Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

Equity Bottom-Up

We spend a substantial portion of our time thinking about oncology in China: one of the largest unmet needs in healthcare globally. The World Health Organization estimates that there are 4.3 million new cases and 2.9 million deaths annually. Historically, treatment options have been limited compared to the US, EU, and many of China’s neighbors. Fortunately, the government has implemented several reforms in recent years to accelerate development and importation of innovative treatments and to provide reimbursement for them. This Insight includes names to consider for two approaches to invest in this opportunity:1) Invest in the leading multi-asset oncology companies.2) Invest in a basket of companies with narrower oncology offerings.

We spend a substantial portion of our time thinking about oncology in China: one of the largest unmet needs in healthcare globally. The World Health Organization estimates that there are 4.3 million new cases and 2.9 million deaths annually. Historically, treatment options have been limited compared to the US, EU, and many of China’s neighbors. Fortunately, the government has implemented several reforms in recent years to accelerate development and importation of innovative treatments and to provide reimbursement for them. This Insight includes names to consider for two approaches to invest in this opportunity:1) Invest in the leading multi-asset oncology companies.2) Invest in a basket of companies with narrower oncology offerings.

BeiGene: Cancer Treatment in China--The Underestimated Opportunity

Equity Capital Markets

JD Health International  / Equity Capital Markets

Healthcare’s presence in Asian capital markets has increased substantially over the last four years on the heels of substantial investments in private markets (VC/PE). Policy reforms and changes in listing rules, most notably in China, have led to an explosion of market cap creation for the sector as the universe of companies has expanded to include innovative companies, most notably pre-revenue biopharmaceutical companies. At the same time, substantial investments in digital healthcare, fueled by the COVID-19 pandemic, adds a new source of listed companies. This Insight focuses on leading unlisted healthcare companies in China, India, and ASEAN that have raised substantial amounts of capital and appear to be candidates for listing.

Healthcare’s presence in Asian capital markets has increased substantially over the last four years on the heels of substantial investments in private markets (VC/PE). Policy reforms and changes in listing rules, most notably in China, have led to an explosion of market cap creation for the sector as the universe of companies has expanded to include innovative companies, most notably pre-revenue biopharmaceutical companies. At the same time, substantial investments in digital healthcare, fueled by the COVID-19 pandemic, adds a new source of listed companies. This Insight focuses on leading unlisted healthcare companies in China, India, and ASEAN that have raised substantial amounts of capital and appear to be candidates for listing.   

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Shimao Services Holdings Limited / Event-Driven

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the March 2021 review should be made on 12 February and will be effective after the close of trading on 5 March.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.Secondary Listings and Biotech stocks listed under Chapter 18A of the Listing Rules are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.There are a lot of stocks that will join the HSCI and subsequently included as a part of the Southbound Stock Connect program - these stocks will see buying from mainland investors and could outperform their peers and the market.There are stocks that will be deleted from the HSCI and consequently deleted from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list. There are other stocks that will remain a part of the HSCI but will be removed from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.Read on for more details and stocks affected by the changes.

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the March 2021 review should be made on 12 February and will be effective after the close of trading on 5 March.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.Secondary Listings and Biotech stocks listed under Chapter 18A of the Listing Rules are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.There are a lot of stocks that will join the HSCI and subsequently included as a part of the Southbound Stock Connect program - these stocks will see buying from mainland investors and could outperform their peers and the market.There are stocks that will be deleted from the HSCI and consequently deleted from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list. There are other stocks that will remain a part of the HSCI but will be removed from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.Read on for more details and stocks affected by the changes.

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Early Look at Potential Changes

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

On November 20, another unprofitable biopharmaceutical company, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>, will be listed on HKEX at a price of HK$18.08 per share. Currently, Antengene has a total of 12 innovative drugs in its pipeline. Among them, 6 drugs are basically from license-in mode while the rest are mainly self-developed. From the public information, it is still unknown that whether Antengene would use the license-in mode (like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/everest-medicines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29224:1" rel="noopener">Everest Medicines (1952 HK)</a>) to achieve rapid financing and then develop a competitive pipeline in the future. The following is mainly to analyze the value and potential of the current pipeline, and also provide some thoughts on valuation.

On November 20, another unprofitable biopharmaceutical company, Antengene (6996 HK), will be listed on HKEX at a price of HK$18.08 per share. Currently, Antengene has a total of 12 innovative drugs in its pipeline. Among them, 6 drugs are basically from license-in mode while the rest are mainly self-developed. From the public information, it is still unknown that whether Antengene would use the license-in mode (like Everest Medicines (1952 HK)) to achieve rapid financing and then develop a competitive pipeline in the future. The following is mainly to analyze the value and potential of the current pipeline, and also provide some thoughts on valuation.

Antengene - Insights on Pipeline and Valuation

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/remegen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29191:1" rel="noopener">Remegen Ltd (1788976D CH) </a>is an innovative bio-pharmaceutical company dedicated to the development and commercialization of first-in-class and best-in-class biological drugs. The two core products of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/remegen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29191:1" rel="noopener">Remegen Ltd (1788976D CH)</a>  are RC18 and RC48 (Related article: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/45020/Pre-IPO%20RemeGen%20-%20Insights%20on%20Two%20Core%20Products%20RC18%20&amp;%20RC48.%20Read%20more:%20https:/skr.ma/sxMEQ" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Pre-IPO RemeGen - Insights on Two Core Products RC18 &amp; RC48. Read more: https://skr.ma/sxMEQ</a>). It is said that the Company is going to be listed on HKEX at a price of HK$52.1/share in November. In terms of valuation, is RemeGen overvalued?

Remegen Ltd (1788976D CH) is an innovative bio-pharmaceutical company dedicated to the development and commercialization of first-in-class and best-in-class biological drugs. The two core products of Remegen Ltd (1788976D CH)  are RC18 and RC48 (Related article: Pre-IPO RemeGen - Insights on Two Core Products RC18 &amp; RC48. Read more: https://skr.ma/sxMEQ). It is said that the Company is going to be listed on HKEX at a price of HK$52.1/share in November. In terms of valuation, is RemeGen overvalued? 

A Different Angle - RemeGen Vs Akeso (Insights on Valuation)

China

Everest Medicines Limited operates as a late clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company engages in licensing, clinical development, and commercialization of therapies for oncology, immunology, cardio-renal disease, and infectious disease. Everest Medicines markets its products in China and other emerging Asia Pacific markets.

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Everest Medicines (1952 HK)

BeiGene: Cancer Treatment in China--The Underestimated Opportunity

We think that cancer is underdiagnosed and undertreated in China. We analyze the data and propose two approaches for investing in this theme.

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Asian Healthcare - Coming of Age

This Smartkarma Originals Insight highlights 20 leading unlisted healthcare companies in Asia, mainly in digital healthcare and biopharma, that are...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Early Look at Potential Changes

While the HSCI does not have assets benchmarked to it, the index review is closely watched since the index forms the basis of stocks that are a...

Brian Freitas

Antengene - Insights on Pipeline and Valuation

This article analyzed the value and potential of Antengene's current pipeline, its competitors' products and also include some thoughts on valuation.

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A Different Angle - RemeGen Vs Akeso (Insights on Valuation)

In this article, by comparing RemeGen and Akeso's pipelines from different aspects to provide referable and helpful insights about the valuation...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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