Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we take a look at the potential index changes at the June rebalance as well as potential index inclusions due to M&amp;A.</li>
<li>Timing is key for the ad hoc inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> with an ad hoc inclusion being announced prior to the regular announcement.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 1.3-27x ADV on the expected adds and have 0.8-4.7x ADV to sell on the expected deletes. Shorts have built up on the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we take a look at the potential index changes at the June rebalance as well as potential index inclusions due to M&amp;A.
Timing is key for the ad hoc inclusions to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) with an ad hoc inclusion being announced prior to the regular announcement.
Passive trackers will need to buy 1.3-27x ADV on the expected adds and have 0.8-4.7x ADV to sell on the expected deletes. Shorts have built up on the potential deletes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Uranium spot prices are up 84% since our last report in late 2022, yet we still expect further momentum in the sector.</li>
<li>The sentiment on nuclear power from governments around the world has begun to shift, with many nations ramping plans for reactors.</li>
<li>While new mines begin production and future mines achieve financing, we continue to believe the current spot price is too low in the short term.</li>
</ul>


Uranium spot prices are up 84% since our last report in late 2022, yet we still expect further momentum in the sector.
The sentiment on nuclear power from governments around the world has begun to shift, with many nations ramping plans for reactors.
While new mines begin production and future mines achieve financing, we continue to believe the current spot price is too low in the short term.


IsoEnergy Ltd - Uranium: Only Getting Started

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes during the regular rebalance event.</li>
<li>For the ASX 200 index, there could be two intra-review changes in the month of June 2024 and one of those names could be a surprise.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes during the regular rebalance event.
For the ASX 200 index, there could be two intra-review changes in the month of June 2024 and one of those names could be a surprise.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 26th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie, Brambles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 26th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie, Brambles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period complete, there could be a bunch of changes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in June.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a> merger could lead to an ad hoc change prior to the implementation of the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be 1.6-25 days of ADV to buy from passives in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.8-11 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period complete, there could be a bunch of changes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in June.
The Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) / Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU) merger could lead to an ad hoc change prior to the implementation of the June rebalance.
There will be 1.6-25 days of ADV to buy from passives in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.8-11 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Australia

Paladin Energy Ltd operates as a mining company. The Company explores and mines uranium. Paladin Energy serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Paladin Energy (PDN AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

There should be changes for the ASX20, ASX100, ASX200 in June. Timing of the ASX200 inclusions is key with 2 M&A events leading to ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

IsoEnergy Ltd - Uranium: Only Getting Started

The sentiment on nuclear power from governments around the world has begun to shift, with many nations ramping plans for reactors.

Atrium Research

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

There is an important correction to the expectations presented in this insight. Please see the discussion point below for the details and the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Performance has been mixed across the various indices but could start moving the right way as we near the end of the review period and there is...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

There should be changes for the ASX20, ASX100, ASX200 in June. Timing of the ASX200 inclusions is key with 2 M&A events leading to ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

IsoEnergy Ltd - Uranium: Only Getting Started

The sentiment on nuclear power from governments around the world has begun to shift, with many nations ramping plans for reactors.

Atrium Research

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

There is an important correction to the expectations presented in this insight. Please see the discussion point below for the details and the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Performance has been mixed across the various indices but could start moving the right way as we near the end of the review period and there is...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Regular & Ad Hoc Changes in June

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June