Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> announced that it would merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Investors have been asking the two companies about a possible merger for at least the past decade.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the background for the merger and why now.</li>
</ul>


Today morning, HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) announced that it would merger with HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN). 
Investors have been asking the two companies about a possible merger for at least the past decade.
In this note, we talk about the background for the merger and why now.


HDFC+HDFC Bank Merger - A Long Time Coming

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount to trade on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.</li>
<li>There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.
There is a fair amount to trade on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.
There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.


NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020</li>
<li>Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. </li>
<li>AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.</li>
</ul>


Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020
Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. 
AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.


Asia Ex-Japan:  Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Navi Technologies (NT) aims to raise around US$500m in its India listing. NT was started by Sachin Bansal, co-founder of Flipkart which was sold to Walmart in 2018.</li>
<li>NT is a technology-driven financial products and services company. The company was only incorporated in 2018, it offers personal loans, home loans, general insurance and mutual funds. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Navi Technologies (NT) aims to raise around US$500m in its India listing. NT was started by Sachin Bansal, co-founder of Flipkart which was sold to Walmart in 2018.
NT is a technology-driven financial products and services company. The company was only incorporated in 2018, it offers personal loans, home loans, general insurance and mutual funds. 
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Navi Technologies Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Very Much a Work-In-Progress

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


-------------
Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
-------------

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HDFC Bank continues to make steady efforts on the digitization front as it gears up to be a digitally savvy bank. It has been revamping its apps, PayZapp and Smartbuy.</li>
<li>HDFC Bank (HDFCB) posted steady growth and improvement in asset quality in Q3FY22. The growth focus and risk-on stance is back in the retail book with normalization of the environment.</li>
<li>While HDFCB’s stock has been under pressure over the past 1Y, we believe apprehensions around its restructuring book and the impact on its payments led fee business are overdone.</li>
</ul>


HDFC Bank continues to make steady efforts on the digitization front as it gears up to be a digitally savvy bank. It has been revamping its apps, PayZapp and Smartbuy.
HDFC Bank (HDFCB) posted steady growth and improvement in asset quality in Q3FY22. The growth focus and risk-on stance is back in the retail book with normalization of the environment.
While HDFCB’s stock has been under pressure over the past 1Y, we believe apprehensions around its restructuring book and the impact on its payments led fee business are overdone.


India

ICICI Bank Limited operates as a bank. The Bank offers saving accounts, loans, debit, credit cards, insurance, investments, mortgages, and online banking services. ICICI Bank serves customers worldwide.

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ICICI Bank Ltd (ICICIBC IN)

HDFC+HDFC Bank Merger - A Long Time Coming

Today morning, HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) announced that it would merger with HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN). The merger has been speculated about for at least a...

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

The March rebalance for the NIFTY family of indices will be implemented at the close of trading today. There is a fair amount to trade on the adds,...

Brian Freitas

Asia Ex-Japan: Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

Financials exposure moves higher. Active weights hit their highest level since early 2020. Indonesia, Singapore and India Financials were the...

Steven Holden

Navi Technologies Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Very Much a Work-In-Progress

Navi Technologies (NT) aims to raise around US$500m in its India listing. NT was started by Sachin Bansal, co-founder of Flipkart which was sold to...

Sumeet Singh

HDFC BANK: Steady As She Goes

we believe some of the apprehensions around HDFCB, especially relating to its restructuring book and the impact on its payments led fee business,...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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