Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nmdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2016:1" rel="noopener">Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piramal-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14158:1" rel="noopener">Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN)</a> at the close on 5 August.</li>
<li>In September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HNAL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> are potential inclusions.</li>
<li>At over 4 days of deliverable volume to trade, the impact is especially large on  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lupin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1" rel="noopener">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (LICI IN) and Tata Power (TPWR IN) will replace Nmdc Ltd (NMDC IN) and Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN) at the close on 5 August.
In September, Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN), Bharat Electronics (BHE IN), Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HNAL IN) and Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) are potential inclusions.
At over 4 days of deliverable volume to trade, the impact is especially large on  Bharat Electronics (BHE IN), Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) and Lupin Ltd (LPC IN). 


NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Changes in August, Then 5 More in September

<ul>
<li>With over 90% of the review period complete, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> is a high probability inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shree-cement-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10531:1" rel="noopener">Shree Cement (SRCM IN)</a>. </li>
<li>We estimate passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> trackers will need to buy nearly 7% of the real float on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> and the stock should continue to outperform. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-transmission-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26712:1" rel="noopener">Adani Transmission (ADANIT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23656:1" rel="noopener">Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART)</a> have higher average free float market caps and could be included if added to the F&amp;O segment.</li>
</ul>


With over 90% of the review period complete, Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) is a high probability inclusion to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and will replace Shree Cement (SRCM IN). 
We estimate passive NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) trackers will need to buy nearly 7% of the real float on Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) and the stock should continue to outperform. 

Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR), Adani Transmission (ADANIT) and Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART) have higher average free float market caps and could be included if added to the F&amp;O segment.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adani Enterprises Should Replace Shree Cement

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The NIFTY Index Family has a series of broad equity indices that represents large, mid and small market capitalisation segments of the Indian public equity market.</li>
<li>The review of broad market indices will be done on a semi-annual basis and the changes will be implemented at the end of March and September every year.</li>
<li>Below is a look at the names leading the race to become Adds and Deletes for NIFTY 50, NIFTY 100, and NIFTY 500 in September 2022.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index Family has a series of broad equity indices that represents large, mid and small market capitalisation segments of the Indian public equity market.
The review of broad market indices will be done on a semi-annual basis and the changes will be implemented at the end of March and September every year.
Below is a look at the names leading the race to become Adds and Deletes for NIFTY 50, NIFTY 100, and NIFTY 500 in September 2022.


NIFTY Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for September 2022

<ul>
<li>We are past the halfway mark in the review period of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> September rebalance. We see one potential change which should be announced end August.</li>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> being included in the index, while either <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shree-cement-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10531:1" rel="noopener">Shree Cement (SRCM IN)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>The impact of passive fund trading on the stocks is high in terms of days of ADV, but very high in terms of delivery volume.</li>
</ul>


We are past the halfway mark in the review period of the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) September rebalance. We see one potential change which should be announced end August.
There is a high probability of Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) being included in the index, while either Shree Cement (SRCM IN) or Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) will be deleted.
The impact of passive fund trading on the stocks is high in terms of days of ADV, but very high in terms of delivery volume.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: High Probability Add; Impact Higher than the Headline Numbers

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nuvoco Vistas (NV) raised around US$673m in its India IPO. It is promoted by the Nirma Group and has recently acquired Emami’s cement business.Nuvoco Vistas (NV) is the fifth largest cement company in India and the largest cement company in East India, in terms of capacity. It had a total consolidated capacity of 22.32 MMTPA across 11 cement plants, comprising five integrated units, five grinding units and one blending unit. It also operates a RMX business with 49 RMX plants across India. As of Dec 2020, its cement production capacity constituted approximately 4.2% of total cement capacity in India and 17% of total cement capacity in East India.The company’s past revenue growth has been subdued, largely owing to COVID-19 impact. Although, it has managed to expand its EBITDA margin, especially in FY20, thus shoring up EBITDA growth. However, there is nothing particularly alluring about the stock that makes it stand out versus its peers. We covered the background of the company in our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nuvoco-vistas-ipo-don-t-see-any-strong-reason-to-buy" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nuvoco Vistas IPO - Don’t see any strong reason to buy.</a>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Nuvoco Vistas (NV) raised around US$673m in its India IPO. It is promoted by the Nirma Group and has recently acquired Emami’s cement business.Nuvoco Vistas (NV) is the fifth largest cement company in India and the largest cement company in East India, in terms of capacity. It had a total consolidated capacity of 22.32 MMTPA across 11 cement plants, comprising five integrated units, five grinding units and one blending unit. It also operates a RMX business with 49 RMX plants across India. As of Dec 2020, its cement production capacity constituted approximately 4.2% of total cement capacity in India and 17% of total cement capacity in East India.The company’s past revenue growth has been subdued, largely owing to COVID-19 impact. Although, it has managed to expand its EBITDA margin, especially in FY20, thus shoring up EBITDA growth. However, there is nothing particularly alluring about the stock that makes it stand out versus its peers. We covered the background of the company in our previous note, Nuvoco Vistas IPO - Don’t see any strong reason to buy.In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

India

ACC Limited  manufactures a range of cements and blended cements. The Company also manufactures gypsum and refractory products such as Brown Tabular Alumina. The Company provides turnkey and application consulting services for setting up and operating cement plants and refractories. The Company owns cement plants throughout India.

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ACC Ltd (ACC IS)

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Changes in August, Then 5 More in September

There are two index changes at the close on 5 August, then there should be 5 more at the close on 29 September. Passive funds will have over 4-5...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adani Enterprises Should Replace Shree Cement

Adani Enterprises should replace Shree Cement in the NIFTY50 Index at the close on 29 September. Passive NIFTY50 trackers will need to buy nearly...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for September 2022

A look at the names leading the race to become Adds and Deletes for NIFTY 50, NIFTY 100, and NIFTY 500 in September 2022.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: High Probability Add; Impact Higher than the Headline Numbers

Adani Enterprises is a high probability add to the NIFTY50 in Sep. Shree Cement is the current delete, though Hero Motocorp is close. There will be...

Brian Freitas

Nuvoco Vistas IPO Trading - Tepid Demand

Nuvoco Vistas (NV) raised around US$673m in its India IPO. It is promoted by the Nirma Group and has recently acquired Emami’s cement business.

Sumeet Singh

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