IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28812:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto Inc. (LI US)</a> has announced an ATM offering to sell US$2.0 billion of ADS. The offering appears to be timed to take advantage of the share price rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>'s strong balance sheet and cash generation do not necessitate the need for the offering. The impending launch of the Li L9 underpins its prospects. </li>
<li>However, with the recent rally, the shares are at best fully valued at the last close. We prefer remaining on the sidelines for now. </li>
</ul>



Li Auto Inc. (LI US) has announced an ATM offering to sell US$2.0 billion of ADS. The offering appears to be timed to take advantage of the share price rally.

Li Auto (2015 HK)'s strong balance sheet and cash generation do not necessitate the need for the offering. The impending launch of the Li L9 underpins its prospects. 
However, with the recent rally, the shares are at best fully valued at the last close. We prefer remaining on the sidelines for now. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>It focuses on the mid- to high-end segment in China’s NEV market with a price range of RMB150,000-300,000. As of end FY21, it had delivered a total of 52,832 cars.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
It focuses on the mid- to high-end segment in China’s NEV market with a price range of RMB150,000-300,000. As of end FY21, it had delivered a total of 52,832 cars.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Leapmotor Pre-IPO - The Positives - Planned Launches Should Prop up Growth

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. </li>
<li>Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves if a crisis develops.  They can go bankrupt, pushing the stock price near zero.</li>
<li>Today we are flagging Rivian, Nikola, ChargePoint, Domo &amp; Enviva.</li>
</ul>


Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. 
Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves if a crisis develops.  They can go bankrupt, pushing the stock price near zero.
Today we are flagging Rivian, Nikola, ChargePoint, Domo &amp; Enviva.


Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: Rivian, Nikola, ChargePoint, Domo & Enviva

SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

subSPAC

SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

Opendoor Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>After a Boom that lasted nearly 18-month, SPACs are now finding themselves under fire.</li>
<li>Increasing amounts of Scrutiny from regulators, A Mismatch in Incentives towards Sponsors, and Burnout in new deals by Investors have all contributed to the recent slump.</li>
<li>A majority of the high-growth De-SPACs have already seen a sharp selloff, leading to a drop of between 40-60%.</li>
</ul>


After a Boom that lasted nearly 18-month, SPACs are now finding themselves under fire.
Increasing amounts of Scrutiny from regulators, A Mismatch in Incentives towards Sponsors, and Burnout in new deals by Investors have all contributed to the recent slump.
A majority of the high-growth De-SPACs have already seen a sharp selloff, leading to a drop of between 40-60%.


Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. </li>
<li>Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, tend to have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves as the liquidity crisis gets closer in time. </li>
<li>They can also go bankrupt, pushing the stock price close to zero.</li>
</ul>


Liquidity shorts can be great short candidates.  The key characteristic is that the company may not be viable, economically, given their cash flows and cash requirements. 
Liquidity shorts have built-in catalysts, tend to have moderate to higher betas,  and can have strong down moves as the liquidity crisis gets closer in time. 
They can also go bankrupt, pushing the stock price close to zero.


Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: PureCycle, Atara Biothera, Nikola, Dutch Bros.

United States

Nikola Corporation operates as a zero-emissions transportation and infrastructure solution provider. The Company is a designer and manufacturer of battery-electric and hydrogen-electric vehicles, electric vehicle drivetrains, vehicle components, energy storage systems, and hydrogen fueling station infrastructure.

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Nikola Corp (NKLA US)

Li Auto’s US$2 Billion ATM Offering

The offering appears to be timed to take advantage of the share price rally. The shares are at best fully valued at the last close. We prefer...

Arun George

Leapmotor Pre-IPO - The Positives - Planned Launches Should Prop up Growth

Leapmotor (LM) aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015. In this note, we will...

Sumeet Singh

Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: Rivian, Nikola, ChargePoint, Domo & Enviva

Liquidity risk short candidates may not be economically viable given cash flows and capital requirements. This week we flag Rivian, Nikola,...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

Could SPACs Be a Contrarian Bet in 2022?

After a Boom that lasted nearly 18-month, SPACs are now finding themselves under fire. Increasing amounts of Scrutiny from regulators, A Mismatch...

subSPAC

Liquidity Risk Short Candidates: PureCycle, Atara Biothera, Nikola, Dutch Bros.

See model results and discussion on several liquidity risk short candidates: PureCycle Tech, Atara Biotherapeutics, Nikola Corp and Dutch Brothers,...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

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