External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.</li><li>To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.</li><li>The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Steel Q2FY23 Preview – Margins to hit a trough: We expect Steel companies under our coverage to deliver weak Q2FY23 numbers.</li><li>Revenue is likely to decline YoY mainly due to 1) Lower sales realisation on account of lower steel prices (domestic Steel HRC prices have corrected by 25% from the peak in Apr’22), 2) Weak exports due to the 15% export duty imposed from May’22, the lower sales realisation will be only partially offset by 3) QoQ increase in sales volumes led by re-stocking by traders as Q1FY23 sales volumes were impacted by sharp de-stocking by traders.</li><li>We expect EBITDA to show a steeper fall in Q2FY23, a de-growth of ~40% QoQ and ~65% YoY, primarily on account of a fall in the topline and higher coking coal consumption costs in the quarter.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Steel Q2FY23 Preview – Margins to hit a trough: We expect Steel companies under our coverage to deliver weak Q2FY23 numbers.Revenue is likely to decline YoY mainly due to 1) Lower sales realisation on account of lower steel prices (domestic Steel HRC prices have corrected by 25% from the peak in Apr’22), 2) Weak exports due to the 15% export duty imposed from May’22, the lower sales realisation will be only partially offset by 3) QoQ increase in sales volumes led by re-stocking by traders as Q1FY23 sales volumes were impacted by sharp de-stocking by traders.We expect EBITDA to show a steeper fall in Q2FY23, a de-growth of ~40% QoQ and ~65% YoY, primarily on account of a fall in the topline and higher coking coal consumption costs in the quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Covid-19 Update: Moderation seen in the caseload across the world – The rise in Covid-19 cases across the world moderated in Sep’22 vis-à-vis previous months, providing much-needed relief from the anticipated COVID 4.0.</li><li>The large-scale vaccination drive undertaken by the Government of India picked up further pace in Sep’22 and crossed a remarkable milestone of 218 Cr (as of 28th Sep’22).</li><li>Average daily doses have moderated to 18.3 Lc/day in Sep’22 from 57 Lc/day in Nov’21 as COVID 3.0 retreated and the majority of the population is already vaccinated.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Covid-19 Update: Moderation seen in the caseload across the world – The rise in Covid-19 cases across the world moderated in Sep’22 vis-à-vis previous months, providing much-needed relief from the anticipated COVID 4.0.The large-scale vaccination drive undertaken by the Government of India picked up further pace in Sep’22 and crossed a remarkable milestone of 218 Cr (as of 28th Sep’22).Average daily doses have moderated to 18.3 Lc/day in Sep’22 from 57 Lc/day in Nov’21 as COVID 3.0 retreated and the majority of the population is already vaccinated.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Multi-Asset Strategy - Stay Focused on Asset Allocation

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks basket delivered flattish returns (+0.2%) in a highly volatile Sep’22 which reported a rather mixed performance across sectors and style indices.</li><li>While the NIFTY 50 index declined by over 4% during the month, our Top Picks basket outperformed the index by a superior margin, showcasing its resilience one more time.</li><li>Moreover, since its inception in May'20, Our Top Picks basket has delivered an impressive return of 143%, which stands significantly higher than the 84% return reported by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks basket delivered flattish returns (+0.2%) in a highly volatile Sep’22 which reported a rather mixed performance across sectors and style indices.While the NIFTY 50 index declined by over 4% during the month, our Top Picks basket outperformed the index by a superior margin, showcasing its resilience one more time.Moreover, since its inception in May'20, Our Top Picks basket has delivered an impressive return of 143%, which stands significantly higher than the 84% return reported by NIFTY 50 over the same period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks - Oct 2022 - Earnings Commentary & Festival Demand to Drive the Market

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.</li>
<li>Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.
Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.


Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

India

Coal India Limited produces and markets coal and coal products, as well as provides related consulting services.

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Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)

Consolidate Q2FY23 Result Preview

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed...

Axis Direct

Metals & Mining Q2FY23 Results Preview

Steel Q2FY23 Preview – Margins to hit a trough: We expect Steel companies under our coverage to deliver weak Q2FY23 numbers.

Axis Direct

Axis Multi-Asset Strategy - Stay Focused on Asset Allocation

The rise in Covid-19 cases across the world moderated in Sep’22 vis-à-vis previous months, providing much-needed relief from the anticipated COVID...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks - Oct 2022 - Earnings Commentary & Festival Demand to Drive the Market

Axis Top Picks basket delivered flattish returns (+0.2%) in a highly volatile Sep’22 which reported a rather mixed performance across sectors and...

Axis Direct

Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on $EEM. Specifically, the EEM has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If EEM has...

Vermilion Research

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