IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Huisen Household International Group Limited / Equity Capital Markets

Huisen Household International Group Limited

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huisen-household-international-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31078:1" rel="noopener">Huisen Household International (2127 HK)</a> is the largest panel furniture exporter in terms of export value in China with a 3.92% market share in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Huisen has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,228.8 million ($160 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Unsurprisingly, due to the covid-19 outbreak, the export value of the PRC panel furniture will decline by 10% YoY to RMB73.5 billion in 2020, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Due to this decline in market growth, Huisen guides to a slight decrease in revenue and gross profit in 2020. Encouragingly, the export value of the PRC panel furniture is expected to recover gradually at a 3.2% CAGR from 2020 to 2024. Huisen is well placed to benefit from this growth as it is the largest panel furniture exporter in China.<div class="content-highlight">As a sign of confidence, most of the IPO proceeds will be used to establish a new manufacturing factory and construct the second phase of an existing factory. Overall, we believe that Huisen’s fundamentals are attractive.</div>

Huisen Household International (2127 HK) is the largest panel furniture exporter in terms of export value in China with a 3.92% market share in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Huisen has launched a Hong Kong IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,228.8 million ($160 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Unsurprisingly, due to the covid-19 outbreak, the export value of the PRC panel furniture will decline by 10% YoY to RMB73.5 billion in 2020, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Due to this decline in market growth, Huisen guides to a slight decrease in revenue and gross profit in 2020. Encouragingly, the export value of the PRC panel furniture is expected to recover gradually at a 3.2% CAGR from 2020 to 2024. Huisen is well placed to benefit from this growth as it is the largest panel furniture exporter in China.As a sign of confidence, most of the IPO proceeds will be used to establish a new manufacturing factory and construct the second phase of an existing factory. Overall, we believe that Huisen’s fundamentals are attractive.

Huisen Household IPO Initiation: Part of the Furniture

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Flipkart Online Services / Equity Capital Markets

According to multiple sources, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/walmart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11134:1" rel="noopener">Walmart (WMT US)</a> has hired Goldman Sachs to explore the sale of about 25% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flipkart-online-services-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31076:1" rel="noopener">Flipkart Online Services (1398508D IN)</a> shares through a US IPO of approximately $10 billion. If successful, Flipkart IPO will be the largest initial offering by an Indian company on an overseas exchange.

According to multiple sources, Walmart (WMT US) has hired Goldman Sachs to explore the sale of about 25% of Flipkart Online Services (1398508D IN) shares through a US IPO of approximately $10 billion. If successful, Flipkart IPO will be the largest initial offering by an Indian company on an overseas exchange.

Flipkart IPO Preview: Profitability an Uphill Battle

Asia Consumer Research, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Asia Consumer Research

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Private Capital Markets

Tatas, India's leading Conglomerate business group, is <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-02/tata-said-near-deal-to-buy-alibaba-backed-indian-online-grocer?sref=SVEekGzB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reportedly</a> in talks to acquire 80% stake in the country's leading Online grocery vertical Bigbasket, where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> holds upto 30% of ownership stake. India's Retail sector has been a hot bed of M&amp;A activity (and litigations) involving  the big and mighty over the recent months. India's nascent online grocery retail nearly doubled in sales this year thanks to COVID-led disruptions in physical retail. Existing online verticals, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a> backed Bigbasket and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> backed Grofers were reportedly planning a fresh round of  fund raising to build up infrastructure to cater to the swelling demand and counter rising competition. However, all's not been well with overseas fund raising in India. In the detailed note below, we look at (1) Reported deal specifics and valuation (2) Likely Rationale behind the deal (3) India's nascent online grocery landscape and (4) how COVID and consolidation have been impacting India's e-grocery sector.

Tatas, India's leading Conglomerate business group, is reportedly in talks to acquire 80% stake in the country's leading Online grocery vertical Bigbasket, where Alibaba Group (BABA US) holds upto 30% of ownership stake. India's Retail sector has been a hot bed of M&amp;A activity (and litigations) involving  the big and mighty over the recent months. India's nascent online grocery retail nearly doubled in sales this year thanks to COVID-led disruptions in physical retail. Existing online verticals, Alibaba Group (BABA US) backed Bigbasket and Softbank Group (9984 JP) backed Grofers were reportedly planning a fresh round of  fund raising to build up infrastructure to cater to the swelling demand and counter rising competition. However, all's not been well with overseas fund raising in India. In the detailed note below, we look at (1) Reported deal specifics and valuation (2) Likely Rationale behind the deal (3) India's nascent online grocery landscape and (4) how COVID and consolidation have been impacting India's e-grocery sector.

