Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> has got approval to list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> and reports are that the listing could be up to US$3bn.</li>
<li>That issue size is around half of the maximum that the company can issue. But it would still need cornerstone investors and a nice discount on the H-shares.</li>
<li>The stock will still get included in some indices even with the scaled down size, and inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect is a given.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) has got approval to list on the HKEX (388 HK) and reports are that the listing could be up to US$3bn.
That issue size is around half of the maximum that the company can issue. But it would still need cornerstone investors and a nice discount on the H-shares.
The stock will still get included in some indices even with the scaled down size, and inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect is a given.


Midea Group (000333 CH): Index Implications at US$3bn Issue Size

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The epicenter of the Asian ETF selloff last week was Japan, recording an outflow of nearly $100B from equity funds taking the net flows back to breakeven for the YTD.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seazen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14882:1" rel="noopener">Seazen (Formerly Future Land) (1030 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> had positive announcements while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> announced earnings.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> shares are under pressure as the telco sector goes through a price war in cloud services and investors take profits from high dividend names.
</li>
</ul>


The epicenter of the Asian ETF selloff last week was Japan, recording an outflow of nearly $100B from equity funds taking the net flows back to breakeven for the YTD.

Seazen (Formerly Future Land) (1030 HK) and Swire Properties (1972 HK) had positive announcements while New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK) and Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) announced earnings.


China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) shares are under pressure as the telco sector goes through a price war in cloud services and investors take profits from high dividend names.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 10)

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we look at the latest policy support in China property, as well as the latest rate cut from the Central Bank</li>
<li>In the physical market, there are some signs of bottoming out, particularly in key cites such as Shanghai and Shenzhen.  Secondary market is recovering</li>
<li>If investors would like exposure in the sector, we recommend CRL (1109 HK) and COLI (688 HK), both are SOE names with almost zero bankruptcy risks</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we look at the latest policy support in China property, as well as the latest rate cut from the Central Bank
In the physical market, there are some signs of bottoming out, particularly in key cites such as Shanghai and Shenzhen.  Secondary market is recovering
If investors would like exposure in the sector, we recommend CRL (1109 HK) and COLI (688 HK), both are SOE names with almost zero bankruptcy risks


Short Note: China Property Recovery Upcoming with Policy Support and Rate Cut

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC, Meituan, HKEx, China Hongqiao, CNOOC. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC, Meituan, HKEx, China Hongqiao, CNOOC. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): 11 Months of Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

Hong Kong

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited provides real estate services. The Company develops, manages, and invests in commercial properties. China Overseas Land & Investment serves customers globally.

China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK)

Price Gauge
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China Overseas Land & Investment (688 HK)

Midea Group (000333 CH): Index Implications at US$3bn Issue Size

The CSRC and HKEX have both approved Midea Group's H-share listing. Reports indicate an issue size of up to US$3bn. Index inclusion gets tougher at...

Brian Freitas

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 10)

Japan had massive outflows in equity ETF's for the week. Property firms Seazen and Swire Properties had positive earnings news. New Oriental and...

David Mudd

Short Note: China Property Recovery Upcoming with Policy Support and Rate Cut

In this update, we look at the latest government policy and rate cut, which are tailwinds to the sector. Physical market is recovering. We think...

Jacob Cheng

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): 11 Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for July and highlighted inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 19th): ICBC, China Hongqiao

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)