Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There will be 3 changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; Information Technology Index (HSIII) at the September rebalance. There are some surprises.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.04bn (US$262m). 7 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weimob-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27394:1" rel="noopener">Weimob Inc. (2013 HK)</a> is a surprise add. There is 6x ADV to buy from passive trackers and shorts are 12% of shares out and 24x ADV to cover.</li>
</ul>


There will be 3 changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; Information Technology Index (HSIII) at the September rebalance. There are some surprises.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.04bn (US$262m). 7 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade.

Weimob Inc. (2013 HK) is a surprise add. There is 6x ADV to buy from passive trackers and shorts are 12% of shares out and 24x ADV to cover.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index Rebalance: Three Changes & A Few Surprises

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>HSTECH sees one ADD, one DELETE and several capping and re-capping actions. One of the re-caps is already an un-recap (i.e. a new capping), to be updated.</li>
<li>The ADD is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>, as expected, with significant ADV impact to buy. The DELETE is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK)</a>, also a big sell.</li>
<li>Across the three major indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> is the big dollar sell and HSTECH changes are the biggies in terms of ADV impact.</li>
</ul>


HSTECH sees one ADD, one DELETE and several capping and re-capping actions. One of the re-caps is already an un-recap (i.e. a new capping), to be updated.
The ADD is ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK), as expected, with significant ADV impact to buy. The DELETE is Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK), also a big sell.
Across the three major indices, Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is the big dollar sell and HSTECH changes are the biggies in terms of ADV impact.


Sep24 HSTECH Index Rebal - ASMPT (522 HK) ADDed as Expected, After Post-Earnings Fall

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Japan equity ETF flows have not recovered from the carry trade sell off.  Hong Kong Southbound Connect flows continue to be positive this month.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qifu-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36657:1" rel="noopener">Qifu Technology (3660 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/q-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:79:1" rel="noopener">Q Technology Group (1478 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> all advanced on strong 2Q earnings announcements. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36601:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK)</a> disappointed on earnings and monthly user numbers.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services (6098 HK)</a> declined in anticipation of a large drop in earnings in 2Q 2024.
</li>
</ul>


Japan equity ETF flows have not recovered from the carry trade sell off.  Hong Kong Southbound Connect flows continue to be positive this month.

Qifu Technology (3660 HK) , Q Technology Group (1478 HK) and JD Logistics (2618 HK) all advanced on strong 2Q earnings announcements. 


Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK) disappointed on earnings and monthly user numbers.  Country Garden Services (6098 HK) declined in anticipation of a large drop in earnings in 2Q 2024.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 16)

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Based on &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; Developer Nexon's 2Q24 Financial Report, the Game Generated around RMB 7bn in Revenue During the Quarter (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;League of Legends&gt; to Introduce Another PVE Game Mode (+)</li>
<li>BILI US: Bilibili's &lt;Aether Gazer&gt; to Shut Down on November 12 (/)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Based on &lt;DnF Mobile&gt; Developer Nexon's 2Q24 Financial Report, the Game Generated around RMB 7bn in Revenue During the Quarter (+)
700 HK: &lt;League of Legends&gt; to Introduce Another PVE Game Mode (+)
BILI US: Bilibili's &lt;Aether Gazer&gt; to Shut Down on November 12 (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BILI US/BABA US/PDD US/JD/3690HK/ZTO/1519HK/2352 CH/SHEIN/TCOM

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will look at valuations.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will look at valuations.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index Rebalance: Three Changes & A Few Surprises

There are 3 changes for the HSIII in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.04bn...

Brian Freitas

Sep24 HSTECH Index Rebal - ASMPT (522 HK) ADDed as Expected, After Post-Earnings Fall

The HSTECH Index Rebalance is as expected - one ADD and one DELETE. Both are big in terms of ADV at 10+ days to buy and sell, respectively.

Travis Lundy

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 16)

Japan ETF flows have been light after the massive outflow from carry trade unwind. Qifu Tech, Q Tech and JDL all had positive earnings announcement...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BILI US/BABA US/PDD US/JD/3690HK/ZTO/1519HK/2352 CH/SHEIN/TCOM

Nexon's <dnf mobile> game generates RMB 7bn, League of Legends adds new PVE mode, Bilibili's <aether gazer> shutting down on November 12.<...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about valautions.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index Rebalance: Three Changes & A Few Surprises

There are 3 changes for the HSIII in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.04bn...

Brian Freitas

Sep24 HSTECH Index Rebal - ASMPT (522 HK) ADDed as Expected, After Post-Earnings Fall

The HSTECH Index Rebalance is as expected - one ADD and one DELETE. Both are big in terms of ADV at 10+ days to buy and sell, respectively.

Travis Lundy

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 16)

Japan ETF flows have been light after the massive outflow from carry trade unwind. Qifu Tech, Q Tech and JDL all had positive earnings announcement...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BILI US/BABA US/PDD US/JD/3690HK/ZTO/1519HK/2352 CH/SHEIN/TCOM

​Nexon's <dnf mobile> game generates RMB 7bn, League of Legends adds new PVE mode, Bilibili's <aether gazer> shutting down on November 12.<...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about valautions.

Sumeet Singh

Nexon's <dnf mobile> game generates RMB 7bn, League of Legends adds new PVE mode, Bilibili's <aether gazer> shutting down on November 12.<...