Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Bearish from SPX 4,060-80. Near resistance at 4,020 was used to add to shorts. Downside surprise due this week on break of 3.900.</li>
<li>Key support breaks amid systemic risk saw us raise our net short going into this more turbulent period that should wrap up near the 20th. Started shorting in Feb.</li>
<li>Added Japan to our short list being a laggard. Once laggards buckle we will be closer to a short term low.</li>
</ul>


Bearish from SPX 4,060-80. Near resistance at 4,020 was used to add to shorts. Downside surprise due this week on break of 3.900.
Key support breaks amid systemic risk saw us raise our net short going into this more turbulent period that should wrap up near the 20th. Started shorting in Feb.
Added Japan to our short list being a laggard. Once laggards buckle we will be closer to a short term low.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>SPX is holding above its 200-day MA/3940 coinciding with its prior downtrend from 2022 near 3915; 3915-3940 remains critical support, and is the gateway to a much deeper pullback.</li>
<li>Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is breaking back above $297, another important line in the sand for us.</li>
<li>The SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.</li>
</ul>


SPX is holding above its 200-day MA/3940 coinciding with its prior downtrend from 2022 near 3915; 3915-3940 remains critical support, and is the gateway to a much deeper pullback.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is breaking back above $297, another important line in the sand for us.
The SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.


Still Expecting 4165-4200 on S&P 500 to Cap Upside; Buys Within Insurance and Steel/Metals

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended March 3, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index performed in line with the broader market, rising 2.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 2.0%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 2.6%).</li><li>Energy Technology (8.5% of the index) drove the index performance, rising 4.4%, while Advanced Transportation Solutions (69.6% of the index) was up 1.2% and Industrial Climate and Ag Technology was up 3.4%.</li><li>Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 25.0x versus 18.3x for the S&amp;P 500.</li></ul>

WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended March 3, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index performed in line with the broader market, rising 2.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 2.0%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 2.6%).Energy Technology (8.5% of the index) drove the index performance, rising 4.4%, while Advanced Transportation Solutions (69.6% of the index) was up 1.2% and Industrial Climate and Ag Technology was up 3.4%.Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 25.0x versus 18.3x for the S&amp;P 500.

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended March 3, 2023

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

International Business Machines / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>IBM US peaked at 153.21 in December 2022 and has declined more than 15% in the subsequent 12 weeks.</li>
<li>Last week's low of 127.71 was plagued by extreme ST momentum failure and this new 4 month low was quick to fail and reverse.</li>
<li>Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-7% upswing in the coming 1-2 weeks.</li>
</ul>


IBM US peaked at 153.21 in December 2022 and has declined more than 15% in the subsequent 12 weeks.
Last week's low of 127.71 was plagued by extreme ST momentum failure and this new 4 month low was quick to fail and reverse.
Our TSS methodology triggered a TSS &lt; 10 at the low and justifies a further 6-7% upswing in the coming 1-2 weeks.


International Business Machines Corp (IBM US) - TSS < 10 - Target Tactical 6-7% Upswing

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

SPX Targets and Post NFP Surprises

Bearish from SPX 4,060-80. Near resistance at 4,020 was used to add to shorts. Downside surprise due this week on break of 3.900. Expect some panic...

Thomas Schroeder

Still Expecting 4165-4200 on S&P 500 to Cap Upside; Buys Within Insurance and Steel/Metals

The $SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside and...