor exposure to stocks too high and out-of-line with deteriorating economies


Global Economist, DeSaque Macro Research

Said Desaque

Global Economist

Delivering Global Macro Investment Insights

DeSaque Macro Research

DeSaque Macro Research Limited was formed by Said DeSaque in April 2012 with the view to delivering global macro investment insights aimed at providing new ideas to clients.

Said DeSaque has over 26 years of experience working as a professional economist in financial services. Prior to establishing DeSaque Macro Research, Said held positions as Senior Economist at Robert W Baird and William Blair. He began his career as a graduate at PaineWebber in 1986, where he eventually became Head of the London Economics Department.

Said takes a very keen interest in international relations, along with their implications for economic development. His research interests include the economic transformation of China and its implications for global capital markets, particularly in the United States. He is a member of Chatham House in London.

The US economy and capital markets have historically been Said’s main focus of attention. He frequently presents his views to institutional investors in diverse geographic locations. In recent years, Said has also been carefully monitoring economic developments in Asia, particularly China and Japan.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Fed's urgency to return the federal funds rate to neutrality by year-end has recently risen. Further upside risks depend on whether inflation risks have receded sufficiently by 2023 Q1.</li>
<li>The current strength of US labour demand seems inconsistent with the imminent onset of recession.  Companies may feel comfortable about labour hoarding if they are able to raise selling prices.</li>
<li>Analysts are optimistic about higher operating margins in 2023, but equity investors are reluctant to pay richer valuations due to greater economic risks, courtesy of more hawkish Fed policy. </li>
</ul>


The Fed's urgency to return the federal funds rate to neutrality by year-end has recently risen. Further upside risks depend on whether inflation risks have receded sufficiently by 2023 Q1.
The current strength of US labour demand seems inconsistent with the imminent onset of recession.  Companies may feel comfortable about labour hoarding if they are able to raise selling prices.
Analysts are optimistic about higher operating margins in 2023, but equity investors are reluctant to pay richer valuations due to greater economic risks, courtesy of more hawkish Fed policy. 


Rush to Normalise Fed Policy Settings Raises Questions Over US Corporate Profits Outlook

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

SPX May Bounce to Be Sold

SPX is due for a washout to a minor new low that sets up a May bounce as the RSI nears a buy level but a bounce to sell.

Thomas Schroeder

Nasdaq 100 Breaks Down

The weekly & monthly closes on the Nasdaq 100 should be taken seriously as they highlight the danger of significant losses towards 11k over the...

Shyam Devani

Alert: Do Bears Hunt in Packs? (Part 2)

Following Part 1 we dive-deeper into the bear case. The collapse in Central Bank liquidity and the warnings already signaled by bond markets spell...

Michael J. Howell

Alert: Do Bears Hunt in Packs? (Part 1)

It's a bear market. We have we warning for several months that it is coming because of skidding Global Liquidity. But as we explain... it will get...

Michael J. Howell

Rush to Normalise Fed Policy Settings Raises Questions Over US Corporate Profits Outlook

US markets fret about a policy error as the Fed seeks neutrality. Analysts are upbeat about higher operating margins in 2023, but investors remain...

DeSaque Macro Research