Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<p>Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.</p>

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), IDBI Capital

IDBI Capital

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Indian Railway Catering and Tourism / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>IRCTC delivered a strong set of numbers despite challenges from the second wave impact during the quarter as catering segment revenues improved, rail-neer segment turned EBIT positive after 4 quarters and internet ticketing segment continues to deliver strong margins. Revenues were higher than estimate due to higher revenue from catering segment, but EBITDA and PAT were in-line. Margins declined sequentially due to lower volumes. The company reported an 85% YoY increase in revenues to Rs2,434mn, driven by a pick-up in revenues across all business segments, but largely driven by the internet ticketing segment (now 60%+ revenues).</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

IRCTC delivered a strong set of numbers despite challenges from the second wave impact during the quarter as catering segment revenues improved, rail-neer segment turned EBIT positive after 4 quarters and internet ticketing segment continues to deliver strong margins. Revenues were higher than estimate due to higher revenue from catering segment, but EBITDA and PAT were in-line. Margins declined sequentially due to lower volumes. The company reported an 85% YoY increase in revenues to Rs2,434mn, driven by a pick-up in revenues across all business segments, but largely driven by the internet ticketing segment (now 60%+ revenues).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation Limited provides rail transportation, catering, and tourism services. The Company offers online ticket booking and cancellation, meals, holiday packages, and travel support services. Indian Railway Catering and Tourism serves passengers in India.

Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)

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Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

We see early signs of positive change within EM, and we present a strong case as to why we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure.

Vermilion Research

IRCTC: Sequential Improvement Continues

IRCTC delivered a strong set of numbers despite challenges from the second wave impact during the quarter as catering segment revenues improved,...

IDBI Capital

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