Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

REAL-Economics.com

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

At a press conference called to tout his infrastructure plans (including deregulating environmental rules that are an alleged impediment to faster progress), President Trump instead took the opportunity to effectively repudiate his previous scripted remarks (a day earlier) condemning the Ku Klux Klan (KKK) and neo-Nazis. Instead he drew a moral equivalence between the KKK/neo-Nazis and their opponents, saying both had been violent (although, in reality, it was a neo-Nazi white man who drove a…

At a press conference called to tout his infrastructure plans (including deregulating environmental rules that are an alleged impediment to faster progress), President Trump instead took the opportunity to effectively repudiate his previous scripted remarks (a day earlier) condemning the Ku Klux Klan (KKK) and neo-Nazis. Instead he drew a moral equivalence between the KKK/neo-Nazis and their opponents, saying both had been violent (although, in reality, it was a neo-Nazi white man who drove a…

Charlottesville Exposes Trump's Neo-Nazi Proclivities, Undermining His Domestic Agenda Further

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

We have made a case for reducing long exposure and transitioning into a net short position in late July into early August and now see further evidence of a bear setup and a risk-off cycle into at least SeptemberRisk components - VIX bull flag upside breakout. We went long the VIX at 8.90 and last week called for the bull flag to break higher resulting in the spike to the 16-17 area. In our macro product we outlined trimming at 16 and look to add back to volatility later this week ahead of a…

We have made a case for reducing long exposure and transitioning into a net short position in late July into early August and now see further evidence of a bear setup and a risk-off cycle into at least SeptemberRisk components - VIX bull flag upside breakout. We went long the VIX at 8.90 and last week called for the bull flag to break higher resulting in the spike to the 16-17 area. In our macro product we outlined trimming at 16 and look to add back to volatility later this week ahead of a…

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

In a nutshell... INDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reachedINDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reached the target (Russell) while EU (Dax, Eurostoxx, CAC, FTSE) bounced above their supports. - Asia moved in sideways with some markets also testing/below intermediate trend targets/resistances…

In a nutshell... INDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reachedINDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and even drop/ reached the target (Russell) while EU (Dax, Eurostoxx, CAC, FTSE) bounced above their supports. - Asia moved in sideways with some markets also testing/below intermediate trend targets/resistances…

BBSP Weekly Macro - Markets Correct as Expected

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

The following is our front cover from our weekly macro product that lays out positioning in line with our summer transition from net long to net short.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/031/137/original/PRODUCT%20BULLETS.png?1502104254" data-smartkarma-image-id="31137"></figure>DXY 93 region is where we started bottom fishing and broadened our stop to 92. This is a partial hedge against our long Euro position. We put on a fresh Euro/JPY and Euro/GBP longs.Our focus is on picking at USD basing lows against TRY, BRL and Asian FX. ZAR and RUB (58 buy level) already moved off their base low zones. EM FX lead weakness shows a…

The following is our front cover from our weekly macro product that lays out positioning in line with our summer transition from net long to net short.DXY 93 region is where we started bottom fishing and broadened our stop to 92. This is a partial hedge against our long Euro position. We put on a fresh Euro/JPY and Euro/GBP longs.Our focus is on picking at USD basing lows against TRY, BRL and Asian FX. ZAR and RUB (58 buy level) already moved off their base low zones. EM FX lead weakness shows a…

August Cracks and EEM 45/DXY Turn Bullets

Economist (US Macro), RDQ Economics

Conrad DeQuadros

Economist (US Macro)

RDQ Economics

RDQ Economics provides global macroeconomic consulting services with an emphasis on U.S. economic fundamentals and monetary policy.  
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Our views are driven by consistent application of classical economic and monetary principles and has generated superior anticipation of changes in the stance of monetary policy and of movements in economic growth and inflation.
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The founders of RDQ Economics—John Ryding and Conrad DeQuadros—worked together on Wall Street for a decade, in the independent research space for nine years, and have experience in central banking at the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.  John and Conrad have worked closely with fixed income, foreign exchange, and equity traders and portfolio managers, which has enabled their analysis and advice to be tailored to a clientele that is focused on trading and investment decisions.

Credit

In June, serial-defaulter Argentina issued 100-year U.S. dollar sovereign debt that yielded only 220 bps above a 100-year Mexico U.S. dollar bond rated nine tiers higher.  The Argentina offering was 3½-times oversubscribed and we viewed this as a sign of investor caution being thrown to the wind.  Last week, Greece returned to the market with a €3 billion issue of five-year debt yielding 4.5% that was twice oversubscribed (though about half of the buyers were swapping their existing debt…

In June, serial-defaulter Argentina issued 100-year U.S. dollar sovereign debt that yielded only 220 bps above a 100-year Mexico U.S. dollar bond rated nine tiers higher.  The Argentina offering was 3½-times oversubscribed and we viewed this as a sign of investor caution being thrown to the wind.  Last week, Greece returned to the market with a €3 billion issue of five-year debt yielding 4.5% that was twice oversubscribed (though about half of the buyers were swapping their existing debt…

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Charlottesville Exposes Trump's Neo-Nazi Proclivities, Undermining His Domestic Agenda Further

At a press conference called to tout his infrastructure plans (including deregulating environmental rules that are an alleged impediment to faster...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Equity Decline Just Kicking Off

We have made a case for reducing long exposure and transitioning into a net short position in late July into early August and now see further...

Thomas Schroeder

BBSP Weekly Macro - Markets Correct as Expected

In a nutshell... INDICES, - Same mixed configuration as last week: indeed US markets, below intermediate trend resistances moved in sideways and...

BBSP Asia

August Cracks and EEM 45/DXY Turn Bullets

The following is our front cover from our weekly macro product that lays out positioning in line with our summer transition from net long to net...

Thomas Schroeder

Signs of Excessive Risk Taking

In June, serial-defaulter Argentina issued 100-year U.S. dollar sovereign debt that yielded only 220 bps above a 100-year Mexico U.S. dollar bond...

RDQ Economics