Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> after the close of trading on 30 March.</li>
<li>The index methodology has been changed to make new listings eligible for index inclusion if they complete one month by the review cutoff date, down from three months earlier.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 0.63% and will result in a one-way trade of around INR 14bn. Passive trackers will have a lot to trade on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) will replace Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) after the close of trading on 30 March.
The index methodology has been changed to make new listings eligible for index inclusion if they complete one month by the review cutoff date, down from three months earlier.
Estimated one-way turnover is 0.63% and will result in a one-way trade of around INR 14bn. Passive trackers will have a lot to trade on the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Apollo Hospitals to Replace IOC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>For Q3FY22, CIL's consolidated revenue from operations were at Rs 28434 crore (up 20% YoY &amp; 22% QoQ), higher than our estimate of Rs 27765 crore.</li><li>CIL's consolidated EBITDA for the quarter was at Rs 6825 crore (up 32% YoY &amp; 73% QoQ), higher than our estimate of Rs 6090 crore.</li><li>EBITDA/tonne for Q3FY22 was at Rs 393/tonne, higher than our estimate of Rs 350/tonne</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

For Q3FY22, CIL's consolidated revenue from operations were at Rs 28434 crore (up 20% YoY &amp; 22% QoQ), higher than our estimate of Rs 27765 crore.CIL's consolidated EBITDA for the quarter was at Rs 6825 crore (up 32% YoY &amp; 73% QoQ), higher than our estimate of Rs 6090 crore.EBITDA/tonne for Q3FY22 was at Rs 393/tonne, higher than our estimate of Rs 350/tonneContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.</li>
<li>Potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7297:1" rel="noopener">Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srf-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3601:1" rel="noopener">SRF Ltd (SRF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yes-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:767:1" rel="noopener">Yes Bank (YES IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indraprastha-gas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6969:1" rel="noopener">Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jindal-steel-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6614:1" rel="noopener">Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-petroleum-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19342:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY 100 Index ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.
Potential inclusions are Zomato (ZOMATO IN), Mindtree Ltd (MTCL IN), SRF Ltd (SRF IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN). 
Potential deletions are Yes Bank (YES IN), Indraprastha Gas (IGL IN), Jindal Steel &amp; Power (JSP IN), Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) and Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN). 


NIFTY100/NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in March

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> ends 31 January. We see 2 potential changes at the rebalance which should be announced end February.</li>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-hospitals-enterprise" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:880:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-oil-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7781:1" rel="noopener">Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN)</a>, while there is a lower probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd</a>.</li>
<li>The impact on the stocks is between 3-9 days of ADV, while the impact increases to between 9-22 days of delivery volume.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) ends 31 January. We see 2 potential changes at the rebalance which should be announced end February.
There is a high probability of Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APHS IN) replacing Indian Oil Corp (IOCL IN), while there is a lower probability of Info Edge India replacing Coal India Ltd.
The impact on the stocks is between 3-9 days of ADV, while the impact increases to between 9-22 days of delivery volume.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

<p>Coal India’s (CIL) Q3FY22 offtake volumes at 174mnte (up 12.8% YoY) took 9MFY22 volumes to 481.8mnte, up 17.6% YoY (up 15.4% vs 9MFY20), at an all-time high.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Coal India’s (CIL) Q3FY22 offtake volumes at 174mnte (up 12.8% YoY) took 9MFY22 volumes to 481.8mnte, up 17.6% YoY (up 15.4% vs 9MFY20), at an all-time high.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

All-time high YTD offtake indicates a record FY22

India

Coal India Limited produces and markets coal and coal products, as well as provides related consulting services.

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Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Apollo Hospitals to Replace IOC

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ICICI Securities Limited

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There could be 5 changes to the NIFTY100 Index at the March rebalance. Plus there will be 2 migrations between the NIFTY and NIFTY NEXT50 indices....

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

There is a high probability of Apollo Hosp replacing Indian Oil in the NIFTY Index at the March rebalance. There is a lower probability of Info...

Brian Freitas

All-time high YTD offtake indicates a record FY22

Coal India’s (CIL) Q3FY22 offtake volumes at 174mnte (up 12.8% YoY) took 9MFY22 volumes to 481.8mnte, up 17.6% YoY (up 15.4% vs 9MFY20), at an all...

ICICI Securities Limited

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