BABA Backed BigBasket to Go to TATAs: Round 2 of India Retail Sector M&A

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

The Biden-Harris administration recently announced four "Day One" priorities, the first of which is their COVID-19 response plan. COVID-19 response is first, because it is a prerequisite to economic recovery, which is the second of their four "Day One" priorities.Several investment themes are inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan, some more direct and obvious than others. This Insight overviews more significant themes and their most representative stocks, in three sections (the first two will be expanded on in separate upcoming reports):<ol>
<li>
COVID-19 Testing: Testing is the largest, most tangible, nearest-term investment opportunity created by Biden's plan. An estimated US$75-100 billion for testing could be windfall for certain stocks, but not all. Selectivity is key, and timing is critical (related to vaccine development).</li>
<li>
Vaccine Delivery: Biden's plan emphasises vaccine manufacturing and delivery, versus vaccine development (Trump had allocated <a href="https://www.hhs.gov/coronavirus/explaining-operation-warp-speed/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">billions</a> to vaccine development companies). Some might go to big pharma companies for M&amp;D, but most should benefit other "cold chain" stocks.</li>
<li>
PPE Supply/Other: PPE manufacturing, of course, but that is largely old news. I will address it, but do so along with other more interesting collateral themes. For example, retail drugs chains, elder-care, medical technologies, and a few other related industries.</li>
</ol>

The Biden-Harris administration recently announced four "Day One" priorities, the first of which is their COVID-19 response plan. COVID-19 response is first, because it is a prerequisite to economic recovery, which is the second of their four "Day One" priorities.Several investment themes are inherent in Biden's COVID-19 plan, some more direct and obvious than others. This Insight overviews more significant themes and their most representative stocks, in three sections (the first two will be expanded on in separate upcoming reports):

COVID-19 Testing: Testing is the largest, most tangible, nearest-term investment opportunity created by Biden's plan. An estimated US$75-100 billion for testing could be windfall for certain stocks, but not all. Selectivity is key, and timing is critical (related to vaccine development).

Vaccine Delivery: Biden's plan emphasises vaccine manufacturing and delivery, versus vaccine development (Trump had allocated billions to vaccine development companies). Some might go to big pharma companies for M&amp;D, but most should benefit other "cold chain" stocks.

PPE Supply/Other: PPE manufacturing, of course, but that is largely old news. I will address it, but do so along with other more interesting collateral themes. For example, retail drugs chains, elder-care, medical technologies, and a few other related industries.


Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes

Supun Walpola

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

Despite the excitement over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (BABA US)</a>’s New Retail strategy, we believe the likes of Freshippo are still too small to contribute in a meaningful way to Alibaba’s valuation in the near term. However, Alibaba continues to invest heavily around the New Retail theme, both in Freshippo store expansions and through several recent investments in SunArt and Dufry. This implies that Alibaba is now pretty much committed to its New Retail strategy, and so far, seems to be happy with its progress. We do not see any major downside of New Retail for now either.In this note, we take a deep dive into Alibaba's new retail businesses, in particular, Freshippo.

Despite the excitement over Alibaba Group (BABA US)’s New Retail strategy, we believe the likes of Freshippo are still too small to contribute in a meaningful way to Alibaba’s valuation in the near term. However, Alibaba continues to invest heavily around the New Retail theme, both in Freshippo store expansions and through several recent investments in SunArt and Dufry. This implies that Alibaba is now pretty much committed to its New Retail strategy, and so far, seems to be happy with its progress. We do not see any major downside of New Retail for now either.In this note, we take a deep dive into Alibaba's new retail businesses, in particular, Freshippo. 

Alibaba: New Retail Is Exciting but Too Small For Now

United States

Walmart Inc. operates discount stores, supercenters, and neighborhood markets. The Company offers merchandise such as apparel, house wares, small appliances, electronics, musical instruments, books, home improvement, shoes, jewelry, toddler, games, household essentials, pets, pharmaceutical products, party supplies, and automotive tools. Walmart serves customers worldwide.

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Walmart (WMT US)

Huisen Household IPO Initiation: Part of the Furniture

Huisen has launched an HK IPO to raise net proceeds of $160 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we believe that Huisen’s...

Arun George

Flipkart IPO Preview: Profitability an Uphill Battle

Walmart has hired Goldman Sachs to explore the sale of about 25% of Flipkart shares through a US IPO of approximately $10 billion. If successful,...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

BABA Backed BigBasket to Go to TATAs: Round 2 of India Retail Sector M&A

Alibaba backed India eGrocer, BigBasket, to be sold to Tatas. Reported valuation multiples imply a discount vs last round of funding. Despite...

Devi Subhakesan

Biden COVID-19 Response Plan: Overview of Its Inherent Investment Themes

Biden's recently-announced COVID-19 response plan suggests a number of investment themes. This Insight overviews the more significant of those...

Kyle Rudden

Alibaba: New Retail Is Exciting but Too Small For Now

Despite the excitement over Alibaba’s New Retail strategy, we believe the likes of Freshippo are still too small to contribute in a meaningful way...

Supun Walpola

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