Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-January/early-February we've recommended shifting to defensives considering our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the $SPX in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible.</li>
<li>Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives and believe that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives</li>
<li>Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX). </li>
</ul>


Since late-January/early-February we've recommended shifting to defensives considering our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the $SPX in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible.
Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives and believe that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives
Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX). 


Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets, Kaiko

Kaiko

Data-Driven Analysis of Cryptocurrency Markets

Kaiko is the leading cryptocurrency market data provider for institutional investors and enterprises. We empower market participants with accurate, transparent, and actionable financial data to be leveraged for a range of market activities. Kaiko’s mission is to be the foundation of the new digital finance economy by serving as a single source for market information. Our mission is premised on the idea that high-quality data drives market efficiency and greater transparency throughout the industry. For each of our enterprise clients, we build custom data plans designed for a range of use cases.

Crypto

<ul><li>Last quarter I published the first liquidity ranking system for crypto assets, comparing each asset’s liquidity ranking to its market cap and investigating which token’s market cap is the most misleading from a liquidity standpoint.</li><li>Liquidity has arguably never been at more of a premium than right now in crypto, with USD payment rails being shut down and market makers pulling orders from exchanges.</li><li>With market depth at 10 month lows, price volatility has picked up and so it is essential investors can accurately evaluate the liquidity of each individual asset to gain an understanding of how much short term volatility to expect.</li></ul>

Last quarter I published the first liquidity ranking system for crypto assets, comparing each asset’s liquidity ranking to its market cap and investigating which token’s market cap is the most misleading from a liquidity standpoint.Liquidity has arguably never been at more of a premium than right now in crypto, with USD payment rails being shut down and market makers pulling orders from exchanges.With market depth at 10 month lows, price volatility has picked up and so it is essential investors can accurately evaluate the liquidity of each individual asset to gain an understanding of how much short term volatility to expect.

<ul><li>The banking crisis and ongoing regulatory crackdown have upended crypto market structure, leaving an uncertain dynamic among the world’s largest exchanges.</li><li>Over the past two weeks, Binance has lost 16% market share of trade volume following a CFTC lawsuit and the decision to end its zero-fee trading program.</li><li>The exchange remains the largest in the world with 54% dominance. </li></ul>

The banking crisis and ongoing regulatory crackdown have upended crypto market structure, leaving an uncertain dynamic among the world’s largest exchanges.Over the past two weeks, Binance has lost 16% market share of trade volume following a CFTC lawsuit and the decision to end its zero-fee trading program.The exchange remains the largest in the world with 54% dominance. 

<ul>
<li>Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.</li>
<li>As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.</li>
<li>Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples</li>
</ul>


Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.
As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.
Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples


S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Digital Asset Management Firm, Etherbridge

Etherbridge

Digital Asset Management Firm

Etherbridge is a digital asset management firm investing in the value of information and trust

<ul><li>Opportunity in any market exists in anything that causes the perception of the investor to take on a new shape.</li><li>For many years, the Fat Protocol Thesis popularised by Placeholder VC has dominated the perception of the digital asset market.</li><li>But as the market and, more importantly, those who have come to use this new technology platform change, so too does the perception of where value will be captured.</li></ul>

Opportunity in any market exists in anything that causes the perception of the investor to take on a new shape.For many years, the Fat Protocol Thesis popularised by Placeholder VC has dominated the perception of the digital asset market.But as the market and, more importantly, those who have come to use this new technology platform change, so too does the perception of where value will be captured.

The Unbundling of Blockchain Infrastructure

United States

Virtual currencies are decentralized, math-based digital assets in which transactions can be performed cryptographically without the need for a central issuing authority. The first specification and proof of concept of Bitcoin, the first widely used virtual currency, was published in 2009 based on a paper published pseudonymously by Satoshi Nakamoto.

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Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY)

Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

Defensive Sectors including Health Care $XLV, Utilities $RYU $XLU, and Staples $XLP are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price...

Vermilion Research

Q1 Liquidity Ranking for Crypto Assets

Liquidity has arguably never been at more of a premium than right now in crypto, with USD payment rails being shut down and market makers pulling...

Kaiko

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Last week (3/21) we discussed the potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on the $SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which we noted...

Vermilion Research

The Unbundling of Blockchain Infrastructure

For many years, the Fat Protocol Thesis popularised by Placeholder VC has dominated the perception of the digital asset market.

Etherbridge

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

Defensive Sectors including Health Care $XLV, Utilities $RYU $XLU, and Staples $XLP are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price...

Vermilion Research

Q1 Liquidity Ranking for Crypto Assets

Liquidity has arguably never been at more of a premium than right now in crypto, with USD payment rails being shut down and market makers pulling...

Kaiko

Binance Market Share Tumbles 16%

The banking crisis and ongoing regulatory crackdown have upended crypto market structure, leaving an uncertain dynamic among the world’s largest...

Kaiko

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Last week (3/21) we discussed the potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on the $SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which we noted...

Vermilion Research

The Unbundling of Blockchain Infrastructure

For many years, the Fat Protocol Thesis popularised by Placeholder VC has dominated the perception of the digital asset market.

Etherbridge