Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The debate about whether or not Samsung Life Insurance should sell its stake in Samsung Electronics is being reviewed by the National Assembly once again.</li>
<li>The greater probability event is status quo. The Korean government is not likely to force Samsung Life Insurance to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics in the near term.</li>
<li>Korean government is likely to require Samsung Life Insurance to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics after the Lee family has paid off all their inheritance taxes in 3-4 years.</li>
</ul>


The debate about whether or not Samsung Life Insurance should sell its stake in Samsung Electronics is being reviewed by the National Assembly once again.
The greater probability event is status quo. The Korean government is not likely to force Samsung Life Insurance to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics in the near term.
Korean government is likely to require Samsung Life Insurance to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics after the Lee family has paid off all their inheritance taxes in 3-4 years.


When Will Samsung Life Insurance Be Forced to Sell Its Stake in Samsung Electronics by the Govt?

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>FnGuide Samsung Group has the most AUM among locally themed indexes. As of last Friday's closing price, AUM is ₩1.52T.</li>
<li>The share price movements of Samsung Group affiliates basically show high cointegration. Therefore, a small differential impact on the flow significantly affects the short-term price direction of these stocks. </li>
<li>So, we should consider a long/short setup on a swing trading window. Particularly, we need to focus on the first two trading days, when the rebalancing impact is relatively significant.</li>
</ul>


FnGuide Samsung Group has the most AUM among locally themed indexes. As of last Friday's closing price, AUM is ₩1.52T.
The share price movements of Samsung Group affiliates basically show high cointegration. Therefore, a small differential impact on the flow significantly affects the short-term price direction of these stocks. 
So, we should consider a long/short setup on a swing trading window. Particularly, we need to focus on the first two trading days, when the rebalancing impact is relatively significant.


FnGuide Samsung Group Index Rebalancing Preview

<ul>
<li>The local street hears KRX has bumped it up to 14.68%. With the 1% rounding applied, it becomes 15%.</li>
<li>It is extremely rare for a Fast Entry to come in with a float market cap of +₩10T. So, we will see significant weight adjustments for the other constituents.</li>
<li>As we move towards the implementation date, we can consider basket-shorting those high-impact names for LG Energy's long hedge.</li>
</ul>


The local street hears KRX has bumped it up to 14.68%. With the 1% rounding applied, it becomes 15%.
It is extremely rare for a Fast Entry to come in with a float market cap of +₩10T. So, we will see significant weight adjustments for the other constituents.
As we move towards the implementation date, we can consider basket-shorting those high-impact names for LG Energy's long hedge.


LG Energy's KOSPI 200 Float Is 15%: Weight Adjustment Trading for Other Constituents

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
 Korean prefs have outperformed ords on a YTD basis, probably due to the LG Energy listing. Many of KOSPI's large-cap stocks have seen an outflow to make room for LGES.</li>
<li>
Samsung Electronics 1P and Mirae Asset 2PB have a negative pref-ord YTD yield difference and are currently below-1.0σ on a 20-day MA.</li>
<li>Mirae widened the pref-ord spread by announcing an ord-only share buyback. So it should be seen as an outlier. Then, virtually all that remains is the Samsung Electronics 1P.</li>
</ul>



 Korean prefs have outperformed ords on a YTD basis, probably due to the LG Energy listing. Many of KOSPI's large-cap stocks have seen an outflow to make room for LGES.

Samsung Electronics 1P and Mirae Asset 2PB have a negative pref-ord YTD yield difference and are currently below-1.0σ on a 20-day MA.
Mirae widened the pref-ord spread by announcing an ord-only share buyback. So it should be seen as an outlier. Then, virtually all that remains is the Samsung Electronics 1P.


Korea Large-Cap Prefs: Pref-Ord YTD Yield Difference & 20-Day MA Sigma

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the dividends announcements which have been made by some of the largest Korean companies (25) in the past two days.</li>
<li>The average percentage difference in the actual versus the consensus estimate DPS in 2021 is 37.4% for these 25 companies.</li>
<li>Kia Motors now has a very nice dividend yield of 3.8%. DPS increased at an impressive rate of 200% YoY in 2021. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the dividends announcements which have been made by some of the largest Korean companies (25) in the past two days.
The average percentage difference in the actual versus the consensus estimate DPS in 2021 is 37.4% for these 25 companies.
Kia Motors now has a very nice dividend yield of 3.8%. DPS increased at an impressive rate of 200% YoY in 2021. 


Key Highlights of 25 Major Korean Companies Making Dividends Announcements for 2021

South Korea

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers auto, fire, marine, casualty, health, leisure, and retirement products and services. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

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Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

When Will Samsung Life Insurance Be Forced to Sell Its Stake in Samsung Electronics by the Govt?

The debate about whether or not Samsung Life Insurance should sell its stake in Samsung Electronics is being reviewed by the National Assembly once...

Douglas Kim

FnGuide Samsung Group Index Rebalancing Preview

FnGuide Samsung Group Index has the largest AUM among the locally-themed indexes. This post previews the upcoming rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

LG Energy's KOSPI 200 Float Is 15%: Weight Adjustment Trading for Other Constituents

KRX has bumped up LG Energy's float to 15%. As a result, we will see a more substantial passive impact on LG Energy. Also, we should see...

Sanghyun Park

Korea Large-Cap Prefs: Pref-Ord YTD Yield Difference & 20-Day MA Sigma

This post examines Korea's large-cap preferred shares for their pref-ord YTD yield difference and sigma on a 20-day moving average.

Sanghyun Park

Key Highlights of 25 Major Korean Companies Making Dividends Announcements for 2021

In this insight, we discuss the dividends announcements which have been made by some of the largest Korean companies (25) in the past two days.

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)