Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nikkei reports that a high ranking CCP official has suggested that the platforms possessing personal data should return around 20-30% of the revenue generated to the common prosperity cause. </li>
<li>We expect big tech to lose competitiveness as the government takes control of the use of personal data. Meanwhile the Chinese economic slowdown is a double blow to big tech. </li>
<li>If remaining investors lose faith and exit, big tech can trade at around 1.0-1.5x price to book in the next few years.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei reports that a high ranking CCP official has suggested that the platforms possessing personal data should return around 20-30% of the revenue generated to the common prosperity cause. 
We expect big tech to lose competitiveness as the government takes control of the use of personal data. Meanwhile the Chinese economic slowdown is a double blow to big tech. 
If remaining investors lose faith and exit, big tech can trade at around 1.0-1.5x price to book in the next few years.


Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

<p>We believe that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a> is a special situation that warrants a close look from the long side.  Our recent checks in the live broadcasting broadcasters and agencies suggest that broadcasters see a surge in traffic/new viewers from BIDU in recent weeks.  BIDU traffic is of lower quality than YY as BIDU’s existing business model for live streaming is ecommerce.  YY, on the other hand, discusses tips for broadcasters.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a>  has opened multiple entries to YY.  For example, all viewers of Haokan Video (short video sub of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> ) now have access to YY subsidiaries.  Haokan is said to have 30MM DAU through independent Haokan App, and 110 MM DAU through all apps in Baidu ecosystem in 2019.  Assuming YY can convert 1% DAU to paying users, that is 26% boost to YY existing paying users.</p>

We believe that JOYY (YY US) is a special situation that warrants a close look from the long side.  Our recent checks in the live broadcasting broadcasters and agencies suggest that broadcasters see a surge in traffic/new viewers from BIDU in recent weeks.  BIDU traffic is of lower quality than YY as BIDU’s existing business model for live streaming is ecommerce.  YY, on the other hand, discusses tips for broadcasters.  Baidu (BIDU US)  has opened multiple entries to YY.  For example, all viewers of Haokan Video (short video sub of Baidu (BIDU US) ) now have access to YY subsidiaries.  Haokan is said to have 30MM DAU through independent Haokan App, and 110 MM DAU through all apps in Baidu ecosystem in 2019.  Assuming YY can convert 1% DAU to paying users, that is 26% boost to YY existing paying users.

BIDU-YY Live Streaming Integration Update: Unlocking Deep Value in YY

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kuaishou Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>DCM Investments is looking to raise US$484m via selling its remaining stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>While the current block deal isn’t entirely well flagged per se, it appears that DCM has since been trimming its stake on the open market.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


DCM Investments is looking to raise US$484m via selling its remaining stake in Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK).
While the current block deal isn’t entirely well flagged per se, it appears that DCM has since been trimming its stake on the open market.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Kuaishou Placement - US$480m Secondary Block Deal a Small One to Digest

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Hozon New Energy Automobile Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hozon-new-energy-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43704:1" rel="noopener">Hozon New Energy Automobile</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>Hozon New Energy Automobile (HNEA) is a NEV technology company which sells cars under the Neta brand. The prices of its vehicles generally range between US$15,000 to US$45,000.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hozon New Energy Automobile is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO.
Hozon New Energy Automobile (HNEA) is a NEV technology company which sells cars under the Neta brand. The prices of its vehicles generally range between US$15,000 to US$45,000.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains Far from Being Profitable

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hozon-new-energy-automobile-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43704:1" rel="noopener">Hozon New Energy Automobile</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. </li>
<li>Hozon New Energy Automobile (HNEA) is a NEV technology company which sells cars under the Neta brand. The prices of its vehicles generally range between US$15,000 to US$45,000.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hozon New Energy Automobile is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. 
Hozon New Energy Automobile (HNEA) is a NEV technology company which sells cars under the Neta brand. The prices of its vehicles generally range between US$15,000 to US$45,000.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Ramping Up

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (BIDU US)

China Considering a Data Tax on Big Tech

Investors are starting to rethink their investments in the Chinese tech space and the idea that investors should avoid Chinese tech stocks amidst...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

BIDU-YY Live Streaming Integration Update: Unlocking Deep Value in YY

YY to broadcaster on May 21: “YY and Baidu live streaming channels will start sharing data. We asked our live broadcasters to welcome the new...

JL Warren Capital

Kuaishou Placement - US$480m Secondary Block Deal a Small One to Digest

DCM Investments is looking to raise US$484m via selling its remaining stake in Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK). In this note, we run the deal through...

Clarence Chu

Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains Far from Being Profitable

Hozon New Energy Automobile is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

Hozon New Energy Automobile Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Ramping Up

Hozon New Energy Automobile is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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